Language:English
Granada CF v Cultural Leonesa
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Granada CF (Local)
Prediction 50.98%1.96fair odd
EV -5.18%
Edge -2.79%
Kelly -6.03%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.86
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.50%51.05%50.87%52.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.711.801.801.8658.48%55.70%55.56%53.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Cultural Leonesa (Visit)
Prediction 21.37%4.68fair odd
EV +3.23%
Edge +0.668%
Kelly +0.843%
Growth +0.027%
assuming max odds 4.83
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.98%21.23%21.57%22.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.284.304.8326.67%23.39%23.26%20.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.65%3.62fair odd
EV -3.22%
Edge -0.921%
Kelly -1.29%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.74%27.72%27.56%29.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.313.303.5034.72%30.21%30.30%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Granada CF (Local): 50.98%; Cultural Leonesa (Visit): 21.37%; Draw: 27.65%. For Cultural Leonesa (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.68. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.83, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.23%.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.88%EV -5.18%E -2.79%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 4.83I 20.70%NM 19.98%EV +3.23%E +0.668%K +0.843%G +0.027% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 28.14%EV -5.16%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-12 11:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.22%EV -6.71%E -3.67%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.38%EV -1.69%E -0.367%K -0.469%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -8.75%E -2.65%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-12 12:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.63%EV -8.24%E -4.58%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.20%EV -1.69%E -0.367%K -0.469%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -8.75%E -2.65%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-12 11:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.05%EV -9.77%E -5.52%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -1.69%E -0.367%K -0.469%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -8.75%E -2.65%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-12 12:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.83%EV -6.71%E -3.67%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.08%EV -3.83%E -0.850%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.10%EV -3.22%E -0.921%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-12 11:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.83%EV -8.24%E -4.58%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -3.83%E -0.850%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.99%E -1.76%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-12 11:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.88%EV -10.79%E -6.17%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.18%EV -3.83%E -0.850%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -10.14%E -3.12%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-12 12:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.56%EV -7.22%E -3.97%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.68%EV -4.89%E -1.10%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -11.52%E -3.60%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-12 11:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -7.22%E -3.97%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -5.96%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -3.22%E -0.921%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-12 12:01 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.04%EV -5.69%E -3.08%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -5.96%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.93%EV -11.52%E -3.60%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-12 11:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.94%EV -6.20%E -3.37%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -5.96%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -12.90%E -4.10%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-12 11:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.94%EV -6.20%E -3.37%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -5.96%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -12.90%E -4.10%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-12 11:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.45%EV -6.71%E -3.67%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.65%EV -7.03%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -3.22%E -0.921%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-12 12:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.45%EV -6.71%E -3.67%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.65%EV -7.03%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -3.22%E -0.921%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-12 12:01 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.45%EV -6.71%E -3.67%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.65%EV -7.03%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -3.22%E -0.921%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-12 12:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.45%EV -6.71%E -3.67%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.65%EV -7.03%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -3.22%E -0.921%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-12 12:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.00%EV -6.71%E -3.67%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -7.46%E -1.72%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -5.99%E -1.76%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-12 12:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.77%EV -8.24%E -4.58%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -7.46%E -1.72%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.12%EV -10.14%E -3.12%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-12 11:57 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.68%EV -6.71%E -3.67%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.00%EV -7.46%E -1.72%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -14.28%E -4.61%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-12 11:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.48%EV -10.79%E -6.17%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.80%EV -7.46%E -1.72%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.72%EV -10.14%E -3.12%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-12 12:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.25%EV -10.79%E -6.17%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.72%EV -7.46%E -1.72%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.03%EV -11.52%E -3.60%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-12 12:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.32%EV -6.71%E -3.67%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.84%EV -8.10%E -1.88%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -3.22%E -0.921%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-12 12:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.00%EV -6.71%E -3.67%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.71%EV -8.10%E -1.88%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.29%EV -5.44%E -1.59%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-12 11:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.61%EV -9.26%E -5.20%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.37%EV -8.10%E -1.88%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -5.99%E -1.76%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-12 12:01 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.61%EV -9.26%E -5.20%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.37%EV -8.10%E -1.88%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -5.99%E -1.76%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-12 12:01 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.61%EV -9.26%E -5.20%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.37%EV -8.10%E -1.88%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -5.99%E -1.76%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-12 12:01 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.72%EV -7.22%E -3.97%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -9.17%E -2.16%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -7.37%E -2.20%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-12 11:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.72%EV -7.22%E -3.97%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -9.17%E -2.16%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -7.37%E -2.20%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-12 12:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.55%EV -8.75%E -4.89%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -9.17%E -2.16%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -4.61%E -1.34%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-12 12:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -8.24%E -4.58%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -9.17%E -2.16%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -5.99%E -1.76%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-12 11:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.48%EV -9.26%E -5.20%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.56%EV -9.17%E -2.16%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.95%EV -5.99%E -1.76%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-12 12:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.97%EV -5.69%E -3.08%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -10.24%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -8.75%E -2.65%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-12 12:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.66%EV -8.24%E -4.58%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -10.24%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -8.75%E -2.65%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-12 12:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.66%EV -8.24%E -4.58%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -10.24%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -8.75%E -2.65%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-12 12:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.49%EV -9.77%E -5.52%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -10.24%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -5.99%E -1.76%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-12 12:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.57%EV -10.79%E -6.17%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.49%EV -10.24%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -7.37%E -2.20%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-12 12:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.57%EV -10.79%E -6.17%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.49%EV -10.24%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -7.37%E -2.20%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-12 12:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.47%EV -10.79%E -6.17%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.03%EV -10.24%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -14.28%E -4.61%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-04-12 12:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.37%EV -11.30%E -6.49%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.54%EV -11.31%E -2.72%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.09%EV -8.75%E -2.65%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-12 11:58 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.33%EV -6.71%E -3.67%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.02%EV -12.37%E -3.02%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.66%EV -12.90%E -4.10%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-12 12:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.67%EV -9.26%E -5.20%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.00%EV -12.37%E -3.02%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -8.75%E -2.65%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-12 12:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.97%EV -10.79%E -6.17%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.75%EV -12.37%E -3.02%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 27.28%EV -9.58%E -2.93%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-12 11:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 51.67%EV -12.83%E -7.50%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.55%EV -12.37%E -3.02%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.78%EV -8.75%E -2.65%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-04-12 12:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 50.80%EV -12.83%E -7.50%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.19%EV -12.37%E -3.02%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.02%EV -14.28%E -4.61%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-04-12 12:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.90%EV -8.24%E -4.58%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -14.51%E -3.63%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -10.14%E -3.12%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-12 11:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.90%EV -8.24%E -4.58%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -14.51%E -3.63%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -10.14%E -3.12%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-12 11:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.90%EV -8.24%E -4.58%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -14.51%E -3.63%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -10.14%E -3.12%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-12 12:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.69%EV -8.24%E -4.58%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -14.51%E -3.63%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -11.52%E -3.60%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-12 12:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 50.54%EV -11.30%E -6.49%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.98%EV -14.51%E -3.63%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.48%EV -11.52%E -3.60%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-12 12:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 48.50%EV -11.81%E -6.83%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.37%EV -19.85%E -5.29%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.13%EV -20.37%E -7.07%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 19.2% | 2026-04-12 12:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.08% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.90% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.02% | 0.5% | 2026-04-12 12:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.21% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.84% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.95% | 0.8% | 2026-04-12 12:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.21% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.84% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.95% | 0.8% | 2026-04-12 12:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.19% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.58% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.23% | 1.2% | 2026-04-12 12:01 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.98% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.25% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.77% | 2.9% | 2026-04-12 12:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 45.79% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 30.47% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 23.73% | 18.0% | 2026-04-12 12:01 |