مدرسة الاحتمالات

Málaga v Leganés

البداية: 2026-03-28 17:30 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

53 شركة مراهنات (18 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Málaga (المضيف)

التنبؤ 46.38%2.16السعر العادل
EV -3.99%
الأفضلية -1.93%
Kelly -3.73%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.07

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
45.11%46.44%46.37%47.99%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.801.961.962.0755.56%51.07%51.02%48.31%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Leganés (الضيف)

التنبؤ 25.68%3.89السعر العادل
EV -2.41%
الأفضلية -0.635%
Kelly -0.862%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.80

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
24.70%25.65%25.70%26.58%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.303.603.603.8030.30%27.80%27.78%26.32%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 27.94%3.58السعر العادل
EV -2.21%
الأفضلية -0.632%
Kelly -0.885%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
27.17%27.91%27.92%29.11%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.883.293.303.5034.72%30.41%30.30%28.57%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (53 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle2.07I 48.31%NM 46.46%EV -3.99%E -1.93%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.51%EV -3.18%E -0.845%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 28.04%EV -4.17%E -1.22%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-28 02:10
1xBet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.83%EV -4.92%E -2.40%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.74%EV -4.21%E -1.13%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.43%EV -2.21%E -0.632%K -0.885%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-28 02:35
Coolbet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.52%EV -4.92%E -2.40%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.43%EV -3.70%E -0.986%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.05%EV -5.01%E -1.47%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-26 22:10
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 46.17%EV -4.92%E -2.40%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.58%EV -4.98%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.25%EV -6.40%E -1.91%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-27 17:30
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -4.92%E -2.40%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -7.55%E -2.10%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -5.01%E -1.47%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-27 04:50
BetOnline.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -7.24%E -3.62%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -2.41%E -0.635%K -0.862%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -5.01%E -1.47%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-28 02:14
LowVig.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -7.24%E -3.62%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -2.41%E -0.635%K -0.862%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -5.01%E -1.47%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-28 02:15
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.24%E -3.62%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -7.55%E -2.10%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.01%E -1.47%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-26 22:09
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.46%EV -7.24%E -3.62%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.55%E -2.10%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -6.40%E -1.91%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-26 22:09
Betsson2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -7.24%E -3.62%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -7.55%E -2.10%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.80%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-26 21:59
NordicBet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -7.24%E -3.62%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -7.55%E -2.10%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.80%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-26 21:59
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -7.24%E -3.62%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -7.55%E -2.10%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.80%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-27 15:10
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -7.24%E -3.62%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -7.55%E -2.10%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.80%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-26 22:10
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -7.24%E -3.62%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -7.55%E -2.10%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -9.20%E -2.83%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-28 02:09
BetAnything2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -7.24%E -3.62%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -7.55%E -2.10%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -9.20%E -2.83%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-28 02:09
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -7.24%E -3.62%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.55%E -2.10%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.60%E -3.31%K -4.82%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-26 21:55
BetMGM2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -7.24%E -3.62%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -10.12%E -2.89%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -9.20%E -2.83%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-27 23:48
PlayUp2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -7.24%E -3.62%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -12.69%E -3.73%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -10.60%E -3.31%K -4.82%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-28 02:10
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -7.24%E -3.62%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -10.12%E -2.89%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -13.39%E -4.32%K -6.38%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-26 21:59
Marathon Bet1.99I 50.25%NM 46.84%EV -7.70%E -3.87%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.75%EV -7.04%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.41%EV -5.01%E -1.47%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-28 02:30
Codere (IT)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.07%EV -8.63%E -4.38%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -8.83%E -2.49%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -10.60%E -3.31%K -4.82%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-26 21:59
Unibet1.96I 51.02%NM 47.99%EV -9.09%E -4.64%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -2.41%E -0.635%K -0.862%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -3.61%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-25 05:45
Unibet (NL)1.96I 51.02%NM 47.99%EV -9.09%E -4.64%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -2.41%E -0.635%K -0.862%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -3.61%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-25 05:45
Unibet (SE)1.96I 51.02%NM 47.99%EV -9.09%E -4.64%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -2.41%E -0.635%K -0.862%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -3.61%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-25 05:45
ATG (SE)1.96I 51.02%NM 47.99%EV -9.09%E -4.64%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -2.41%E -0.635%K -0.862%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -3.61%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-25 06:00
Svenska Spel1.96I 51.02%NM 47.99%EV -9.09%E -4.64%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -2.41%E -0.635%K -0.862%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -3.61%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-25 05:45
Winamax (DE)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.44%EV -9.09%E -4.64%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -11.40%E -3.30%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -6.40%E -1.91%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-28 00:40
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -9.56%E -4.90%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -4.98%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -7.80%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-28 03:05
FanDuel1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -9.56%E -4.90%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -4.98%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -7.80%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-28 03:05
Tipico (DE)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -9.56%E -4.90%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -4.98%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -7.80%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-27 21:25
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -9.56%E -4.90%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -10.12%E -2.89%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -7.80%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-27 22:37
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.56%E -4.90%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -12.69%E -3.73%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -10.60%E -3.31%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-27 15:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.56%E -4.90%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -12.69%E -3.73%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -10.60%E -3.31%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-26 14:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.56%E -4.90%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -12.69%E -3.73%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -10.60%E -3.31%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-26 14:50
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.56%E -4.90%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -12.69%E -3.73%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -10.60%E -3.31%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-26 14:50
Neds1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.56%E -4.90%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -12.69%E -3.73%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -10.60%E -3.31%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-26 14:50
Casumo1.92I 52.08%NM 47.80%EV -10.95%E -5.70%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -4.98%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -6.40%E -1.91%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-25 06:00
TABtouch1.92I 52.08%NM 47.80%EV -10.95%E -5.70%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -4.98%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -6.40%E -1.91%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-25 05:59
Grosvenor1.92I 52.08%NM 47.80%EV -10.95%E -5.70%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -4.98%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -6.40%E -1.91%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-25 05:59
betPARX1.92I 52.08%NM 47.80%EV -10.95%E -5.70%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -4.98%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -6.40%E -1.91%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-25 06:00
Parions Sport (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 46.54%EV -10.95%E -5.70%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -10.12%E -2.89%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.93%EV -10.60%E -3.31%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-27 17:35
Betclic (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 46.54%EV -10.95%E -5.70%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -10.12%E -2.89%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.93%EV -10.60%E -3.31%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-26 21:59
Unibet (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 46.54%EV -10.95%E -5.70%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -10.12%E -2.89%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.93%EV -10.60%E -3.31%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-27 17:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.93%EV -11.41%E -5.98%K -12.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -4.98%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -6.40%E -1.91%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-25 05:59
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 47.21%EV -11.41%E -5.98%K -12.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -7.55%E -2.10%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -9.20%E -2.83%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-28 03:04
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 46.26%EV -11.41%E -5.98%K -12.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -10.12%E -2.89%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.50%EV -13.39%E -4.32%K -6.38%G +0.000%13.2%2026-03-28 03:05
Winamax (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 46.28%EV -11.88%E -6.25%K -13.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.25%EV -13.97%E -4.17%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.48%EV -10.60%E -3.31%K -4.82%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-28 00:40
LeoVegas1.89I 52.91%NM 47.83%EV -12.34%E -6.53%K -13.87%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.77%EV -6.27%E -1.72%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -7.80%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-25 05:59
Virgin Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 47.97%EV -12.81%E -6.81%K -14.55%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.71%EV -6.27%E -1.72%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -7.80%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-25 06:00
LiveScore Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 47.97%EV -12.81%E -6.81%K -14.55%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.71%EV -6.27%E -1.72%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -7.80%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-25 05:45
NetBet (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 46.13%EV -12.81%E -6.81%K -14.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.89%EV -13.97%E -4.17%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.98%EV -13.39%E -4.32%K -6.38%G +0.000%15.3%2026-03-28 02:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 45.66%EV -15.12%E -8.26%K -18.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.32%EV -15.25%E -4.62%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.01%EV -19.54%E -6.78%K -10.39%G +0.000%19.7%2026-03-28 00:05
PMU (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 47.35%EV -16.52%E -9.18%K -20.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.70%EV -11.40%E -3.30%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 27.94%EV -14.79%E -4.85%K -7.21%G +0.000%17.3%2026-03-28 00:05
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.49%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.69%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.82%1.2%2026-03-28 03:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.49%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.69%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.82%1.2%2026-03-28 03:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.49%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.69%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.82%1.2%2026-03-28 03:00
Matchbook2.08I 48.08%NM 47.49%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.69%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.82%1.2%2026-03-28 03:00
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 47.63%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.60%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.76%2.9%2026-03-28 01:30
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 47.59%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.22%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.19%3.0%2026-03-28 02:50