مدرسة الاحتمالات

Málaga v CD Castellón

البداية: 2026-04-25 19:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

53 شركة مراهنات (17 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Málaga (المضيف)

التنبؤ 35.37%2.83السعر العادل
EV -0.269%
الأفضلية -0.095%
Kelly -0.148%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.82

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
33.93%35.31%35.43%38.42%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.302.532.502.8243.48%39.52%40.00%35.46%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

CD Castellón (الضيف)

التنبؤ 36.39%2.75السعر العادل
EV +0.085%
الأفضلية +0.031%
Kelly +0.049%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.75

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
33.83%36.46%36.47%38.07%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.302.562.552.7543.48%39.11%39.22%36.36%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 28.24%3.54السعر العادل
EV -1.16%
الأفضلية -0.332%
Kelly -0.465%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.10%28.23%28.10%29.44%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.883.253.273.5034.72%30.79%30.58%28.57%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (53 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Unibet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -13.35%E -5.45%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV +0.085%E +0.031%K +0.049%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -3.99%E -1.17%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 10:54
Unibet (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -13.35%E -5.45%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV +0.085%E +0.031%K +0.049%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -3.99%E -1.17%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 10:54
Unibet (NL)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -13.35%E -5.45%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV +0.085%E +0.031%K +0.049%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -3.99%E -1.17%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 10:50
Svenska Spel2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -13.35%E -5.45%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV +0.085%E +0.031%K +0.049%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -3.99%E -1.17%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 10:49
ATG (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -13.35%E -5.45%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV +0.085%E +0.031%K +0.049%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -3.99%E -1.17%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 10:54
Casumo2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -15.12%E -6.30%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -1.73%E -0.642%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -6.81%E -2.06%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 10:54
LeoVegas (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -15.12%E -6.30%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -1.73%E -0.642%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -6.81%E -2.06%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 10:50
TABtouch2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -15.12%E -6.30%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -1.73%E -0.642%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -6.81%E -2.06%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 10:54
Grosvenor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -15.12%E -6.30%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -1.73%E -0.642%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -6.81%E -2.06%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 10:55
betPARX2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -15.12%E -6.30%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -1.73%E -0.642%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -6.81%E -2.06%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 10:50
LeoVegas2.38I 42.02%NM 38.42%EV -15.83%E -6.65%K -11.47%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.87%EV -1.73%E -0.642%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -6.81%E -2.06%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 10:50
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.71%EV -8.05%E -3.10%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.02%EV -3.55%E -1.34%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -1.16%E -0.332%K -0.465%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 20:55
Fanatics2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.28%E -2.37%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.55%E -1.34%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.65%EV -6.81%E -2.06%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 12:14
Virgin Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -16.89%E -7.19%K -12.51%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV -3.55%E -1.34%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -8.22%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-23 10:49
LiveScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -16.89%E -7.19%K -12.51%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV -3.55%E -1.34%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -8.22%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-23 10:50
1xBet2.82I 35.46%NM 33.99%EV -0.269%E -0.095%K -0.148%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.87%EV -5.37%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.14%EV -7.09%E -2.16%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 16:29
DraftKings2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -4.51%E -1.67%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -5.37%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -9.63%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 12:44
Betr (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -9.82%E -3.85%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -5.37%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -3.99%E -1.17%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 20:59
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -11.59%E -4.63%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -5.37%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -6.81%E -2.06%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 20:59
PMU (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.24%EV -18.66%E -8.11%K -14.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.83%EV -5.37%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.92%EV -11.05%E -3.51%K -5.14%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-23 10:50
Pinnacle2.80I 35.71%NM 34.04%EV -0.976%E -0.349%K -0.542%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.80%EV -5.74%E -2.22%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.15%EV -7.66%E -2.34%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 16:30
Betsson2.58I 38.76%NM 35.95%EV -8.76%E -3.39%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.95%EV -6.10%E -2.36%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -6.81%E -2.06%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-21 16:35
NordicBet2.58I 38.76%NM 35.95%EV -8.76%E -3.39%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.95%EV -6.10%E -2.36%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -6.81%E -2.06%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-21 16:15
LowVig.ag2.70I 37.04%NM 34.34%EV -4.51%E -1.67%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.22%EV -6.83%E -2.67%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.44%EV -11.05%E -3.51%K -5.14%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-24 03:50
BetOnline.ag2.70I 37.04%NM 34.34%EV -4.51%E -1.67%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.22%EV -6.83%E -2.67%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.44%EV -11.05%E -3.51%K -5.14%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-24 03:50
BetAnything2.70I 37.04%NM 34.34%EV -4.51%E -1.67%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.22%EV -6.83%E -2.67%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.44%EV -11.05%E -3.51%K -5.14%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-24 03:50
theScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.77%EV -8.05%E -3.10%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.47%EV -7.19%E -2.82%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -5.40%E -1.61%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 03:35
PointsBet (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -9.82%E -3.85%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -7.19%E -2.82%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -3.99%E -1.17%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 20:55
BetMGM2.55I 39.22%NM 35.43%EV -9.82%E -3.85%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.43%EV -7.19%E -2.82%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -12.46%E -4.02%K -5.93%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-22 07:00
Marathon Bet2.74I 36.50%NM 34.02%EV -3.10%E -1.13%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 36.85%EV -7.92%E -3.13%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -9.63%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 16:24
Bovada2.72I 36.76%NM 33.93%EV -3.81%E -1.40%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 36.77%EV -8.65%E -3.45%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -11.05%E -3.51%K -5.14%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 16:33
Betway2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -4.51%E -1.67%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -9.01%E -3.61%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.63%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 12:45
Tipico (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -8.05%E -3.10%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -9.01%E -3.61%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -6.81%E -2.06%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 19:04
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -11.59%E -4.63%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.01%E -3.61%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -3.99%E -1.17%K -1.66%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-22 14:29
SportsBet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -9.82%E -3.85%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.52%EV -9.01%E -3.61%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -6.81%E -2.06%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-22 13:20
FanDuel2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -9.82%E -3.85%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.52%EV -9.01%E -3.61%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -6.81%E -2.06%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-22 13:19
Codere (IT)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.66%EV -9.82%E -3.85%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -9.01%E -3.61%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -8.22%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-21 16:15
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -11.59%E -4.63%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -9.01%E -3.61%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -8.22%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-22 13:18
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -11.59%E -4.63%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -9.01%E -3.61%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -12.46%E -4.02%K -5.93%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-22 06:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -11.59%E -4.63%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -9.01%E -3.61%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -12.46%E -4.02%K -5.93%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-22 07:00
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -11.59%E -4.63%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -9.01%E -3.61%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -12.46%E -4.02%K -5.93%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-22 07:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -11.59%E -4.63%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -9.01%E -3.61%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -12.46%E -4.02%K -5.93%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-22 06:59
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -11.59%E -4.63%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -10.83%E -4.42%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -3.99%E -1.17%K -1.66%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-23 12:49
PlayUp2.65I 37.74%NM 34.05%EV -6.28%E -2.37%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.83%EV -10.83%E -4.42%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -12.46%E -4.02%K -5.93%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-23 16:24
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.37%EV -11.59%E -4.63%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.10%EV -10.83%E -4.42%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -12.46%E -4.02%K -5.93%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-22 19:05
Betclic (FR)2.53I 39.53%NM 35.31%EV -10.52%E -4.16%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.77%EV -11.56%E -4.76%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -9.63%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-23 19:05
Bet Victor2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -9.82%E -3.85%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -12.65%E -5.27%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -1.16%E -0.332%K -0.465%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-23 13:04
Unibet (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -11.59%E -4.63%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -12.65%E -5.27%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -9.63%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-23 19:04
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.04%EV -13.35%E -5.45%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.79%EV -12.65%E -5.27%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.17%EV -8.22%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-21 16:15
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 35.11%EV -11.59%E -4.63%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.57%EV -12.65%E -5.27%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -12.46%E -4.02%K -5.93%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-22 14:25
NetBet (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 34.08%EV -9.82%E -3.85%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 36.67%EV -13.74%E -5.80%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 29.26%EV -16.13%E -5.43%K -8.19%G +0.000%15.1%2026-04-23 13:00
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 35.97%EV -16.89%E -7.19%K -12.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.76%EV -16.29%E -7.08%K -12.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.27%EV -12.46%E -4.02%K -5.93%G +0.000%18.3%2026-04-21 16:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 34.76%EV -15.12%E -6.30%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.27%EV -16.29%E -7.08%K -12.53%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.97%EV -18.67%E -6.48%K -9.93%G +0.000%19.9%2026-04-23 19:04
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook2.78I 35.97%NM 35.69%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.75%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.56%0.8%2026-04-23 19:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.40%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.27%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.33%1.6%2026-04-23 20:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.40%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.27%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.33%1.6%2026-04-23 20:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.29%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.45%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.26%1.9%2026-04-23 19:25
Smarkets2.76I 36.23%NM 35.52%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.86%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.62%2.0%2026-04-23 20:44
Kalshi2.78I 35.97%NM 34.27%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.23%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.50%5.0%2026-04-24 00:30