La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Las Palmas v Málaga
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Las Palmas (Local)
Predicción 43.01%2.33momio equitativo
EV -3.23%
Ventaja -1.43%
Kelly -2.58%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.24%42.99%42.96%45.20%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.942.112.102.2551.55%47.39%47.62%44.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Málaga (Visitante)
Predicción 26.81%3.73momio equitativo
EV +0.792%
Ventaja +0.211%
Kelly +0.287%
Crecimiento +0.002%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.76
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.33%26.84%26.87%28.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.483.503.7632.26%28.72%28.57%26.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 30.18%3.31momio equitativo
EV -1.90%
Ventaja -0.586%
Kelly -0.847%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.38%30.17%30.17%32.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.503.053.053.2540.00%32.83%32.79%30.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (45 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.61%EV -4.52%E -2.03%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.75%EV +0.792%E +0.211%K +0.287%G +0.002% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.64%EV -4.62%E -1.46%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-06-07 18:59 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.89%EV -8.82%E -4.16%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.38%EV +0.524%E +0.140%K +0.190%G +0.001% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.74%EV -3.41%E -1.07%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-07 19:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.89%EV -8.82%E -4.16%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.38%EV +0.524%E +0.140%K +0.190%G +0.001% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.74%EV -3.41%E -1.07%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-07 19:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.66%EV -4.52%E -2.03%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 26.05%EV -0.281%E -0.075%K -0.103%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.29%EV -3.41%E -1.07%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-06-07 18:59 |
| Unibet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.20%EV -10.54%E -5.07%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -0.817%E -0.221%K -0.303%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -3.41%E -1.07%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-07 18:59 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.20%EV -10.54%E -5.07%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -0.817%E -0.221%K -0.303%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -3.41%E -1.07%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-07 19:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.20%EV -10.54%E -5.07%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -0.817%E -0.221%K -0.303%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -3.41%E -1.07%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-07 18:59 |
| FanDuel | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -7.53%E -3.50%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -3.50%E -0.972%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -9.45%E -3.15%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-07 18:58 |
| Bovada | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.56%EV -8.82%E -4.16%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -3.50%E -0.972%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.78%EV -9.45%E -3.15%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-07 18:59 |
| BetAnything | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.56%EV -8.82%E -4.16%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -3.50%E -0.972%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.78%EV -9.45%E -3.15%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-07 18:59 |
| Grosvenor | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -11.83%E -5.77%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -3.50%E -0.972%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -6.43%E -2.07%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-07 19:00 |
| TABtouch | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -11.83%E -5.77%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -3.50%E -0.972%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -6.43%E -2.07%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-07 19:00 |
| Casumo | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -11.83%E -5.77%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -3.50%E -0.972%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -6.43%E -2.07%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-07 18:59 |
| betPARX | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -11.83%E -5.77%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -3.50%E -0.972%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -6.43%E -2.07%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-07 19:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.95%EV -12.26%E -6.01%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -3.50%E -0.972%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -6.43%E -2.07%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-07 18:59 |
| LeoVegas | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.19%EV -13.12%E -6.49%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -3.50%E -0.972%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -6.43%E -2.07%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-06-07 18:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.83%EV -5.81%E -2.65%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -4.84%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.75%EV -7.94%E -2.60%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-07 18:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.83%EV -5.81%E -2.65%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -4.84%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.75%EV -7.94%E -2.60%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-07 19:00 |
| DraftKings | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -5.38%E -2.44%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.18%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -6.43%E -2.07%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-07 18:59 |
| Betway | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -7.53%E -3.50%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.18%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.43%E -2.07%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-07 18:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -7.53%E -3.50%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.18%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -9.45%E -3.15%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-07 18:59 |
| SportsBet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -9.68%E -4.61%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -6.18%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -12.47%E -4.30%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-06-07 19:00 |
| William Hill | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -9.68%E -4.61%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -6.18%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -12.47%E -4.30%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-06-07 18:59 |
| Paddy Power | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -9.68%E -4.61%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -6.18%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -13.07%E -4.54%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-06-07 18:59 |
| 1xBet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.28%EV -3.23%E -1.43%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.42%EV -6.98%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.30%EV -5.23%E -1.66%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-07 18:58 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 45.05%EV -16.56%E -8.54%K -17.62%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.33%EV -7.52%E -2.18%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.62%EV -10.96%E -3.72%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-06-07 18:59 |
| Coolbet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.48%EV -3.23%E -1.43%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.11%EV -8.86%E -2.61%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.41%EV -1.90%E -0.586%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-07 18:58 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -5.38%E -2.44%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -8.86%E -2.61%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -4.92%E -1.56%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-07 18:59 |
| Bet Victor | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -7.53%E -3.50%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.86%E -2.61%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -9.45%E -3.15%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-06-07 18:58 |
| theScore Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -9.68%E -4.61%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -8.86%E -2.61%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -6.43%E -2.07%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-06-07 18:59 |
| BetMGM | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -9.68%E -4.61%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -8.86%E -2.61%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.45%E -3.15%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-06-07 18:59 |
| Sky Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -9.68%E -4.61%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -8.86%E -2.61%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -13.07%E -4.54%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-06-07 18:59 |
| NordicBet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.27%EV -6.24%E -2.86%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.51%EV -10.20%E -3.04%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -7.94%E -2.60%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-07 19:00 |
| Betsson | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.27%EV -6.24%E -2.86%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.51%EV -10.20%E -3.04%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -7.94%E -2.60%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-07 19:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.19%EV -9.68%E -4.61%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -10.20%E -3.04%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -7.94%E -2.60%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-06-07 18:59 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.87%EV -9.68%E -4.61%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 27.12%EV -11.00%E -3.31%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -9.45%E -3.15%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-06-07 18:58 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -5.38%E -2.44%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -11.54%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -6.43%E -2.07%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-07 18:59 |
| betfred_uk | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.53%E -3.50%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.54%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -6.43%E -2.07%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-07 18:59 |
| BoyleSports | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -11.83%E -5.77%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.54%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -9.45%E -3.15%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-06-07 19:00 |
| Coral | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -11.83%E -5.77%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.54%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -9.45%E -3.15%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-06-07 19:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -11.83%E -5.77%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.54%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -9.45%E -3.15%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-06-07 18:59 |
| Neds | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -11.83%E -5.77%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.54%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -9.45%E -3.15%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-06-07 18:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -11.83%E -5.77%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.54%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -9.45%E -3.15%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-06-07 18:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 41.24%EV -13.98%E -6.99%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 25.77%EV -14.22%E -4.44%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 32.99%EV -24.54%E -9.82%K -16.36%G +0.000% | 21.2% | 2026-06-07 19:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 43.00%EV -16.13%E -8.27%K -16.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.05%EV -16.90%E -5.45%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 29.95%EV -15.49%E -5.53%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 19.3% | 2026-06-07 18:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.53% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.45% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.02% | 0.8% | 2026-06-07 19:00 |
| Matchbook | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.53% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.45% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.02% | 0.8% | 2026-06-07 19:00 |
| Smarkets | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.89% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.11% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.00% | 0.8% | 2026-06-07 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.39% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91% | 1.1% | 2026-06-07 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.39% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91% | 1.1% | 2026-06-07 19:00 |
| Kalshi | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.17% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.34% | 2.0% | 2026-06-07 19:00 |