L’École des cotes

Real Racing Club de Santander v Almería

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-12 19:02 UTC

Score final : Real Racing Club de Santander 5–1 Almería

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Real Racing Club de Santander (Local)

Prévision 40.15%2.49cote équitable
EV -3.64%
Avantage -1.52%
Kelly -2.60%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.66%40.09%40.31%43.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.042.242.252.4049.02%44.66%44.44%41.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Almería (Visiteur)

Prévision 33.91%2.95cote équitable
EV +1.72%
Avantage +0.573%
Kelly +0.859%
Croissance +0.015%

avec la cote maximale 3.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.14%33.99%33.76%35.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.402.772.753.0041.67%36.12%36.36%33.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.94%3.85cote équitable
EV -0.118%
Avantage -0.031%
Kelly -0.042%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.57%25.92%25.93%27.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.533.503.8533.33%28.36%28.57%25.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.29%EV -12.87%E -5.93%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.32%EV +1.72%E +0.573%K +0.859%G +0.015%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -4.01%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 19:00
Unibet (NL)2.17I 46.08%NM 43.29%EV -12.87%E -5.93%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.32%EV +1.72%E +0.573%K +0.859%G +0.015%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -4.01%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 19:01
Unibet (SE)2.17I 46.08%NM 43.29%EV -12.87%E -5.93%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.32%EV +1.72%E +0.573%K +0.859%G +0.015%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -4.01%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 19:00
ATG (SE)2.17I 46.08%NM 43.29%EV -12.87%E -5.93%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.32%EV +1.72%E +0.573%K +0.859%G +0.015%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -4.01%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 19:01
Svenska Spel2.17I 46.08%NM 43.29%EV -12.87%E -5.93%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.32%EV +1.72%E +0.573%K +0.859%G +0.015%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -4.01%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 19:00
Pinnacle2.40I 41.67%NM 40.35%EV -3.64%E -1.52%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.83%EV +0.022%E +0.008%K +0.011%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.82%EV -6.34%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-12 18:59
TABtouch2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -14.88%E -7.02%K -13.29%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.14%EV +0.022%E +0.008%K +0.011%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 19:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -14.88%E -7.02%K -13.29%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.14%EV +0.022%E +0.008%K +0.011%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 19:00
Casumo2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -14.88%E -7.02%K -13.29%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.14%EV +0.022%E +0.008%K +0.011%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 19:00
Grosvenor2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -14.88%E -7.02%K -13.29%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.14%EV +0.022%E +0.008%K +0.011%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 19:01
betPARX2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -14.88%E -7.02%K -13.29%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.14%EV +0.022%E +0.008%K +0.011%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 19:00
1xBet2.31I 43.29%NM 41.12%EV -7.25%E -3.14%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.64%EV -1.33%E -0.458%K -0.698%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.24%EV -6.09%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 18:59
LeoVegas2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -15.68%E -7.47%K -14.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -1.67%E -0.577%K -0.880%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-12 19:01
Virgin Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 43.44%EV -16.89%E -8.16%K -15.78%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.22%EV -2.35%E -0.816%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.33%EV -7.90%E -2.23%K -3.10%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-12 19:00
LiveScore Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 43.44%EV -16.89%E -8.16%K -15.78%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.22%EV -2.35%E -0.816%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.33%EV -7.90%E -2.23%K -3.10%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-12 19:00
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -7.65%E -3.33%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -3.37%E -1.18%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -9.20%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 19:01
BetOnline.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -7.65%E -3.33%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -3.37%E -1.18%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -9.20%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 19:01
LowVig.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -7.65%E -3.33%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -3.37%E -1.18%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -9.20%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 18:59
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.34%EV -7.65%E -3.33%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.06%E -1.81%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.70%EV -0.118%E -0.031%K -0.042%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 18:59
FanDuel2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -7.65%E -3.33%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -5.06%E -1.81%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-12 19:00
PMU (FR)2.04I 49.02%NM 43.11%EV -18.09%E -8.87%K -17.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.41%EV -5.06%E -1.81%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.49%EV -10.50%E -3.04%K -4.28%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-12 19:01
Marathon Bet2.34I 42.74%NM 39.88%EV -6.05%E -2.58%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 33.45%EV -5.40%E -1.94%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -9.20%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 18:59
Bovada2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -7.65%E -3.33%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.17%EV -5.74%E -2.07%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -10.50%E -3.04%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-12 18:46
BetAnything2.32I 43.10%NM 39.64%EV -6.85%E -2.95%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.32%EV -6.42%E -2.33%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -11.79%E -3.47%K -4.91%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-12 18:59
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.49%EV -9.66%E -4.29%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.95%EV -6.76%E -2.46%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -1.42%E -0.372%K -0.506%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 18:59
Tipico (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -9.66%E -4.29%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%EV -6.76%E -2.46%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 19:00
Mr Green (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -4.44%E -1.87%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -6.76%E -2.46%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -14.39%E -4.36%K -6.26%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-12 18:59
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -9.66%E -4.29%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -6.76%E -2.46%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -9.20%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-12 19:01
DraftKings2.40I 41.67%NM 38.99%EV -3.64%E -1.52%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.66%EV -8.45%E -3.13%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -7.90%E -2.23%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-12 19:00
Betway2.38I 42.02%NM 39.04%EV -4.44%E -1.87%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.41%EV -8.45%E -3.13%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -9.20%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 19:00
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.66%E -4.29%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.25%EV -8.45%E -3.13%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.66%EV -2.71%E -0.723%K -0.986%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-12 18:59
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -9.66%E -4.29%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -8.45%E -3.13%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -9.20%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-12 19:00
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 39.39%EV -7.65%E -3.33%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -8.45%E -3.13%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -13.09%E -3.91%K -5.57%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-12 19:00
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -7.65%E -3.33%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -8.45%E -3.13%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -14.39%E -4.36%K -6.26%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-12 19:00
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -11.67%E -5.30%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -8.45%E -3.13%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -11.79%E -3.47%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-12 19:01
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -11.67%E -5.30%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -8.45%E -3.13%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -11.79%E -3.47%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-12 19:00
Betsson2.35I 42.55%NM 39.39%EV -5.65%E -2.40%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.54%EV -9.13%E -3.41%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -7.90%E -2.23%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 18:59
NordicBet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.39%EV -5.65%E -2.40%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.54%EV -9.13%E -3.41%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -7.90%E -2.23%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 18:59
Betclic (FR)2.18I 45.87%NM 40.93%EV -12.47%E -5.72%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 33.42%EV -9.47%E -3.55%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 25.64%EV -9.72%E -2.79%K -3.92%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-12 18:54
Codere (IT)2.31I 43.29%NM 39.50%EV -7.25%E -3.14%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.43%EV -10.15%E -3.83%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -9.20%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-12 19:01
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.52%EV -11.67%E -5.30%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.64%EV -10.15%E -3.83%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.84%EV -10.50%E -3.04%K -4.28%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-12 18:58
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 39.73%EV -9.66%E -4.29%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.99%EV -10.83%E -4.12%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -11.79%E -3.47%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-12 18:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.73%EV -9.66%E -4.29%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.99%EV -10.83%E -4.12%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -11.79%E -3.47%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-12 18:59
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -7.65%E -3.33%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -11.17%E -4.26%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-12 18:59
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -9.66%E -4.29%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -11.17%E -4.26%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.79%E -3.47%K -4.91%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-12 19:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -9.66%E -4.29%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -11.17%E -4.26%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.79%E -3.47%K -4.91%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-12 19:00
theScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.75%EV -3.64%E -1.52%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.77%EV -11.84%E -4.56%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -5.31%E -1.45%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-12 18:59
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 40.66%EV -13.68%E -6.36%K -11.89%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.62%EV -11.84%E -4.56%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.71%EV -11.79%E -3.47%K -4.91%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-12 19:00
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.08%EV -7.65%E -3.33%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.25%EV -13.54%E -5.31%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.68%EV -9.20%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-12 19:00
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.76%EV -9.66%E -4.29%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.59%EV -16.93%E -6.91%K -11.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.65%EV -11.79%E -3.47%K -4.91%G +0.000%14.7%2026-04-12 19:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 38.83%EV -15.68%E -7.47%K -14.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 33.98%EV -18.63%E -7.76%K -13.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.18%EV -22.17%E -7.39%K -11.09%G +0.000%22.6%2026-04-12 19:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.21%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.11%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.69%1.1%2026-04-12 19:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.21%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.11%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.69%1.1%2026-04-12 19:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.11%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.26%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.63%1.3%2026-04-12 19:01
Matchbook2.46I 40.65%NM 40.11%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.26%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.63%1.3%2026-04-12 19:00
Smarkets2.40I 41.67%NM 40.57%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.81%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.62%2.7%2026-04-12 19:00
Kalshi2.38I 42.02%NM 39.61%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%6.1%2026-04-12 19:01