La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Málaga v Leganés
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Málaga (Local)
Predicción 46.38%2.16momio equitativo
EV -3.99%
Ventaja -1.93%
Kelly -3.73%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.07
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.11%46.44%46.37%47.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.801.961.962.0755.56%51.07%51.02%48.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Leganés (Visitante)
Predicción 25.68%3.89momio equitativo
EV -2.41%
Ventaja -0.635%
Kelly -0.862%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.70%25.65%25.70%26.58%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.603.603.8030.30%27.80%27.78%26.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.94%3.58momio equitativo
EV -2.21%
Ventaja -0.632%
Kelly -0.885%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.17%27.91%27.92%29.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.293.303.5034.72%30.41%30.30%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.46%EV -3.99%E -1.93%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.51%EV -3.18%E -0.845%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 28.04%EV -4.17%E -1.22%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-28 02:10 |
| 1xBet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.83%EV -4.92%E -2.40%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.74%EV -4.21%E -1.13%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.43%EV -2.21%E -0.632%K -0.885%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-28 02:35 |
| Coolbet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.52%EV -4.92%E -2.40%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.43%EV -3.70%E -0.986%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.05%EV -5.01%E -1.47%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-26 22:10 |
| DraftKings | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.17%EV -4.92%E -2.40%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.58%EV -4.98%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.25%EV -6.40%E -1.91%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-27 17:30 |
| Fanatics | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -4.92%E -2.40%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -7.55%E -2.10%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -5.01%E -1.47%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-27 04:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -7.24%E -3.62%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -2.41%E -0.635%K -0.862%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -5.01%E -1.47%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-28 02:14 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -7.24%E -3.62%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -2.41%E -0.635%K -0.862%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -5.01%E -1.47%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-28 02:15 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.24%E -3.62%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -7.55%E -2.10%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.01%E -1.47%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-26 22:09 |
| theScore Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.46%EV -7.24%E -3.62%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.55%E -2.10%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -6.40%E -1.91%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-26 22:09 |
| Betsson | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -7.24%E -3.62%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -7.55%E -2.10%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.80%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-26 21:59 |
| NordicBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -7.24%E -3.62%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -7.55%E -2.10%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.80%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-26 21:59 |
| Betway | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -7.24%E -3.62%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -7.55%E -2.10%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.80%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-27 15:10 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -7.24%E -3.62%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -7.55%E -2.10%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.80%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-26 22:10 |
| Bovada | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -7.24%E -3.62%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -7.55%E -2.10%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -9.20%E -2.83%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-28 02:09 |
| BetAnything | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -7.24%E -3.62%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -7.55%E -2.10%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -9.20%E -2.83%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-28 02:09 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -7.24%E -3.62%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.55%E -2.10%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.60%E -3.31%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-26 21:55 |
| BetMGM | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -7.24%E -3.62%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -10.12%E -2.89%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -9.20%E -2.83%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-27 23:48 |
| PlayUp | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -7.24%E -3.62%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -12.69%E -3.73%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -10.60%E -3.31%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-28 02:10 |
| William Hill | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -7.24%E -3.62%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -10.12%E -2.89%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -13.39%E -4.32%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-26 21:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.84%EV -7.70%E -3.87%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.75%EV -7.04%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.41%EV -5.01%E -1.47%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-28 02:30 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.07%EV -8.63%E -4.38%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -8.83%E -2.49%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -10.60%E -3.31%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-26 21:59 |
| Unibet | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.99%EV -9.09%E -4.64%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -2.41%E -0.635%K -0.862%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -3.61%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-25 05:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.99%EV -9.09%E -4.64%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -2.41%E -0.635%K -0.862%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -3.61%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-25 05:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.99%EV -9.09%E -4.64%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -2.41%E -0.635%K -0.862%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -3.61%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-25 05:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.99%EV -9.09%E -4.64%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -2.41%E -0.635%K -0.862%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -3.61%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-25 06:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.99%EV -9.09%E -4.64%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -2.41%E -0.635%K -0.862%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -3.61%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-25 05:45 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.44%EV -9.09%E -4.64%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -11.40%E -3.30%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -6.40%E -1.91%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-28 00:40 |
| SportsBet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -9.56%E -4.90%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -4.98%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -7.80%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-28 03:05 |
| FanDuel | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -9.56%E -4.90%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -4.98%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -7.80%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-28 03:05 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -9.56%E -4.90%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -4.98%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -7.80%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-27 21:25 |
| Bet Victor | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -9.56%E -4.90%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -10.12%E -2.89%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -7.80%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-27 22:37 |
| BoyleSports | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.56%E -4.90%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -12.69%E -3.73%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -10.60%E -3.31%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-27 15:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.56%E -4.90%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -12.69%E -3.73%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -10.60%E -3.31%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-26 14:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.56%E -4.90%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -12.69%E -3.73%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -10.60%E -3.31%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-26 14:50 |
| Coral | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.56%E -4.90%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -12.69%E -3.73%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -10.60%E -3.31%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-26 14:50 |
| Neds | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.56%E -4.90%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -12.69%E -3.73%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -10.60%E -3.31%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-26 14:50 |
| Casumo | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.80%EV -10.95%E -5.70%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -4.98%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -6.40%E -1.91%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-25 06:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.80%EV -10.95%E -5.70%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -4.98%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -6.40%E -1.91%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-25 05:59 |
| Grosvenor | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.80%EV -10.95%E -5.70%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -4.98%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -6.40%E -1.91%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-25 05:59 |
| betPARX | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.80%EV -10.95%E -5.70%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -4.98%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -6.40%E -1.91%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-25 06:00 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.54%EV -10.95%E -5.70%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -10.12%E -2.89%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.93%EV -10.60%E -3.31%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-27 17:35 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.54%EV -10.95%E -5.70%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -10.12%E -2.89%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.93%EV -10.60%E -3.31%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-26 21:59 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.54%EV -10.95%E -5.70%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -10.12%E -2.89%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.93%EV -10.60%E -3.31%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-27 17:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.93%EV -11.41%E -5.98%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -4.98%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -6.40%E -1.91%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-25 05:59 |
| Paddy Power | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.21%EV -11.41%E -5.98%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -7.55%E -2.10%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -9.20%E -2.83%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-28 03:04 |
| Sky Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.26%EV -11.41%E -5.98%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -10.12%E -2.89%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.50%EV -13.39%E -4.32%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-03-28 03:05 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.28%EV -11.88%E -6.25%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.25%EV -13.97%E -4.17%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.48%EV -10.60%E -3.31%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-03-28 00:40 |
| LeoVegas | 1.89I 52.91%NM 47.83%EV -12.34%E -6.53%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.77%EV -6.27%E -1.72%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -7.80%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-25 05:59 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.97%EV -12.81%E -6.81%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.71%EV -6.27%E -1.72%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -7.80%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-25 06:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.97%EV -12.81%E -6.81%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.71%EV -6.27%E -1.72%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -7.80%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-25 05:45 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.13%EV -12.81%E -6.81%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.89%EV -13.97%E -4.17%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.98%EV -13.39%E -4.32%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-03-28 02:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 45.66%EV -15.12%E -8.26%K -18.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.32%EV -15.25%E -4.62%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.01%EV -19.54%E -6.78%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 19.7% | 2026-03-28 00:05 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 47.35%EV -16.52%E -9.18%K -20.64%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 24.70%EV -11.40%E -3.30%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 27.94%EV -14.79%E -4.85%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 17.3% | 2026-03-28 00:05 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.49% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.69% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.82% | 1.2% | 2026-03-28 03:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.49% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.69% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.82% | 1.2% | 2026-03-28 03:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.49% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.69% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.82% | 1.2% | 2026-03-28 03:00 |
| Matchbook | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.49% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.69% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.82% | 1.2% | 2026-03-28 03:00 |
| Smarkets | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.63% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.60% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.76% | 2.9% | 2026-03-28 01:30 |
| Kalshi | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.59% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.22% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.19% | 3.0% | 2026-03-28 02:50 |