A Escola das Odds

Leganés v Albacete

Início: 2026-04-11 14:17 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

51 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Leganés (Local)

Previsão 48.52%2.06odd justa
EV -0.048%
Vantagem -0.023%
Kelly -0.045%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.06

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
45.48%48.62%48.44%49.91%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.781.931.912.0656.18%51.89%52.36%48.54%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Albacete (Visitante)

Previsão 23.49%4.26odd justa
EV +2.89%
Vantagem +0.661%
Kelly +0.856%
Crescimento +0.025%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.38

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.68%23.43%23.63%26.25%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.353.783.804.3829.85%26.48%26.32%22.83%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 27.99%3.57odd justa
EV -2.04%
Vantagem -0.584%
Kelly -0.817%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.96%27.95%27.93%29.35%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.883.243.253.5034.72%30.88%30.77%28.57%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (51 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.46%EV -6.84%E -3.56%K -7.44%G +0.000%4.38I 22.83%NM 21.68%EV +2.89%E +0.661%K +0.856%G +0.025%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.86%EV -7.92%E -2.41%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 14:14
Pinnacle1.94I 51.55%NM 49.79%EV -5.87%E -3.03%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.21%EV +2.19%E +0.503%K +0.653%G +0.014%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.00%EV -3.44%E -0.998%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-11 14:14
Marathon Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 49.91%EV -9.27%E -4.96%K -10.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -1.33%E -0.318%K -0.417%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -6.24%E -1.86%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 14:15
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 49.70%EV -9.27%E -4.96%K -10.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -1.33%E -0.318%K -0.417%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -7.64%E -2.32%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 14:15
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 48.48%EV -7.33%E -3.84%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.58%EV -3.68%E -0.899%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -10.44%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-11 14:15
Tipico (DE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.71%EV -10.24%E -5.53%K -12.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -3.68%E -0.899%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -7.64%E -2.32%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 14:15
BetAnything1.86I 53.76%NM 49.36%EV -9.75%E -5.24%K -11.34%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -3.68%E -0.899%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -9.04%E -2.78%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 14:14
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -5.39%E -2.76%K -5.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -6.03%E -1.51%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -4.84%E -1.42%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-11 14:15
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -7.33%E -3.84%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -6.03%E -1.51%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -10.44%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 14:14
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 47.89%EV -7.81%E -4.11%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -6.03%E -1.51%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.35%EV -13.24%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 14:14
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.55%EV -7.33%E -3.84%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV -8.38%E -2.15%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -6.24%E -1.86%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 14:15
Betsson1.92I 52.08%NM 48.01%EV -6.84%E -3.56%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -8.38%E -2.15%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -9.04%E -2.78%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 14:14
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.01%EV -6.84%E -3.56%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -8.38%E -2.15%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -9.04%E -2.78%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 14:14
LowVig.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 47.66%EV -6.36%E -3.29%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -8.38%E -2.15%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.75%EV -10.44%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 14:15
BetOnline.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 47.66%EV -6.36%E -3.29%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -8.38%E -2.15%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.75%EV -10.44%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 14:15
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -10.24%E -5.53%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -8.38%E -2.15%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -4.84%E -1.42%K -2.02%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 14:13
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 47.49%EV -7.33%E -3.84%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -8.38%E -2.15%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.26%EV -13.24%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-11 14:13
Coolbet1.98I 50.51%NM 48.08%EV -3.93%E -1.98%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.73%EV -9.56%E -2.48%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.20%EV -2.04%E -0.584%K -0.817%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 14:14
Codere (IT)1.90I 52.63%NM 47.91%EV -7.81%E -4.11%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.64%EV -9.56%E -2.48%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.45%EV -10.44%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 14:14
NetBet (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 48.88%EV -13.63%E -7.66%K -17.48%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.60%EV -9.56%E -2.48%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.53%EV -14.64%E -4.80%K -7.14%G +0.000%14.9%2026-04-11 14:14
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -5.39%E -2.76%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -10.73%E -2.82%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -4.84%E -1.42%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 14:14
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -7.33%E -3.84%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -10.73%E -2.82%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -4.84%E -1.42%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 14:15
PointsBet (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -7.33%E -3.84%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -10.73%E -2.82%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -4.84%E -1.42%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 14:14
Winamax (DE)1.86I 53.76%NM 48.50%EV -9.75%E -5.24%K -11.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -10.73%E -2.82%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.76%EV -9.04%E -2.78%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-11 14:15
Paddy Power1.87I 53.48%NM 47.73%EV -9.27%E -4.96%K -10.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -10.73%E -2.82%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.79%EV -13.24%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-11 14:14
Unibet (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.70%EV -11.21%E -6.12%K -13.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -10.73%E -2.82%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -10.44%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-11 14:14
Sky Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 47.54%EV -10.24%E -5.53%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.14%EV -10.73%E -2.82%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.32%EV -16.04%E -5.35%K -8.02%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-11 14:15
Betclic (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -10.24%E -5.53%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 23.63%EV -11.20%E -2.96%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 28.09%EV -11.00%E -3.46%K -5.05%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-11 14:12
PlayUp1.90I 52.63%NM 47.61%EV -7.81%E -4.11%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -11.91%E -3.17%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -10.44%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-11 14:14
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 48.01%EV -9.27%E -4.96%K -10.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -11.91%E -3.17%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -10.44%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-11 14:15
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 47.53%EV -7.33%E -3.84%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.54%EV -13.08%E -3.54%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -9.04%E -2.78%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-11 14:13
Winamax (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 48.32%EV -11.69%E -6.42%K -14.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.77%EV -13.08%E -3.54%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.92%EV -11.84%E -3.76%K -5.51%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-11 14:15
Unibet2.06I 48.54%NM 45.53%EV -0.048%E -0.023%K -0.045%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -15.43%E -4.29%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.64%E -2.32%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 14:15
Unibet (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 45.53%EV -0.048%E -0.023%K -0.045%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -15.43%E -4.29%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.64%E -2.32%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 14:15
Unibet (NL)2.06I 48.54%NM 45.53%EV -0.048%E -0.023%K -0.045%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -15.43%E -4.29%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.64%E -2.32%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 14:15
Svenska Spel2.06I 48.54%NM 45.53%EV -0.048%E -0.023%K -0.045%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -15.43%E -4.29%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.64%E -2.32%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 14:14
ATG (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 45.53%EV -0.048%E -0.023%K -0.045%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -15.43%E -4.29%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.64%E -2.32%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 14:14
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -7.33%E -3.84%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -15.43%E -4.29%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -10.44%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-11 14:14
Neds1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -7.33%E -3.84%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -15.43%E -4.29%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -10.44%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-11 14:14
Ladbrokes (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -7.33%E -3.84%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -15.43%E -4.29%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -10.44%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-11 14:14
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -7.33%E -3.84%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -15.43%E -4.29%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -10.44%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-11 14:15
Grosvenor2.02I 49.50%NM 45.48%EV -1.99%E -0.984%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -17.78%E -5.08%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -9.04%E -2.78%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 14:14
Casumo2.02I 49.50%NM 45.48%EV -1.99%E -0.984%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -17.78%E -5.08%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -9.04%E -2.78%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 14:15
TABtouch2.02I 49.50%NM 45.48%EV -1.99%E -0.984%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -17.78%E -5.08%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -9.04%E -2.78%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 14:14
betPARX2.02I 49.50%NM 45.48%EV -1.99%E -0.984%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -17.78%E -5.08%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -9.04%E -2.78%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 14:15
LeoVegas2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -2.96%E -1.48%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -17.78%E -5.08%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -10.44%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 14:15
LeoVegas (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -2.96%E -1.48%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -17.78%E -5.08%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -10.44%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 14:15
Virgin Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 45.61%EV -3.93%E -1.98%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.17%EV -18.95%E -5.49%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.22%EV -10.44%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-11 14:15
LiveScore Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 45.61%EV -3.93%E -1.98%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.17%EV -18.95%E -5.49%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.22%EV -10.44%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-11 14:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 46.01%EV -11.21%E -6.12%K -13.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.76%EV -20.13%E -5.92%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.23%EV -19.40%E -6.73%K -10.32%G +0.000%18.8%2026-04-11 14:15
PMU (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 45.48%EV -6.36%E -3.29%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.20%EV -21.30%E -6.36%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -13.24%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-11 14:15
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.85%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.67%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.48%0.3%2026-04-11 14:15
Matchbook1.99I 50.25%NM 49.97%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.62%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.41%0.6%2026-04-11 14:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.61%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.05%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.35%0.8%2026-04-11 14:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.61%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.05%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.35%0.8%2026-04-11 14:15
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 48.95%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.25%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.80%2.1%2026-04-11 14:15
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 50.94%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.16%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.90%3.9%2026-04-11 14:15