Language:English
Real Sociedad B v Mallorca
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Real Sociedad B (Local)
Prediction 23.98%4.17fair odd
EV +0.731%
Edge +0.174%
Kelly +0.228%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 4.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.89%23.91%23.98%24.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.833.854.2027.78%26.14%25.97%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Mallorca (Visit)
Prediction 49.57%2.02fair odd
EV -3.35%
Edge -1.72%
Kelly -3.52%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.41%49.69%49.47%51.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.851.851.9557.80%54.17%54.05%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.45%3.78fair odd
EV -1.34%
Edge -0.359%
Kelly -0.490%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.73
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.63%26.40%26.55%27.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.433.403.7332.26%29.17%29.41%26.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Real Sociedad B (Local): 23.98%; Mallorca (Visit): 49.57%; Draw: 26.45%. For Real Sociedad B (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.17. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.731%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV +0.731%E +0.174%K +0.228%G +0.002% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -10.78%E -5.99%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -10.07%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-18 11:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.08I 24.51%NM 23.52%EV -2.15%E -0.526%K -0.697%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.76%EV -6.32%E -3.34%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.72%EV -1.34%E -0.359%K -0.490%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-18 14:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.04I 24.75%NM 23.55%EV -3.11%E -0.769%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.60%EV -6.82%E -3.63%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.85%EV -2.66%E -0.723%K -0.993%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-18 13:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.90%EV -4.07%E -1.02%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.54%EV -4.34%E -2.25%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.56%EV -4.78%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-15 11:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -4.07%E -1.02%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -5.33%E -2.79%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-18 11:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -4.07%E -1.02%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.43%EV -6.82%E -3.63%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -10.07%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-14 16:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -4.07%E -1.02%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.43%EV -6.82%E -3.63%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -10.07%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-14 16:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -4.07%E -1.02%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.43%EV -6.82%E -3.63%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -10.07%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-14 16:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -4.07%E -1.02%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.43%EV -6.82%E -3.63%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -10.07%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-14 16:41 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.96I 25.25%NM 23.49%EV -5.03%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.82%EV -9.29%E -5.08%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.69%EV -4.25%E -1.17%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-18 14:13 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -6.46%E -1.66%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.61%EV -3.35%E -1.72%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-15 11:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -6.46%E -1.66%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.07%EV -6.82%E -3.63%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -3.45%E -0.947%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-18 13:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -6.46%E -1.66%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.07%EV -6.82%E -3.63%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -3.45%E -0.947%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-18 13:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -6.46%E -1.66%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.07%EV -6.82%E -3.63%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -3.45%E -0.947%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-18 13:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -6.46%E -1.66%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.66%EV -7.31%E -3.91%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.53%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-18 12:03 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -6.46%E -1.66%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.93%EV -8.30%E -4.49%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-18 13:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -6.46%E -1.66%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.70%EV -9.79%E -5.38%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -4.78%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-18 12:37 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -6.46%E -1.66%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.81%EV -9.29%E -5.08%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -10.07%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-18 11:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -6.46%E -1.66%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.81%EV -9.29%E -5.08%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -10.07%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-18 11:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.48%EV -7.66%E -1.99%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV -5.33%E -2.79%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -4.78%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-18 12:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.73%EV -7.66%E -1.99%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.39%EV -8.30%E -4.49%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -10.07%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-18 13:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.73%EV -7.66%E -1.99%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.39%EV -8.30%E -4.49%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -10.07%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-18 13:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.54%EV -7.66%E -1.99%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.99%EV -8.30%E -4.49%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -12.71%E -3.85%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-18 12:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.42%EV -7.66%E -1.99%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.26%EV -9.29%E -5.08%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.32%EV -12.71%E -3.85%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-14 16:41 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.42%EV -7.66%E -1.99%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.26%EV -9.29%E -5.08%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.32%EV -12.71%E -3.85%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-14 16:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.42%EV -7.66%E -1.99%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.26%EV -9.29%E -5.08%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.32%EV -12.71%E -3.85%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-14 16:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.42%EV -7.66%E -1.99%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.26%EV -9.29%E -5.08%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.32%EV -12.71%E -3.85%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-14 16:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -8.86%E -2.33%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -8.30%E -4.49%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -4.78%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-18 12:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -8.86%E -2.33%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -7.31%E -3.91%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -8.75%E -2.53%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-15 11:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -8.86%E -2.33%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -8.30%E -4.49%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -10.07%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-18 13:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.43%EV -8.86%E -2.33%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.18%EV -10.29%E -5.68%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -14.04%E -4.32%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-14 16:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.43%EV -8.86%E -2.33%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.18%EV -10.29%E -5.68%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -14.04%E -4.32%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-14 16:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.36%EV -8.86%E -2.33%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.32%EV -10.78%E -5.99%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.32%EV -14.04%E -4.32%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-14 16:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09%EV -8.86%E -2.33%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.72%EV -14.25%E -8.24%K -19.52%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.19%EV -11.39%E -3.40%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-09-18 14:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -10.06%E -2.68%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.66%EV -5.33%E -2.79%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-15 11:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -10.06%E -2.68%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.41%EV -5.83%E -3.07%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -10.07%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-15 11:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -10.06%E -2.68%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -8.30%E -4.49%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -10.07%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-18 13:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -10.06%E -2.68%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -8.30%E -4.49%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -10.07%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-15 10:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -10.06%E -2.68%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -8.30%E -4.49%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -10.07%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-17 23:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -10.06%E -2.68%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -8.30%E -4.49%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -10.07%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-15 11:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.73I 26.81%NM 23.96%EV -10.54%E -2.83%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.37%EV -10.29%E -5.68%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.67%EV -11.39%E -3.40%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-18 13:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -11.26%E -3.04%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.43%EV -8.80%E -4.78%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.99%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-18 13:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -11.26%E -3.04%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.19%EV -9.29%E -5.08%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -10.07%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-15 11:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.61%EV -12.46%E -3.41%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.35%EV -9.79%E -5.38%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.04%EV -8.75%E -2.53%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-18 13:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.62%EV -12.46%E -3.41%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 49.84%EV -14.25%E -8.24%K -19.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.53%EV -14.04%E -4.32%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-09-18 13:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.32%EV -12.46%E -3.41%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 49.21%EV -14.25%E -8.24%K -19.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.46%EV -18.00%E -5.81%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 17.5% | 2026-09-14 16:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -13.66%E -3.79%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -9.29%E -5.08%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -10.07%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-17 23:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -13.66%E -3.79%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -9.29%E -5.08%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -10.07%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-17 23:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -13.66%E -3.79%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -9.29%E -5.08%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -10.07%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-14 16:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -13.66%E -3.79%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -9.29%E -5.08%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -10.07%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-17 23:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -13.66%E -3.79%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -9.29%E -5.08%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -10.07%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-17 23:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -13.66%E -3.79%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.48%EV -9.29%E -5.08%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.88%EV -12.71%E -3.85%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-16 12:04 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.68% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.32% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.00% | 2.6% | 2026-09-18 15:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.26% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.52% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.22% | 3.1% | 2026-09-18 11:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.95% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.00% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.05% | 3.7% | 2026-09-18 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.95% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.00% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.05% | 3.7% | 2026-09-18 15:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.95% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.00% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.05% | 3.7% | 2026-09-18 15:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.38% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.72% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.91% | 4.3% | 2026-09-18 15:30 |