La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Real Sociedad B v Cultural Leonesa
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Real Sociedad B (Local)
Predicción 42.12%2.37momio equitativo
EV -2.70%
Ventaja -1.17%
Kelly -2.06%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.31
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.73%42.13%42.15%43.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.172.172.3150.00%46.06%46.08%43.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Cultural Leonesa (Visitante)
Predicción 31.07%3.22momio equitativo
EV -2.13%
Ventaja -0.677%
Kelly -0.992%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.15
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.78%31.09%31.06%32.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.632.962.983.1538.02%33.75%33.61%31.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 26.81%3.73momio equitativo
EV -3.49%
Ventaja -0.970%
Kelly -1.34%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.08%26.78%26.79%28.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.383.403.6034.72%29.63%29.41%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.61%EV -2.70%E -1.17%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.62%EV -5.55%E -1.83%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.77%EV -3.76%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-30 14:10 |
| Coolbet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.57%EV -3.12%E -1.36%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.87%EV -6.79%E -2.26%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.56%EV -3.49%E -0.970%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-30 13:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.83%EV -3.12%E -1.36%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.94%EV -8.66%E -2.94%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -7.51%E -2.18%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-30 14:10 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.83%EV -3.12%E -1.36%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.94%EV -8.66%E -2.94%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -7.51%E -2.18%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-30 14:10 |
| DraftKings | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.22%E -2.32%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -6.79%E -2.26%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-30 14:10 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -5.22%E -2.32%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -9.90%E -3.41%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-30 13:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -5.22%E -2.32%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -13.01%E -4.65%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-30 14:10 |
| Fanatics | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -7.33%E -3.33%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -3.69%E -1.19%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-30 13:50 |
| Unibet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -7.33%E -3.33%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -2.13%E -0.677%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-30 13:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -7.33%E -3.33%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -2.13%E -0.677%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-30 13:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -7.33%E -3.33%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -2.13%E -0.677%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-30 13:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -7.33%E -3.33%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -2.13%E -0.677%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-30 13:50 |
| Betway | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -7.33%E -3.33%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -6.79%E -2.26%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-30 14:00 |
| theScore Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.12%EV -7.33%E -3.33%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -8.35%E -2.83%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-30 13:50 |
| FanDuel | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.33%E -3.33%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -6.79%E -2.26%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-30 14:00 |
| betfred_uk | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -7.33%E -3.33%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -10.52%E -3.65%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-30 13:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -7.33%E -3.33%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -8.35%E -2.83%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-30 13:50 |
| BetAnything | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -7.33%E -3.33%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -8.35%E -2.83%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-30 14:10 |
| SportsBet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.33%E -3.33%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.79%E -2.26%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.53%E -3.49%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-30 14:00 |
| PlayUp | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -7.33%E -3.33%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.78%EV -11.45%E -4.02%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -10.19%E -3.04%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-30 14:10 |
| William Hill | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -7.33%E -3.33%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -13.01%E -4.65%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-30 13:49 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.56%EV -7.75%E -3.54%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.66%EV -5.55%E -1.83%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.78%EV -6.71%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-30 14:10 |
| Bovada | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.23%EV -8.17%E -3.75%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV -6.79%E -2.26%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-30 14:10 |
| NordicBet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.23%EV -8.17%E -3.75%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV -6.79%E -2.26%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-30 13:50 |
| Betsson | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.23%EV -8.17%E -3.75%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV -6.79%E -2.26%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-30 13:50 |
| Grosvenor | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.50%EV -9.01%E -4.17%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -5.24%E -1.72%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -10.19%E -3.04%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-30 13:50 |
| TABtouch | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.50%EV -9.01%E -4.17%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -5.24%E -1.72%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -10.19%E -3.04%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-30 13:50 |
| Casumo | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.50%EV -9.01%E -4.17%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -5.24%E -1.72%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -10.19%E -3.04%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-30 13:50 |
| betPARX | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.50%EV -9.01%E -4.17%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -5.24%E -1.72%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -10.19%E -3.04%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-30 13:50 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.07%EV -9.01%E -4.17%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.80%EV -8.35%E -2.83%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.13%EV -10.19%E -3.04%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-30 14:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.61%EV -9.44%E -4.39%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.04%EV -5.24%E -1.72%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -10.19%E -3.04%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-30 13:50 |
| Bet Victor | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -9.44%E -4.39%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -9.90%E -3.41%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-30 13:49 |
| BetMGM | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.35%EV -9.44%E -4.39%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -8.35%E -2.83%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-30 13:40 |
| Paddy Power | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -9.44%E -4.39%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -9.90%E -3.41%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -11.53%E -3.49%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-30 14:00 |
| Neds | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.70%EV -9.44%E -4.39%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -10.52%E -3.65%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -11.53%E -3.49%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-30 13:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.70%EV -9.44%E -4.39%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -10.52%E -3.65%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -11.53%E -3.49%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-30 13:50 |
| Coral | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -9.44%E -4.39%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.21%EV -10.83%E -3.77%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.14%EV -11.53%E -3.49%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-30 13:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -9.44%E -4.39%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.21%EV -10.83%E -3.77%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.14%EV -11.53%E -3.49%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-30 13:50 |
| Sky Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -9.44%E -4.39%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -9.90%E -3.41%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -14.21%E -4.44%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-30 14:00 |
| LeoVegas | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.55%EV -9.86%E -4.61%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -5.24%E -1.72%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -11.53%E -3.49%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-30 13:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.57%EV -10.70%E -5.05%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.08%EV -6.79%E -2.26%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.35%EV -11.53%E -3.49%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-30 13:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.57%EV -10.70%E -5.05%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.08%EV -6.79%E -2.26%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.35%EV -11.53%E -3.49%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-30 13:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.31%EV -11.54%E -5.50%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -6.79%E -2.26%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -7.51%E -2.18%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-30 13:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.50%EV -11.54%E -5.50%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 30.46%EV -8.97%E -3.06%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -11.53%E -3.49%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-30 13:56 |
| BoyleSports | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -11.54%E -5.50%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -13.01%E -4.65%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-30 13:49 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.07I 48.31%NM 42.14%EV -12.81%E -6.19%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.61%EV -11.45%E -4.02%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.26%EV -14.21%E -4.44%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-05-30 14:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 42.70%EV -13.23%E -6.42%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.82%EV -8.35%E -2.83%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.49%EV -14.21%E -4.44%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-30 13:50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -13.65%E -6.66%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -6.79%E -2.26%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-30 13:50 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.37%EV -13.65%E -6.66%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.48%EV -11.45%E -4.02%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.15%EV -14.21%E -4.44%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-05-30 13:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 40.73%EV -15.75%E -7.88%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 30.98%EV -18.29%E -6.95%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 28.29%EV -22.79%E -7.91%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 22.7% | 2026-05-30 13:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.15% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.60% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.25% | 0.5% | 2026-05-30 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.76% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18% | 0.8% | 2026-05-30 14:10 |
| Matchbook | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.76% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18% | 0.8% | 2026-05-30 14:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.35% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15% | 0.9% | 2026-05-30 14:10 |
| Smarkets | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.62% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.16% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.23% | 2.0% | 2026-05-30 14:10 |
| Kalshi | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.76% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.05% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.19% | 3.0% | 2026-05-30 13:50 |