Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Real Sociedad B v CD Mirandés

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-16 12:02 UTC

Score final : Real Sociedad B 2–2 CD Mirandés

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Real Sociedad B (Local)

Prévision 32.45%3.08cote équitable
EV +0.598%
Avantage +0.193%
Kelly +0.285%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 3.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.75%32.42%32.46%33.77%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.622.842.853.1038.17%35.23%35.09%32.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

CD Mirandés (Visiteur)

Prévision 40.40%2.48cote équitable
EV -3.03%
Avantage -1.26%
Kelly -2.17%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.31%40.47%40.45%43.51%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.102.272.282.4047.62%44.12%43.86%41.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 27.15%3.68cote équitable
EV -2.27%
Avantage -0.632%
Kelly -0.875%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.97%27.12%27.10%28.85%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.883.333.353.6034.72%29.99%29.85%27.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Real Sociedad B (Local) : 32.45% ; CD Mirandés (Visiteur) : 40.40% ; Match nul : 27.15%. Pour Real Sociedad B (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.08. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.10, soit une espérance positive de +0.598%.

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Betsson🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV +0.598%E +0.193%K +0.285%G +0.002%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.51%EV -14.35%E -6.77%K -12.81%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -6.35%E -1.84%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-16 12:00
1xBet🎯3.02I 33.11%NM 31.42%EV -2.00%E -0.662%K -0.989%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.91%EV -6.27%E -2.70%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.67%EV -6.89%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 11:59
Pinnacle🎯3.01I 33.22%NM 32.16%EV -2.32%E -0.772%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.50%EV -3.44%E -1.44%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.34%EV -3.90%E -1.10%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-16 11:59
Unibet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.91%EV -4.27%E -1.45%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.40%EV -5.86%E -2.52%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -7.70%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 12:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.91%EV -4.27%E -1.45%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.40%EV -5.86%E -2.52%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -7.70%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 12:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.91%EV -4.27%E -1.45%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.40%EV -5.86%E -2.52%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -7.70%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 12:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.91%EV -4.27%E -1.45%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.40%EV -5.86%E -2.52%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -7.70%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 12:00
DraftKings🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -4.27%E -1.45%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.71%EV -7.07%E -3.08%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -7.70%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-16 12:00
BetOnline.ag🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.17%EV -5.24%E -1.80%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.80%EV -4.65%E -1.97%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -9.06%E -2.70%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 11:59
LowVig.ag🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.17%EV -5.24%E -1.80%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.80%EV -4.65%E -1.97%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -9.06%E -2.70%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 12:00
BetAnything🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.17%EV -5.24%E -1.80%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.80%EV -4.65%E -1.97%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -9.06%E -2.70%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 11:59
Fanatics🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -5.89%E -2.03%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.47%EV -3.03%E -1.26%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -7.70%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-16 12:00
FanDuel🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -5.89%E -2.03%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -7.07%E -3.08%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -10.42%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-16 11:59
Bovada🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -5.89%E -2.03%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 40.64%EV -8.29%E -3.65%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -9.06%E -2.70%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-16 12:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -6.54%E -2.27%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.56%EV -7.07%E -3.08%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -6.35%E -1.84%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 11:59
NordicBet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.13%EV -6.54%E -2.27%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.24%EV -7.07%E -3.08%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -9.06%E -2.70%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 11:59
Grosvenor🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.02%EV -6.54%E -2.27%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.45%EV -7.88%E -3.46%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -9.06%E -2.70%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-16 12:00
Casumo🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.02%EV -6.54%E -2.27%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.45%EV -7.88%E -3.46%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -9.06%E -2.70%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-16 12:00
TABtouch🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.02%EV -6.54%E -2.27%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.45%EV -7.88%E -3.46%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -9.06%E -2.70%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-16 12:00
betPARX🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.02%EV -6.54%E -2.27%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.45%EV -7.88%E -3.46%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -9.06%E -2.70%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-16 12:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -6.54%E -2.27%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -7.07%E -3.08%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -11.78%E -3.62%K -5.23%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-16 11:59
SportsBet🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 31.79%EV -6.87%E -2.39%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.55%EV -9.09%E -4.04%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -10.42%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-16 12:00
Coolbet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.28%EV -7.51%E -2.64%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.37%EV -5.05%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -2.27%E -0.632%K -0.875%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 11:58
theScore Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -7.51%E -2.64%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.11%EV -9.09%E -4.04%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -4.99%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 12:00
Tipico (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -7.51%E -2.64%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -9.09%E -4.04%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -7.70%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-16 11:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV -7.51%E -2.64%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.15%EV -7.88%E -3.46%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -10.42%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-16 12:00
LeoVegas🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.95%EV -7.51%E -2.64%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.46%EV -9.09%E -4.04%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -10.42%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-16 12:00
BetMGM🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.95%EV -7.51%E -2.64%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.46%EV -9.09%E -4.04%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -10.42%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-16 11:59
Betway🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -9.14%E -3.26%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.53%EV -3.84%E -1.61%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -4.99%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 12:00
Betr (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -9.14%E -3.26%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -7.07%E -3.08%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -2.27%E -0.632%K -0.875%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 11:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -9.14%E -3.26%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -7.07%E -3.08%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -4.99%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-16 11:59
Codere (IT)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.39%EV -9.14%E -3.26%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 40.13%EV -8.69%E -3.84%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -10.42%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-16 12:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.08%EV -9.14%E -3.26%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.28%EV -9.90%E -4.44%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -11.78%E -3.62%K -5.23%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-16 12:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.08%EV -9.14%E -3.26%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.28%EV -9.90%E -4.44%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -11.78%E -3.62%K -5.23%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-16 12:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.96%EV -9.14%E -3.26%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.68%EV -11.11%E -5.05%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 27.37%EV -11.23%E -3.43%K -4.95%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-16 11:57
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -9.14%E -3.26%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -11.11%E -5.05%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -13.13%E -4.10%K -5.97%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-16 12:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -9.14%E -3.26%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -11.11%E -5.05%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -13.13%E -4.10%K -5.97%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-16 11:59
Neds🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -9.14%E -3.26%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -11.11%E -5.05%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -13.13%E -4.10%K -5.97%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-16 11:59
Coral🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -9.14%E -3.26%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -11.11%E -5.05%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -13.13%E -4.10%K -5.97%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-16 12:00
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -9.14%E -3.26%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -11.11%E -5.05%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -13.13%E -4.10%K -5.97%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-16 12:00
Bet Victor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -10.76%E -3.91%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -7.07%E -3.08%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.70%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-16 12:00
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -10.76%E -3.91%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -9.09%E -4.04%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -4.99%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-16 11:59
William Hill🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.88%EV -10.76%E -3.91%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -7.07%E -3.08%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -11.78%E -3.62%K -5.23%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-16 12:00
PlayUp🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.88%EV -10.76%E -3.91%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -7.07%E -3.08%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -11.78%E -3.62%K -5.23%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-16 12:00
Winamax (DE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.56%EV -10.76%E -3.91%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.70%EV -11.11%E -5.05%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.73%EV -9.06%E -2.70%K -3.86%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-16 12:00
Sky Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -10.76%E -3.91%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -9.09%E -4.04%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -13.13%E -4.10%K -5.97%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-16 12:00
PMU (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.04%EV -10.76%E -3.91%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 40.42%EV -11.92%E -5.47%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.54%EV -13.13%E -4.10%K -5.97%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-16 12:00
NetBet (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.24%EV -12.38%E -4.59%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 40.12%EV -12.33%E -5.68%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.64%EV -14.49%E -4.60%K -6.74%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-16 12:00
Unibet (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.12%EV -12.38%E -4.59%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.34%EV -13.13%E -6.11%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.53%EV -14.49%E -4.60%K -6.74%G +0.000%15.3%2026-05-16 11:59
Winamax (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 32.94%EV -14.00%E -5.28%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.60%EV -13.13%E -6.11%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.45%EV -10.42%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000%14.6%2026-05-16 12:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 31.59%EV -14.65%E -5.57%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 39.56%EV -15.15%E -7.22%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.85%EV -21.82%E -7.58%K -11.61%G +0.000%20.4%2026-05-16 12:00
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 33.77%EV -14.98%E -5.72%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.21%EV -11.11%E -5.05%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.02%EV -7.70%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-16 11:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.04%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46%0.8%2026-05-16 12:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.69%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.82%0.8%2026-05-16 12:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.69%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.82%0.8%2026-05-16 12:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.48%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.68%1.3%2026-05-16 12:00
Smarkets3.10I 32.26%NM 31.73%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.33%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.95%1.7%2026-05-16 12:00
Kalshi3.03I 33.00%NM 31.41%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.87%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.72%5.1%2026-05-16 12:00