L’École des cotes

Real Sociedad B v Cultural Leonesa

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-30 14:15 UTC

Score final : Real Sociedad B 1–1 Cultural Leonesa

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Real Sociedad B (Local)

Prévision 42.12%2.37cote équitable
EV -2.70%
Avantage -1.17%
Kelly -2.06%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.31

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.73%42.13%42.15%43.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.172.172.3150.00%46.06%46.08%43.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cultural Leonesa (Visiteur)

Prévision 31.07%3.22cote équitable
EV -2.13%
Avantage -0.677%
Kelly -0.992%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.78%31.09%31.06%32.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.632.962.983.1538.02%33.75%33.61%31.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.81%3.73cote équitable
EV -3.49%
Avantage -0.970%
Kelly -1.34%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.08%26.78%26.79%28.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.383.403.6034.72%29.63%29.41%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.31I 43.29%NM 41.61%EV -2.70%E -1.17%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.62%EV -5.55%E -1.83%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.77%EV -3.76%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-30 14:10
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.57%EV -3.12%E -1.36%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.87%EV -6.79%E -2.26%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.56%EV -3.49%E -0.970%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-30 13:50
LowVig.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 40.83%EV -3.12%E -1.36%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.94%EV -8.66%E -2.94%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -7.51%E -2.18%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-30 14:10
BetOnline.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 40.83%EV -3.12%E -1.36%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.94%EV -8.66%E -2.94%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -7.51%E -2.18%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-30 14:10
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.22%E -2.32%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -6.79%E -2.26%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-30 14:10
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -5.22%E -2.32%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -9.90%E -3.41%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-30 13:50
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -5.22%E -2.32%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -13.01%E -4.65%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-30 14:10
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -7.33%E -3.33%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -3.69%E -1.19%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-30 13:50
Unibet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -7.33%E -3.33%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -2.13%E -0.677%K -0.992%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-30 13:40
Unibet (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -7.33%E -3.33%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -2.13%E -0.677%K -0.992%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-30 13:40
Svenska Spel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -7.33%E -3.33%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -2.13%E -0.677%K -0.992%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-30 13:50
ATG (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -7.33%E -3.33%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -2.13%E -0.677%K -0.992%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-30 13:50
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -7.33%E -3.33%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -6.79%E -2.26%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-30 14:00
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.12%EV -7.33%E -3.33%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -8.35%E -2.83%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-30 13:50
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.33%E -3.33%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -6.79%E -2.26%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-30 14:00
betfred_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -7.33%E -3.33%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -10.52%E -3.65%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-30 13:50
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -7.33%E -3.33%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -8.35%E -2.83%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-30 13:50
BetAnything2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -7.33%E -3.33%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -8.35%E -2.83%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-30 14:10
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.33%E -3.33%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.79%E -2.26%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.53%E -3.49%K -5.01%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-30 14:00
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -7.33%E -3.33%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.78%EV -11.45%E -4.02%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -10.19%E -3.04%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-30 14:10
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -7.33%E -3.33%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -13.01%E -4.65%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-30 13:49
Marathon Bet2.19I 45.66%NM 42.56%EV -7.75%E -3.54%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.66%EV -5.55%E -1.83%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.78%EV -6.71%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-30 14:10
Bovada2.18I 45.87%NM 42.23%EV -8.17%E -3.75%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV -6.79%E -2.26%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-30 14:10
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.23%EV -8.17%E -3.75%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV -6.79%E -2.26%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-30 13:50
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 42.23%EV -8.17%E -3.75%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV -6.79%E -2.26%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-30 13:50
Grosvenor2.16I 46.30%NM 42.50%EV -9.01%E -4.17%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -5.24%E -1.72%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -10.19%E -3.04%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-30 13:50
TABtouch2.16I 46.30%NM 42.50%EV -9.01%E -4.17%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -5.24%E -1.72%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -10.19%E -3.04%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-30 13:50
Casumo2.16I 46.30%NM 42.50%EV -9.01%E -4.17%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -5.24%E -1.72%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -10.19%E -3.04%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-30 13:50
betPARX2.16I 46.30%NM 42.50%EV -9.01%E -4.17%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -5.24%E -1.72%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -10.19%E -3.04%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-30 13:50
Codere (IT)2.16I 46.30%NM 42.07%EV -9.01%E -4.17%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.80%EV -8.35%E -2.83%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.13%EV -10.19%E -3.04%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-30 14:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.61%EV -9.44%E -4.39%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.04%EV -5.24%E -1.72%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -10.19%E -3.04%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-30 13:50
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -9.44%E -4.39%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -9.90%E -3.41%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-30 13:49
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 42.35%EV -9.44%E -4.39%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -8.35%E -2.83%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-30 13:40
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -9.44%E -4.39%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -9.90%E -3.41%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -11.53%E -3.49%K -5.01%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-30 14:00
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 41.70%EV -9.44%E -4.39%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -10.52%E -3.65%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -11.53%E -3.49%K -5.01%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-30 13:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.70%EV -9.44%E -4.39%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -10.52%E -3.65%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -11.53%E -3.49%K -5.01%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-30 13:50
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -9.44%E -4.39%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.21%EV -10.83%E -3.77%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.14%EV -11.53%E -3.49%K -5.01%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-30 13:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -9.44%E -4.39%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.21%EV -10.83%E -3.77%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.14%EV -11.53%E -3.49%K -5.01%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-30 13:50
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -9.44%E -4.39%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -9.90%E -3.41%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -14.21%E -4.44%K -6.46%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-30 14:00
LeoVegas2.14I 46.73%NM 42.55%EV -9.86%E -4.61%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -5.24%E -1.72%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -11.53%E -3.49%K -5.01%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-30 13:50
Virgin Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 42.57%EV -10.70%E -5.05%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.08%EV -6.79%E -2.26%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.35%EV -11.53%E -3.49%K -5.01%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-30 13:50
LiveScore Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 42.57%EV -10.70%E -5.05%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.08%EV -6.79%E -2.26%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.35%EV -11.53%E -3.49%K -5.01%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-30 13:50
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.31%EV -11.54%E -5.50%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -6.79%E -2.26%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -7.51%E -2.18%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-30 13:50
Betclic (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.50%EV -11.54%E -5.50%K -10.49%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 30.46%EV -8.97%E -3.06%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -11.53%E -3.49%K -5.01%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-30 13:56
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -11.54%E -5.50%K -10.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -13.01%E -4.65%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-30 13:49
NetBet (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 42.14%EV -12.81%E -6.19%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.61%EV -11.45%E -4.02%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.26%EV -14.21%E -4.44%K -6.46%G +0.000%14.6%2026-05-30 14:00
PMU (FR)2.06I 48.54%NM 42.70%EV -13.23%E -6.42%K -12.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.82%EV -8.35%E -2.83%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.49%EV -14.21%E -4.44%K -6.46%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-30 13:50
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -13.65%E -6.66%K -13.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -6.79%E -2.26%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-30 13:50
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.37%EV -13.65%E -6.66%K -13.00%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.48%EV -11.45%E -4.02%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.15%EV -14.21%E -4.44%K -6.46%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-30 13:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 40.73%EV -15.75%E -7.88%K -15.75%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 30.98%EV -18.29%E -6.95%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.29%EV -22.79%E -7.91%K -12.12%G +0.000%22.7%2026-05-30 13:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.15%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.60%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.25%0.5%2026-05-30 14:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.76%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18%0.8%2026-05-30 14:10
Matchbook2.32I 43.10%NM 42.76%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18%0.8%2026-05-30 14:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.35%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15%0.9%2026-05-30 14:10
Smarkets2.30I 43.48%NM 42.62%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.16%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.23%2.0%2026-05-30 14:10
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 42.76%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.05%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.19%3.0%2026-05-30 13:50