La scuola delle quote

Real Valladolid CF v Burgos CF

Inizio: 2026-03-28 15:15 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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53 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Real Valladolid CF (Casa)

Previsione 42.65%2.34quota equa
EV -4.03%
Vantaggio -1.79%
Kelly -3.23%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
41.23%42.61%42.60%43.17%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.002.162.162.2550.00%46.29%46.30%44.44%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Burgos CF (Trasferta)

Previsione 27.05%3.70quota equa
EV -0.464%
Vantaggio -0.126%
Kelly -0.173%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.68

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.16%27.07%27.09%28.09%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.373.403.6832.26%29.70%29.41%27.17%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 30.30%3.30quota equa
EV -3.34%
Vantaggio -1.05%
Kelly -1.53%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.19

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.49%30.32%30.31%31.61%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.633.013.003.1938.02%33.21%33.33%31.35%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (53 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.42%EV -4.03%E -1.79%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -5.33%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.30%EV -4.55%E -1.45%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-27 20:35
BetOnline.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 43.01%EV -4.46%E -1.99%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.40%EV -1.28%E -0.349%K -0.481%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.59%EV -4.55%E -1.45%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-27 13:54
LowVig.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 43.01%EV -4.46%E -1.99%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.40%EV -1.28%E -0.349%K -0.481%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.59%EV -4.55%E -1.45%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-27 13:55
Pinnacle2.23I 44.84%NM 43.17%EV -4.89%E -2.19%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.16%EV -0.464%E -0.126%K -0.173%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.66%EV -4.86%E -1.55%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-28 00:55
1xBet2.23I 44.84%NM 43.07%EV -4.89%E -2.19%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.83%EV -3.17%E -0.885%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.11%EV -3.34%E -1.05%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-28 01:04
Unibet (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.30%EV -4.89%E -2.19%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -8.04%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.95%EV -4.55%E -1.45%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-27 18:35
Unibet (NL)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.30%EV -4.89%E -2.19%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -8.04%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.95%EV -4.55%E -1.45%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-27 18:35
ATG (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.30%EV -4.89%E -2.19%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -8.04%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.95%EV -4.55%E -1.45%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-27 18:35
Svenska Spel2.23I 44.84%NM 42.30%EV -4.89%E -2.19%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -8.04%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.95%EV -4.55%E -1.45%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-27 18:34
Unibet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.30%EV -4.89%E -2.19%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -8.04%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.95%EV -4.55%E -1.45%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-27 18:35
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 42.97%EV -6.17%E -2.80%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.01%EV -5.33%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.01%EV -4.55%E -1.45%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-27 15:44
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -6.17%E -2.80%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.33%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -6.07%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-27 16:14
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.17%E -2.80%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -8.04%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -6.07%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-25 11:54
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.17%E -2.80%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -8.04%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -6.07%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-27 20:35
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -6.17%E -2.80%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -5.33%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -9.10%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-27 19:59
NordicBet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -6.17%E -2.80%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -9.39%E -2.80%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -9.10%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-25 11:54
Betsson2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -6.17%E -2.80%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -9.39%E -2.80%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -9.10%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-25 11:55
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -6.17%E -2.80%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -8.04%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -12.13%E -4.18%K -6.38%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-25 12:15
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -6.17%E -2.80%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -12.09%E -3.72%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.10%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-26 14:44
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -6.17%E -2.80%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -10.74%E -3.26%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -12.13%E -4.18%K -6.38%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-25 04:44
Grosvenor2.17I 46.08%NM 42.39%EV -7.45%E -3.43%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -9.39%E -2.80%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -7.58%E -2.49%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-27 18:34
Casumo2.17I 46.08%NM 42.39%EV -7.45%E -3.43%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -9.39%E -2.80%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -7.58%E -2.49%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-27 18:35
betPARX2.17I 46.08%NM 42.39%EV -7.45%E -3.43%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -9.39%E -2.80%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -7.58%E -2.49%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-27 18:35
TABtouch2.17I 46.08%NM 42.39%EV -7.45%E -3.43%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -9.39%E -2.80%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -7.58%E -2.49%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-27 18:35
Codere (IT)2.17I 46.08%NM 42.00%EV -7.45%E -3.43%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.74%E -3.26%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -9.10%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-25 11:55
Marathon Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 43.15%EV -7.87%E -3.64%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.78%EV -5.87%E -1.69%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.07%EV -6.07%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-28 01:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 42.32%EV -7.87%E -3.64%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -10.74%E -3.26%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.97%EV -7.58%E -2.49%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-27 18:35
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -8.30%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.04%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -6.07%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-25 12:14
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -8.30%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.04%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -6.07%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-27 16:05
Bovada2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -8.30%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -5.33%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -9.10%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-28 00:53
BetAnything2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -8.30%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -5.33%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -9.10%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-28 00:55
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.68%EV -8.30%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -5.33%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -10.61%E -3.60%K -5.44%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-27 01:09
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.30%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.04%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -9.10%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-28 00:00
LeoVegas2.15I 46.51%NM 42.44%EV -8.30%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -10.74%E -3.26%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.91%EV -7.58%E -2.49%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-27 18:35
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.26%EV -8.30%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -12.09%E -3.72%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.79%EV -7.58%E -2.49%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-28 00:29
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -8.30%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -8.04%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -12.13%E -4.18%K -6.38%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-27 23:13
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -8.30%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -13.45%E -4.20%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.13%E -4.18%K -6.38%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-26 14:44
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -8.30%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -13.45%E -4.20%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.13%E -4.18%K -6.38%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-26 14:44
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -8.30%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -13.45%E -4.20%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.13%E -4.18%K -6.38%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-26 14:44
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -8.30%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -13.45%E -4.20%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.13%E -4.18%K -6.38%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-26 14:44
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 42.47%EV -9.58%E -4.52%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -8.04%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -12.13%E -4.18%K -6.38%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-25 11:54
Virgin Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 42.39%EV -9.58%E -4.52%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -12.09%E -3.72%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -9.10%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-27 18:35
LiveScore Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 42.39%EV -9.58%E -4.52%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -12.09%E -3.72%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -9.10%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-27 18:34
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -10.43%E -4.97%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -8.04%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.10%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-27 16:14
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -10.43%E -4.97%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -8.04%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -12.13%E -4.18%K -6.38%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-27 23:44
Parions Sport (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.59%EV -10.43%E -4.97%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -10.74%E -3.26%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.31%EV -10.61%E -3.60%K -5.44%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-27 15:44
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.59%EV -10.43%E -4.97%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -10.74%E -3.26%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.31%EV -10.61%E -3.60%K -5.44%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-27 15:45
Betclic (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.48%EV -10.43%E -4.97%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 27.28%EV -11.55%E -3.53%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.24%EV -10.61%E -3.60%K -5.44%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-26 15:19
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.27%EV -10.43%E -4.97%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.90%EV -10.74%E -3.26%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.82%EV -12.73%E -4.42%K -6.77%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-27 23:43
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.44%EV -12.56%E -6.13%K -11.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.07%EV -16.15%E -5.21%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.49%EV -10.61%E -3.60%K -5.44%G +0.000%14.9%2026-03-28 00:30
NetBet (FR)2.02I 49.50%NM 42.91%EV -13.84%E -6.85%K -13.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.67%EV -12.09%E -3.72%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.42%EV -13.64%E -4.79%K -7.37%G +0.000%15.4%2026-03-28 02:14
PMU (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.51%EV -14.70%E -7.35%K -14.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.57%EV -13.45%E -4.20%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.92%EV -16.67%E -6.06%K -9.53%G +0.000%17.6%2026-03-27 23:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 41.57%EV -14.70%E -7.35%K -14.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.82%EV -16.15%E -5.21%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 31.61%EV -20.31%E -7.72%K -12.46%G +0.000%20.3%2026-03-27 23:45
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.67%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.40%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93%1.0%2026-03-28 00:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.67%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.40%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93%1.0%2026-03-28 00:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.67%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.40%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93%1.0%2026-03-28 00:20
Matchbook2.32I 43.10%NM 42.67%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.40%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93%1.0%2026-03-28 01:05
Smarkets2.28I 43.86%NM 42.94%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.46%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.60%2.1%2026-03-28 00:05
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 43.10%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%3.03I 33.00%NM 30.30%8.9%2026-03-28 03:05