L’École des cotes

Málaga v CD Castellón

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-25 19:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Málaga (Local)

Prévision 35.37%2.83cote équitable
EV -0.269%
Avantage -0.095%
Kelly -0.148%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.82

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.93%35.31%35.43%38.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.302.532.502.8243.48%39.52%40.00%35.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

CD Castellón (Visiteur)

Prévision 36.39%2.75cote équitable
EV +0.085%
Avantage +0.031%
Kelly +0.049%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.83%36.46%36.47%38.07%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.302.562.552.7543.48%39.11%39.22%36.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.24%3.54cote équitable
EV -1.16%
Avantage -0.332%
Kelly -0.465%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.10%28.23%28.10%29.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.253.273.5034.72%30.79%30.58%28.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -13.35%E -5.45%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV +0.085%E +0.031%K +0.049%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -3.99%E -1.17%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 10:54
Unibet (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -13.35%E -5.45%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV +0.085%E +0.031%K +0.049%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -3.99%E -1.17%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 10:54
Unibet (NL)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -13.35%E -5.45%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV +0.085%E +0.031%K +0.049%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -3.99%E -1.17%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 10:50
Svenska Spel2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -13.35%E -5.45%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV +0.085%E +0.031%K +0.049%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -3.99%E -1.17%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 10:49
ATG (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -13.35%E -5.45%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV +0.085%E +0.031%K +0.049%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -3.99%E -1.17%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 10:54
Casumo2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -15.12%E -6.30%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -1.73%E -0.642%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -6.81%E -2.06%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 10:54
LeoVegas (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -15.12%E -6.30%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -1.73%E -0.642%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -6.81%E -2.06%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 10:50
TABtouch2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -15.12%E -6.30%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -1.73%E -0.642%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -6.81%E -2.06%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 10:54
Grosvenor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -15.12%E -6.30%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -1.73%E -0.642%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -6.81%E -2.06%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 10:55
betPARX2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -15.12%E -6.30%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -1.73%E -0.642%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -6.81%E -2.06%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 10:50
LeoVegas2.38I 42.02%NM 38.42%EV -15.83%E -6.65%K -11.47%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.87%EV -1.73%E -0.642%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -6.81%E -2.06%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 10:50
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.71%EV -8.05%E -3.10%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.02%EV -3.55%E -1.34%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -1.16%E -0.332%K -0.465%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 20:55
Fanatics2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.28%E -2.37%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.55%E -1.34%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.65%EV -6.81%E -2.06%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 12:14
Virgin Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -16.89%E -7.19%K -12.51%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV -3.55%E -1.34%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -8.22%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-23 10:49
LiveScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -16.89%E -7.19%K -12.51%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV -3.55%E -1.34%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -8.22%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-23 10:50
1xBet2.82I 35.46%NM 33.99%EV -0.269%E -0.095%K -0.148%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.87%EV -5.37%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.14%EV -7.09%E -2.16%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 16:29
DraftKings2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -4.51%E -1.67%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -5.37%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -9.63%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 12:44
Betr (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -9.82%E -3.85%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -5.37%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -3.99%E -1.17%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 20:59
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -11.59%E -4.63%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -5.37%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -6.81%E -2.06%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 20:59
PMU (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.24%EV -18.66%E -8.11%K -14.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.83%EV -5.37%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.92%EV -11.05%E -3.51%K -5.14%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-23 10:50
Pinnacle2.80I 35.71%NM 34.04%EV -0.976%E -0.349%K -0.542%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.80%EV -5.74%E -2.22%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.15%EV -7.66%E -2.34%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 16:30
Betsson2.58I 38.76%NM 35.95%EV -8.76%E -3.39%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.95%EV -6.10%E -2.36%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -6.81%E -2.06%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-21 16:35
NordicBet2.58I 38.76%NM 35.95%EV -8.76%E -3.39%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.95%EV -6.10%E -2.36%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -6.81%E -2.06%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-21 16:15
LowVig.ag2.70I 37.04%NM 34.34%EV -4.51%E -1.67%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.22%EV -6.83%E -2.67%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.44%EV -11.05%E -3.51%K -5.14%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-24 03:50
BetOnline.ag2.70I 37.04%NM 34.34%EV -4.51%E -1.67%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.22%EV -6.83%E -2.67%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.44%EV -11.05%E -3.51%K -5.14%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-24 03:50
BetAnything2.70I 37.04%NM 34.34%EV -4.51%E -1.67%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.22%EV -6.83%E -2.67%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.44%EV -11.05%E -3.51%K -5.14%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-24 03:50
theScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.77%EV -8.05%E -3.10%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.47%EV -7.19%E -2.82%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -5.40%E -1.61%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 03:35
PointsBet (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -9.82%E -3.85%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -7.19%E -2.82%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -3.99%E -1.17%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 20:55
BetMGM2.55I 39.22%NM 35.43%EV -9.82%E -3.85%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.43%EV -7.19%E -2.82%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -12.46%E -4.02%K -5.93%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-22 07:00
Marathon Bet2.74I 36.50%NM 34.02%EV -3.10%E -1.13%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 36.85%EV -7.92%E -3.13%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -9.63%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 16:24
Bovada2.72I 36.76%NM 33.93%EV -3.81%E -1.40%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 36.77%EV -8.65%E -3.45%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -11.05%E -3.51%K -5.14%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 16:33
Betway2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -4.51%E -1.67%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -9.01%E -3.61%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.63%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 12:45
Tipico (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -8.05%E -3.10%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -9.01%E -3.61%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -6.81%E -2.06%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 19:04
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -11.59%E -4.63%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.01%E -3.61%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -3.99%E -1.17%K -1.66%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-22 14:29
SportsBet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -9.82%E -3.85%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.52%EV -9.01%E -3.61%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -6.81%E -2.06%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-22 13:20
FanDuel2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -9.82%E -3.85%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.52%EV -9.01%E -3.61%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -6.81%E -2.06%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-22 13:19
Codere (IT)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.66%EV -9.82%E -3.85%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -9.01%E -3.61%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -8.22%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-21 16:15
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -11.59%E -4.63%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -9.01%E -3.61%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -8.22%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-22 13:18
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -11.59%E -4.63%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -9.01%E -3.61%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -12.46%E -4.02%K -5.93%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-22 06:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -11.59%E -4.63%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -9.01%E -3.61%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -12.46%E -4.02%K -5.93%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-22 07:00
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -11.59%E -4.63%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -9.01%E -3.61%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -12.46%E -4.02%K -5.93%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-22 07:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -11.59%E -4.63%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -9.01%E -3.61%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -12.46%E -4.02%K -5.93%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-22 06:59
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -11.59%E -4.63%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -10.83%E -4.42%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -3.99%E -1.17%K -1.66%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-23 12:49
PlayUp2.65I 37.74%NM 34.05%EV -6.28%E -2.37%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.83%EV -10.83%E -4.42%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -12.46%E -4.02%K -5.93%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-23 16:24
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.37%EV -11.59%E -4.63%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.10%EV -10.83%E -4.42%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -12.46%E -4.02%K -5.93%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-22 19:05
Betclic (FR)2.53I 39.53%NM 35.31%EV -10.52%E -4.16%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.77%EV -11.56%E -4.76%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -9.63%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-23 19:05
Bet Victor2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -9.82%E -3.85%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -12.65%E -5.27%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -1.16%E -0.332%K -0.465%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-23 13:04
Unibet (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -11.59%E -4.63%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -12.65%E -5.27%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -9.63%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-23 19:04
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.04%EV -13.35%E -5.45%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.79%EV -12.65%E -5.27%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.17%EV -8.22%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-21 16:15
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 35.11%EV -11.59%E -4.63%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.57%EV -12.65%E -5.27%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -12.46%E -4.02%K -5.93%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-22 14:25
NetBet (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 34.08%EV -9.82%E -3.85%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 36.67%EV -13.74%E -5.80%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 29.26%EV -16.13%E -5.43%K -8.19%G +0.000%15.1%2026-04-23 13:00
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 35.97%EV -16.89%E -7.19%K -12.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.76%EV -16.29%E -7.08%K -12.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.27%EV -12.46%E -4.02%K -5.93%G +0.000%18.3%2026-04-21 16:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 34.76%EV -15.12%E -6.30%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.27%EV -16.29%E -7.08%K -12.53%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.97%EV -18.67%E -6.48%K -9.93%G +0.000%19.9%2026-04-23 19:04
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.78I 35.97%NM 35.69%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.75%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.56%0.8%2026-04-23 19:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.40%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.27%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.33%1.6%2026-04-23 20:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.40%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.27%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.33%1.6%2026-04-23 20:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.29%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.45%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.26%1.9%2026-04-23 19:25
Smarkets2.76I 36.23%NM 35.52%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.86%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.62%2.0%2026-04-23 20:44
Kalshi2.78I 35.97%NM 34.27%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.23%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.50%5.0%2026-04-24 00:30