مدرسة الاحتمالات

Leganés v Zaragoza

البداية: 2026-04-02 19:30 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

50 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Leganés (المضيف)

التنبؤ 45.58%2.19السعر العادل
EV -2.00%
الأفضلية -0.932%
Kelly -1.74%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.15

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
43.38%45.51%45.53%49.91%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.811.971.962.1555.25%50.77%50.89%46.51%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Zaragoza (الضيف)

التنبؤ 25.46%3.93السعر العادل
EV +4.40%
الأفضلية +1.07%
Kelly +1.42%
النمو +0.062%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.10

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
22.83%25.41%25.55%26.87%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.353.733.704.1029.85%26.78%27.03%24.39%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 28.96%3.45السعر العادل
EV -0.097%
الأفضلية -0.028%
Kelly -0.040%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.45

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.80%29.09%28.92%30.60%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.213.203.4533.33%31.16%31.25%28.99%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (50 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
LowVig.ag2.05I 48.78%NM 46.27%EV -6.56%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.13%EV +4.40%E +1.07%K +1.42%G +0.062%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.60%EV -10.23%E -3.30%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-02 19:25
BetOnline.ag2.05I 48.78%NM 46.27%EV -6.56%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.13%EV +4.40%E +1.07%K +1.42%G +0.062%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.60%EV -10.23%E -3.30%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-02 19:25
Unibet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.91%EV -14.31%E -7.61%K -16.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV +4.40%E +1.07%K +1.42%G +0.062%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -0.097%E -0.028%K -0.040%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-02 13:54
Unibet (NL)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.91%EV -14.31%E -7.61%K -16.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV +4.40%E +1.07%K +1.42%G +0.062%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -0.097%E -0.028%K -0.040%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-02 13:55
Unibet (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.91%EV -14.31%E -7.61%K -16.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV +4.40%E +1.07%K +1.42%G +0.062%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -0.097%E -0.028%K -0.040%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-02 13:54
ATG (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.91%EV -14.31%E -7.61%K -16.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV +4.40%E +1.07%K +1.42%G +0.062%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -0.097%E -0.028%K -0.040%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-02 13:55
Svenska Spel1.88I 53.19%NM 49.91%EV -14.31%E -7.61%K -16.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV +4.40%E +1.07%K +1.42%G +0.062%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -0.097%E -0.028%K -0.040%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-02 13:54
Casumo1.85I 54.05%NM 49.63%EV -15.68%E -8.47%K -18.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV +1.85%E +0.463%K +0.618%G +0.011%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -2.99%E -0.893%K -1.27%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-02 13:55
Grosvenor1.85I 54.05%NM 49.63%EV -15.68%E -8.47%K -18.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV +1.85%E +0.463%K +0.618%G +0.011%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -2.99%E -0.893%K -1.27%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-02 13:54
TABtouch1.85I 54.05%NM 49.63%EV -15.68%E -8.47%K -18.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV +1.85%E +0.463%K +0.618%G +0.011%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -2.99%E -0.893%K -1.27%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-02 13:54
betPARX1.85I 54.05%NM 49.63%EV -15.68%E -8.47%K -18.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV +1.85%E +0.463%K +0.618%G +0.011%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -2.99%E -0.893%K -1.27%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-02 13:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.91%EV -16.59%E -9.07%K -19.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV +1.85%E +0.463%K +0.618%G +0.011%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.26%EV -2.99%E -0.893%K -1.27%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-02 13:54
LeoVegas1.83I 54.64%NM 49.76%EV -16.59%E -9.07%K -19.99%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV +0.580%E +0.147%K +0.197%G +0.001%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -2.99%E -0.893%K -1.27%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-02 13:54
1xBet2.06I 48.54%NM 46.18%EV -6.11%E -2.96%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.27%EV -0.183%E -0.047%K -0.063%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.55%EV -6.76%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 19:19
Pinnacle2.13I 46.95%NM 45.45%EV -2.92%E -1.37%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.76%EV -0.438%E -0.112%K -0.151%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.79%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-02 19:25
LiveScore Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 49.69%EV -17.50%E -9.67%K -21.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.06%EV -0.693%E -0.178%K -0.239%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -4.44%E -1.35%K -1.93%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-02 13:54
Virgin Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 49.69%EV -17.50%E -9.67%K -21.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.06%EV -0.693%E -0.178%K -0.239%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -4.44%E -1.35%K -1.93%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-02 13:54
PMU (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.18%EV -14.31%E -7.61%K -16.26%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -1.97%E -0.511%K -0.690%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -0.097%E -0.028%K -0.040%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-02 15:55
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -8.84%E -4.42%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -3.24%E -0.852%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -7.34%E -2.29%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-02 19:20
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -8.84%E -4.42%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -3.24%E -0.852%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -10.23%E -3.30%K -4.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-02 19:21
Coolbet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.77%EV -5.20%E -2.50%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -4.51%E -1.20%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -4.44%E -1.35%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-02 19:20
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -8.84%E -4.42%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -4.51%E -1.20%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -10.23%E -3.30%K -4.87%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-02 19:19
Marathon Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.16%EV -7.93%E -3.93%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.06%EV -5.28%E -1.42%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.78%EV -6.18%E -1.91%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-02 19:25
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.28%E -2.04%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.64%EV -5.79%E -1.56%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-02 19:25
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -6.56%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -5.79%E -1.56%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -10.23%E -3.30%K -4.87%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-02 19:20
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 45.93%EV -11.12%E -5.70%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -5.79%E -1.56%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.86%EV -13.13%E -4.38%K -6.56%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-02 19:20
BetAnything2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV -6.56%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.27%EV -7.06%E -1.93%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -10.23%E -3.30%K -4.87%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-02 19:25
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -6.56%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -8.33%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -4.44%E -1.35%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-02 19:19
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -6.56%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -8.33%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-02 19:20
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 45.61%EV -7.93%E -3.93%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -8.33%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -7.34%E -2.29%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-02 19:19
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.61%EV -7.93%E -3.93%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -8.33%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -7.34%E -2.29%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-02 19:20
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -8.84%E -4.42%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -8.33%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-02 19:19
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -6.56%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -8.33%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -13.13%E -4.38%K -6.56%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-02 19:19
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -11.12%E -5.70%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -8.33%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -10.23%E -3.30%K -4.87%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-02 18:30
Sky Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -11.12%E -5.70%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -8.33%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -13.13%E -4.38%K -6.56%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-02 19:19
Codere (IT)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.49%EV -8.84%E -4.42%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -9.60%E -2.71%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -8.78%E -2.79%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-02 19:25
Betclic (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.84%EV -11.12%E -5.70%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 25.32%EV -10.11%E -2.87%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.84%EV -10.23%E -3.30%K -4.87%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-02 19:23
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -2.00%E -0.932%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -10.88%E -3.11%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -7.34%E -2.29%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-02 19:25
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -4.28%E -2.04%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -10.88%E -3.11%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -10.23%E -3.30%K -4.87%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-02 19:20
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -8.84%E -4.42%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -10.88%E -3.11%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-02 19:20
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -6.56%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -10.88%E -3.11%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.30%EV -9.65%E -3.09%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-02 19:23
BetMGM1.98I 50.51%NM 45.78%EV -9.75%E -4.93%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -10.88%E -3.11%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -7.34%E -2.29%K -3.33%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-02 16:30
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -11.12%E -5.70%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -10.88%E -3.11%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.23%E -3.30%K -4.87%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-02 16:30
Neds1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -11.12%E -5.70%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -10.88%E -3.11%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.23%E -3.30%K -4.87%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-02 16:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -11.12%E -5.70%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -10.88%E -3.11%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.23%E -3.30%K -4.87%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-02 16:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -11.12%E -5.70%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -10.88%E -3.11%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.23%E -3.30%K -4.87%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-02 16:30
Unibet (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 46.00%EV -12.03%E -6.23%K -12.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.36%EV -10.88%E -3.11%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -10.23%E -3.30%K -4.87%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-02 19:19
PlayUp2.08I 48.08%NM 43.38%EV -5.20%E -2.50%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.54%EV -13.42%E -3.95%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.08%EV -13.13%E -4.38%K -6.56%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-02 19:25
NetBet (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 45.36%EV -12.49%E -6.50%K -13.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.61%EV -13.42%E -3.95%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.03%EV -13.13%E -4.38%K -6.56%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-02 19:25
Winamax (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 45.35%EV -11.58%E -5.97%K -12.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.26%EV -14.70%E -4.39%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.38%EV -10.23%E -3.30%K -4.87%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-02 19:20
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.54%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.64%0.7%2026-04-02 19:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.54%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.64%0.7%2026-04-02 19:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.54%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.64%0.7%2026-04-02 19:25
Matchbook2.18I 45.87%NM 45.54%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.64%0.7%2026-04-02 19:25
Smarkets2.16I 46.30%NM 45.57%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.61%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.83%1.6%2026-04-02 19:25
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.07%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.49%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.44%1.9%2026-04-02 19:20