L’École des cotes

Las Palmas v Granada CF

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-02 17:04 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Las Palmas (Local)

Prévision 54.94%1.82cote équitable
EV -3.85%
Avantage -2.20%
Kelly -5.14%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.14%54.96%54.97%56.80%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.571.681.681.7563.69%59.69%59.52%57.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Granada CF (Visiteur)

Prévision 17.84%5.60cote équitable
EV +5.27%
Avantage +0.893%
Kelly +1.08%
Croissance +0.057%

avec la cote maximale 5.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.06%17.86%17.86%20.01%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.405.085.005.9022.73%19.69%20.00%16.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.22%3.67cote équitable
EV -2.02%
Avantage -0.562%
Kelly -0.778%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.63%27.18%27.17%28.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.393.403.6033.33%29.53%29.41%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 56.07%EV -7.15%E -4.23%K -10.36%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.06%EV +5.27%E +0.893%K +1.08%G +0.057%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.87%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-02 17:00
BetOnline.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 56.07%EV -7.15%E -4.23%K -10.36%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.06%EV +5.27%E +0.893%K +1.08%G +0.057%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.87%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-02 17:00
BetAnything1.69I 59.17%NM 56.07%EV -7.15%E -4.23%K -10.36%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.06%EV +5.27%E +0.893%K +1.08%G +0.057%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.87%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-02 16:59
Pinnacle1.73I 57.80%NM 55.81%EV -4.95%E -2.86%K -6.78%G +0.000%5.87I 17.04%NM 16.45%EV +4.73%E +0.807%K +0.972%G +0.046%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.74%EV -5.29%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-02 16:59
Tipico (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.80%EV -10.99%E -6.79%K -17.73%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.14%EV +1.70%E +0.298%K +0.362%G +0.006%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-02 16:57
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.57%EV -6.05%E -3.54%K -8.52%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.28%EV -1.87%E -0.339%K -0.415%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -4.74%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-02 17:00
DraftKings1.69I 59.17%NM 55.42%EV -7.15%E -4.23%K -10.36%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.03%EV -1.87%E -0.339%K -0.415%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-02 17:00
FanDuel1.67I 59.88%NM 55.72%EV -8.25%E -4.94%K -12.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -1.87%E -0.339%K -0.415%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-02 17:00
Bovada1.69I 59.17%NM 54.70%EV -7.15%E -4.23%K -10.36%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.28%EV -4.54%E -0.849%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -10.19%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-02 16:53
1xBet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.50%EV -4.40%E -2.53%K -5.95%G +0.000%5.29I 18.90%NM 17.93%EV -5.61%E -1.06%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.57%EV -6.38%E -1.85%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-02 16:59
Marathon Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 55.19%EV -7.15%E -4.23%K -10.36%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.77%EV -6.33%E -1.21%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -6.11%E -1.77%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-02 17:00
Betway1.70I 58.82%NM 54.38%EV -6.60%E -3.88%K -9.43%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.61%EV -6.33%E -1.21%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.01%EV -10.19%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-02 17:00
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 54.94%EV -7.70%E -4.58%K -11.32%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.92%EV -8.11%E -1.58%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-02 17:00
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 54.94%EV -7.70%E -4.58%K -11.32%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.92%EV -8.11%E -1.58%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-02 16:59
ATG (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.89%EV -5.50%E -3.20%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.51%EV -9.00%E -1.77%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.60%EV -3.38%E -0.953%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-02 17:00
Svenska Spel1.72I 58.14%NM 54.89%EV -5.50%E -3.20%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.51%EV -9.00%E -1.77%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.60%EV -3.38%E -0.953%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-02 17:00
Unibet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.04%EV -6.05%E -3.54%K -8.52%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.45%EV -9.00%E -1.77%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.51%EV -3.38%E -0.953%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-02 17:00
Unibet (NL)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.04%EV -6.05%E -3.54%K -8.52%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.45%EV -9.00%E -1.77%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.51%EV -3.38%E -0.953%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-02 17:00
Unibet (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.04%EV -6.05%E -3.54%K -8.52%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.45%EV -9.00%E -1.77%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.51%EV -3.38%E -0.953%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-02 17:00
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.46%EV -3.85%E -2.20%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.06%EV -10.79%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.48%EV -2.02%E -0.562%K -0.778%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-02 16:59
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 54.20%EV -6.05%E -3.54%K -8.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -10.79%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-02 17:00
Mr Green (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.35%EV -6.60%E -3.88%K -9.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.48%EV -10.79%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-02 16:59
Casumo1.68I 59.52%NM 54.86%EV -7.70%E -4.58%K -11.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -10.79%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -6.11%E -1.77%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-02 17:00
Grosvenor1.68I 59.52%NM 54.86%EV -7.70%E -4.58%K -11.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -10.79%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -6.11%E -1.77%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-02 17:00
TABtouch1.68I 59.52%NM 54.86%EV -7.70%E -4.58%K -11.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -10.79%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -6.11%E -1.77%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-02 17:00
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 54.86%EV -7.70%E -4.58%K -11.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -10.79%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -6.11%E -1.77%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-02 17:00
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -8.25%E -4.94%K -12.31%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -10.79%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-02 17:00
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 54.05%EV -7.15%E -4.23%K -10.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -10.79%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -10.19%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-02 16:59
PMU (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.17%EV -10.99%E -6.79%K -17.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -10.79%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -3.38%E -0.953%K -1.33%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-02 17:00
SportsBet1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -9.35%E -5.66%K -14.38%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -10.79%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-02 16:59
William Hill1.70I 58.82%NM 53.44%EV -6.60%E -3.88%K -9.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -10.79%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -12.91%E -4.03%K -5.87%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-02 17:00
Codere (IT)1.66I 60.24%NM 54.72%EV -8.80%E -5.30%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -10.79%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -8.83%E -2.63%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-02 17:00
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 55.10%EV -10.99%E -6.79%K -17.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -10.79%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.05%EV -10.19%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-02 17:01
Betclic (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 55.10%EV -10.99%E -6.79%K -17.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -10.79%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.05%EV -10.19%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-02 16:58
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 54.87%EV -10.99%E -6.79%K -17.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -10.79%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.35%EV -11.55%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-02 17:00
NetBet (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 55.26%EV -13.19%E -8.35%K -22.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.46%EV -10.79%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.28%EV -12.91%E -4.03%K -5.87%G +0.000%14.5%2026-04-02 17:00
Betr (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.28%EV -5.50%E -3.20%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.05%EV -12.57%E -2.57%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -4.74%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-02 16:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.80%EV -8.25%E -4.94%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.68%EV -12.57%E -2.57%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -6.11%E -1.77%K -2.49%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-02 17:00
LeoVegas1.66I 60.24%NM 54.73%EV -8.80%E -5.30%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.54%EV -12.57%E -2.57%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-02 17:00
LiveScore Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 55.03%EV -9.90%E -6.03%K -15.46%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.42%EV -12.57%E -2.57%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-02 17:00
Virgin Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 55.03%EV -9.90%E -6.03%K -15.46%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.42%EV -12.57%E -2.57%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-02 17:00
Unibet (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 55.05%EV -11.54%E -7.17%K -18.92%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.09%EV -12.57%E -2.57%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -10.19%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-02 17:00
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 53.14%EV -6.60%E -3.88%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.63%EV -13.46%E -2.78%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.23%EV -12.91%E -4.03%K -5.87%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-02 17:00
Neds1.67I 59.88%NM 53.48%EV -8.25%E -4.94%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.61%EV -14.36%E -2.99%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.91%EV -12.91%E -4.03%K -5.87%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-02 16:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 53.48%EV -8.25%E -4.94%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.61%EV -14.36%E -2.99%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.91%EV -12.91%E -4.03%K -5.87%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-02 16:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 53.48%EV -8.25%E -4.94%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.61%EV -14.36%E -2.99%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.91%EV -12.91%E -4.03%K -5.87%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-02 17:00
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 54.30%EV -6.05%E -3.54%K -8.52%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.55%EV -15.25%E -3.21%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV -3.38%E -0.953%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-02 17:00
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 53.83%EV -8.25%E -4.94%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.93%EV -15.25%E -3.21%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.19%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-02 17:01
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 54.52%EV -8.80%E -5.30%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.25%EV -16.14%E -3.43%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.23%EV -6.11%E -1.77%K -2.49%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-02 17:00
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 53.50%EV -8.25%E -4.94%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%EV -17.93%E -3.90%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -10.19%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-02 17:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 53.41%EV -13.74%E -8.75%K -24.11%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.64%EV -19.71%E -4.38%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.95%EV -18.35%E -6.12%K -9.18%G +0.000%19.2%2026-04-02 17:00
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 53.70%EV -9.90%E -6.03%K -15.46%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.01%EV -21.49%E -4.88%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.29%EV -8.83%E -2.63%K -3.76%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-02 17:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.11%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.03%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.86%0.6%2026-04-02 17:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.11%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.03%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.86%0.6%2026-04-02 17:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.60%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.98%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42%0.9%2026-04-02 17:00
Matchbook1.72I 58.14%NM 57.30%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.42%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.28%1.5%2026-04-02 17:01
Smarkets1.71I 58.48%NM 57.33%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.81%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.86%2.0%2026-04-02 17:00
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 57.33%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.48%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.19%3.2%2026-04-02 17:00