Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Real Sociedad B v Cultural Leonesa

Inizio: 2026-05-30 14:15 UTC

Finale: Real Sociedad B 1–1 Cultural Leonesa

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

50 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Real Sociedad B (Casa)

Previsione 42.12%2.37quota equa
EV -2.70%
Vantaggio -1.17%
Kelly -2.06%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.31

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
40.73%42.13%42.15%43.74%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.002.172.172.3150.00%46.06%46.08%43.29%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Cultural Leonesa (Trasferta)

Previsione 31.07%3.22quota equa
EV -2.13%
Vantaggio -0.677%
Kelly -0.992%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.15

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.78%31.09%31.06%32.85%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.632.962.983.1538.02%33.75%33.61%31.75%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 26.81%3.73quota equa
EV -3.49%
Vantaggio -0.970%
Kelly -1.34%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.08%26.78%26.79%28.29%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.883.383.403.6034.72%29.63%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Real Sociedad B (Casa): 42.12%; Cultural Leonesa (Trasferta): 31.07%; Pareggio: 26.81%. Per Cultural Leonesa (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.22. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 3.15, con un valore atteso del -2.13%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (50 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.61%EV -2.70%E -1.17%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.62%EV -5.55%E -1.83%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.77%EV -3.76%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-30 14:10
Coolbet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.57%EV -3.12%E -1.36%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.87%EV -6.79%E -2.26%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.56%EV -3.49%E -0.970%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-30 13:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.83%EV -3.12%E -1.36%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.94%EV -8.66%E -2.94%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -7.51%E -2.18%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-30 14:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.83%EV -3.12%E -1.36%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.94%EV -8.66%E -2.94%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -7.51%E -2.18%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-30 14:10
DraftKings🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.22%E -2.32%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -6.79%E -2.26%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-30 14:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -5.22%E -2.32%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -9.90%E -3.41%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-30 13:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -5.22%E -2.32%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -13.01%E -4.65%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-30 14:10
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -7.33%E -3.33%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -3.69%E -1.19%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-30 13:50
Unibet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -7.33%E -3.33%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -2.13%E -0.677%K -0.992%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-30 13:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -7.33%E -3.33%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -2.13%E -0.677%K -0.992%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-30 13:40
Svenska Spel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -7.33%E -3.33%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -2.13%E -0.677%K -0.992%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-30 13:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -7.33%E -3.33%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -2.13%E -0.677%K -0.992%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-30 13:50
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -7.33%E -3.33%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -6.79%E -2.26%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-30 14:00
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.12%EV -7.33%E -3.33%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -8.35%E -2.83%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-30 13:50
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.33%E -3.33%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -6.79%E -2.26%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-30 14:00
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -7.33%E -3.33%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -10.52%E -3.65%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-30 13:50
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -7.33%E -3.33%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -8.35%E -2.83%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-30 13:50
BetAnything🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -7.33%E -3.33%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -8.35%E -2.83%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-30 14:10
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.33%E -3.33%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.79%E -2.26%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.53%E -3.49%K -5.01%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-30 14:00
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -7.33%E -3.33%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.78%EV -11.45%E -4.02%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -10.19%E -3.04%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-30 14:10
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -7.33%E -3.33%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -13.01%E -4.65%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-30 13:49
Marathon Bet🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 42.56%EV -7.75%E -3.54%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.66%EV -5.55%E -1.83%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.78%EV -6.71%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-30 14:10
Bovada🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.23%EV -8.17%E -3.75%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV -6.79%E -2.26%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-30 14:10
NordicBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.23%EV -8.17%E -3.75%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV -6.79%E -2.26%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-30 13:50
Betsson🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.23%EV -8.17%E -3.75%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV -6.79%E -2.26%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-30 13:50
Grosvenor🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 42.50%EV -9.01%E -4.17%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -5.24%E -1.72%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -10.19%E -3.04%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-30 13:50
TABtouch🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 42.50%EV -9.01%E -4.17%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -5.24%E -1.72%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -10.19%E -3.04%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-30 13:50
Casumo🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 42.50%EV -9.01%E -4.17%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -5.24%E -1.72%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -10.19%E -3.04%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-30 13:50
betPARX🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 42.50%EV -9.01%E -4.17%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -5.24%E -1.72%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -10.19%E -3.04%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-30 13:50
Codere (IT)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 42.07%EV -9.01%E -4.17%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.80%EV -8.35%E -2.83%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.13%EV -10.19%E -3.04%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-30 14:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.61%EV -9.44%E -4.39%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.04%EV -5.24%E -1.72%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -10.19%E -3.04%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-30 13:50
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -9.44%E -4.39%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -9.90%E -3.41%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-30 13:49
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.35%EV -9.44%E -4.39%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -8.35%E -2.83%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-30 13:40
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -9.44%E -4.39%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -9.90%E -3.41%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -11.53%E -3.49%K -5.01%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-30 14:00
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.70%EV -9.44%E -4.39%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -10.52%E -3.65%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -11.53%E -3.49%K -5.01%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-30 13:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.70%EV -9.44%E -4.39%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -10.52%E -3.65%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -11.53%E -3.49%K -5.01%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-30 13:50
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -9.44%E -4.39%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.21%EV -10.83%E -3.77%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.14%EV -11.53%E -3.49%K -5.01%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-30 13:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -9.44%E -4.39%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.21%EV -10.83%E -3.77%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.14%EV -11.53%E -3.49%K -5.01%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-30 13:50
Sky Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -9.44%E -4.39%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -9.90%E -3.41%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -14.21%E -4.44%K -6.46%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-30 14:00
LeoVegas🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.55%EV -9.86%E -4.61%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -5.24%E -1.72%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -11.53%E -3.49%K -5.01%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-30 13:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.57%EV -10.70%E -5.05%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.08%EV -6.79%E -2.26%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.35%EV -11.53%E -3.49%K -5.01%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-30 13:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.57%EV -10.70%E -5.05%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.08%EV -6.79%E -2.26%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.35%EV -11.53%E -3.49%K -5.01%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-30 13:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.31%EV -11.54%E -5.50%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -6.79%E -2.26%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -7.51%E -2.18%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-30 13:50
Betclic (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.50%EV -11.54%E -5.50%K -10.49%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 30.46%EV -8.97%E -3.06%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -11.53%E -3.49%K -5.01%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-30 13:56
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -11.54%E -5.50%K -10.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -13.01%E -4.65%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-30 13:49
NetBet (FR)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 42.14%EV -12.81%E -6.19%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.61%EV -11.45%E -4.02%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.26%EV -14.21%E -4.44%K -6.46%G +0.000%14.6%2026-05-30 14:00
PMU (FR)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 42.70%EV -13.23%E -6.42%K -12.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.82%EV -8.35%E -2.83%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.49%EV -14.21%E -4.44%K -6.46%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-30 13:50
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -13.65%E -6.66%K -13.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -6.79%E -2.26%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-30 13:50
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.37%EV -13.65%E -6.66%K -13.00%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.48%EV -11.45%E -4.02%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.15%EV -14.21%E -4.44%K -6.46%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-30 13:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 40.73%EV -15.75%E -7.88%K -15.75%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 30.98%EV -18.29%E -6.95%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.29%EV -22.79%E -7.91%K -12.12%G +0.000%22.7%2026-05-30 13:50
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.15%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.60%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.25%0.5%2026-05-30 14:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.76%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18%0.8%2026-05-30 14:10
Matchbook2.32I 43.10%NM 42.76%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18%0.8%2026-05-30 14:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.35%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15%0.9%2026-05-30 14:10
Smarkets2.30I 43.48%NM 42.62%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.16%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.23%2.0%2026-05-30 14:10
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 42.76%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.05%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.19%3.0%2026-05-30 13:50