A Escola das Odds

Real Racing Club de Santander v Almería

Início: 2026-04-12 19:02 UTC

Final: Real Racing Club de Santander 5–1 Almería

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

51 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Real Racing Club de Santander (Local)

Previsão 40.15%2.49odd justa
EV -3.64%
Vantagem -1.52%
Kelly -2.60%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
38.66%40.09%40.31%43.44%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.042.242.252.4049.02%44.66%44.44%41.67%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Almería (Visitante)

Previsão 33.91%2.95odd justa
EV +1.72%
Vantagem +0.573%
Kelly +0.859%
Crescimento +0.015%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
31.14%33.99%33.76%35.77%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.402.772.753.0041.67%36.12%36.36%33.33%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 25.94%3.85odd justa
EV -0.118%
Vantagem -0.031%
Kelly -0.042%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.85

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.57%25.92%25.93%27.88%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.003.533.503.8533.33%28.36%28.57%25.97%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (51 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.29%EV -12.87%E -5.93%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.32%EV +1.72%E +0.573%K +0.859%G +0.015%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -4.01%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 19:00
Unibet (NL)2.17I 46.08%NM 43.29%EV -12.87%E -5.93%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.32%EV +1.72%E +0.573%K +0.859%G +0.015%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -4.01%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 19:01
Unibet (SE)2.17I 46.08%NM 43.29%EV -12.87%E -5.93%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.32%EV +1.72%E +0.573%K +0.859%G +0.015%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -4.01%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 19:00
ATG (SE)2.17I 46.08%NM 43.29%EV -12.87%E -5.93%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.32%EV +1.72%E +0.573%K +0.859%G +0.015%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -4.01%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 19:01
Svenska Spel2.17I 46.08%NM 43.29%EV -12.87%E -5.93%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.32%EV +1.72%E +0.573%K +0.859%G +0.015%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -4.01%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 19:00
Pinnacle2.40I 41.67%NM 40.35%EV -3.64%E -1.52%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.83%EV +0.022%E +0.008%K +0.011%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.82%EV -6.34%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-12 18:59
TABtouch2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -14.88%E -7.02%K -13.29%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.14%EV +0.022%E +0.008%K +0.011%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 19:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -14.88%E -7.02%K -13.29%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.14%EV +0.022%E +0.008%K +0.011%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 19:00
Casumo2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -14.88%E -7.02%K -13.29%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.14%EV +0.022%E +0.008%K +0.011%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 19:00
Grosvenor2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -14.88%E -7.02%K -13.29%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.14%EV +0.022%E +0.008%K +0.011%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 19:01
betPARX2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -14.88%E -7.02%K -13.29%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.14%EV +0.022%E +0.008%K +0.011%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 19:00
1xBet2.31I 43.29%NM 41.12%EV -7.25%E -3.14%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.64%EV -1.33%E -0.458%K -0.698%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.24%EV -6.09%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 18:59
LeoVegas2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -15.68%E -7.47%K -14.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -1.67%E -0.577%K -0.880%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-12 19:01
Virgin Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 43.44%EV -16.89%E -8.16%K -15.78%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.22%EV -2.35%E -0.816%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.33%EV -7.90%E -2.23%K -3.10%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-12 19:00
LiveScore Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 43.44%EV -16.89%E -8.16%K -15.78%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.22%EV -2.35%E -0.816%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.33%EV -7.90%E -2.23%K -3.10%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-12 19:00
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -7.65%E -3.33%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -3.37%E -1.18%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -9.20%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 19:01
BetOnline.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -7.65%E -3.33%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -3.37%E -1.18%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -9.20%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 19:01
LowVig.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -7.65%E -3.33%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -3.37%E -1.18%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -9.20%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 18:59
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.34%EV -7.65%E -3.33%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.06%E -1.81%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.70%EV -0.118%E -0.031%K -0.042%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 18:59
FanDuel2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -7.65%E -3.33%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -5.06%E -1.81%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-12 19:00
PMU (FR)2.04I 49.02%NM 43.11%EV -18.09%E -8.87%K -17.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.41%EV -5.06%E -1.81%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.49%EV -10.50%E -3.04%K -4.28%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-12 19:01
Marathon Bet2.34I 42.74%NM 39.88%EV -6.05%E -2.58%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 33.45%EV -5.40%E -1.94%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -9.20%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 18:59
Bovada2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -7.65%E -3.33%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.17%EV -5.74%E -2.07%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -10.50%E -3.04%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-12 18:46
BetAnything2.32I 43.10%NM 39.64%EV -6.85%E -2.95%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.32%EV -6.42%E -2.33%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -11.79%E -3.47%K -4.91%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-12 18:59
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.49%EV -9.66%E -4.29%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.95%EV -6.76%E -2.46%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -1.42%E -0.372%K -0.506%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 18:59
Tipico (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -9.66%E -4.29%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%EV -6.76%E -2.46%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 19:00
Mr Green (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -4.44%E -1.87%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -6.76%E -2.46%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -14.39%E -4.36%K -6.26%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-12 18:59
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -9.66%E -4.29%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -6.76%E -2.46%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -9.20%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-12 19:01
DraftKings2.40I 41.67%NM 38.99%EV -3.64%E -1.52%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.66%EV -8.45%E -3.13%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -7.90%E -2.23%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-12 19:00
Betway2.38I 42.02%NM 39.04%EV -4.44%E -1.87%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.41%EV -8.45%E -3.13%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -9.20%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 19:00
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.66%E -4.29%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.25%EV -8.45%E -3.13%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.66%EV -2.71%E -0.723%K -0.986%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-12 18:59
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -9.66%E -4.29%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -8.45%E -3.13%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -9.20%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-12 19:00
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 39.39%EV -7.65%E -3.33%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -8.45%E -3.13%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -13.09%E -3.91%K -5.57%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-12 19:00
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -7.65%E -3.33%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -8.45%E -3.13%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -14.39%E -4.36%K -6.26%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-12 19:00
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -11.67%E -5.30%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -8.45%E -3.13%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -11.79%E -3.47%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-12 19:01
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -11.67%E -5.30%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -8.45%E -3.13%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -11.79%E -3.47%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-12 19:00
Betsson2.35I 42.55%NM 39.39%EV -5.65%E -2.40%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.54%EV -9.13%E -3.41%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -7.90%E -2.23%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 18:59
NordicBet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.39%EV -5.65%E -2.40%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.54%EV -9.13%E -3.41%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -7.90%E -2.23%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 18:59
Betclic (FR)2.18I 45.87%NM 40.93%EV -12.47%E -5.72%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 33.42%EV -9.47%E -3.55%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 25.64%EV -9.72%E -2.79%K -3.92%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-12 18:54
Codere (IT)2.31I 43.29%NM 39.50%EV -7.25%E -3.14%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.43%EV -10.15%E -3.83%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -9.20%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-12 19:01
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.52%EV -11.67%E -5.30%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.64%EV -10.15%E -3.83%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.84%EV -10.50%E -3.04%K -4.28%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-12 18:58
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 39.73%EV -9.66%E -4.29%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.99%EV -10.83%E -4.12%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -11.79%E -3.47%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-12 18:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.73%EV -9.66%E -4.29%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.99%EV -10.83%E -4.12%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -11.79%E -3.47%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-12 18:59
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -7.65%E -3.33%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -11.17%E -4.26%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-12 18:59
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -9.66%E -4.29%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -11.17%E -4.26%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.79%E -3.47%K -4.91%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-12 19:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -9.66%E -4.29%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -11.17%E -4.26%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.79%E -3.47%K -4.91%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-12 19:00
theScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.75%EV -3.64%E -1.52%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.77%EV -11.84%E -4.56%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -5.31%E -1.45%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-12 18:59
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 40.66%EV -13.68%E -6.36%K -11.89%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.62%EV -11.84%E -4.56%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.71%EV -11.79%E -3.47%K -4.91%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-12 19:00
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.08%EV -7.65%E -3.33%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.25%EV -13.54%E -5.31%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.68%EV -9.20%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-12 19:00
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.76%EV -9.66%E -4.29%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.59%EV -16.93%E -6.91%K -11.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.65%EV -11.79%E -3.47%K -4.91%G +0.000%14.7%2026-04-12 19:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 38.83%EV -15.68%E -7.47%K -14.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 33.98%EV -18.63%E -7.76%K -13.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.18%EV -22.17%E -7.39%K -11.09%G +0.000%22.6%2026-04-12 19:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.21%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.11%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.69%1.1%2026-04-12 19:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.21%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.11%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.69%1.1%2026-04-12 19:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.11%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.26%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.63%1.3%2026-04-12 19:01
Matchbook2.46I 40.65%NM 40.11%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.26%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.63%1.3%2026-04-12 19:00
Smarkets2.40I 41.67%NM 40.57%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.81%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.62%2.7%2026-04-12 19:00
Kalshi2.38I 42.02%NM 39.61%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%6.1%2026-04-12 19:01