La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Málaga v CD Castellón
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Málaga (Local)
Predicción 35.37%2.83momio equitativo
EV -0.269%
Ventaja -0.095%
Kelly -0.148%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.82
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.93%35.31%35.43%38.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.532.502.8243.48%39.52%40.00%35.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
CD Castellón (Visitante)
Predicción 36.39%2.75momio equitativo
EV +0.085%
Ventaja +0.031%
Kelly +0.049%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.83%36.46%36.47%38.07%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.562.552.7543.48%39.11%39.22%36.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 28.24%3.54momio equitativo
EV -1.16%
Ventaja -0.332%
Kelly -0.465%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.10%28.23%28.10%29.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.253.273.5034.72%30.79%30.58%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -13.35%E -5.45%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV +0.085%E +0.031%K +0.049%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -3.99%E -1.17%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 10:54 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -13.35%E -5.45%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV +0.085%E +0.031%K +0.049%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -3.99%E -1.17%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 10:54 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -13.35%E -5.45%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV +0.085%E +0.031%K +0.049%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -3.99%E -1.17%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 10:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -13.35%E -5.45%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV +0.085%E +0.031%K +0.049%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -3.99%E -1.17%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 10:49 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -13.35%E -5.45%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV +0.085%E +0.031%K +0.049%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -3.99%E -1.17%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 10:54 |
| Casumo | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -15.12%E -6.30%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -1.73%E -0.642%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -6.81%E -2.06%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-23 10:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -15.12%E -6.30%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -1.73%E -0.642%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -6.81%E -2.06%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-23 10:50 |
| TABtouch | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -15.12%E -6.30%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -1.73%E -0.642%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -6.81%E -2.06%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-23 10:54 |
| Grosvenor | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -15.12%E -6.30%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -1.73%E -0.642%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -6.81%E -2.06%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-23 10:55 |
| betPARX | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -15.12%E -6.30%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -1.73%E -0.642%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -6.81%E -2.06%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-23 10:50 |
| LeoVegas | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.42%EV -15.83%E -6.65%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.87%EV -1.73%E -0.642%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -6.81%E -2.06%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-23 10:50 |
| Coolbet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.71%EV -8.05%E -3.10%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.02%EV -3.55%E -1.34%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -1.16%E -0.332%K -0.465%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 20:55 |
| Fanatics | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.28%E -2.37%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.55%E -1.34%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.65%EV -6.81%E -2.06%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 12:14 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -16.89%E -7.19%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV -3.55%E -1.34%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -8.22%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-23 10:49 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -16.89%E -7.19%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV -3.55%E -1.34%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -8.22%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-23 10:50 |
| 1xBet | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.99%EV -0.269%E -0.095%K -0.148%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.87%EV -5.37%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.14%EV -7.09%E -2.16%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-23 16:29 |
| DraftKings | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -4.51%E -1.67%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -5.37%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -9.63%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 12:44 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -9.82%E -3.85%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -5.37%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -3.99%E -1.17%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 20:59 |
| betfred_uk | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -11.59%E -4.63%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -5.37%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -6.81%E -2.06%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-23 20:59 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.24%EV -18.66%E -8.11%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.83%EV -5.37%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.92%EV -11.05%E -3.51%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-23 10:50 |
| Pinnacle | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.04%EV -0.976%E -0.349%K -0.542%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.80%EV -5.74%E -2.22%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.15%EV -7.66%E -2.34%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 16:30 |
| Betsson | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.95%EV -8.76%E -3.39%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.95%EV -6.10%E -2.36%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -6.81%E -2.06%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-21 16:35 |
| NordicBet | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.95%EV -8.76%E -3.39%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.95%EV -6.10%E -2.36%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -6.81%E -2.06%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-21 16:15 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.34%EV -4.51%E -1.67%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.22%EV -6.83%E -2.67%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.44%EV -11.05%E -3.51%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.34%EV -4.51%E -1.67%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.22%EV -6.83%E -2.67%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.44%EV -11.05%E -3.51%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |
| BetAnything | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.34%EV -4.51%E -1.67%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.22%EV -6.83%E -2.67%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.44%EV -11.05%E -3.51%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |
| theScore Bet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.77%EV -8.05%E -3.10%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.47%EV -7.19%E -2.82%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -5.40%E -1.61%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-23 03:35 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -9.82%E -3.85%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -7.19%E -2.82%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -3.99%E -1.17%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 20:55 |
| BetMGM | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.43%EV -9.82%E -3.85%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.43%EV -7.19%E -2.82%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -12.46%E -4.02%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-22 07:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.02%EV -3.10%E -1.13%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 36.85%EV -7.92%E -3.13%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -9.63%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-23 16:24 |
| Bovada | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.93%EV -3.81%E -1.40%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 36.77%EV -8.65%E -3.45%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -11.05%E -3.51%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-23 16:33 |
| Betway | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -4.51%E -1.67%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -9.01%E -3.61%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.63%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-23 12:45 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -8.05%E -3.10%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -9.01%E -3.61%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -6.81%E -2.06%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-23 19:04 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -11.59%E -4.63%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.01%E -3.61%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -3.99%E -1.17%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-22 14:29 |
| SportsBet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -9.82%E -3.85%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.52%EV -9.01%E -3.61%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -6.81%E -2.06%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-22 13:20 |
| FanDuel | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -9.82%E -3.85%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.52%EV -9.01%E -3.61%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -6.81%E -2.06%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-22 13:19 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.66%EV -9.82%E -3.85%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -9.01%E -3.61%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -8.22%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-21 16:15 |
| Paddy Power | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -11.59%E -4.63%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -9.01%E -3.61%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -8.22%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-22 13:18 |
| Neds | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -11.59%E -4.63%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -9.01%E -3.61%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -12.46%E -4.02%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-22 06:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -11.59%E -4.63%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -9.01%E -3.61%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -12.46%E -4.02%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-22 07:00 |
| Coral | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -11.59%E -4.63%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -9.01%E -3.61%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -12.46%E -4.02%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-22 07:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -11.59%E -4.63%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -9.01%E -3.61%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -12.46%E -4.02%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-22 06:59 |
| William Hill | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -11.59%E -4.63%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -10.83%E -4.42%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -3.99%E -1.17%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-23 12:49 |
| PlayUp | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.05%EV -6.28%E -2.37%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.83%EV -10.83%E -4.42%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -12.46%E -4.02%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-23 16:24 |
| Sky Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.37%EV -11.59%E -4.63%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.10%EV -10.83%E -4.42%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -12.46%E -4.02%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-04-22 19:05 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.53I 39.53%NM 35.31%EV -10.52%E -4.16%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.77%EV -11.56%E -4.76%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -9.63%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-23 19:05 |
| Bet Victor | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -9.82%E -3.85%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -12.65%E -5.27%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -1.16%E -0.332%K -0.465%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-23 13:04 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -11.59%E -4.63%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -12.65%E -5.27%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -9.63%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-23 19:04 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.04%EV -13.35%E -5.45%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.79%EV -12.65%E -5.27%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.17%EV -8.22%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-04-21 16:15 |
| BoyleSports | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.11%EV -11.59%E -4.63%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.57%EV -12.65%E -5.27%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -12.46%E -4.02%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-22 14:25 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.08%EV -9.82%E -3.85%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 36.67%EV -13.74%E -5.80%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 29.26%EV -16.13%E -5.43%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-04-23 13:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 35.97%EV -16.89%E -7.19%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 36.76%EV -16.29%E -7.08%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.27%EV -12.46%E -4.02%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 18.3% | 2026-04-21 16:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 34.76%EV -15.12%E -6.30%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 36.27%EV -16.29%E -7.08%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 28.97%EV -18.67%E -6.48%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 19.9% | 2026-04-23 19:04 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.69% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.75% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.56% | 0.8% | 2026-04-23 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.40% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.27% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.33% | 1.6% | 2026-04-23 20:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.40% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.27% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.33% | 1.6% | 2026-04-23 20:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.29% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.45% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.26% | 1.9% | 2026-04-23 19:25 |
| Smarkets | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.52% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.86% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.62% | 2.0% | 2026-04-23 20:44 |
| Kalshi | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.27% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.23% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.50% | 5.0% | 2026-04-24 00:30 |