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Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)
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Real Sociedad B v Mallorca

Início: 2026-09-19 12:02 UTC

Final: Real Sociedad B 0–1 Mallorca

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

52 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Real Sociedad B (Local)

Previsão 23.98%4.17odd justa
EV +0.731%
Vantagem +0.174%
Kelly +0.228%
Crescimento +0.002%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.89%23.91%23.98%24.84%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.603.833.854.2027.78%26.14%25.97%23.81%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Mallorca (Visitante)

Previsão 49.57%2.02odd justa
EV -3.35%
Vantagem -1.72%
Kelly -3.52%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.95

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
48.41%49.69%49.47%51.07%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.731.851.851.9557.80%54.17%54.05%51.28%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 26.45%3.78odd justa
EV -1.34%
Vantagem -0.359%
Kelly -0.490%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.73

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.63%26.40%26.55%27.47%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.103.433.403.7332.26%29.17%29.41%26.81%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Real Sociedad B (Local): 23.98%; Mallorca (Visitante): 49.57%; Empate: 26.45%. Para Real Sociedad B (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.17. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.20, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.731%.

Odds das casas de apostas (52 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Tipico (DE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV +0.731%E +0.174%K +0.228%G +0.002%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -10.78%E -5.99%K -13.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -10.07%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-18 11:15
1xBet🎯4.08I 24.51%NM 23.52%EV -2.15%E -0.526%K -0.697%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.76%EV -6.32%E -3.34%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.72%EV -1.34%E -0.359%K -0.490%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-18 14:15
Pinnacle🎯4.04I 24.75%NM 23.55%EV -3.11%E -0.769%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.60%EV -6.82%E -3.63%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.85%EV -2.66%E -0.723%K -0.993%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-18 13:40
Coolbet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.90%EV -4.07%E -1.02%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.54%EV -4.34%E -2.25%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.56%EV -4.78%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-15 11:00
Fanatics🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -4.07%E -1.02%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -5.33%E -2.79%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-18 11:19
Unibet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -4.07%E -1.02%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.43%EV -6.82%E -3.63%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -10.07%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-14 16:40
Unibet (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -4.07%E -1.02%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.43%EV -6.82%E -3.63%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -10.07%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-14 16:40
Svenska Spel🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -4.07%E -1.02%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.43%EV -6.82%E -3.63%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -10.07%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-14 16:40
ATG (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -4.07%E -1.02%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.43%EV -6.82%E -3.63%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -10.07%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-14 16:41
Marathon Bet🎯3.96I 25.25%NM 23.49%EV -5.03%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.82%EV -9.29%E -5.08%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.69%EV -4.25%E -1.17%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-18 14:13
Betr (AU)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -6.46%E -1.66%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.61%EV -3.35%E -1.72%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-15 11:00
BetOnline.ag🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -6.46%E -1.66%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.07%EV -6.82%E -3.63%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -3.45%E -0.947%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-18 13:00
LowVig.ag🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -6.46%E -1.66%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.07%EV -6.82%E -3.63%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -3.45%E -0.947%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-18 13:00
BetAnything🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -6.46%E -1.66%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.07%EV -6.82%E -3.63%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -3.45%E -0.947%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-18 13:00
FanDuel🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -6.46%E -1.66%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.66%EV -7.31%E -3.91%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.53%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-18 12:03
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -6.46%E -1.66%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.93%EV -8.30%E -4.49%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-18 13:20
Bovada🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -6.46%E -1.66%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.70%EV -9.79%E -5.38%K -11.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -4.78%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-18 12:37
betano_uk🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -6.46%E -1.66%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.81%EV -9.29%E -5.08%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -10.07%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-18 11:30
Bet Victor🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -6.46%E -1.66%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.81%EV -9.29%E -5.08%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -10.07%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-18 11:30
DraftKings🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.48%EV -7.66%E -1.99%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV -5.33%E -2.79%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -4.78%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-18 12:05
Betsson🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.73%EV -7.66%E -1.99%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.39%EV -8.30%E -4.49%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -10.07%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-18 13:20
NordicBet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.73%EV -7.66%E -1.99%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.39%EV -8.30%E -4.49%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -10.07%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-18 13:20
PlayUp🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.54%EV -7.66%E -1.99%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.99%EV -8.30%E -4.49%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -12.71%E -3.85%K -5.53%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-18 12:10
Grosvenor🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.42%EV -7.66%E -1.99%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.26%EV -9.29%E -5.08%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.32%EV -12.71%E -3.85%K -5.53%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-14 16:41
Casumo🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.42%EV -7.66%E -1.99%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.26%EV -9.29%E -5.08%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.32%EV -12.71%E -3.85%K -5.53%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-14 16:40
TABtouch🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.42%EV -7.66%E -1.99%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.26%EV -9.29%E -5.08%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.32%EV -12.71%E -3.85%K -5.53%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-14 16:40
betPARX🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.42%EV -7.66%E -1.99%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.26%EV -9.29%E -5.08%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.32%EV -12.71%E -3.85%K -5.53%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-14 16:40
Betway🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -8.86%E -2.33%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -8.30%E -4.49%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -4.78%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-18 12:19
SportsBet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -8.86%E -2.33%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -7.31%E -3.91%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -8.75%E -2.53%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-15 11:00
William Hill🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -8.86%E -2.33%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -8.30%E -4.49%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -10.07%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-18 13:20
LiveScore Bet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.43%EV -8.86%E -2.33%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 49.18%EV -10.29%E -5.68%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -14.04%E -4.32%K -6.24%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-14 16:40
Virgin Bet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.43%EV -8.86%E -2.33%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 49.18%EV -10.29%E -5.68%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -14.04%E -4.32%K -6.24%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-14 16:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.36%EV -8.86%E -2.33%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.32%EV -10.78%E -5.99%K -13.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.32%EV -14.04%E -4.32%K -6.24%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-14 16:40
NetBet (FR)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09%EV -8.86%E -2.33%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 50.72%EV -14.25%E -8.24%K -19.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.19%EV -11.39%E -3.40%K -4.85%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-18 14:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -10.06%E -2.68%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.66%EV -5.33%E -2.79%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-15 11:00
betfred_uk🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -10.06%E -2.68%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.41%EV -5.83%E -3.07%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -10.07%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-15 11:00
Codere (IT)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -10.06%E -2.68%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -8.30%E -4.49%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -10.07%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-18 13:24
Paddy Power🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -10.06%E -2.68%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -8.30%E -4.49%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -10.07%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-15 10:59
BetMGM🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -10.06%E -2.68%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -8.30%E -4.49%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -10.07%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-17 23:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -10.06%E -2.68%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -8.30%E -4.49%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -10.07%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-15 11:00
Betclic (FR)🎯3.73I 26.81%NM 23.96%EV -10.54%E -2.83%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 49.37%EV -10.29%E -5.68%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.67%EV -11.39%E -3.40%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-18 13:19
Winamax (DE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -11.26%E -3.04%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 49.43%EV -8.80%E -4.78%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.99%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-18 13:20
theScore Bet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -11.26%E -3.04%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.19%EV -9.29%E -5.08%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -10.07%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-15 11:00
Winamax (FR)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.61%EV -12.46%E -3.41%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.35%EV -9.79%E -5.38%K -11.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.04%EV -8.75%E -2.53%K -3.57%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-18 13:20
Unibet (FR)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 23.62%EV -12.46%E -3.41%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 49.84%EV -14.25%E -8.24%K -19.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.53%EV -14.04%E -4.32%K -6.24%G +0.000%16.0%2026-09-18 13:20
PMU (FR)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 23.32%EV -12.46%E -3.41%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 49.21%EV -14.25%E -8.24%K -19.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.46%EV -18.00%E -5.81%K -8.57%G +0.000%17.5%2026-09-14 16:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -13.66%E -3.79%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -9.29%E -5.08%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -10.07%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-17 23:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -13.66%E -3.79%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -9.29%E -5.08%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -10.07%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-17 23:35
BoyleSports🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -13.66%E -3.79%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -9.29%E -5.08%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -10.07%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-14 16:50
Neds🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -13.66%E -3.79%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -9.29%E -5.08%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -10.07%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-17 23:35
Coral🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -13.66%E -3.79%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -9.29%E -5.08%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -10.07%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-17 23:35
Sky Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -13.66%E -3.79%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.48%EV -9.29%E -5.08%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.88%EV -12.71%E -3.85%K -5.53%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-16 12:04
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Smarkets◎4.30I 23.26%NM 22.68%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.32%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.00%2.6%2026-09-18 15:30
Kalshi◎4.17I 23.98%NM 23.26%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.52%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.22%3.1%2026-09-18 11:50
Matchbook◎4.20I 23.81%NM 22.95%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.00%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.05%3.7%2026-09-18 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.20I 23.81%NM 22.95%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.00%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.05%3.7%2026-09-18 15:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.20I 23.81%NM 22.95%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.00%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.05%3.7%2026-09-18 15:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.10I 24.39%NM 23.38%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.72%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.91%4.3%2026-09-18 15:30