La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Real Valladolid CF v Burgos CF
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Real Valladolid CF (Local)
Predicción 42.65%2.34momio equitativo
EV -4.03%
Ventaja -1.79%
Kelly -3.23%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.23%42.61%42.60%43.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.162.162.2550.00%46.29%46.30%44.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Burgos CF (Visitante)
Predicción 27.05%3.70momio equitativo
EV -0.464%
Ventaja -0.126%
Kelly -0.173%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.68
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.16%27.07%27.09%28.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.373.403.6832.26%29.70%29.41%27.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 30.30%3.30momio equitativo
EV -3.34%
Ventaja -1.05%
Kelly -1.53%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.19
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.49%30.32%30.31%31.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.633.013.003.1938.02%33.21%33.33%31.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.42%EV -4.03%E -1.79%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -5.33%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.30%EV -4.55%E -1.45%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-27 20:35 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.01%EV -4.46%E -1.99%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.40%EV -1.28%E -0.349%K -0.481%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.59%EV -4.55%E -1.45%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-27 13:54 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.01%EV -4.46%E -1.99%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.40%EV -1.28%E -0.349%K -0.481%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.59%EV -4.55%E -1.45%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-27 13:55 |
| Pinnacle | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.17%EV -4.89%E -2.19%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 26.16%EV -0.464%E -0.126%K -0.173%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.66%EV -4.86%E -1.55%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-28 00:55 |
| 1xBet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.07%EV -4.89%E -2.19%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.83%EV -3.17%E -0.885%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 30.11%EV -3.34%E -1.05%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-28 01:04 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.30%EV -4.89%E -2.19%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -8.04%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.95%EV -4.55%E -1.45%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-27 18:35 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.30%EV -4.89%E -2.19%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -8.04%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.95%EV -4.55%E -1.45%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-27 18:35 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.30%EV -4.89%E -2.19%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -8.04%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.95%EV -4.55%E -1.45%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-27 18:35 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.30%EV -4.89%E -2.19%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -8.04%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.95%EV -4.55%E -1.45%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-27 18:34 |
| Unibet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.30%EV -4.89%E -2.19%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -8.04%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.95%EV -4.55%E -1.45%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-27 18:35 |
| DraftKings | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.97%EV -6.17%E -2.80%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.01%EV -5.33%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.01%EV -4.55%E -1.45%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-27 15:44 |
| Fanatics | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -6.17%E -2.80%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.33%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -6.07%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-27 16:14 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.17%E -2.80%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -8.04%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -6.07%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-25 11:54 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.17%E -2.80%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -8.04%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -6.07%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-27 20:35 |
| FanDuel | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -6.17%E -2.80%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -5.33%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -9.10%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-27 19:59 |
| NordicBet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -6.17%E -2.80%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -9.39%E -2.80%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -9.10%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-25 11:54 |
| Betsson | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -6.17%E -2.80%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -9.39%E -2.80%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -9.10%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-25 11:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -6.17%E -2.80%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -8.04%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -12.13%E -4.18%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-25 12:15 |
| BetMGM | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -6.17%E -2.80%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -12.09%E -3.72%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.10%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-26 14:44 |
| William Hill | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -6.17%E -2.80%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -10.74%E -3.26%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -12.13%E -4.18%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-25 04:44 |
| Grosvenor | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.39%EV -7.45%E -3.43%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -9.39%E -2.80%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -7.58%E -2.49%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-27 18:34 |
| Casumo | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.39%EV -7.45%E -3.43%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -9.39%E -2.80%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -7.58%E -2.49%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-27 18:35 |
| betPARX | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.39%EV -7.45%E -3.43%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -9.39%E -2.80%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -7.58%E -2.49%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-27 18:35 |
| TABtouch | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.39%EV -7.45%E -3.43%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -9.39%E -2.80%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -7.58%E -2.49%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-27 18:35 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.00%EV -7.45%E -3.43%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.74%E -3.26%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -9.10%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-25 11:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.15%EV -7.87%E -3.64%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.78%EV -5.87%E -1.69%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.07%EV -6.07%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-28 01:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.32%EV -7.87%E -3.64%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -10.74%E -3.26%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.97%EV -7.58%E -2.49%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-27 18:35 |
| theScore Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -8.30%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.04%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -6.07%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-25 12:14 |
| Betway | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -8.30%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.04%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -6.07%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-27 16:05 |
| Bovada | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -8.30%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -5.33%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -9.10%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-28 00:53 |
| BetAnything | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -8.30%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -5.33%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -9.10%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-28 00:55 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.68%EV -8.30%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -5.33%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -10.61%E -3.60%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-27 01:09 |
| Bet Victor | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.30%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.04%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -9.10%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-28 00:00 |
| LeoVegas | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.44%EV -8.30%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -10.74%E -3.26%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.91%EV -7.58%E -2.49%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-27 18:35 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.26%EV -8.30%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -12.09%E -3.72%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.79%EV -7.58%E -2.49%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-28 00:29 |
| SportsBet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -8.30%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -8.04%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -12.13%E -4.18%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-27 23:13 |
| Neds | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -8.30%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -13.45%E -4.20%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.13%E -4.18%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-26 14:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -8.30%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -13.45%E -4.20%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.13%E -4.18%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-26 14:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -8.30%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -13.45%E -4.20%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.13%E -4.18%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-26 14:44 |
| Coral | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -8.30%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -13.45%E -4.20%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.13%E -4.18%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-26 14:44 |
| PlayUp | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.47%EV -9.58%E -4.52%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -8.04%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -12.13%E -4.18%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-25 11:54 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.39%EV -9.58%E -4.52%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -12.09%E -3.72%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -9.10%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-27 18:35 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.39%EV -9.58%E -4.52%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -12.09%E -3.72%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -9.10%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-27 18:34 |
| BoyleSports | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -10.43%E -4.97%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -8.04%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.10%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-27 16:14 |
| Paddy Power | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -10.43%E -4.97%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -8.04%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -12.13%E -4.18%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-27 23:44 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.59%EV -10.43%E -4.97%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -10.74%E -3.26%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.31%EV -10.61%E -3.60%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-27 15:44 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.59%EV -10.43%E -4.97%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -10.74%E -3.26%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.31%EV -10.61%E -3.60%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-27 15:45 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.48%EV -10.43%E -4.97%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 27.28%EV -11.55%E -3.53%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.24%EV -10.61%E -3.60%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-26 15:19 |
| Sky Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.27%EV -10.43%E -4.97%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.90%EV -10.74%E -3.26%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.82%EV -12.73%E -4.42%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-03-27 23:43 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.44%EV -12.56%E -6.13%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.07%EV -16.15%E -5.21%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.49%EV -10.61%E -3.60%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-03-28 00:30 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 42.91%EV -13.84%E -6.85%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.67%EV -12.09%E -3.72%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.42%EV -13.64%E -4.79%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-03-28 02:14 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.51%EV -14.70%E -7.35%K -14.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.57%EV -13.45%E -4.20%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 30.92%EV -16.67%E -6.06%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 17.6% | 2026-03-27 23:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 41.57%EV -14.70%E -7.35%K -14.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 26.82%EV -16.15%E -5.21%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 31.61%EV -20.31%E -7.72%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 20.3% | 2026-03-27 23:45 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.67% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.40% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93% | 1.0% | 2026-03-28 00:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.67% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.40% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93% | 1.0% | 2026-03-28 00:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.67% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.40% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93% | 1.0% | 2026-03-28 00:20 |
| Matchbook | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.67% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.40% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93% | 1.0% | 2026-03-28 01:05 |
| Smarkets | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.94% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.46% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.60% | 2.1% | 2026-03-28 00:05 |
| Kalshi | 2.13I 46.95%NM 43.10% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 30.30% | 8.9% | 2026-03-28 03:05 |