L’École des cotesodds.school
Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)
+ Nouveau modèleTous les modèles

Las Palmas v CD Eldense

Coup d’envoi : 2026-11-09 19:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

46 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Las Palmas (Local)

Prévision 45.76%2.19cote équitable
EV -3.00%
Avantage -1.41%
Kelly -2.68%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.12

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.57%45.91%45.74%49.23%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.831.982.002.1254.64%50.45%50.00%47.17%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

CD Eldense (Visiteur)

Prévision 27.57%3.63cote équitable
EV +0.361%
Avantage +0.099%
Kelly +0.137%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.64

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.03%27.55%27.54%29.31%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.003.343.353.6433.33%29.92%29.85%27.47%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 26.67%3.75cote équitable
EV -2.64%
Avantage -0.724%
Kelly -0.998%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.96%26.54%26.72%27.93%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.153.423.403.6531.75%29.23%29.41%27.40%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Las Palmas (Local) : 45.76% ; CD Eldense (Visiteur) : 27.57% ; Match nul : 26.67%. Pour CD Eldense (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.63. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.64, soit une espérance positive de +0.361%.

Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.77%EV -3.00%E -1.41%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.66%EV +0.361%E +0.099%K +0.137%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.57%EV -6.11%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.1%2026-11-09 19:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -16.27%E -8.89%K -19.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -0.742%E -0.206%K -0.285%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000%11.0%2026-11-09 12:15
1xBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.18%EV -4.83%E -2.32%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.06%EV -2.12%E -0.597%K -0.831%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.76%EV -4.24%E -1.18%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.1%2026-11-09 18:55
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.20%E -3.03%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -3.50%E -1.000%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-09 18:45
Unibet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -8.49%E -4.24%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -3.50%E -1.000%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -5.31%E -1.50%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-09 18:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -8.49%E -4.24%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -3.50%E -1.000%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -5.31%E -1.50%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-09 18:30
Unibet (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -8.49%E -4.24%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -3.50%E -1.000%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -5.31%E -1.50%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-09 18:30
ATG (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -8.49%E -4.24%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -3.50%E -1.000%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -5.31%E -1.50%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-09 18:35
Svenska Spel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -8.49%E -4.24%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -3.50%E -1.000%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -5.31%E -1.50%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-09 18:30
FanDuel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.20%E -3.03%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -3.50%E -1.000%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -9.31%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-09 18:59
SportsBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -7.57%E -3.75%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -4.88%E -1.41%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -11.98%E -3.63%K -5.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-09 18:59
Marathon Bet🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 46.26%EV -8.03%E -4.00%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.03%EV -5.15%E -1.50%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.72%EV -7.18%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-09 18:50
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.20%E -3.03%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-09 18:30
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -8.49%E -4.24%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.0%2026-11-09 09:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -6.20%E -3.03%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -11.98%E -3.63%K -5.21%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-09 18:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.49%E -4.24%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -11.98%E -3.63%K -5.21%G +0.000%9.7%2026-11-09 19:00
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -7.57%E -3.75%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -7.63%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.31%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-09 18:30
Betsson🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -7.57%E -3.75%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -7.63%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.31%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-09 18:30
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.94%EV -8.49%E -4.24%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -7.63%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.98%E -2.31%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-09 19:09
BetAnything🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.94%EV -8.49%E -4.24%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -7.63%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.98%E -2.31%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-09 19:10
Casumo🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.65%EV -11.69%E -6.06%K -12.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -7.63%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -9.31%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.1%2026-11-09 18:34
Grosvenor🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.65%EV -11.69%E -6.06%K -12.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -7.63%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -9.31%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.1%2026-11-09 18:34
TABtouch🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.65%EV -11.69%E -6.06%K -12.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -7.63%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -9.31%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.1%2026-11-09 18:34
betPARX🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.65%EV -11.69%E -6.06%K -12.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -7.63%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -9.31%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.1%2026-11-09 18:34
Coolbet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.82%EV -3.00%E -1.41%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.79%EV -9.01%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -3.98%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-09 19:10
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -3.91%E -1.86%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -9.01%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -3.98%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-11-09 19:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.44%EV -12.15%E -6.33%K -13.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.60%EV -9.01%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.96%EV -2.64%E -0.724%K -0.998%G +0.000%9.8%2026-11-09 19:05
Codere (IT)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.39%EV -8.49%E -4.24%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.01%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -10.65%E -3.18%K -4.53%G +0.000%10.2%2026-11-09 18:30
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -8.49%E -4.24%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -9.01%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -11.98%E -3.63%K -5.21%G +0.000%10.6%2026-11-09 18:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 46.59%EV -12.15%E -6.33%K -13.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -9.01%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.31%EV -9.31%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.8%2026-11-09 18:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 46.59%EV -12.15%E -6.33%K -13.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -9.01%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.31%EV -9.31%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.8%2026-11-09 18:35
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -10.78%E -5.53%K -11.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -9.01%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -13.31%E -4.10%K -5.92%G +0.000%12.4%2026-11-09 19:00
Sky Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -10.78%E -5.53%K -11.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -9.01%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -13.31%E -4.10%K -5.92%G +0.000%12.4%2026-11-09 18:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.53%EV -12.61%E -6.60%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -9.01%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.53%EV -10.65%E -3.18%K -4.53%G +0.000%12.5%2026-11-09 18:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -6.20%E -3.03%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -10.39%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.1%2026-11-09 19:05
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -8.49%E -4.24%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -10.39%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -9.31%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.2%2026-11-09 18:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 47.22%EV -16.27%E -8.89%K -19.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.59%EV -10.39%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.19%EV -11.98%E -3.63%K -5.21%G +0.000%15.7%2026-11-09 19:05
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -6.20%E -3.03%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -11.77%E -3.68%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-09 19:05
betfred_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -6.20%E -3.03%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -11.77%E -3.68%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -9.31%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.4%2026-11-09 19:05
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -8.49%E -4.24%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -11.77%E -3.68%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -11.98%E -3.63%K -5.21%G +0.000%11.6%2026-11-09 18:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -8.49%E -4.24%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -11.77%E -3.68%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -11.98%E -3.63%K -5.21%G +0.000%11.6%2026-11-09 18:29
PMU (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 46.84%EV -16.27%E -8.89%K -19.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.79%EV -11.77%E -3.68%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.37%EV -13.31%E -4.10%K -5.92%G +0.000%16.7%2026-11-09 18:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 46.96%EV -14.90%E -8.01%K -17.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.73%EV -13.15%E -4.17%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.32%EV -7.98%E -2.31%K -3.26%G +0.000%14.5%2026-11-09 19:05
NetBet (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 45.59%EV -13.98%E -7.44%K -15.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.21%EV -13.15%E -4.17%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.21%EV -15.98%E -5.07%K -7.43%G +0.000%16.7%2026-11-09 19:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 45.65%EV -13.52%E -7.15%K -15.19%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 27.56%EV -13.70%E -4.38%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 26.79%EV -14.11%E -4.38%K -6.36%G +0.000%15.9%2026-11-09 19:04
Bet Victor🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 45.56%EV -11.69%E -6.06%K -12.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.31%EV -17.28%E -5.76%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.12%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000%13.7%2026-11-09 18:58
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎2.16I 46.30%NM 45.96%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.7%2026-11-09 19:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.16I 46.30%NM 45.96%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.7%2026-11-09 19:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.16I 46.30%NM 45.96%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.7%2026-11-09 19:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.16I 46.30%NM 45.96%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.7%2026-11-09 19:00
Smarkets◎2.14I 46.73%NM 45.85%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.52%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.64%1.9%2026-11-09 19:00
Kalshi◎2.13I 46.95%NM 46.03%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.50%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.47%2.0%2026-11-09 19:00

Discutez de ce match sur odds.forum

Aucun commentaire publié pour le moment.