L’École des cotesFrançais
Leganés v Zaragoza
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Leganés (Local)
Prévision 45.58%2.19cote équitable
EV -2.00%
Avantage -0.932%
Kelly -1.74%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.15
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.38%45.51%45.53%49.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.811.971.962.1555.25%50.77%50.89%46.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Zaragoza (Visiteur)
Prévision 25.46%3.93cote équitable
EV +4.40%
Avantage +1.07%
Kelly +1.42%
Croissance +0.062%
avec la cote maximale 4.10
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.83%25.41%25.55%26.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.353.733.704.1029.85%26.78%27.03%24.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 28.96%3.45cote équitable
EV -0.097%
Avantage -0.028%
Kelly -0.040%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.45
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.80%29.09%28.92%30.60%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.213.203.4533.33%31.16%31.25%28.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.27%EV -6.56%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.13%EV +4.40%E +1.07%K +1.42%G +0.062% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.60%EV -10.23%E -3.30%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-02 19:25 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.27%EV -6.56%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.13%EV +4.40%E +1.07%K +1.42%G +0.062% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.60%EV -10.23%E -3.30%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-02 19:25 |
| Unibet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.91%EV -14.31%E -7.61%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV +4.40%E +1.07%K +1.42%G +0.062% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -0.097%E -0.028%K -0.040%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-02 13:54 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.91%EV -14.31%E -7.61%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV +4.40%E +1.07%K +1.42%G +0.062% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -0.097%E -0.028%K -0.040%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-02 13:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.91%EV -14.31%E -7.61%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV +4.40%E +1.07%K +1.42%G +0.062% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -0.097%E -0.028%K -0.040%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-02 13:54 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.91%EV -14.31%E -7.61%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV +4.40%E +1.07%K +1.42%G +0.062% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -0.097%E -0.028%K -0.040%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-02 13:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.91%EV -14.31%E -7.61%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV +4.40%E +1.07%K +1.42%G +0.062% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -0.097%E -0.028%K -0.040%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-02 13:54 |
| Casumo | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.63%EV -15.68%E -8.47%K -18.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV +1.85%E +0.463%K +0.618%G +0.011% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -2.99%E -0.893%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-02 13:55 |
| Grosvenor | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.63%EV -15.68%E -8.47%K -18.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV +1.85%E +0.463%K +0.618%G +0.011% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -2.99%E -0.893%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-02 13:54 |
| TABtouch | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.63%EV -15.68%E -8.47%K -18.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV +1.85%E +0.463%K +0.618%G +0.011% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -2.99%E -0.893%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-02 13:54 |
| betPARX | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.63%EV -15.68%E -8.47%K -18.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV +1.85%E +0.463%K +0.618%G +0.011% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -2.99%E -0.893%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-02 13:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.91%EV -16.59%E -9.07%K -19.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV +1.85%E +0.463%K +0.618%G +0.011% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.26%EV -2.99%E -0.893%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-02 13:54 |
| LeoVegas | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.76%EV -16.59%E -9.07%K -19.99%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV +0.580%E +0.147%K +0.197%G +0.001% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -2.99%E -0.893%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-02 13:54 |
| 1xBet | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.18%EV -6.11%E -2.96%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.27%EV -0.183%E -0.047%K -0.063%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.55%EV -6.76%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-02 19:19 |
| Pinnacle | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.45%EV -2.92%E -1.37%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.91I 25.58%NM 24.76%EV -0.438%E -0.112%K -0.151%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.79%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-02 19:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.69%EV -17.50%E -9.67%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.06%EV -0.693%E -0.178%K -0.239%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -4.44%E -1.35%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-02 13:54 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.69%EV -17.50%E -9.67%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.06%EV -0.693%E -0.178%K -0.239%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -4.44%E -1.35%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-02 13:54 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.18%EV -14.31%E -7.61%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -1.97%E -0.511%K -0.690%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -0.097%E -0.028%K -0.040%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-02 15:55 |
| FanDuel | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -8.84%E -4.42%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -3.24%E -0.852%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -7.34%E -2.29%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-02 19:20 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -8.84%E -4.42%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -3.24%E -0.852%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -10.23%E -3.30%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-02 19:21 |
| Coolbet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.77%EV -5.20%E -2.50%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -4.51%E -1.20%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -4.44%E -1.35%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-02 19:20 |
| SportsBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -8.84%E -4.42%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -4.51%E -1.20%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -10.23%E -3.30%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-02 19:19 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.16%EV -7.93%E -3.93%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.06%EV -5.28%E -1.42%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.78%EV -6.18%E -1.91%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-02 19:25 |
| DraftKings | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.28%E -2.04%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.64%EV -5.79%E -1.56%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-02 19:25 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -6.56%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -5.79%E -1.56%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -10.23%E -3.30%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-02 19:20 |
| Paddy Power | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.93%EV -11.12%E -5.70%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -5.79%E -1.56%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.86%EV -13.13%E -4.38%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-02 19:20 |
| BetAnything | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV -6.56%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.27%EV -7.06%E -1.93%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -10.23%E -3.30%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-02 19:25 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -6.56%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -8.33%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -4.44%E -1.35%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-02 19:19 |
| theScore Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -6.56%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -8.33%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-02 19:20 |
| Betsson | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.61%EV -7.93%E -3.93%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -8.33%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -7.34%E -2.29%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-02 19:19 |
| NordicBet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.61%EV -7.93%E -3.93%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -8.33%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -7.34%E -2.29%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-02 19:20 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -8.84%E -4.42%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -8.33%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-02 19:19 |
| William Hill | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -6.56%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -8.33%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -13.13%E -4.38%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-02 19:19 |
| BoyleSports | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -11.12%E -5.70%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -8.33%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -10.23%E -3.30%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-02 18:30 |
| Sky Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -11.12%E -5.70%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -8.33%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -13.13%E -4.38%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-02 19:19 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.49%EV -8.84%E -4.42%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -9.60%E -2.71%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -8.78%E -2.79%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-02 19:25 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.84%EV -11.12%E -5.70%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 25.32%EV -10.11%E -2.87%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.84%EV -10.23%E -3.30%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-02 19:23 |
| Fanatics | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -2.00%E -0.932%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -10.88%E -3.11%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -7.34%E -2.29%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-02 19:25 |
| Betway | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -4.28%E -2.04%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -10.88%E -3.11%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -10.23%E -3.30%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-02 19:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -8.84%E -4.42%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -10.88%E -3.11%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-02 19:20 |
| Bet Victor | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -6.56%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -10.88%E -3.11%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.30%EV -9.65%E -3.09%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-02 19:23 |
| BetMGM | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.78%EV -9.75%E -4.93%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -10.88%E -3.11%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -7.34%E -2.29%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-02 16:30 |
| Coral | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -11.12%E -5.70%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -10.88%E -3.11%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.23%E -3.30%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-02 16:30 |
| Neds | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -11.12%E -5.70%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -10.88%E -3.11%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.23%E -3.30%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-02 16:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -11.12%E -5.70%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -10.88%E -3.11%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.23%E -3.30%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-02 16:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -11.12%E -5.70%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -10.88%E -3.11%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.23%E -3.30%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-02 16:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.00%EV -12.03%E -6.23%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.36%EV -10.88%E -3.11%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -10.23%E -3.30%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-04-02 19:19 |
| PlayUp | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.38%EV -5.20%E -2.50%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.54%EV -13.42%E -3.95%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.08%EV -13.13%E -4.38%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-02 19:25 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 45.36%EV -12.49%E -6.50%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.61%EV -13.42%E -3.95%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.03%EV -13.13%E -4.38%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-04-02 19:25 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 45.35%EV -11.58%E -5.97%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.26%EV -14.70%E -4.39%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.38%EV -10.23%E -3.30%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-02 19:20 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.54% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.64% | 0.7% | 2026-04-02 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.54% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.64% | 0.7% | 2026-04-02 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.54% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.64% | 0.7% | 2026-04-02 19:25 |
| Matchbook | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.54% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.64% | 0.7% | 2026-04-02 19:25 |
| Smarkets | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.57% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.61% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.83% | 1.6% | 2026-04-02 19:25 |
| Kalshi | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.07% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.49% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.44% | 1.9% | 2026-04-02 19:20 |