L’École des cotes

Real Valladolid CF v Burgos CF

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-28 15:15 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Real Valladolid CF (Local)

Prévision 42.65%2.34cote équitable
EV -4.03%
Avantage -1.79%
Kelly -3.23%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.23%42.61%42.60%43.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.162.162.2550.00%46.29%46.30%44.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Burgos CF (Visiteur)

Prévision 27.05%3.70cote équitable
EV -0.464%
Avantage -0.126%
Kelly -0.173%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.68

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.16%27.07%27.09%28.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.373.403.6832.26%29.70%29.41%27.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 30.30%3.30cote équitable
EV -3.34%
Avantage -1.05%
Kelly -1.53%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.19

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.49%30.32%30.31%31.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.633.013.003.1938.02%33.21%33.33%31.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.42%EV -4.03%E -1.79%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -5.33%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.30%EV -4.55%E -1.45%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-27 20:35
BetOnline.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 43.01%EV -4.46%E -1.99%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.40%EV -1.28%E -0.349%K -0.481%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.59%EV -4.55%E -1.45%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-27 13:54
LowVig.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 43.01%EV -4.46%E -1.99%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.40%EV -1.28%E -0.349%K -0.481%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.59%EV -4.55%E -1.45%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-27 13:55
Pinnacle2.23I 44.84%NM 43.17%EV -4.89%E -2.19%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.16%EV -0.464%E -0.126%K -0.173%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.66%EV -4.86%E -1.55%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-28 00:55
1xBet2.23I 44.84%NM 43.07%EV -4.89%E -2.19%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.83%EV -3.17%E -0.885%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.11%EV -3.34%E -1.05%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-28 01:04
Unibet (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.30%EV -4.89%E -2.19%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -8.04%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.95%EV -4.55%E -1.45%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-27 18:35
Unibet (NL)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.30%EV -4.89%E -2.19%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -8.04%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.95%EV -4.55%E -1.45%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-27 18:35
ATG (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.30%EV -4.89%E -2.19%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -8.04%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.95%EV -4.55%E -1.45%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-27 18:35
Svenska Spel2.23I 44.84%NM 42.30%EV -4.89%E -2.19%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -8.04%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.95%EV -4.55%E -1.45%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-27 18:34
Unibet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.30%EV -4.89%E -2.19%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -8.04%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.95%EV -4.55%E -1.45%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-27 18:35
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 42.97%EV -6.17%E -2.80%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.01%EV -5.33%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.01%EV -4.55%E -1.45%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-27 15:44
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -6.17%E -2.80%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.33%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -6.07%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-27 16:14
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.17%E -2.80%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -8.04%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -6.07%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-25 11:54
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.17%E -2.80%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -8.04%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -6.07%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-27 20:35
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -6.17%E -2.80%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -5.33%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -9.10%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-27 19:59
NordicBet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -6.17%E -2.80%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -9.39%E -2.80%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -9.10%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-25 11:54
Betsson2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -6.17%E -2.80%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -9.39%E -2.80%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -9.10%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-25 11:55
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -6.17%E -2.80%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -8.04%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -12.13%E -4.18%K -6.38%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-25 12:15
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -6.17%E -2.80%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -12.09%E -3.72%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.10%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-26 14:44
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -6.17%E -2.80%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -10.74%E -3.26%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -12.13%E -4.18%K -6.38%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-25 04:44
Grosvenor2.17I 46.08%NM 42.39%EV -7.45%E -3.43%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -9.39%E -2.80%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -7.58%E -2.49%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-27 18:34
Casumo2.17I 46.08%NM 42.39%EV -7.45%E -3.43%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -9.39%E -2.80%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -7.58%E -2.49%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-27 18:35
betPARX2.17I 46.08%NM 42.39%EV -7.45%E -3.43%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -9.39%E -2.80%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -7.58%E -2.49%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-27 18:35
TABtouch2.17I 46.08%NM 42.39%EV -7.45%E -3.43%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -9.39%E -2.80%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -7.58%E -2.49%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-27 18:35
Codere (IT)2.17I 46.08%NM 42.00%EV -7.45%E -3.43%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.74%E -3.26%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -9.10%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-25 11:55
Marathon Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 43.15%EV -7.87%E -3.64%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.78%EV -5.87%E -1.69%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.07%EV -6.07%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-28 01:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 42.32%EV -7.87%E -3.64%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -10.74%E -3.26%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.97%EV -7.58%E -2.49%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-27 18:35
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -8.30%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.04%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -6.07%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-25 12:14
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -8.30%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.04%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -6.07%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-27 16:05
Bovada2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -8.30%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -5.33%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -9.10%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-28 00:53
BetAnything2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -8.30%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -5.33%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -9.10%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-28 00:55
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.68%EV -8.30%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -5.33%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -10.61%E -3.60%K -5.44%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-27 01:09
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.30%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.04%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -9.10%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-28 00:00
LeoVegas2.15I 46.51%NM 42.44%EV -8.30%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -10.74%E -3.26%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.91%EV -7.58%E -2.49%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-27 18:35
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.26%EV -8.30%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -12.09%E -3.72%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.79%EV -7.58%E -2.49%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-28 00:29
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -8.30%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -8.04%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -12.13%E -4.18%K -6.38%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-27 23:13
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -8.30%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -13.45%E -4.20%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.13%E -4.18%K -6.38%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-26 14:44
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -8.30%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -13.45%E -4.20%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.13%E -4.18%K -6.38%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-26 14:44
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -8.30%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -13.45%E -4.20%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.13%E -4.18%K -6.38%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-26 14:44
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -8.30%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -13.45%E -4.20%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.13%E -4.18%K -6.38%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-26 14:44
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 42.47%EV -9.58%E -4.52%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -8.04%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -12.13%E -4.18%K -6.38%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-25 11:54
Virgin Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 42.39%EV -9.58%E -4.52%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -12.09%E -3.72%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -9.10%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-27 18:35
LiveScore Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 42.39%EV -9.58%E -4.52%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -12.09%E -3.72%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -9.10%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-27 18:34
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -10.43%E -4.97%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -8.04%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.10%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-27 16:14
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -10.43%E -4.97%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -8.04%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -12.13%E -4.18%K -6.38%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-27 23:44
Parions Sport (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.59%EV -10.43%E -4.97%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -10.74%E -3.26%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.31%EV -10.61%E -3.60%K -5.44%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-27 15:44
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.59%EV -10.43%E -4.97%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -10.74%E -3.26%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.31%EV -10.61%E -3.60%K -5.44%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-27 15:45
Betclic (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.48%EV -10.43%E -4.97%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 27.28%EV -11.55%E -3.53%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.24%EV -10.61%E -3.60%K -5.44%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-26 15:19
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.27%EV -10.43%E -4.97%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.90%EV -10.74%E -3.26%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.82%EV -12.73%E -4.42%K -6.77%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-27 23:43
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.44%EV -12.56%E -6.13%K -11.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.07%EV -16.15%E -5.21%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.49%EV -10.61%E -3.60%K -5.44%G +0.000%14.9%2026-03-28 00:30
NetBet (FR)2.02I 49.50%NM 42.91%EV -13.84%E -6.85%K -13.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.67%EV -12.09%E -3.72%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.42%EV -13.64%E -4.79%K -7.37%G +0.000%15.4%2026-03-28 02:14
PMU (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.51%EV -14.70%E -7.35%K -14.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.57%EV -13.45%E -4.20%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.92%EV -16.67%E -6.06%K -9.53%G +0.000%17.6%2026-03-27 23:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 41.57%EV -14.70%E -7.35%K -14.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.82%EV -16.15%E -5.21%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 31.61%EV -20.31%E -7.72%K -12.46%G +0.000%20.3%2026-03-27 23:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.67%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.40%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93%1.0%2026-03-28 00:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.67%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.40%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93%1.0%2026-03-28 00:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.67%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.40%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93%1.0%2026-03-28 00:20
Matchbook2.32I 43.10%NM 42.67%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.40%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93%1.0%2026-03-28 01:05
Smarkets2.28I 43.86%NM 42.94%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.46%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.60%2.1%2026-03-28 00:05
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 43.10%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%3.03I 33.00%NM 30.30%8.9%2026-03-28 03:05