La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Leganés v Zaragoza
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Leganés (Local)
Predicción 45.58%2.19momio equitativo
EV -2.00%
Ventaja -0.932%
Kelly -1.74%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.15
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.38%45.51%45.53%49.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.811.971.962.1555.25%50.77%50.89%46.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Zaragoza (Visitante)
Predicción 25.46%3.93momio equitativo
EV +4.40%
Ventaja +1.07%
Kelly +1.42%
Crecimiento +0.062%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.83%25.41%25.55%26.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.353.733.704.1029.85%26.78%27.03%24.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 28.96%3.45momio equitativo
EV -0.097%
Ventaja -0.028%
Kelly -0.040%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.45
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.80%29.09%28.92%30.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.213.203.4533.33%31.16%31.25%28.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.27%EV -6.56%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.13%EV +4.40%E +1.07%K +1.42%G +0.062% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.60%EV -10.23%E -3.30%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-02 19:25 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.27%EV -6.56%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.13%EV +4.40%E +1.07%K +1.42%G +0.062% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.60%EV -10.23%E -3.30%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-02 19:25 |
| Unibet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.91%EV -14.31%E -7.61%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV +4.40%E +1.07%K +1.42%G +0.062% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -0.097%E -0.028%K -0.040%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-02 13:54 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.91%EV -14.31%E -7.61%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV +4.40%E +1.07%K +1.42%G +0.062% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -0.097%E -0.028%K -0.040%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-02 13:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.91%EV -14.31%E -7.61%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV +4.40%E +1.07%K +1.42%G +0.062% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -0.097%E -0.028%K -0.040%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-02 13:54 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.91%EV -14.31%E -7.61%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV +4.40%E +1.07%K +1.42%G +0.062% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -0.097%E -0.028%K -0.040%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-02 13:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.91%EV -14.31%E -7.61%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV +4.40%E +1.07%K +1.42%G +0.062% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -0.097%E -0.028%K -0.040%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-02 13:54 |
| Casumo | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.63%EV -15.68%E -8.47%K -18.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV +1.85%E +0.463%K +0.618%G +0.011% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -2.99%E -0.893%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-02 13:55 |
| Grosvenor | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.63%EV -15.68%E -8.47%K -18.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV +1.85%E +0.463%K +0.618%G +0.011% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -2.99%E -0.893%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-02 13:54 |
| TABtouch | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.63%EV -15.68%E -8.47%K -18.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV +1.85%E +0.463%K +0.618%G +0.011% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -2.99%E -0.893%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-02 13:54 |
| betPARX | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.63%EV -15.68%E -8.47%K -18.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV +1.85%E +0.463%K +0.618%G +0.011% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -2.99%E -0.893%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-02 13:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.91%EV -16.59%E -9.07%K -19.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV +1.85%E +0.463%K +0.618%G +0.011% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.26%EV -2.99%E -0.893%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-02 13:54 |
| LeoVegas | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.76%EV -16.59%E -9.07%K -19.99%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV +0.580%E +0.147%K +0.197%G +0.001% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -2.99%E -0.893%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-02 13:54 |
| 1xBet | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.18%EV -6.11%E -2.96%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.27%EV -0.183%E -0.047%K -0.063%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.55%EV -6.76%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-02 19:19 |
| Pinnacle | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.45%EV -2.92%E -1.37%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.91I 25.58%NM 24.76%EV -0.438%E -0.112%K -0.151%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.79%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-02 19:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.69%EV -17.50%E -9.67%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.06%EV -0.693%E -0.178%K -0.239%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -4.44%E -1.35%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-02 13:54 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.69%EV -17.50%E -9.67%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.06%EV -0.693%E -0.178%K -0.239%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -4.44%E -1.35%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-02 13:54 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.18%EV -14.31%E -7.61%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -1.97%E -0.511%K -0.690%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -0.097%E -0.028%K -0.040%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-02 15:55 |
| FanDuel | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -8.84%E -4.42%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -3.24%E -0.852%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -7.34%E -2.29%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-02 19:20 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -8.84%E -4.42%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -3.24%E -0.852%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -10.23%E -3.30%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-02 19:21 |
| Coolbet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.77%EV -5.20%E -2.50%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -4.51%E -1.20%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -4.44%E -1.35%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-02 19:20 |
| SportsBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -8.84%E -4.42%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -4.51%E -1.20%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -10.23%E -3.30%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-02 19:19 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.16%EV -7.93%E -3.93%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.06%EV -5.28%E -1.42%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.78%EV -6.18%E -1.91%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-02 19:25 |
| DraftKings | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.28%E -2.04%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.64%EV -5.79%E -1.56%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-02 19:25 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -6.56%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -5.79%E -1.56%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -10.23%E -3.30%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-02 19:20 |
| Paddy Power | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.93%EV -11.12%E -5.70%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -5.79%E -1.56%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.86%EV -13.13%E -4.38%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-02 19:20 |
| BetAnything | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV -6.56%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.27%EV -7.06%E -1.93%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -10.23%E -3.30%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-02 19:25 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -6.56%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -8.33%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -4.44%E -1.35%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-02 19:19 |
| theScore Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -6.56%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -8.33%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-02 19:20 |
| Betsson | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.61%EV -7.93%E -3.93%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -8.33%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -7.34%E -2.29%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-02 19:19 |
| NordicBet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.61%EV -7.93%E -3.93%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -8.33%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -7.34%E -2.29%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-02 19:20 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -8.84%E -4.42%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -8.33%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-02 19:19 |
| William Hill | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -6.56%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -8.33%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -13.13%E -4.38%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-02 19:19 |
| BoyleSports | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -11.12%E -5.70%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -8.33%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -10.23%E -3.30%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-02 18:30 |
| Sky Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -11.12%E -5.70%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -8.33%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -13.13%E -4.38%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-02 19:19 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.49%EV -8.84%E -4.42%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -9.60%E -2.71%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -8.78%E -2.79%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-02 19:25 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.84%EV -11.12%E -5.70%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 25.32%EV -10.11%E -2.87%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.84%EV -10.23%E -3.30%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-02 19:23 |
| Fanatics | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -2.00%E -0.932%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -10.88%E -3.11%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -7.34%E -2.29%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-02 19:25 |
| Betway | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -4.28%E -2.04%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -10.88%E -3.11%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -10.23%E -3.30%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-02 19:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -8.84%E -4.42%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -10.88%E -3.11%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-02 19:20 |
| Bet Victor | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -6.56%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -10.88%E -3.11%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.30%EV -9.65%E -3.09%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-02 19:23 |
| BetMGM | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.78%EV -9.75%E -4.93%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -10.88%E -3.11%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -7.34%E -2.29%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-02 16:30 |
| Coral | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -11.12%E -5.70%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -10.88%E -3.11%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.23%E -3.30%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-02 16:30 |
| Neds | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -11.12%E -5.70%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -10.88%E -3.11%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.23%E -3.30%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-02 16:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -11.12%E -5.70%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -10.88%E -3.11%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.23%E -3.30%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-02 16:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -11.12%E -5.70%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -10.88%E -3.11%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.23%E -3.30%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-02 16:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.00%EV -12.03%E -6.23%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.36%EV -10.88%E -3.11%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -10.23%E -3.30%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-04-02 19:19 |
| PlayUp | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.38%EV -5.20%E -2.50%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.54%EV -13.42%E -3.95%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.08%EV -13.13%E -4.38%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-02 19:25 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 45.36%EV -12.49%E -6.50%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.61%EV -13.42%E -3.95%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.03%EV -13.13%E -4.38%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-04-02 19:25 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 45.35%EV -11.58%E -5.97%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.26%EV -14.70%E -4.39%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.38%EV -10.23%E -3.30%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-02 19:20 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.54% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.64% | 0.7% | 2026-04-02 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.54% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.64% | 0.7% | 2026-04-02 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.54% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.64% | 0.7% | 2026-04-02 19:25 |
| Matchbook | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.54% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.64% | 0.7% | 2026-04-02 19:25 |
| Smarkets | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.57% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.61% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.83% | 1.6% | 2026-04-02 19:25 |
| Kalshi | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.07% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.49% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.44% | 1.9% | 2026-04-02 19:20 |