مدرسة الاحتمالات

Leganés v Albacete

البداية: 2026-04-11 14:17 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

51 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Leganés (المضيف)

التنبؤ 48.52%2.06السعر العادل
EV -0.048%
الأفضلية -0.023%
Kelly -0.045%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.06

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
45.48%48.62%48.44%49.91%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.781.931.912.0656.18%51.89%52.36%48.54%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Albacete (الضيف)

التنبؤ 23.49%4.26السعر العادل
EV +2.89%
الأفضلية +0.661%
Kelly +0.856%
النمو +0.025%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.38

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
21.68%23.43%23.63%26.25%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.353.783.804.3829.85%26.48%26.32%22.83%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 27.99%3.57السعر العادل
EV -2.04%
الأفضلية -0.584%
Kelly -0.817%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.96%27.95%27.93%29.35%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.883.243.253.5034.72%30.88%30.77%28.57%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (51 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.46%EV -6.84%E -3.56%K -7.44%G +0.000%4.38I 22.83%NM 21.68%EV +2.89%E +0.661%K +0.856%G +0.025%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.86%EV -7.92%E -2.41%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 14:14
Pinnacle1.94I 51.55%NM 49.79%EV -5.87%E -3.03%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.21%EV +2.19%E +0.503%K +0.653%G +0.014%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.00%EV -3.44%E -0.998%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-11 14:14
Marathon Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 49.91%EV -9.27%E -4.96%K -10.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -1.33%E -0.318%K -0.417%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -6.24%E -1.86%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 14:15
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 49.70%EV -9.27%E -4.96%K -10.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -1.33%E -0.318%K -0.417%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -7.64%E -2.32%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 14:15
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 48.48%EV -7.33%E -3.84%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.58%EV -3.68%E -0.899%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -10.44%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-11 14:15
Tipico (DE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.71%EV -10.24%E -5.53%K -12.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -3.68%E -0.899%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -7.64%E -2.32%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 14:15
BetAnything1.86I 53.76%NM 49.36%EV -9.75%E -5.24%K -11.34%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -3.68%E -0.899%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -9.04%E -2.78%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 14:14
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -5.39%E -2.76%K -5.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -6.03%E -1.51%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -4.84%E -1.42%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-11 14:15
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -7.33%E -3.84%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -6.03%E -1.51%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -10.44%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 14:14
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 47.89%EV -7.81%E -4.11%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -6.03%E -1.51%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.35%EV -13.24%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 14:14
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.55%EV -7.33%E -3.84%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV -8.38%E -2.15%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -6.24%E -1.86%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 14:15
Betsson1.92I 52.08%NM 48.01%EV -6.84%E -3.56%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -8.38%E -2.15%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -9.04%E -2.78%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 14:14
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.01%EV -6.84%E -3.56%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -8.38%E -2.15%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -9.04%E -2.78%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 14:14
LowVig.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 47.66%EV -6.36%E -3.29%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -8.38%E -2.15%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.75%EV -10.44%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 14:15
BetOnline.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 47.66%EV -6.36%E -3.29%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -8.38%E -2.15%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.75%EV -10.44%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 14:15
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -10.24%E -5.53%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -8.38%E -2.15%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -4.84%E -1.42%K -2.02%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 14:13
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 47.49%EV -7.33%E -3.84%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -8.38%E -2.15%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.26%EV -13.24%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-11 14:13
Coolbet1.98I 50.51%NM 48.08%EV -3.93%E -1.98%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.73%EV -9.56%E -2.48%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.20%EV -2.04%E -0.584%K -0.817%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 14:14
Codere (IT)1.90I 52.63%NM 47.91%EV -7.81%E -4.11%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.64%EV -9.56%E -2.48%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.45%EV -10.44%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 14:14
NetBet (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 48.88%EV -13.63%E -7.66%K -17.48%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.60%EV -9.56%E -2.48%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.53%EV -14.64%E -4.80%K -7.14%G +0.000%14.9%2026-04-11 14:14
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -5.39%E -2.76%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -10.73%E -2.82%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -4.84%E -1.42%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 14:14
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -7.33%E -3.84%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -10.73%E -2.82%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -4.84%E -1.42%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 14:15
PointsBet (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -7.33%E -3.84%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -10.73%E -2.82%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -4.84%E -1.42%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 14:14
Winamax (DE)1.86I 53.76%NM 48.50%EV -9.75%E -5.24%K -11.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -10.73%E -2.82%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.76%EV -9.04%E -2.78%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-11 14:15
Paddy Power1.87I 53.48%NM 47.73%EV -9.27%E -4.96%K -10.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -10.73%E -2.82%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.79%EV -13.24%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-11 14:14
Unibet (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.70%EV -11.21%E -6.12%K -13.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -10.73%E -2.82%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -10.44%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-11 14:14
Sky Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 47.54%EV -10.24%E -5.53%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.14%EV -10.73%E -2.82%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.32%EV -16.04%E -5.35%K -8.02%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-11 14:15
Betclic (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -10.24%E -5.53%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 23.63%EV -11.20%E -2.96%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 28.09%EV -11.00%E -3.46%K -5.05%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-11 14:12
PlayUp1.90I 52.63%NM 47.61%EV -7.81%E -4.11%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -11.91%E -3.17%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -10.44%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-11 14:14
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 48.01%EV -9.27%E -4.96%K -10.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -11.91%E -3.17%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -10.44%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-11 14:15
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 47.53%EV -7.33%E -3.84%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.54%EV -13.08%E -3.54%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -9.04%E -2.78%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-11 14:13
Winamax (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 48.32%EV -11.69%E -6.42%K -14.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.77%EV -13.08%E -3.54%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.92%EV -11.84%E -3.76%K -5.51%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-11 14:15
Unibet2.06I 48.54%NM 45.53%EV -0.048%E -0.023%K -0.045%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -15.43%E -4.29%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.64%E -2.32%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 14:15
Unibet (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 45.53%EV -0.048%E -0.023%K -0.045%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -15.43%E -4.29%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.64%E -2.32%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 14:15
Unibet (NL)2.06I 48.54%NM 45.53%EV -0.048%E -0.023%K -0.045%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -15.43%E -4.29%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.64%E -2.32%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 14:15
Svenska Spel2.06I 48.54%NM 45.53%EV -0.048%E -0.023%K -0.045%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -15.43%E -4.29%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.64%E -2.32%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 14:14
ATG (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 45.53%EV -0.048%E -0.023%K -0.045%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -15.43%E -4.29%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.64%E -2.32%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 14:14
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -7.33%E -3.84%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -15.43%E -4.29%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -10.44%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-11 14:14
Neds1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -7.33%E -3.84%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -15.43%E -4.29%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -10.44%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-11 14:14
Ladbrokes (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -7.33%E -3.84%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -15.43%E -4.29%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -10.44%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-11 14:14
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -7.33%E -3.84%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -15.43%E -4.29%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -10.44%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-11 14:15
Grosvenor2.02I 49.50%NM 45.48%EV -1.99%E -0.984%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -17.78%E -5.08%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -9.04%E -2.78%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 14:14
Casumo2.02I 49.50%NM 45.48%EV -1.99%E -0.984%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -17.78%E -5.08%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -9.04%E -2.78%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 14:15
TABtouch2.02I 49.50%NM 45.48%EV -1.99%E -0.984%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -17.78%E -5.08%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -9.04%E -2.78%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 14:14
betPARX2.02I 49.50%NM 45.48%EV -1.99%E -0.984%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -17.78%E -5.08%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -9.04%E -2.78%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 14:15
LeoVegas2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -2.96%E -1.48%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -17.78%E -5.08%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -10.44%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 14:15
LeoVegas (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -2.96%E -1.48%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -17.78%E -5.08%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -10.44%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 14:15
Virgin Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 45.61%EV -3.93%E -1.98%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.17%EV -18.95%E -5.49%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.22%EV -10.44%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-11 14:15
LiveScore Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 45.61%EV -3.93%E -1.98%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.17%EV -18.95%E -5.49%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.22%EV -10.44%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-11 14:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 46.01%EV -11.21%E -6.12%K -13.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.76%EV -20.13%E -5.92%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.23%EV -19.40%E -6.73%K -10.32%G +0.000%18.8%2026-04-11 14:15
PMU (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 45.48%EV -6.36%E -3.29%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.20%EV -21.30%E -6.36%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -13.24%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-11 14:15
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.85%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.67%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.48%0.3%2026-04-11 14:15
Matchbook1.99I 50.25%NM 49.97%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.62%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.41%0.6%2026-04-11 14:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.61%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.05%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.35%0.8%2026-04-11 14:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.61%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.05%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.35%0.8%2026-04-11 14:15
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 48.95%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.25%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.80%2.1%2026-04-11 14:15
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 50.94%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.16%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.90%3.9%2026-04-11 14:15