La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Real Sociedad B v CD Mirandés
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Real Sociedad B (Local)
Predicción 32.45%3.08momio equitativo
EV +0.598%
Ventaja +0.193%
Kelly +0.285%
Crecimiento +0.002%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.75%32.42%32.46%33.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.622.842.853.1038.17%35.23%35.09%32.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
CD Mirandés (Visitante)
Predicción 40.40%2.48momio equitativo
EV -3.03%
Ventaja -1.26%
Kelly -2.17%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.31%40.47%40.45%43.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.272.282.4047.62%44.12%43.86%41.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.15%3.68momio equitativo
EV -2.27%
Ventaja -0.632%
Kelly -0.875%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.97%27.12%27.10%28.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.333.353.6034.72%29.99%29.85%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betsson | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV +0.598%E +0.193%K +0.285%G +0.002% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.51%EV -14.35%E -6.77%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -6.35%E -1.84%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-16 12:00 |
| 1xBet | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.42%EV -2.00%E -0.662%K -0.989%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.91%EV -6.27%E -2.70%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.67%EV -6.89%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-16 11:59 |
| Pinnacle | 3.01I 33.22%NM 32.16%EV -2.32%E -0.772%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.50%EV -3.44%E -1.44%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.34%EV -3.90%E -1.10%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-16 11:59 |
| Unibet | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.91%EV -4.27%E -1.45%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.40%EV -5.86%E -2.52%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -7.70%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 12:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.91%EV -4.27%E -1.45%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.40%EV -5.86%E -2.52%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -7.70%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 12:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.91%EV -4.27%E -1.45%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.40%EV -5.86%E -2.52%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -7.70%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 12:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.91%EV -4.27%E -1.45%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.40%EV -5.86%E -2.52%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -7.70%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 12:00 |
| DraftKings | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -4.27%E -1.45%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.71%EV -7.07%E -3.08%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -7.70%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-16 12:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.17%EV -5.24%E -1.80%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.80%EV -4.65%E -1.97%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -9.06%E -2.70%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-16 11:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.17%EV -5.24%E -1.80%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.80%EV -4.65%E -1.97%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -9.06%E -2.70%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-16 12:00 |
| BetAnything | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.17%EV -5.24%E -1.80%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.80%EV -4.65%E -1.97%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -9.06%E -2.70%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-16 11:59 |
| Fanatics | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -5.89%E -2.03%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.47%EV -3.03%E -1.26%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -7.70%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-16 12:00 |
| FanDuel | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -5.89%E -2.03%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -7.07%E -3.08%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -10.42%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-16 11:59 |
| Bovada | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -5.89%E -2.03%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 40.64%EV -8.29%E -3.65%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -9.06%E -2.70%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-16 12:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -6.54%E -2.27%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.56%EV -7.07%E -3.08%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -6.35%E -1.84%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 11:59 |
| NordicBet | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.13%EV -6.54%E -2.27%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.24%EV -7.07%E -3.08%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -9.06%E -2.70%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-16 11:59 |
| Grosvenor | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.02%EV -6.54%E -2.27%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.45%EV -7.88%E -3.46%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -9.06%E -2.70%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-16 12:00 |
| Casumo | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.02%EV -6.54%E -2.27%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.45%EV -7.88%E -3.46%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -9.06%E -2.70%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-16 12:00 |
| TABtouch | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.02%EV -6.54%E -2.27%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.45%EV -7.88%E -3.46%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -9.06%E -2.70%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-16 12:00 |
| betPARX | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.02%EV -6.54%E -2.27%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.45%EV -7.88%E -3.46%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -9.06%E -2.70%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-16 12:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -6.54%E -2.27%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -7.07%E -3.08%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -11.78%E -3.62%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-16 11:59 |
| SportsBet | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.79%EV -6.87%E -2.39%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.55%EV -9.09%E -4.04%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -10.42%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-16 12:00 |
| Coolbet | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.28%EV -7.51%E -2.64%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.37%EV -5.05%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -2.27%E -0.632%K -0.875%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-16 11:58 |
| theScore Bet | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -7.51%E -2.64%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.11%EV -9.09%E -4.04%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -4.99%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-16 12:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -7.51%E -2.64%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -9.09%E -4.04%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -7.70%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-16 11:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV -7.51%E -2.64%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.15%EV -7.88%E -3.46%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -10.42%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-16 12:00 |
| LeoVegas | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.95%EV -7.51%E -2.64%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.46%EV -9.09%E -4.04%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -10.42%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-16 12:00 |
| BetMGM | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.95%EV -7.51%E -2.64%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.46%EV -9.09%E -4.04%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -10.42%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-16 11:59 |
| Betway | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -9.14%E -3.26%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.53%EV -3.84%E -1.61%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -4.99%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-16 12:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -9.14%E -3.26%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -7.07%E -3.08%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -2.27%E -0.632%K -0.875%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-16 11:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -9.14%E -3.26%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -7.07%E -3.08%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -4.99%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-16 11:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.39%EV -9.14%E -3.26%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 40.13%EV -8.69%E -3.84%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -10.42%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-16 12:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.08%EV -9.14%E -3.26%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.28%EV -9.90%E -4.44%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -11.78%E -3.62%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-16 12:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.08%EV -9.14%E -3.26%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.28%EV -9.90%E -4.44%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -11.78%E -3.62%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-16 12:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.96%EV -9.14%E -3.26%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.68%EV -11.11%E -5.05%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 27.37%EV -11.23%E -3.43%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-16 11:57 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -9.14%E -3.26%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -11.11%E -5.05%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -13.13%E -4.10%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-16 12:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -9.14%E -3.26%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -11.11%E -5.05%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -13.13%E -4.10%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-16 11:59 |
| Neds | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -9.14%E -3.26%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -11.11%E -5.05%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -13.13%E -4.10%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-16 11:59 |
| Coral | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -9.14%E -3.26%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -11.11%E -5.05%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -13.13%E -4.10%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-16 12:00 |
| Paddy Power | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -9.14%E -3.26%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -11.11%E -5.05%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -13.13%E -4.10%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-16 12:00 |
| Bet Victor | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -10.76%E -3.91%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -7.07%E -3.08%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.70%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-16 12:00 |
| betfred_uk | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -10.76%E -3.91%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -9.09%E -4.04%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -4.99%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-16 11:59 |
| William Hill | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.88%EV -10.76%E -3.91%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -7.07%E -3.08%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -11.78%E -3.62%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-16 12:00 |
| PlayUp | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.88%EV -10.76%E -3.91%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -7.07%E -3.08%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -11.78%E -3.62%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-16 12:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.56%EV -10.76%E -3.91%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.70%EV -11.11%E -5.05%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.73%EV -9.06%E -2.70%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-16 12:00 |
| Sky Bet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -10.76%E -3.91%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -9.09%E -4.04%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -13.13%E -4.10%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-16 12:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.04%EV -10.76%E -3.91%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 40.42%EV -11.92%E -5.47%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.54%EV -13.13%E -4.10%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-16 12:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.24%EV -12.38%E -4.59%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 40.12%EV -12.33%E -5.68%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.64%EV -14.49%E -4.60%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-05-16 12:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.12%EV -12.38%E -4.59%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.34%EV -13.13%E -6.11%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.53%EV -14.49%E -4.60%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-05-16 11:59 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 32.94%EV -14.00%E -5.28%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.60%EV -13.13%E -6.11%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.45%EV -10.42%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-05-16 12:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.63I 38.02%NM 31.59%EV -14.65%E -5.57%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 39.56%EV -15.15%E -7.22%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 28.85%EV -21.82%E -7.58%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 20.4% | 2026-05-16 12:00 |
| BoyleSports | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.77%EV -14.98%E -5.72%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.21%EV -11.11%E -5.05%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.02%EV -7.70%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-05-16 11:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.04% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46% | 0.8% | 2026-05-16 12:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.69% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.82% | 0.8% | 2026-05-16 12:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.69% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.82% | 0.8% | 2026-05-16 12:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.48% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.68% | 1.3% | 2026-05-16 12:00 |
| Smarkets | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.73% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.33% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.95% | 1.7% | 2026-05-16 12:00 |
| Kalshi | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.41% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.87% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.72% | 5.1% | 2026-05-16 12:00 |