L’École des cotes

Las Palmas v Málaga

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-07 19:02 UTC

Score final : Las Palmas 0–1 Málaga

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

45 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Las Palmas (Local)

Prévision 43.01%2.33cote équitable
EV -3.23%
Avantage -1.43%
Kelly -2.58%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.24%42.99%42.96%45.20%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.942.112.102.2551.55%47.39%47.62%44.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Málaga (Visiteur)

Prévision 26.81%3.73cote équitable
EV +0.792%
Avantage +0.211%
Kelly +0.287%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 3.76

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.33%26.84%26.87%28.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.483.503.7632.26%28.72%28.57%26.60%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 30.18%3.31cote équitable
EV -1.90%
Avantage -0.586%
Kelly -0.847%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.38%30.17%30.17%32.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.503.053.053.2540.00%32.83%32.79%30.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (45 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.22I 45.05%NM 43.61%EV -4.52%E -2.03%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.75%EV +0.792%E +0.211%K +0.287%G +0.002%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.64%EV -4.62%E -1.46%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-07 18:59
ATG (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.89%EV -8.82%E -4.16%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.38%EV +0.524%E +0.140%K +0.190%G +0.001%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.74%EV -3.41%E -1.07%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-07 19:00
Svenska Spel2.12I 47.17%NM 44.89%EV -8.82%E -4.16%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.38%EV +0.524%E +0.140%K +0.190%G +0.001%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.74%EV -3.41%E -1.07%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-07 19:00
Marathon Bet2.22I 45.05%NM 43.66%EV -4.52%E -2.03%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 26.05%EV -0.281%E -0.075%K -0.103%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.29%EV -3.41%E -1.07%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-07 18:59
Unibet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.20%EV -10.54%E -5.07%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -0.817%E -0.221%K -0.303%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -3.41%E -1.07%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-07 18:59
Unibet (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.20%EV -10.54%E -5.07%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -0.817%E -0.221%K -0.303%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -3.41%E -1.07%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-07 19:00
Unibet (NL)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.20%EV -10.54%E -5.07%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -0.817%E -0.221%K -0.303%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -3.41%E -1.07%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-07 18:59
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -7.53%E -3.50%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -3.50%E -0.972%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -9.45%E -3.15%K -4.73%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-07 18:58
Bovada2.12I 47.17%NM 43.56%EV -8.82%E -4.16%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -3.50%E -0.972%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.78%EV -9.45%E -3.15%K -4.73%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-07 18:59
BetAnything2.12I 47.17%NM 43.56%EV -8.82%E -4.16%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -3.50%E -0.972%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.78%EV -9.45%E -3.15%K -4.73%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-07 18:59
Grosvenor2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -11.83%E -5.77%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -3.50%E -0.972%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -6.43%E -2.07%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-07 19:00
TABtouch2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -11.83%E -5.77%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -3.50%E -0.972%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -6.43%E -2.07%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-07 19:00
Casumo2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -11.83%E -5.77%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -3.50%E -0.972%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -6.43%E -2.07%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-07 18:59
betPARX2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -11.83%E -5.77%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -3.50%E -0.972%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -6.43%E -2.07%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-07 19:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 44.95%EV -12.26%E -6.01%K -11.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -3.50%E -0.972%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -6.43%E -2.07%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-07 18:59
LeoVegas2.02I 49.50%NM 45.19%EV -13.12%E -6.49%K -12.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -3.50%E -0.972%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -6.43%E -2.07%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-07 18:59
LowVig.ag2.19I 45.66%NM 42.83%EV -5.81%E -2.65%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -4.84%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.75%EV -7.94%E -2.60%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-07 18:59
BetOnline.ag2.19I 45.66%NM 42.83%EV -5.81%E -2.65%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -4.84%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.75%EV -7.94%E -2.60%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-07 19:00
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -5.38%E -2.44%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.18%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -6.43%E -2.07%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-07 18:59
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -7.53%E -3.50%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.18%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.43%E -2.07%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-07 18:59
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -7.53%E -3.50%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.18%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -9.45%E -3.15%K -4.73%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-07 18:59
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -9.68%E -4.61%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -6.18%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -12.47%E -4.30%K -6.56%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-07 19:00
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -9.68%E -4.61%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -6.18%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -12.47%E -4.30%K -6.56%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-07 18:59
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -9.68%E -4.61%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -6.18%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -13.07%E -4.54%K -6.95%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-07 18:59
1xBet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.28%EV -3.23%E -1.43%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.42%EV -6.98%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.30%EV -5.23%E -1.66%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-07 18:58
PMU (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 45.05%EV -16.56%E -8.54%K -17.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.33%EV -7.52%E -2.18%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.62%EV -10.96%E -3.72%K -5.62%G +0.000%14.4%2026-06-07 18:59
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.48%EV -3.23%E -1.43%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.11%EV -8.86%E -2.61%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.41%EV -1.90%E -0.586%K -0.847%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-07 18:58
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -5.38%E -2.44%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -8.86%E -2.61%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -4.92%E -1.56%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-07 18:59
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -7.53%E -3.50%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.86%E -2.61%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -9.45%E -3.15%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-07 18:58
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -9.68%E -4.61%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -8.86%E -2.61%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -6.43%E -2.07%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-07 18:59
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -9.68%E -4.61%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -8.86%E -2.61%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.45%E -3.15%K -4.73%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-07 18:59
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -9.68%E -4.61%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -8.86%E -2.61%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -13.07%E -4.54%K -6.95%G +0.000%11.8%2026-06-07 18:59
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.27%EV -6.24%E -2.86%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.51%EV -10.20%E -3.04%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -7.94%E -2.60%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-07 19:00
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 42.27%EV -6.24%E -2.86%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.51%EV -10.20%E -3.04%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -7.94%E -2.60%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-07 19:00
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.19%EV -9.68%E -4.61%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -10.20%E -3.04%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -7.94%E -2.60%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.3%2026-06-07 18:59
Betclic (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.87%EV -9.68%E -4.61%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 27.12%EV -11.00%E -3.31%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -9.45%E -3.15%K -4.73%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-07 18:58
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -5.38%E -2.44%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -11.54%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -6.43%E -2.07%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-07 18:59
betfred_uk2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.53%E -3.50%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.54%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -6.43%E -2.07%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-07 18:59
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -11.83%E -5.77%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.54%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -9.45%E -3.15%K -4.73%G +0.000%12.4%2026-06-07 19:00
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -11.83%E -5.77%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.54%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -9.45%E -3.15%K -4.73%G +0.000%12.4%2026-06-07 19:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -11.83%E -5.77%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.54%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -9.45%E -3.15%K -4.73%G +0.000%12.4%2026-06-07 18:59
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -11.83%E -5.77%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.54%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -9.45%E -3.15%K -4.73%G +0.000%12.4%2026-06-07 18:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -11.83%E -5.77%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.54%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -9.45%E -3.15%K -4.73%G +0.000%12.4%2026-06-07 18:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 41.24%EV -13.98%E -6.99%K -13.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 25.77%EV -14.22%E -4.44%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 32.99%EV -24.54%E -9.82%K -16.36%G +0.000%21.2%2026-06-07 19:00
NetBet (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 43.00%EV -16.13%E -8.27%K -16.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.05%EV -16.90%E -5.45%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.95%EV -15.49%E -5.53%K -8.60%G +0.000%19.3%2026-06-07 18:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.53%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.45%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.02%0.8%2026-06-07 19:00
Matchbook2.28I 43.86%NM 43.53%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.45%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.02%0.8%2026-06-07 19:00
Smarkets2.26I 44.25%NM 43.89%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.11%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.00%0.8%2026-06-07 19:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.39%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91%1.1%2026-06-07 19:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.39%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91%1.1%2026-06-07 19:00
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 43.17%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.34%2.0%2026-06-07 19:00