La scuola delle quote

Real Sociedad B v CD Mirandés

Inizio: 2026-05-16 12:02 UTC

Finale: Real Sociedad B 2–2 CD Mirandés

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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52 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Real Sociedad B (Casa)

Previsione 32.45%3.08quota equa
EV +0.598%
Vantaggio +0.193%
Kelly +0.285%
Crescita +0.002%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.10

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.75%32.42%32.46%33.77%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.622.842.853.1038.17%35.23%35.09%32.26%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

CD Mirandés (Trasferta)

Previsione 40.40%2.48quota equa
EV -3.03%
Vantaggio -1.26%
Kelly -2.17%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
39.31%40.47%40.45%43.51%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.102.272.282.4047.62%44.12%43.86%41.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 27.15%3.68quota equa
EV -2.27%
Vantaggio -0.632%
Kelly -0.875%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.97%27.12%27.10%28.85%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.883.333.353.6034.72%29.99%29.85%27.78%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (52 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Betsson3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV +0.598%E +0.193%K +0.285%G +0.002%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.51%EV -14.35%E -6.77%K -12.81%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -6.35%E -1.84%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-16 12:00
1xBet3.02I 33.11%NM 31.42%EV -2.00%E -0.662%K -0.989%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.91%EV -6.27%E -2.70%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.67%EV -6.89%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 11:59
Pinnacle3.01I 33.22%NM 32.16%EV -2.32%E -0.772%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.50%EV -3.44%E -1.44%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.34%EV -3.90%E -1.10%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-16 11:59
Unibet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.91%EV -4.27%E -1.45%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.40%EV -5.86%E -2.52%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -7.70%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 12:00
Unibet (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.91%EV -4.27%E -1.45%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.40%EV -5.86%E -2.52%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -7.70%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 12:00
ATG (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.91%EV -4.27%E -1.45%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.40%EV -5.86%E -2.52%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -7.70%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 12:00
Svenska Spel2.95I 33.90%NM 31.91%EV -4.27%E -1.45%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.40%EV -5.86%E -2.52%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -7.70%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 12:00
DraftKings2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -4.27%E -1.45%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.71%EV -7.07%E -3.08%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -7.70%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-16 12:00
BetOnline.ag2.92I 34.25%NM 32.17%EV -5.24%E -1.80%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.80%EV -4.65%E -1.97%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -9.06%E -2.70%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 11:59
LowVig.ag2.92I 34.25%NM 32.17%EV -5.24%E -1.80%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.80%EV -4.65%E -1.97%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -9.06%E -2.70%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 12:00
BetAnything2.92I 34.25%NM 32.17%EV -5.24%E -1.80%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.80%EV -4.65%E -1.97%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -9.06%E -2.70%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 11:59
Fanatics2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -5.89%E -2.03%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.47%EV -3.03%E -1.26%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -7.70%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-16 12:00
FanDuel2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -5.89%E -2.03%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -7.07%E -3.08%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -10.42%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-16 11:59
Bovada2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -5.89%E -2.03%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 40.64%EV -8.29%E -3.65%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -9.06%E -2.70%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-16 12:00
Marathon Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -6.54%E -2.27%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.56%EV -7.07%E -3.08%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -6.35%E -1.84%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 11:59
NordicBet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.13%EV -6.54%E -2.27%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.24%EV -7.07%E -3.08%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -9.06%E -2.70%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 11:59
Grosvenor2.88I 34.72%NM 32.02%EV -6.54%E -2.27%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.45%EV -7.88%E -3.46%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -9.06%E -2.70%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-16 12:00
Casumo2.88I 34.72%NM 32.02%EV -6.54%E -2.27%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.45%EV -7.88%E -3.46%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -9.06%E -2.70%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-16 12:00
TABtouch2.88I 34.72%NM 32.02%EV -6.54%E -2.27%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.45%EV -7.88%E -3.46%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -9.06%E -2.70%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-16 12:00
betPARX2.88I 34.72%NM 32.02%EV -6.54%E -2.27%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.45%EV -7.88%E -3.46%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -9.06%E -2.70%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-16 12:00
Mr Green (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -6.54%E -2.27%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -7.07%E -3.08%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -11.78%E -3.62%K -5.23%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-16 11:59
SportsBet2.87I 34.84%NM 31.79%EV -6.87%E -2.39%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.55%EV -9.09%E -4.04%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -10.42%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-16 12:00
Coolbet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.28%EV -7.51%E -2.64%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.37%EV -5.05%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -2.27%E -0.632%K -0.875%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 11:58
theScore Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -7.51%E -2.64%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.11%EV -9.09%E -4.04%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -4.99%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 12:00
Tipico (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -7.51%E -2.64%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -9.09%E -4.04%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -7.70%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-16 11:59
LeoVegas (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV -7.51%E -2.64%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.15%EV -7.88%E -3.46%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -10.42%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-16 12:00
LeoVegas2.85I 35.09%NM 31.95%EV -7.51%E -2.64%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.46%EV -9.09%E -4.04%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -10.42%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-16 12:00
BetMGM2.85I 35.09%NM 31.95%EV -7.51%E -2.64%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.46%EV -9.09%E -4.04%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -10.42%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-16 11:59
Betway2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -9.14%E -3.26%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.53%EV -3.84%E -1.61%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -4.99%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 12:00
Betr (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -9.14%E -3.26%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -7.07%E -3.08%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -2.27%E -0.632%K -0.875%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 11:59
PointsBet (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -9.14%E -3.26%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -7.07%E -3.08%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -4.99%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-16 11:59
Codere (IT)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.39%EV -9.14%E -3.26%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 40.13%EV -8.69%E -3.84%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -10.42%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-16 12:00
LiveScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.08%EV -9.14%E -3.26%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.28%EV -9.90%E -4.44%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -11.78%E -3.62%K -5.23%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-16 12:00
Virgin Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.08%EV -9.14%E -3.26%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.28%EV -9.90%E -4.44%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -11.78%E -3.62%K -5.23%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-16 12:00
Betclic (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.96%EV -9.14%E -3.26%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.68%EV -11.11%E -5.05%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 27.37%EV -11.23%E -3.43%K -4.95%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-16 11:57
Ladbrokes (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -9.14%E -3.26%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -11.11%E -5.05%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -13.13%E -4.10%K -5.97%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-16 12:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -9.14%E -3.26%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -11.11%E -5.05%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -13.13%E -4.10%K -5.97%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-16 11:59
Neds2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -9.14%E -3.26%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -11.11%E -5.05%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -13.13%E -4.10%K -5.97%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-16 11:59
Coral2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -9.14%E -3.26%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -11.11%E -5.05%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -13.13%E -4.10%K -5.97%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-16 12:00
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -9.14%E -3.26%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -11.11%E -5.05%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -13.13%E -4.10%K -5.97%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-16 12:00
Bet Victor2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -10.76%E -3.91%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -7.07%E -3.08%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.70%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-16 12:00
betfred_uk2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -10.76%E -3.91%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -9.09%E -4.04%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -4.99%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-16 11:59
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 32.88%EV -10.76%E -3.91%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -7.07%E -3.08%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -11.78%E -3.62%K -5.23%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-16 12:00
PlayUp2.75I 36.36%NM 32.88%EV -10.76%E -3.91%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -7.07%E -3.08%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -11.78%E -3.62%K -5.23%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-16 12:00
Winamax (DE)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.56%EV -10.76%E -3.91%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.70%EV -11.11%E -5.05%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.73%EV -9.06%E -2.70%K -3.86%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-16 12:00
Sky Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -10.76%E -3.91%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -9.09%E -4.04%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -13.13%E -4.10%K -5.97%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-16 12:00
PMU (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.04%EV -10.76%E -3.91%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 40.42%EV -11.92%E -5.47%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.54%EV -13.13%E -4.10%K -5.97%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-16 12:00
NetBet (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.24%EV -12.38%E -4.59%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 40.12%EV -12.33%E -5.68%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.64%EV -14.49%E -4.60%K -6.74%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-16 12:00
Unibet (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.12%EV -12.38%E -4.59%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.34%EV -13.13%E -6.11%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.53%EV -14.49%E -4.60%K -6.74%G +0.000%15.3%2026-05-16 11:59
Winamax (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 32.94%EV -14.00%E -5.28%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.60%EV -13.13%E -6.11%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.45%EV -10.42%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000%14.6%2026-05-16 12:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.63I 38.02%NM 31.59%EV -14.65%E -5.57%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 39.56%EV -15.15%E -7.22%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.85%EV -21.82%E -7.58%K -11.61%G +0.000%20.4%2026-05-16 12:00
BoyleSports2.62I 38.17%NM 33.77%EV -14.98%E -5.72%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.21%EV -11.11%E -5.05%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.02%EV -7.70%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-16 11:59
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.04%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46%0.8%2026-05-16 12:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.69%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.82%0.8%2026-05-16 12:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.69%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.82%0.8%2026-05-16 12:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.48%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.68%1.3%2026-05-16 12:00
Smarkets3.10I 32.26%NM 31.73%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.33%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.95%1.7%2026-05-16 12:00
Kalshi3.03I 33.00%NM 31.41%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.87%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.72%5.1%2026-05-16 12:00