La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Granada CF v Sporting Gijón
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Granada CF (Local)
Predicción 39.72%2.52momio equitativo
EV -2.29%
Ventaja -0.929%
Kelly -1.57%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.46
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.78%39.69%39.72%42.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.182.302.302.4645.87%43.40%43.48%40.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Sporting Gijón (Visitante)
Predicción 32.92%3.04momio equitativo
EV -0.568%
Ventaja -0.188%
Kelly -0.281%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.02
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.28%32.98%32.90%34.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.802.803.0241.67%35.73%35.71%33.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.35%3.66momio equitativo
EV -2.07%
Ventaja -0.579%
Kelly -0.803%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.58
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.52%27.32%27.37%28.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.313.303.5834.72%30.22%30.30%27.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.24%EV -2.29%E -0.929%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.09%EV -9.13%E -3.31%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -7.00%E -2.06%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-30 18:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.24%EV -2.29%E -0.929%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.09%EV -9.13%E -3.31%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -7.00%E -2.06%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-30 19:00 |
| Pinnacle | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.73%EV -3.87%E -1.60%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 33.04%EV -4.19%E -1.44%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.24%EV -3.44%E -0.974%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-30 18:59 |
| Coolbet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.56%EV -4.67%E -1.95%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.31%EV -6.17%E -2.16%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -4.26%E -1.22%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-30 18:59 |
| FanDuel | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -4.67%E -1.95%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -9.46%E -3.44%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -7.00%E -2.06%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-30 18:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.20%EV -5.46%E -2.30%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.20%EV -7.48%E -2.66%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.60%EV -7.54%E -2.23%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-30 18:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.89%EV -5.46%E -2.30%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.06%EV -7.81%E -2.79%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -9.73%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-30 18:59 |
| Bovada | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.02%EV -6.26%E -2.65%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%EV -9.46%E -3.44%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -8.36%E -2.50%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-30 18:58 |
| BetAnything | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.02%EV -6.26%E -2.65%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%EV -9.46%E -3.44%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -8.36%E -2.50%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-30 18:59 |
| DraftKings | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -6.65%E -2.83%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -6.17%E -2.16%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -5.63%E -1.63%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-30 19:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -6.65%E -2.83%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -7.81%E -2.79%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -4.26%E -1.22%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-30 18:59 |
| theScore Bet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -6.65%E -2.83%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -6.17%E -2.16%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -7.00%E -2.06%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-30 19:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -6.65%E -2.83%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -7.81%E -2.79%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -7.00%E -2.06%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-30 18:59 |
| NordicBet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.29%EV -6.65%E -2.83%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.74%EV -7.15%E -2.54%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -9.73%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-30 18:59 |
| Betsson | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.29%EV -6.65%E -2.83%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.74%EV -7.15%E -2.54%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -9.73%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-30 18:59 |
| Unibet | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.28%EV -7.45%E -3.20%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -1.23%E -0.409%K -0.613%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -9.73%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-30 19:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.28%EV -7.45%E -3.20%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -1.23%E -0.409%K -0.613%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -9.73%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-30 19:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.28%EV -7.45%E -3.20%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -1.23%E -0.409%K -0.613%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -9.73%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-30 19:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.28%EV -7.45%E -3.20%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -1.23%E -0.409%K -0.613%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -9.73%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-30 19:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.28%EV -7.45%E -3.20%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -1.23%E -0.409%K -0.613%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -9.73%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-30 19:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.31I 43.29%NM 39.20%EV -8.24%E -3.57%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.93%EV -9.46%E -3.44%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.86%EV -11.10%E -3.42%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-30 19:00 |
| Fanatics | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -8.64%E -3.76%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -4.52%E -1.56%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.00%E -2.06%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-30 19:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -8.64%E -3.76%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -7.81%E -2.79%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.00%E -2.06%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-30 19:00 |
| betfred_uk | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -8.64%E -3.76%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -9.46%E -3.44%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.00%E -2.06%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-30 18:59 |
| Betway | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.64%E -3.76%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -7.81%E -2.79%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -9.73%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-30 18:59 |
| William Hill | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -8.64%E -3.76%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -7.81%E -2.79%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -11.10%E -3.42%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-30 19:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -8.64%E -3.76%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.88%EV -9.46%E -3.44%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -11.10%E -3.42%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-30 19:00 |
| SportsBet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -8.64%E -3.76%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -11.10%E -4.11%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -9.73%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-30 19:00 |
| PlayUp | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -8.64%E -3.76%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -11.10%E -4.11%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -9.73%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-30 18:59 |
| Paddy Power | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.84%EV -8.64%E -3.76%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -13.74%E -5.24%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -9.73%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-30 19:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.68%EV -8.64%E -3.76%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.95%EV -13.74%E -5.24%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -11.10%E -3.42%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-30 19:00 |
| Sky Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.56%EV -8.64%E -3.76%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.72%EV -13.41%E -5.10%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -12.47%E -3.90%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-05-30 19:00 |
| Grosvenor | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.20%EV -9.44%E -4.14%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -4.52%E -1.56%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -11.10%E -3.42%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-30 19:00 |
| TABtouch | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.20%EV -9.44%E -4.14%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -4.52%E -1.56%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -11.10%E -3.42%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-30 19:00 |
| Casumo | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.20%EV -9.44%E -4.14%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -4.52%E -1.56%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -11.10%E -3.42%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-30 19:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.20%EV -9.44%E -4.14%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -4.52%E -1.56%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -11.10%E -3.42%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-30 19:00 |
| betPARX | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.20%EV -9.44%E -4.14%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -4.52%E -1.56%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -11.10%E -3.42%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-30 19:00 |
| 1xBet | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.02%EV -10.23%E -4.53%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.45%EV -0.568%E -0.188%K -0.281%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.53%EV -2.07%E -0.579%K -0.803%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-30 18:59 |
| Bet Victor | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -10.63%E -4.72%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -7.81%E -2.79%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -7.00%E -2.06%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-30 19:00 |
| LeoVegas | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -10.63%E -4.72%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -4.52%E -1.56%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -12.47%E -3.90%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-30 19:00 |
| BetMGM | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -10.63%E -4.72%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -9.46%E -3.44%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -7.00%E -2.06%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-30 19:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.08%EV -10.63%E -4.72%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.40%EV -11.10%E -4.11%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -7.00%E -2.06%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-30 19:00 |
| Coral | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -10.63%E -4.72%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -11.10%E -4.11%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -9.73%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-30 19:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -10.63%E -4.72%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -11.10%E -4.11%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -9.73%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-30 18:59 |
| Neds | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -10.63%E -4.72%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -11.10%E -4.11%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -9.73%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-30 18:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 36.78%EV -10.63%E -4.72%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 34.48%EV -20.98%E -8.74%K -14.99%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 28.74%EV -21.22%E -7.37%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 20.8% | 2026-05-30 19:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.33%EV -11.42%E -5.12%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.56%EV -6.17%E -2.16%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -12.47%E -3.90%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-30 19:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.33%EV -11.42%E -5.12%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.56%EV -6.17%E -2.16%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -12.47%E -3.90%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-30 19:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.98%EV -11.42%E -5.12%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.42%EV -9.46%E -3.44%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 27.60%EV -11.65%E -3.61%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-30 18:58 |
| BoyleSports | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.30%EV -12.61%E -5.73%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -11.10%E -4.11%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -9.73%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-05-30 19:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.55%EV -12.61%E -5.73%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 32.83%EV -12.75%E -4.81%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.62%EV -13.83%E -4.39%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-05-30 18:59 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.55%EV -12.61%E -5.73%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 32.83%EV -12.75%E -4.81%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.62%EV -13.83%E -4.39%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-05-30 19:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 40.29%EV -13.41%E -6.15%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.37%EV -7.81%E -2.79%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -15.20%E -4.90%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-30 19:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.88% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.85% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.27% | 0.5% | 2026-05-30 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.84% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.29% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.87% | 0.6% | 2026-05-30 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.79% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.01% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.21% | 0.7% | 2026-05-30 19:00 |
| Matchbook | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.12% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.23% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.65% | 1.4% | 2026-05-30 19:00 |
| Smarkets | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.70% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.58% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.72% | 2.5% | 2026-05-30 19:00 |
| Kalshi | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.84% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.95% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.20% | 3.0% | 2026-05-30 19:00 |