La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Real Racing Club de Santander v Almería
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Real Racing Club de Santander (Local)
Predicción 40.15%2.49momio equitativo
EV -3.64%
Ventaja -1.52%
Kelly -2.60%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.66%40.09%40.31%43.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.042.242.252.4049.02%44.66%44.44%41.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Almería (Visitante)
Predicción 33.91%2.95momio equitativo
EV +1.72%
Ventaja +0.573%
Kelly +0.859%
Crecimiento +0.015%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.14%33.99%33.76%35.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.772.753.0041.67%36.12%36.36%33.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 25.94%3.85momio equitativo
EV -0.118%
Ventaja -0.031%
Kelly -0.042%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.85
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.57%25.92%25.93%27.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.533.503.8533.33%28.36%28.57%25.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.29%EV -12.87%E -5.93%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.32%EV +1.72%E +0.573%K +0.859%G +0.015% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -4.01%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-12 19:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.29%EV -12.87%E -5.93%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.32%EV +1.72%E +0.573%K +0.859%G +0.015% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -4.01%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-12 19:01 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.29%EV -12.87%E -5.93%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.32%EV +1.72%E +0.573%K +0.859%G +0.015% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -4.01%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-12 19:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.29%EV -12.87%E -5.93%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.32%EV +1.72%E +0.573%K +0.859%G +0.015% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -4.01%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-12 19:01 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.29%EV -12.87%E -5.93%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.32%EV +1.72%E +0.573%K +0.859%G +0.015% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -4.01%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-12 19:00 |
| Pinnacle | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.35%EV -3.64%E -1.52%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.83%EV +0.022%E +0.008%K +0.011%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.82%EV -6.34%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-12 18:59 |
| TABtouch | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -14.88%E -7.02%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.14%EV +0.022%E +0.008%K +0.011%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-12 19:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -14.88%E -7.02%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.14%EV +0.022%E +0.008%K +0.011%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-12 19:00 |
| Casumo | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -14.88%E -7.02%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.14%EV +0.022%E +0.008%K +0.011%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-12 19:00 |
| Grosvenor | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -14.88%E -7.02%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.14%EV +0.022%E +0.008%K +0.011%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-12 19:01 |
| betPARX | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -14.88%E -7.02%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.14%EV +0.022%E +0.008%K +0.011%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-12 19:00 |
| 1xBet | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.12%EV -7.25%E -3.14%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.64%EV -1.33%E -0.458%K -0.698%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.24%EV -6.09%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-12 18:59 |
| LeoVegas | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -15.68%E -7.47%K -14.26%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -1.67%E -0.577%K -0.880%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-12 19:01 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.44%EV -16.89%E -8.16%K -15.78%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.22%EV -2.35%E -0.816%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.33%EV -7.90%E -2.23%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-12 19:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.44%EV -16.89%E -8.16%K -15.78%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.22%EV -2.35%E -0.816%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.33%EV -7.90%E -2.23%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-12 19:00 |
| Fanatics | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -7.65%E -3.33%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -3.37%E -1.18%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -9.20%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-12 19:01 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -7.65%E -3.33%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -3.37%E -1.18%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -9.20%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-12 19:01 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -7.65%E -3.33%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -3.37%E -1.18%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -9.20%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-12 18:59 |
| Coolbet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.34%EV -7.65%E -3.33%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.06%E -1.81%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.70%EV -0.118%E -0.031%K -0.042%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-12 18:59 |
| FanDuel | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -7.65%E -3.33%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -5.06%E -1.81%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-12 19:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 43.11%EV -18.09%E -8.87%K -17.40%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.41%EV -5.06%E -1.81%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.49%EV -10.50%E -3.04%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-12 19:01 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.34I 42.74%NM 39.88%EV -6.05%E -2.58%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 33.45%EV -5.40%E -1.94%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -9.20%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-12 18:59 |
| Bovada | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -7.65%E -3.33%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.17%EV -5.74%E -2.07%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -10.50%E -3.04%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-12 18:46 |
| BetAnything | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.64%EV -6.85%E -2.95%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 33.32%EV -6.42%E -2.33%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -11.79%E -3.47%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-12 18:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.49%EV -9.66%E -4.29%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.95%EV -6.76%E -2.46%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -1.42%E -0.372%K -0.506%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-12 18:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -9.66%E -4.29%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%EV -6.76%E -2.46%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-12 19:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -4.44%E -1.87%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -6.76%E -2.46%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -14.39%E -4.36%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-12 18:59 |
| SportsBet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -9.66%E -4.29%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -6.76%E -2.46%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -9.20%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-12 19:01 |
| DraftKings | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.99%EV -3.64%E -1.52%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.66%EV -8.45%E -3.13%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -7.90%E -2.23%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-12 19:00 |
| Betway | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.04%EV -4.44%E -1.87%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.41%EV -8.45%E -3.13%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -9.20%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-12 19:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.66%E -4.29%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.25%EV -8.45%E -3.13%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.66%EV -2.71%E -0.723%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-12 18:59 |
| BetMGM | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -9.66%E -4.29%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -8.45%E -3.13%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -9.20%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-12 19:00 |
| PlayUp | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.39%EV -7.65%E -3.33%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -8.45%E -3.13%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -13.09%E -3.91%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-12 19:00 |
| William Hill | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -7.65%E -3.33%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -8.45%E -3.13%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -14.39%E -4.36%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-12 19:00 |
| Sky Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -11.67%E -5.30%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -8.45%E -3.13%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -11.79%E -3.47%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-12 19:01 |
| Paddy Power | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -11.67%E -5.30%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -8.45%E -3.13%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -11.79%E -3.47%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-12 19:00 |
| Betsson | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.39%EV -5.65%E -2.40%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.54%EV -9.13%E -3.41%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -7.90%E -2.23%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-12 18:59 |
| NordicBet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.39%EV -5.65%E -2.40%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.54%EV -9.13%E -3.41%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -7.90%E -2.23%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-12 18:59 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 40.93%EV -12.47%E -5.72%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 33.42%EV -9.47%E -3.55%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 25.64%EV -9.72%E -2.79%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-12 18:54 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.31I 43.29%NM 39.50%EV -7.25%E -3.14%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.43%EV -10.15%E -3.83%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -9.20%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-12 19:01 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.52%EV -11.67%E -5.30%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.64%EV -10.15%E -3.83%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.84%EV -10.50%E -3.04%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-12 18:58 |
| Neds | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.73%EV -9.66%E -4.29%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.99%EV -10.83%E -4.12%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -11.79%E -3.47%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-12 18:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.73%EV -9.66%E -4.29%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.99%EV -10.83%E -4.12%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -11.79%E -3.47%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-12 18:59 |
| Bet Victor | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -7.65%E -3.33%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -11.17%E -4.26%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-12 18:59 |
| Coral | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -9.66%E -4.29%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -11.17%E -4.26%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.79%E -3.47%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-12 19:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -9.66%E -4.29%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -11.17%E -4.26%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.79%E -3.47%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-12 19:00 |
| theScore Bet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.75%EV -3.64%E -1.52%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.77%EV -11.84%E -4.56%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -5.31%E -1.45%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-12 18:59 |
| BoyleSports | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.66%EV -13.68%E -6.36%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.62%EV -11.84%E -4.56%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.71%EV -11.79%E -3.47%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-04-12 19:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.08%EV -7.65%E -3.33%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.25%EV -13.54%E -5.31%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.68%EV -9.20%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-12 19:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.76%EV -9.66%E -4.29%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.59%EV -16.93%E -6.91%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.65%EV -11.79%E -3.47%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-04-12 19:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 38.83%EV -15.68%E -7.47%K -14.26%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 33.98%EV -18.63%E -7.76%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.18%EV -22.17%E -7.39%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 22.6% | 2026-04-12 19:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.21% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.11% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.69% | 1.1% | 2026-04-12 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.21% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.11% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.69% | 1.1% | 2026-04-12 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.11% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.26% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.63% | 1.3% | 2026-04-12 19:01 |
| Matchbook | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.11% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.26% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.63% | 1.3% | 2026-04-12 19:00 |
| Smarkets | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.57% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.81% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.62% | 2.7% | 2026-04-12 19:00 |
| Kalshi | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.61% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48% | 6.1% | 2026-04-12 19:01 |