Langue:Français
Las Palmas v Málaga
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Las Palmas (Local)
Prévision 43.01%2.33cote équitable
EV -3.23%
Avantage -1.43%
Kelly -2.58%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.25
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.24%42.99%42.96%45.20%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.942.112.102.2551.55%47.39%47.62%44.44%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Málaga (Visiteur)
Prévision 26.81%3.73cote équitable
EV +0.792%
Avantage +0.211%
Kelly +0.287%
Croissance +0.002%
avec la cote maximale 3.76
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.33%26.84%26.87%28.11%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.103.483.503.7632.26%28.72%28.57%26.60%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 30.18%3.31cote équitable
EV -1.90%
Avantage -0.586%
Kelly -0.847%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.25
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.38%30.17%30.17%32.99%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.503.053.053.2540.00%32.83%32.79%30.77%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Las Palmas (Local) : 43.01% ; Málaga (Visiteur) : 26.81% ; Match nul : 30.18%. Pour Málaga (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.73. 3 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.76, soit une espérance positive de +0.792%.
Cotes des opérateurs (45 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.61%EV -4.52%E -2.03%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.75%EV +0.792%E +0.211%K +0.287%G +0.002% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.64%EV -4.62%E -1.46%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-06-07 18:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.89%EV -8.82%E -4.16%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.38%EV +0.524%E +0.140%K +0.190%G +0.001% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.74%EV -3.41%E -1.07%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-07 19:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.89%EV -8.82%E -4.16%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.38%EV +0.524%E +0.140%K +0.190%G +0.001% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.74%EV -3.41%E -1.07%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-07 19:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.66%EV -4.52%E -2.03%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 26.05%EV -0.281%E -0.075%K -0.103%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.29%EV -3.41%E -1.07%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-06-07 18:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.20%EV -10.54%E -5.07%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -0.817%E -0.221%K -0.303%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -3.41%E -1.07%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-07 18:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.20%EV -10.54%E -5.07%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -0.817%E -0.221%K -0.303%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -3.41%E -1.07%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-07 19:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.20%EV -10.54%E -5.07%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -0.817%E -0.221%K -0.303%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -3.41%E -1.07%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-07 18:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -7.53%E -3.50%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -3.50%E -0.972%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -9.45%E -3.15%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-07 18:58 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.56%EV -8.82%E -4.16%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -3.50%E -0.972%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.78%EV -9.45%E -3.15%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-07 18:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.56%EV -8.82%E -4.16%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -3.50%E -0.972%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.78%EV -9.45%E -3.15%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-07 18:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -11.83%E -5.77%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -3.50%E -0.972%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -6.43%E -2.07%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-07 19:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -11.83%E -5.77%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -3.50%E -0.972%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -6.43%E -2.07%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-07 19:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -11.83%E -5.77%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -3.50%E -0.972%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -6.43%E -2.07%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-07 18:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -11.83%E -5.77%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -3.50%E -0.972%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -6.43%E -2.07%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-07 19:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.95%EV -12.26%E -6.01%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -3.50%E -0.972%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -6.43%E -2.07%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-07 18:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.19%EV -13.12%E -6.49%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -3.50%E -0.972%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -6.43%E -2.07%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-06-07 18:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.83%EV -5.81%E -2.65%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -4.84%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.75%EV -7.94%E -2.60%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-07 18:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.83%EV -5.81%E -2.65%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -4.84%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.75%EV -7.94%E -2.60%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-07 19:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -5.38%E -2.44%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.18%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -6.43%E -2.07%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-07 18:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -7.53%E -3.50%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.18%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.43%E -2.07%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-07 18:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -7.53%E -3.50%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.18%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -9.45%E -3.15%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-07 18:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -9.68%E -4.61%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -6.18%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -12.47%E -4.30%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-06-07 19:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -9.68%E -4.61%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -6.18%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -12.47%E -4.30%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-06-07 18:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -9.68%E -4.61%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -6.18%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -13.07%E -4.54%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-06-07 18:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.28%EV -3.23%E -1.43%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.42%EV -6.98%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.30%EV -5.23%E -1.66%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-07 18:58 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 45.05%EV -16.56%E -8.54%K -17.62%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.33%EV -7.52%E -2.18%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.62%EV -10.96%E -3.72%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-06-07 18:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.48%EV -3.23%E -1.43%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.11%EV -8.86%E -2.61%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.41%EV -1.90%E -0.586%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-07 18:58 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -5.38%E -2.44%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -8.86%E -2.61%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -4.92%E -1.56%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-07 18:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -7.53%E -3.50%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.86%E -2.61%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -9.45%E -3.15%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-06-07 18:58 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -9.68%E -4.61%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -8.86%E -2.61%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -6.43%E -2.07%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-06-07 18:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -9.68%E -4.61%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -8.86%E -2.61%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.45%E -3.15%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-06-07 18:59 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -9.68%E -4.61%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -8.86%E -2.61%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -13.07%E -4.54%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-06-07 18:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.27%EV -6.24%E -2.86%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.51%EV -10.20%E -3.04%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -7.94%E -2.60%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-07 19:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.27%EV -6.24%E -2.86%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.51%EV -10.20%E -3.04%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -7.94%E -2.60%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-07 19:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.19%EV -9.68%E -4.61%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -10.20%E -3.04%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -7.94%E -2.60%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-06-07 18:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.87%EV -9.68%E -4.61%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 27.12%EV -11.00%E -3.31%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -9.45%E -3.15%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-06-07 18:58 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -5.38%E -2.44%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -11.54%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -6.43%E -2.07%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-07 18:59 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.53%E -3.50%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.54%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -6.43%E -2.07%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-07 18:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -11.83%E -5.77%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.54%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -9.45%E -3.15%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-06-07 19:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -11.83%E -5.77%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.54%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -9.45%E -3.15%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-06-07 19:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -11.83%E -5.77%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.54%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -9.45%E -3.15%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-06-07 18:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -11.83%E -5.77%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.54%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -9.45%E -3.15%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-06-07 18:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -11.83%E -5.77%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.54%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -9.45%E -3.15%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-06-07 18:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 41.24%EV -13.98%E -6.99%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 25.77%EV -14.22%E -4.44%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 32.99%EV -24.54%E -9.82%K -16.36%G +0.000% | 21.2% | 2026-06-07 19:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 43.00%EV -16.13%E -8.27%K -16.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.05%EV -16.90%E -5.45%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 29.95%EV -15.49%E -5.53%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 19.3% | 2026-06-07 18:59 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.53% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.45% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.02% | 0.8% | 2026-06-07 19:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.53% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.45% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.02% | 0.8% | 2026-06-07 19:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.89% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.11% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.00% | 0.8% | 2026-06-07 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.39% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91% | 1.1% | 2026-06-07 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.39% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91% | 1.1% | 2026-06-07 19:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.17% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.34% | 2.0% | 2026-06-07 19:00 |