La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Las Palmas v Granada CF
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Las Palmas (Local)
Predicción 54.94%1.82momio equitativo
EV -3.85%
Ventaja -2.20%
Kelly -5.14%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.14%54.96%54.97%56.80%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.571.681.681.7563.69%59.69%59.52%57.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Granada CF (Visitante)
Predicción 17.84%5.60momio equitativo
EV +5.27%
Ventaja +0.893%
Kelly +1.08%
Crecimiento +0.057%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.90
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.06%17.86%17.86%20.01%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.405.085.005.9022.73%19.69%20.00%16.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.22%3.67momio equitativo
EV -2.02%
Ventaja -0.562%
Kelly -0.778%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.63%27.18%27.17%28.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.393.403.6033.33%29.53%29.41%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.07%EV -7.15%E -4.23%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.06%EV +5.27%E +0.893%K +1.08%G +0.057% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.87%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-02 17:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.07%EV -7.15%E -4.23%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.06%EV +5.27%E +0.893%K +1.08%G +0.057% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.87%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-02 17:00 |
| BetAnything | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.07%EV -7.15%E -4.23%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.06%EV +5.27%E +0.893%K +1.08%G +0.057% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.87%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-02 16:59 |
| Pinnacle | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.81%EV -4.95%E -2.86%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 5.87I 17.04%NM 16.45%EV +4.73%E +0.807%K +0.972%G +0.046% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.74%EV -5.29%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-02 16:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.80%EV -10.99%E -6.79%K -17.73%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.14%EV +1.70%E +0.298%K +0.362%G +0.006% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-02 16:57 |
| Fanatics | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.57%EV -6.05%E -3.54%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.28%EV -1.87%E -0.339%K -0.415%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -4.74%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-02 17:00 |
| DraftKings | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.42%EV -7.15%E -4.23%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.03%EV -1.87%E -0.339%K -0.415%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-02 17:00 |
| FanDuel | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.72%EV -8.25%E -4.94%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -1.87%E -0.339%K -0.415%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-02 17:00 |
| Bovada | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.70%EV -7.15%E -4.23%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.28%EV -4.54%E -0.849%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -10.19%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-02 16:53 |
| 1xBet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.50%EV -4.40%E -2.53%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 5.29I 18.90%NM 17.93%EV -5.61%E -1.06%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.57%EV -6.38%E -1.85%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-02 16:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.19%EV -7.15%E -4.23%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.77%EV -6.33%E -1.21%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -6.11%E -1.77%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-02 17:00 |
| Betway | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.38%EV -6.60%E -3.88%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.61%EV -6.33%E -1.21%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.01%EV -10.19%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-02 17:00 |
| Betsson | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.94%EV -7.70%E -4.58%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 17.92%EV -8.11%E -1.58%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-02 17:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.94%EV -7.70%E -4.58%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 17.92%EV -8.11%E -1.58%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-02 16:59 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.89%EV -5.50%E -3.20%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.51%EV -9.00%E -1.77%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.60%EV -3.38%E -0.953%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-02 17:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.89%EV -5.50%E -3.20%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.51%EV -9.00%E -1.77%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.60%EV -3.38%E -0.953%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-02 17:00 |
| Unibet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.04%EV -6.05%E -3.54%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.45%EV -9.00%E -1.77%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.51%EV -3.38%E -0.953%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-02 17:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.04%EV -6.05%E -3.54%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.45%EV -9.00%E -1.77%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.51%EV -3.38%E -0.953%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-02 17:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.04%EV -6.05%E -3.54%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.45%EV -9.00%E -1.77%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.51%EV -3.38%E -0.953%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-02 17:00 |
| Coolbet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.46%EV -3.85%E -2.20%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.06%EV -10.79%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.48%EV -2.02%E -0.562%K -0.778%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-02 16:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.20%EV -6.05%E -3.54%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -10.79%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-02 17:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.35%EV -6.60%E -3.88%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.48%EV -10.79%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-02 16:59 |
| Casumo | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.86%EV -7.70%E -4.58%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -10.79%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -6.11%E -1.77%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-02 17:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.86%EV -7.70%E -4.58%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -10.79%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -6.11%E -1.77%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-02 17:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.86%EV -7.70%E -4.58%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -10.79%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -6.11%E -1.77%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-02 17:00 |
| betPARX | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.86%EV -7.70%E -4.58%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -10.79%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -6.11%E -1.77%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-02 17:00 |
| Bet Victor | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -8.25%E -4.94%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -10.79%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-02 17:00 |
| BetMGM | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.05%EV -7.15%E -4.23%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -10.79%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -10.19%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-02 16:59 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.17%EV -10.99%E -6.79%K -17.73%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -10.79%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -3.38%E -0.953%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-02 17:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -9.35%E -5.66%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -10.79%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-02 16:59 |
| William Hill | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.44%EV -6.60%E -3.88%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -10.79%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -12.91%E -4.03%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-02 17:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.72%EV -8.80%E -5.30%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -10.79%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -8.83%E -2.63%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-02 17:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.10%EV -10.99%E -6.79%K -17.73%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -10.79%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.05%EV -10.19%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-02 17:01 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.10%EV -10.99%E -6.79%K -17.73%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -10.79%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.05%EV -10.19%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-02 16:58 |
| Sky Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.87%EV -10.99%E -6.79%K -17.73%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -10.79%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.35%EV -11.55%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-02 17:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 55.26%EV -13.19%E -8.35%K -22.74%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.46%EV -10.79%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.28%EV -12.91%E -4.03%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-04-02 17:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.28%EV -5.50%E -3.20%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.05%EV -12.57%E -2.57%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -4.74%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-02 16:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.80%EV -8.25%E -4.94%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.68%EV -12.57%E -2.57%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -6.11%E -1.77%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-02 17:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.73%EV -8.80%E -5.30%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.54%EV -12.57%E -2.57%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-02 17:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.03%EV -9.90%E -6.03%K -15.46%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.42%EV -12.57%E -2.57%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-02 17:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.03%EV -9.90%E -6.03%K -15.46%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.42%EV -12.57%E -2.57%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-02 17:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.05%EV -11.54%E -7.17%K -18.92%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.09%EV -12.57%E -2.57%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -10.19%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-02 17:00 |
| PlayUp | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.14%EV -6.60%E -3.88%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.63%EV -13.46%E -2.78%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.23%EV -12.91%E -4.03%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-02 17:00 |
| Neds | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.48%EV -8.25%E -4.94%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.61%EV -14.36%E -2.99%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.91%EV -12.91%E -4.03%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-02 16:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.48%EV -8.25%E -4.94%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.61%EV -14.36%E -2.99%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.91%EV -12.91%E -4.03%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-02 16:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.48%EV -8.25%E -4.94%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.61%EV -14.36%E -2.99%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.91%EV -12.91%E -4.03%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-02 17:00 |
| theScore Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.30%EV -6.05%E -3.54%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.55%EV -15.25%E -3.21%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV -3.38%E -0.953%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-02 17:00 |
| BoyleSports | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.83%EV -8.25%E -4.94%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.93%EV -15.25%E -3.21%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.19%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-02 17:01 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.52%EV -8.80%E -5.30%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.25%EV -16.14%E -3.43%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.23%EV -6.11%E -1.77%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-02 17:00 |
| Coral | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.50%EV -8.25%E -4.94%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%EV -17.93%E -3.90%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -10.19%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-02 17:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 53.41%EV -13.74%E -8.75%K -24.11%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 18.64%EV -19.71%E -4.38%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.95%EV -18.35%E -6.12%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 19.2% | 2026-04-02 17:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 53.70%EV -9.90%E -6.03%K -15.46%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.01%EV -21.49%E -4.88%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.29%EV -8.83%E -2.63%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-02 17:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.11% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.03% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.86% | 0.6% | 2026-04-02 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.11% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.03% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.86% | 0.6% | 2026-04-02 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.60% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.98% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42% | 0.9% | 2026-04-02 17:00 |
| Matchbook | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.30% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.42% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.28% | 1.5% | 2026-04-02 17:01 |
| Smarkets | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.33% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.81% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.86% | 2.0% | 2026-04-02 17:00 |
| Kalshi | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.33% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.48% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.19% | 3.2% | 2026-04-02 17:00 |