La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Leganés v Albacete
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Leganés (Local)
Predicción 48.52%2.06momio equitativo
EV -0.048%
Ventaja -0.023%
Kelly -0.045%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.06
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.48%48.62%48.44%49.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.781.931.912.0656.18%51.89%52.36%48.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Albacete (Visitante)
Predicción 23.49%4.26momio equitativo
EV +2.89%
Ventaja +0.661%
Kelly +0.856%
Crecimiento +0.025%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.38
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.68%23.43%23.63%26.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.353.783.804.3829.85%26.48%26.32%22.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.99%3.57momio equitativo
EV -2.04%
Ventaja -0.584%
Kelly -0.817%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.96%27.95%27.93%29.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.243.253.5034.72%30.88%30.77%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.46%EV -6.84%E -3.56%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 4.38I 22.83%NM 21.68%EV +2.89%E +0.661%K +0.856%G +0.025% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.86%EV -7.92%E -2.41%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-11 14:14 |
| Pinnacle | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.79%EV -5.87%E -3.03%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.21%EV +2.19%E +0.503%K +0.653%G +0.014% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.00%EV -3.44%E -0.998%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-11 14:14 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.91%EV -9.27%E -4.96%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -1.33%E -0.318%K -0.417%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -6.24%E -1.86%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-11 14:15 |
| DraftKings | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.70%EV -9.27%E -4.96%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -1.33%E -0.318%K -0.417%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -7.64%E -2.32%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-11 14:15 |
| FanDuel | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.48%EV -7.33%E -3.84%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.58%EV -3.68%E -0.899%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -10.44%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-11 14:15 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.71%EV -10.24%E -5.53%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -3.68%E -0.899%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -7.64%E -2.32%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-11 14:15 |
| BetAnything | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.36%EV -9.75%E -5.24%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -3.68%E -0.899%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -9.04%E -2.78%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-11 14:14 |
| Fanatics | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -5.39%E -2.76%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -6.03%E -1.51%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -4.84%E -1.42%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-11 14:15 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -7.33%E -3.84%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -6.03%E -1.51%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -10.44%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-11 14:14 |
| SportsBet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.89%EV -7.81%E -4.11%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -6.03%E -1.51%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.35%EV -13.24%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-11 14:14 |
| theScore Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.55%EV -7.33%E -3.84%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV -8.38%E -2.15%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -6.24%E -1.86%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-11 14:15 |
| Betsson | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.01%EV -6.84%E -3.56%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -8.38%E -2.15%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -9.04%E -2.78%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-11 14:14 |
| NordicBet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.01%EV -6.84%E -3.56%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -8.38%E -2.15%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -9.04%E -2.78%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-11 14:14 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.66%EV -6.36%E -3.29%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -8.38%E -2.15%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.75%EV -10.44%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-11 14:15 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.66%EV -6.36%E -3.29%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -8.38%E -2.15%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.75%EV -10.44%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-11 14:15 |
| Bet Victor | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -10.24%E -5.53%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -8.38%E -2.15%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -4.84%E -1.42%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-11 14:13 |
| William Hill | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.49%EV -7.33%E -3.84%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -8.38%E -2.15%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.26%EV -13.24%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-11 14:13 |
| Coolbet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.08%EV -3.93%E -1.98%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.73%EV -9.56%E -2.48%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.20%EV -2.04%E -0.584%K -0.817%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-11 14:14 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.91%EV -7.81%E -4.11%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.64%EV -9.56%E -2.48%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.45%EV -10.44%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-11 14:14 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 48.88%EV -13.63%E -7.66%K -17.48%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.60%EV -9.56%E -2.48%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.53%EV -14.64%E -4.80%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-04-11 14:14 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -5.39%E -2.76%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -10.73%E -2.82%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -4.84%E -1.42%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-11 14:14 |
| Betway | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -7.33%E -3.84%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -10.73%E -2.82%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -4.84%E -1.42%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-11 14:15 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -7.33%E -3.84%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -10.73%E -2.82%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -4.84%E -1.42%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-11 14:14 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.50%EV -9.75%E -5.24%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -10.73%E -2.82%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.76%EV -9.04%E -2.78%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-11 14:15 |
| Paddy Power | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.73%EV -9.27%E -4.96%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -10.73%E -2.82%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.79%EV -13.24%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-11 14:14 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.70%EV -11.21%E -6.12%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -10.73%E -2.82%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -10.44%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-11 14:14 |
| Sky Bet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.54%EV -10.24%E -5.53%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.14%EV -10.73%E -2.82%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.32%EV -16.04%E -5.35%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-11 14:15 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -10.24%E -5.53%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 23.63%EV -11.20%E -2.96%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 28.09%EV -11.00%E -3.46%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-11 14:12 |
| PlayUp | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.61%EV -7.81%E -4.11%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -11.91%E -3.17%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -10.44%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-11 14:14 |
| BoyleSports | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.01%EV -9.27%E -4.96%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -11.91%E -3.17%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -10.44%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-11 14:15 |
| BetMGM | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.53%EV -7.33%E -3.84%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.54%EV -13.08%E -3.54%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -9.04%E -2.78%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-11 14:13 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.32%EV -11.69%E -6.42%K -14.26%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.77%EV -13.08%E -3.54%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.92%EV -11.84%E -3.76%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-11 14:15 |
| Unibet | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.53%EV -0.048%E -0.023%K -0.045%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -15.43%E -4.29%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.64%E -2.32%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-11 14:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.53%EV -0.048%E -0.023%K -0.045%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -15.43%E -4.29%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.64%E -2.32%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-11 14:15 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.53%EV -0.048%E -0.023%K -0.045%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -15.43%E -4.29%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.64%E -2.32%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-11 14:15 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.53%EV -0.048%E -0.023%K -0.045%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -15.43%E -4.29%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.64%E -2.32%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-11 14:14 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.53%EV -0.048%E -0.023%K -0.045%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -15.43%E -4.29%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.64%E -2.32%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-11 14:14 |
| Coral | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -7.33%E -3.84%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -15.43%E -4.29%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -10.44%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-11 14:14 |
| Neds | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -7.33%E -3.84%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -15.43%E -4.29%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -10.44%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-11 14:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -7.33%E -3.84%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -15.43%E -4.29%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -10.44%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-11 14:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -7.33%E -3.84%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -15.43%E -4.29%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -10.44%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-11 14:15 |
| Grosvenor | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.48%EV -1.99%E -0.984%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -17.78%E -5.08%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -9.04%E -2.78%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-11 14:14 |
| Casumo | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.48%EV -1.99%E -0.984%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -17.78%E -5.08%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -9.04%E -2.78%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-11 14:15 |
| TABtouch | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.48%EV -1.99%E -0.984%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -17.78%E -5.08%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -9.04%E -2.78%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-11 14:14 |
| betPARX | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.48%EV -1.99%E -0.984%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -17.78%E -5.08%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -9.04%E -2.78%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-11 14:15 |
| LeoVegas | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -2.96%E -1.48%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -17.78%E -5.08%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -10.44%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-11 14:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -2.96%E -1.48%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -17.78%E -5.08%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -10.44%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-11 14:15 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.61%EV -3.93%E -1.98%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.17%EV -18.95%E -5.49%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.22%EV -10.44%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-11 14:15 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.61%EV -3.93%E -1.98%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.17%EV -18.95%E -5.49%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.22%EV -10.44%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-11 14:14 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 46.01%EV -11.21%E -6.12%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.76%EV -20.13%E -5.92%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.23%EV -19.40%E -6.73%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 18.8% | 2026-04-11 14:15 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 45.48%EV -6.36%E -3.29%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.20%EV -21.30%E -6.36%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -13.24%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-11 14:15 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.85% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.67% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.48% | 0.3% | 2026-04-11 14:15 |
| Matchbook | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.97% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.62% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.41% | 0.6% | 2026-04-11 14:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.61% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.05% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.35% | 0.8% | 2026-04-11 14:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.61% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.05% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.35% | 0.8% | 2026-04-11 14:15 |
| Smarkets | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.95% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.25% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.80% | 2.1% | 2026-04-11 14:15 |
| Kalshi | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.94% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.16% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.90% | 3.9% | 2026-04-11 14:15 |