The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Las Palmas v CD Eldense

Kickoff: 2026-11-09 19:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

46 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Las Palmas (Local)

Prediction 45.76%2.19fair odd
EV -3.00%
Edge -1.41%
Kelly -2.68%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.57%45.91%45.74%49.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.982.002.1254.64%50.45%50.00%47.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

CD Eldense (Visit)

Prediction 27.57%3.63fair odd
EV +0.361%
Edge +0.099%
Kelly +0.137%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.64

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.03%27.55%27.54%29.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.343.353.6433.33%29.92%29.85%27.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.67%3.75fair odd
EV -2.64%
Edge -0.724%
Kelly -0.998%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.96%26.54%26.72%27.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.423.403.6531.75%29.23%29.41%27.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Las Palmas (Local): 45.76%; CD Eldense (Visit): 27.57%; Draw: 26.67%. For CD Eldense (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.63. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.64, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.361%.

Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.77%EV -3.00%E -1.41%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.66%EV +0.361%E +0.099%K +0.137%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.57%EV -6.11%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.1%2026-11-09 19:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -16.27%E -8.89%K -19.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -0.742%E -0.206%K -0.285%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000%11.0%2026-11-09 12:15
1xBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.18%EV -4.83%E -2.32%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.06%EV -2.12%E -0.597%K -0.831%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.76%EV -4.24%E -1.18%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.1%2026-11-09 18:55
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.20%E -3.03%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -3.50%E -1.000%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-09 18:45
Unibet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -8.49%E -4.24%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -3.50%E -1.000%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -5.31%E -1.50%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-09 18:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -8.49%E -4.24%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -3.50%E -1.000%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -5.31%E -1.50%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-09 18:30
Unibet (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -8.49%E -4.24%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -3.50%E -1.000%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -5.31%E -1.50%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-09 18:30
ATG (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -8.49%E -4.24%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -3.50%E -1.000%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -5.31%E -1.50%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-09 18:35
Svenska Spel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -8.49%E -4.24%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -3.50%E -1.000%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -5.31%E -1.50%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-09 18:30
FanDuel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.20%E -3.03%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -3.50%E -1.000%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -9.31%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-09 18:59
SportsBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -7.57%E -3.75%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -4.88%E -1.41%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -11.98%E -3.63%K -5.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-09 18:59
Marathon Bet🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 46.26%EV -8.03%E -4.00%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.03%EV -5.15%E -1.50%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.72%EV -7.18%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-09 18:50
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.20%E -3.03%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-09 18:30
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -8.49%E -4.24%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.0%2026-11-09 09:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -6.20%E -3.03%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -11.98%E -3.63%K -5.21%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-09 18:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.49%E -4.24%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -11.98%E -3.63%K -5.21%G +0.000%9.7%2026-11-09 19:00
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -7.57%E -3.75%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -7.63%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.31%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-09 18:30
Betsson🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -7.57%E -3.75%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -7.63%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.31%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-09 18:30
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.94%EV -8.49%E -4.24%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -7.63%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.98%E -2.31%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-09 19:09
BetAnything🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.94%EV -8.49%E -4.24%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -7.63%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.98%E -2.31%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-09 19:10
Casumo🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.65%EV -11.69%E -6.06%K -12.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -7.63%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -9.31%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.1%2026-11-09 18:34
Grosvenor🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.65%EV -11.69%E -6.06%K -12.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -7.63%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -9.31%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.1%2026-11-09 18:34
TABtouch🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.65%EV -11.69%E -6.06%K -12.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -7.63%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -9.31%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.1%2026-11-09 18:34
betPARX🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.65%EV -11.69%E -6.06%K -12.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -7.63%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -9.31%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.1%2026-11-09 18:34
Coolbet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.82%EV -3.00%E -1.41%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.79%EV -9.01%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -3.98%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-09 19:10
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -3.91%E -1.86%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -9.01%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -3.98%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-11-09 19:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.44%EV -12.15%E -6.33%K -13.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.60%EV -9.01%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.96%EV -2.64%E -0.724%K -0.998%G +0.000%9.8%2026-11-09 19:05
Codere (IT)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.39%EV -8.49%E -4.24%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.01%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -10.65%E -3.18%K -4.53%G +0.000%10.2%2026-11-09 18:30
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -8.49%E -4.24%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -9.01%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -11.98%E -3.63%K -5.21%G +0.000%10.6%2026-11-09 18:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 46.59%EV -12.15%E -6.33%K -13.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -9.01%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.31%EV -9.31%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.8%2026-11-09 18:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 46.59%EV -12.15%E -6.33%K -13.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -9.01%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.31%EV -9.31%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.8%2026-11-09 18:35
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -10.78%E -5.53%K -11.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -9.01%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -13.31%E -4.10%K -5.92%G +0.000%12.4%2026-11-09 19:00
Sky Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -10.78%E -5.53%K -11.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -9.01%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -13.31%E -4.10%K -5.92%G +0.000%12.4%2026-11-09 18:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.53%EV -12.61%E -6.60%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -9.01%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.53%EV -10.65%E -3.18%K -4.53%G +0.000%12.5%2026-11-09 18:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -6.20%E -3.03%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -10.39%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.1%2026-11-09 19:05
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -8.49%E -4.24%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -10.39%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -9.31%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.2%2026-11-09 18:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 47.22%EV -16.27%E -8.89%K -19.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.59%EV -10.39%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.19%EV -11.98%E -3.63%K -5.21%G +0.000%15.7%2026-11-09 19:05
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -6.20%E -3.03%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -11.77%E -3.68%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-09 19:05
betfred_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -6.20%E -3.03%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -11.77%E -3.68%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -9.31%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.4%2026-11-09 19:05
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -8.49%E -4.24%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -11.77%E -3.68%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -11.98%E -3.63%K -5.21%G +0.000%11.6%2026-11-09 18:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -8.49%E -4.24%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -11.77%E -3.68%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -11.98%E -3.63%K -5.21%G +0.000%11.6%2026-11-09 18:29
PMU (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 46.84%EV -16.27%E -8.89%K -19.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.79%EV -11.77%E -3.68%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.37%EV -13.31%E -4.10%K -5.92%G +0.000%16.7%2026-11-09 18:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 46.96%EV -14.90%E -8.01%K -17.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.73%EV -13.15%E -4.17%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.32%EV -7.98%E -2.31%K -3.26%G +0.000%14.5%2026-11-09 19:05
NetBet (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 45.59%EV -13.98%E -7.44%K -15.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.21%EV -13.15%E -4.17%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.21%EV -15.98%E -5.07%K -7.43%G +0.000%16.7%2026-11-09 19:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 45.65%EV -13.52%E -7.15%K -15.19%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 27.56%EV -13.70%E -4.38%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 26.79%EV -14.11%E -4.38%K -6.36%G +0.000%15.9%2026-11-09 19:04
Bet Victor🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 45.56%EV -11.69%E -6.06%K -12.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.31%EV -17.28%E -5.76%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.12%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000%13.7%2026-11-09 18:58
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎2.16I 46.30%NM 45.96%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.7%2026-11-09 19:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.16I 46.30%NM 45.96%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.7%2026-11-09 19:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.16I 46.30%NM 45.96%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.7%2026-11-09 19:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.16I 46.30%NM 45.96%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.7%2026-11-09 19:00
Smarkets◎2.14I 46.73%NM 45.85%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.52%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.64%1.9%2026-11-09 19:00
Kalshi◎2.13I 46.95%NM 46.03%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.50%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.47%2.0%2026-11-09 19:00

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