مدرسة الاحتمالات

Las Palmas v Málaga

البداية: 2026-06-07 19:02 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Las Palmas 0–1 Málaga

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

45 شركة مراهنات (14 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Las Palmas (المضيف)

التنبؤ 43.01%2.33السعر العادل
EV -3.23%
الأفضلية -1.43%
Kelly -2.58%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.25

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
41.24%42.99%42.96%45.20%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.942.112.102.2551.55%47.39%47.62%44.44%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Málaga (الضيف)

التنبؤ 26.81%3.73السعر العادل
EV +0.792%
الأفضلية +0.211%
Kelly +0.287%
النمو +0.002%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.76

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.33%26.84%26.87%28.11%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.103.483.503.7632.26%28.72%28.57%26.60%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 30.18%3.31السعر العادل
EV -1.90%
الأفضلية -0.586%
Kelly -0.847%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.25

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
29.38%30.17%30.17%32.99%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.503.053.053.2540.00%32.83%32.79%30.77%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (45 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle2.22I 45.05%NM 43.61%EV -4.52%E -2.03%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.75%EV +0.792%E +0.211%K +0.287%G +0.002%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.64%EV -4.62%E -1.46%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-07 18:59
ATG (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.89%EV -8.82%E -4.16%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.38%EV +0.524%E +0.140%K +0.190%G +0.001%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.74%EV -3.41%E -1.07%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-07 19:00
Svenska Spel2.12I 47.17%NM 44.89%EV -8.82%E -4.16%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.38%EV +0.524%E +0.140%K +0.190%G +0.001%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.74%EV -3.41%E -1.07%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-07 19:00
Marathon Bet2.22I 45.05%NM 43.66%EV -4.52%E -2.03%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 26.05%EV -0.281%E -0.075%K -0.103%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.29%EV -3.41%E -1.07%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-07 18:59
Unibet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.20%EV -10.54%E -5.07%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -0.817%E -0.221%K -0.303%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -3.41%E -1.07%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-07 18:59
Unibet (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.20%EV -10.54%E -5.07%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -0.817%E -0.221%K -0.303%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -3.41%E -1.07%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-07 19:00
Unibet (NL)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.20%EV -10.54%E -5.07%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -0.817%E -0.221%K -0.303%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -3.41%E -1.07%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-07 18:59
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -7.53%E -3.50%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -3.50%E -0.972%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -9.45%E -3.15%K -4.73%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-07 18:58
Bovada2.12I 47.17%NM 43.56%EV -8.82%E -4.16%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -3.50%E -0.972%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.78%EV -9.45%E -3.15%K -4.73%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-07 18:59
BetAnything2.12I 47.17%NM 43.56%EV -8.82%E -4.16%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -3.50%E -0.972%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.78%EV -9.45%E -3.15%K -4.73%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-07 18:59
Grosvenor2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -11.83%E -5.77%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -3.50%E -0.972%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -6.43%E -2.07%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-07 19:00
TABtouch2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -11.83%E -5.77%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -3.50%E -0.972%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -6.43%E -2.07%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-07 19:00
Casumo2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -11.83%E -5.77%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -3.50%E -0.972%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -6.43%E -2.07%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-07 18:59
betPARX2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -11.83%E -5.77%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -3.50%E -0.972%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -6.43%E -2.07%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-07 19:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 44.95%EV -12.26%E -6.01%K -11.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -3.50%E -0.972%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -6.43%E -2.07%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-07 18:59
LeoVegas2.02I 49.50%NM 45.19%EV -13.12%E -6.49%K -12.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -3.50%E -0.972%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -6.43%E -2.07%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-07 18:59
LowVig.ag2.19I 45.66%NM 42.83%EV -5.81%E -2.65%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -4.84%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.75%EV -7.94%E -2.60%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-07 18:59
BetOnline.ag2.19I 45.66%NM 42.83%EV -5.81%E -2.65%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -4.84%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.75%EV -7.94%E -2.60%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-07 19:00
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -5.38%E -2.44%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.18%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -6.43%E -2.07%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-07 18:59
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -7.53%E -3.50%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.18%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.43%E -2.07%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-07 18:59
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -7.53%E -3.50%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.18%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -9.45%E -3.15%K -4.73%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-07 18:59
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -9.68%E -4.61%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -6.18%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -12.47%E -4.30%K -6.56%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-07 19:00
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -9.68%E -4.61%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -6.18%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -12.47%E -4.30%K -6.56%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-07 18:59
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -9.68%E -4.61%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -6.18%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -13.07%E -4.54%K -6.95%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-07 18:59
1xBet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.28%EV -3.23%E -1.43%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.42%EV -6.98%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.30%EV -5.23%E -1.66%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-07 18:58
PMU (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 45.05%EV -16.56%E -8.54%K -17.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.33%EV -7.52%E -2.18%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.62%EV -10.96%E -3.72%K -5.62%G +0.000%14.4%2026-06-07 18:59
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.48%EV -3.23%E -1.43%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.11%EV -8.86%E -2.61%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.41%EV -1.90%E -0.586%K -0.847%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-07 18:58
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -5.38%E -2.44%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -8.86%E -2.61%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -4.92%E -1.56%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-07 18:59
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -7.53%E -3.50%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.86%E -2.61%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -9.45%E -3.15%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-07 18:58
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -9.68%E -4.61%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -8.86%E -2.61%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -6.43%E -2.07%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-07 18:59
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -9.68%E -4.61%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -8.86%E -2.61%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.45%E -3.15%K -4.73%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-07 18:59
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -9.68%E -4.61%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -8.86%E -2.61%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -13.07%E -4.54%K -6.95%G +0.000%11.8%2026-06-07 18:59
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.27%EV -6.24%E -2.86%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.51%EV -10.20%E -3.04%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -7.94%E -2.60%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-07 19:00
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 42.27%EV -6.24%E -2.86%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.51%EV -10.20%E -3.04%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -7.94%E -2.60%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-07 19:00
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.19%EV -9.68%E -4.61%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -10.20%E -3.04%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -7.94%E -2.60%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.3%2026-06-07 18:59
Betclic (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.87%EV -9.68%E -4.61%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 27.12%EV -11.00%E -3.31%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -9.45%E -3.15%K -4.73%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-07 18:58
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -5.38%E -2.44%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -11.54%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -6.43%E -2.07%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-07 18:59
betfred_uk2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.53%E -3.50%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.54%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -6.43%E -2.07%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-07 18:59
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -11.83%E -5.77%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.54%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -9.45%E -3.15%K -4.73%G +0.000%12.4%2026-06-07 19:00
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -11.83%E -5.77%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.54%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -9.45%E -3.15%K -4.73%G +0.000%12.4%2026-06-07 19:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -11.83%E -5.77%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.54%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -9.45%E -3.15%K -4.73%G +0.000%12.4%2026-06-07 18:59
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -11.83%E -5.77%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.54%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -9.45%E -3.15%K -4.73%G +0.000%12.4%2026-06-07 18:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -11.83%E -5.77%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.54%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -9.45%E -3.15%K -4.73%G +0.000%12.4%2026-06-07 18:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 41.24%EV -13.98%E -6.99%K -13.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 25.77%EV -14.22%E -4.44%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 32.99%EV -24.54%E -9.82%K -16.36%G +0.000%21.2%2026-06-07 19:00
NetBet (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 43.00%EV -16.13%E -8.27%K -16.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.05%EV -16.90%E -5.45%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.95%EV -15.49%E -5.53%K -8.60%G +0.000%19.3%2026-06-07 18:59
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.53%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.45%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.02%0.8%2026-06-07 19:00
Matchbook2.28I 43.86%NM 43.53%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.45%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.02%0.8%2026-06-07 19:00
Smarkets2.26I 44.25%NM 43.89%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.11%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.00%0.8%2026-06-07 19:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.39%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91%1.1%2026-06-07 19:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.39%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91%1.1%2026-06-07 19:00
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 43.17%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.34%2.0%2026-06-07 19:00