مدرسة الاحتمالات

Granada CF v Sporting Gijón

البداية: 2026-05-30 19:04 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Granada CF 1–2 Sporting Gijón

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

53 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Granada CF (المضيف)

التنبؤ 39.72%2.52السعر العادل
EV -2.29%
الأفضلية -0.929%
Kelly -1.57%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.46

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
36.78%39.69%39.72%42.02%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.182.302.302.4645.87%43.40%43.48%40.65%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Sporting Gijón (الضيف)

التنبؤ 32.92%3.04السعر العادل
EV -0.568%
الأفضلية -0.188%
Kelly -0.281%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.02

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
31.28%32.98%32.90%34.48%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.402.802.803.0241.67%35.73%35.71%33.11%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 27.35%3.66السعر العادل
EV -2.07%
الأفضلية -0.579%
Kelly -0.803%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.58

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.52%27.32%27.37%28.74%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.883.313.303.5834.72%30.22%30.30%27.93%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (53 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
LowVig.ag2.46I 40.65%NM 38.24%EV -2.29%E -0.929%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.09%EV -9.13%E -3.31%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -7.00%E -2.06%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-30 18:59
BetOnline.ag2.46I 40.65%NM 38.24%EV -2.29%E -0.929%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.09%EV -9.13%E -3.31%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -7.00%E -2.06%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-30 19:00
Pinnacle2.42I 41.32%NM 39.73%EV -3.87%E -1.60%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 33.04%EV -4.19%E -1.44%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.24%EV -3.44%E -0.974%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-30 18:59
Coolbet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.56%EV -4.67%E -1.95%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.31%EV -6.17%E -2.16%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -4.26%E -1.22%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 18:59
FanDuel2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -4.67%E -1.95%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -9.46%E -3.44%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -7.00%E -2.06%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-30 18:59
Marathon Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.20%EV -5.46%E -2.30%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.20%EV -7.48%E -2.66%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.60%EV -7.54%E -2.23%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-30 18:59
Mr Green (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.89%EV -5.46%E -2.30%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.06%EV -7.81%E -2.79%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -9.73%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-30 18:59
Bovada2.36I 42.37%NM 39.02%EV -6.26%E -2.65%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%EV -9.46%E -3.44%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -8.36%E -2.50%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-30 18:58
BetAnything2.36I 42.37%NM 39.02%EV -6.26%E -2.65%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%EV -9.46%E -3.44%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -8.36%E -2.50%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-30 18:59
DraftKings2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -6.65%E -2.83%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -6.17%E -2.16%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -5.63%E -1.63%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-30 19:00
Betr (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -6.65%E -2.83%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -7.81%E -2.79%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -4.26%E -1.22%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-30 18:59
theScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -6.65%E -2.83%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -6.17%E -2.16%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -7.00%E -2.06%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-30 19:00
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -6.65%E -2.83%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -7.81%E -2.79%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -7.00%E -2.06%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-30 18:59
NordicBet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.29%EV -6.65%E -2.83%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.74%EV -7.15%E -2.54%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -9.73%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-30 18:59
Betsson2.35I 42.55%NM 39.29%EV -6.65%E -2.83%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.74%EV -7.15%E -2.54%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -9.73%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-30 18:59
Unibet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.28%EV -7.45%E -3.20%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -1.23%E -0.409%K -0.613%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -9.73%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-30 19:00
Unibet (NL)2.33I 42.92%NM 40.28%EV -7.45%E -3.20%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -1.23%E -0.409%K -0.613%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -9.73%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-30 19:00
Unibet (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 40.28%EV -7.45%E -3.20%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -1.23%E -0.409%K -0.613%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -9.73%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-30 19:00
ATG (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 40.28%EV -7.45%E -3.20%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -1.23%E -0.409%K -0.613%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -9.73%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-30 19:00
Svenska Spel2.33I 42.92%NM 40.28%EV -7.45%E -3.20%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -1.23%E -0.409%K -0.613%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -9.73%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-30 19:00
Codere (IT)2.31I 43.29%NM 39.20%EV -8.24%E -3.57%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.93%EV -9.46%E -3.44%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.86%EV -11.10%E -3.42%K -4.93%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-30 19:00
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -8.64%E -3.76%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -4.52%E -1.56%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.00%E -2.06%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-30 19:00
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -8.64%E -3.76%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -7.81%E -2.79%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.00%E -2.06%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-30 19:00
betfred_uk2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -8.64%E -3.76%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -9.46%E -3.44%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.00%E -2.06%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-30 18:59
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.64%E -3.76%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -7.81%E -2.79%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -9.73%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-30 18:59
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -8.64%E -3.76%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -7.81%E -2.79%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -11.10%E -3.42%K -4.93%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-30 19:00
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -8.64%E -3.76%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.88%EV -9.46%E -3.44%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -11.10%E -3.42%K -4.93%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-30 19:00
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -8.64%E -3.76%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -11.10%E -4.11%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -9.73%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-30 19:00
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -8.64%E -3.76%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -11.10%E -4.11%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -9.73%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-30 18:59
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 38.84%EV -8.64%E -3.76%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -13.74%E -5.24%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -9.73%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-30 19:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.68%EV -8.64%E -3.76%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.95%EV -13.74%E -5.24%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -11.10%E -3.42%K -4.93%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-30 19:00
Sky Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 38.56%EV -8.64%E -3.76%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.72%EV -13.41%E -5.10%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -12.47%E -3.90%K -5.67%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-30 19:00
Grosvenor2.28I 43.86%NM 40.20%EV -9.44%E -4.14%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -4.52%E -1.56%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -11.10%E -3.42%K -4.93%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-30 19:00
TABtouch2.28I 43.86%NM 40.20%EV -9.44%E -4.14%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -4.52%E -1.56%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -11.10%E -3.42%K -4.93%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-30 19:00
Casumo2.28I 43.86%NM 40.20%EV -9.44%E -4.14%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -4.52%E -1.56%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -11.10%E -3.42%K -4.93%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-30 19:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.20%EV -9.44%E -4.14%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -4.52%E -1.56%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -11.10%E -3.42%K -4.93%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-30 19:00
betPARX2.28I 43.86%NM 40.20%EV -9.44%E -4.14%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -4.52%E -1.56%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -11.10%E -3.42%K -4.93%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-30 19:00
1xBet2.26I 44.25%NM 42.02%EV -10.23%E -4.53%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.45%EV -0.568%E -0.188%K -0.281%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.53%EV -2.07%E -0.579%K -0.803%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 18:59
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -10.63%E -4.72%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -7.81%E -2.79%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -7.00%E -2.06%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-30 19:00
LeoVegas2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -10.63%E -4.72%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -4.52%E -1.56%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -12.47%E -3.90%K -5.67%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-30 19:00
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -10.63%E -4.72%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -9.46%E -3.44%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -7.00%E -2.06%K -2.91%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-30 19:00
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.08%EV -10.63%E -4.72%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.40%EV -11.10%E -4.11%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -7.00%E -2.06%K -2.91%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-30 19:00
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -10.63%E -4.72%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -11.10%E -4.11%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -9.73%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-30 19:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -10.63%E -4.72%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -11.10%E -4.11%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -9.73%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-30 18:59
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -10.63%E -4.72%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -11.10%E -4.11%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -9.73%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-30 18:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 36.78%EV -10.63%E -4.72%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 34.48%EV -20.98%E -8.74%K -14.99%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.74%EV -21.22%E -7.37%K -11.29%G +0.000%20.8%2026-05-30 19:00
Virgin Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 40.33%EV -11.42%E -5.12%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.56%EV -6.17%E -2.16%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -12.47%E -3.90%K -5.67%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-30 19:00
LiveScore Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 40.33%EV -11.42%E -5.12%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.56%EV -6.17%E -2.16%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -12.47%E -3.90%K -5.67%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-30 19:00
Betclic (FR)2.23I 44.84%NM 39.98%EV -11.42%E -5.12%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.42%EV -9.46%E -3.44%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 27.60%EV -11.65%E -3.61%K -5.22%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-30 18:58
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 40.30%EV -12.61%E -5.73%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -11.10%E -4.11%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -9.73%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-30 19:00
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.55%EV -12.61%E -5.73%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.83%EV -12.75%E -4.81%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.62%EV -13.83%E -4.39%K -6.43%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-30 18:59
NetBet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.55%EV -12.61%E -5.73%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.83%EV -12.75%E -4.81%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.62%EV -13.83%E -4.39%K -6.43%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-30 19:00
PMU (FR)2.18I 45.87%NM 40.29%EV -13.41%E -6.15%K -11.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.37%EV -7.81%E -2.79%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -15.20%E -4.90%K -7.24%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-30 19:00
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.88%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.85%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.27%0.5%2026-05-30 19:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.84%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.29%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.87%0.6%2026-05-30 19:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.79%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.01%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.21%0.7%2026-05-30 19:00
Matchbook2.52I 39.68%NM 39.12%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.23%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.65%1.4%2026-05-30 19:00
Smarkets2.52I 39.68%NM 38.70%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.58%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.72%2.5%2026-05-30 19:00
Kalshi2.50I 40.00%NM 38.84%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.95%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.20%3.0%2026-05-30 19:00