A Escola das Odds

Granada CF v Cultural Leonesa

Início: 2026-04-12 12:04 UTC

Final: Granada CF 1–0 Cultural Leonesa

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

50 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Granada CF (Local)

Previsão 50.98%1.96odd justa
EV -5.18%
Vantagem -2.79%
Kelly -6.03%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.86

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
48.50%51.05%50.87%52.05%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.711.801.801.8658.48%55.70%55.56%53.76%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Cultural Leonesa (Visitante)

Previsão 21.37%4.68odd justa
EV +3.23%
Vantagem +0.668%
Kelly +0.843%
Crescimento +0.027%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.83

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
19.98%21.23%21.57%22.46%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.754.284.304.8326.67%23.39%23.26%20.70%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 27.65%3.62odd justa
EV -3.22%
Vantagem -0.921%
Kelly -1.29%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.74%27.72%27.56%29.33%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.883.313.303.5034.72%30.21%30.30%28.57%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (50 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle1.86I 53.76%NM 51.88%EV -5.18%E -2.79%K -6.03%G +0.000%4.83I 20.70%NM 19.98%EV +3.23%E +0.668%K +0.843%G +0.027%3.43I 29.15%NM 28.14%EV -5.16%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-12 11:59
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 51.22%EV -6.71%E -3.67%K -8.09%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.38%EV -1.69%E -0.367%K -0.469%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -8.75%E -2.65%K -3.81%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 12:00
FanDuel1.80I 55.56%NM 51.63%EV -8.24%E -4.58%K -10.30%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.20%EV -1.69%E -0.367%K -0.469%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -8.75%E -2.65%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 11:59
Tipico (DE)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.05%EV -9.77%E -5.52%K -12.69%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -1.69%E -0.367%K -0.469%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -8.75%E -2.65%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 12:00
Coolbet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.83%EV -6.71%E -3.67%K -8.09%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.08%EV -3.83%E -0.850%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.10%EV -3.22%E -0.921%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 11:59
Betr (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.83%EV -8.24%E -4.58%K -10.30%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -3.83%E -0.850%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.99%E -1.76%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 11:59
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 51.88%EV -10.79%E -6.17%K -14.39%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.18%EV -3.83%E -0.850%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -10.14%E -3.12%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-12 12:00
BetAnything1.82I 54.95%NM 50.56%EV -7.22%E -3.97%K -8.81%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.68%EV -4.89%E -1.10%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -11.52%E -3.60%K -5.24%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-12 11:59
Unibet (NL)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -7.22%E -3.97%K -8.81%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -5.96%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -3.22%E -0.921%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 12:01
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.04%EV -5.69%E -3.08%K -6.70%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -5.96%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.93%EV -11.52%E -3.60%K -5.24%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 11:59
LowVig.ag1.84I 54.35%NM 49.94%EV -6.20%E -3.37%K -7.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -5.96%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -12.90%E -4.10%K -6.00%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 11:59
BetOnline.ag1.84I 54.35%NM 49.94%EV -6.20%E -3.37%K -7.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -5.96%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -12.90%E -4.10%K -6.00%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 11:59
Unibet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.45%EV -6.71%E -3.67%K -8.09%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.65%EV -7.03%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -3.22%E -0.921%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 12:00
Unibet (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.45%EV -6.71%E -3.67%K -8.09%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.65%EV -7.03%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -3.22%E -0.921%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 12:01
Svenska Spel1.83I 54.64%NM 51.45%EV -6.71%E -3.67%K -8.09%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.65%EV -7.03%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -3.22%E -0.921%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 12:00
ATG (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.45%EV -6.71%E -3.67%K -8.09%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.65%EV -7.03%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -3.22%E -0.921%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 12:00
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.00%EV -6.71%E -3.67%K -8.09%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -7.46%E -1.72%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -5.99%E -1.76%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 12:00
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 50.77%EV -8.24%E -4.58%K -10.30%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -7.46%E -1.72%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.12%EV -10.14%E -3.12%K -4.51%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-12 11:57
William Hill1.83I 54.64%NM 49.68%EV -6.71%E -3.67%K -8.09%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.00%EV -7.46%E -1.72%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -14.28%E -4.61%K -6.80%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-12 11:59
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 51.48%EV -10.79%E -6.17%K -14.39%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.80%EV -7.46%E -1.72%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.72%EV -10.14%E -3.12%K -4.51%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-12 12:00
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 51.25%EV -10.79%E -6.17%K -14.39%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.72%EV -7.46%E -1.72%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.03%EV -11.52%E -3.60%K -5.24%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-12 12:00
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 51.32%EV -6.71%E -3.67%K -8.09%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.84%EV -8.10%E -1.88%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -3.22%E -0.921%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 12:00
Marathon Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.00%EV -6.71%E -3.67%K -8.09%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.71%EV -8.10%E -1.88%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.29%EV -5.44%E -1.59%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 11:59
Casumo1.78I 56.18%NM 51.61%EV -9.26%E -5.20%K -11.87%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.37%EV -8.10%E -1.88%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -5.99%E -1.76%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 12:01
Grosvenor1.78I 56.18%NM 51.61%EV -9.26%E -5.20%K -11.87%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.37%EV -8.10%E -1.88%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -5.99%E -1.76%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 12:01
betPARX1.78I 56.18%NM 51.61%EV -9.26%E -5.20%K -11.87%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.37%EV -8.10%E -1.88%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -5.99%E -1.76%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 12:01
Betsson1.82I 54.95%NM 50.72%EV -7.22%E -3.97%K -8.81%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -9.17%E -2.16%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -7.37%E -2.20%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-12 11:59
NordicBet1.82I 54.95%NM 50.72%EV -7.22%E -3.97%K -8.81%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -9.17%E -2.16%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -7.37%E -2.20%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-12 12:00
TABtouch1.79I 55.87%NM 51.55%EV -8.75%E -4.89%K -11.08%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -9.17%E -2.16%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -4.61%E -1.34%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-12 12:00
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -8.24%E -4.58%K -10.30%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -9.17%E -2.16%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -5.99%E -1.76%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 11:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.48%EV -9.26%E -5.20%K -11.87%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.56%EV -9.17%E -2.16%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.95%EV -5.99%E -1.76%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-12 12:00
Betway1.85I 54.05%NM 49.97%EV -5.69%E -3.08%K -6.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -10.24%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -8.75%E -2.65%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 12:00
Codere (IT)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.66%EV -8.24%E -4.58%K -10.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -10.24%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -8.75%E -2.65%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-12 12:00
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 50.66%EV -8.24%E -4.58%K -10.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -10.24%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -8.75%E -2.65%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-12 12:00
LeoVegas1.77I 56.50%NM 51.49%EV -9.77%E -5.52%K -12.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -10.24%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -5.99%E -1.76%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-12 12:00
LiveScore Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 51.57%EV -10.79%E -6.17%K -14.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.49%EV -10.24%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -7.37%E -2.20%K -3.14%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-12 12:00
Virgin Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 51.57%EV -10.79%E -6.17%K -14.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.49%EV -10.24%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -7.37%E -2.20%K -3.14%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-12 12:00
Sky Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 50.47%EV -10.79%E -6.17%K -14.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.03%EV -10.24%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -14.28%E -4.61%K -6.80%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-12 12:00
Unibet (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 51.37%EV -11.30%E -6.49%K -15.27%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.54%EV -11.31%E -2.72%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.09%EV -8.75%E -2.65%K -3.81%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-12 11:58
PlayUp1.83I 54.64%NM 49.33%EV -6.71%E -3.67%K -8.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.02%EV -12.37%E -3.02%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.66%EV -12.90%E -4.10%K -6.00%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-12 12:00
Winamax (DE)1.78I 56.18%NM 50.67%EV -9.26%E -5.20%K -11.87%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.00%EV -12.37%E -3.02%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -8.75%E -2.65%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-12 12:00
Betclic (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 50.97%EV -10.79%E -6.17%K -14.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.75%EV -12.37%E -3.02%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 27.28%EV -9.58%E -2.93%K -4.22%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-12 11:59
PMU (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 51.67%EV -12.83%E -7.50%K -18.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.55%EV -12.37%E -3.02%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.78%EV -8.75%E -2.65%K -3.81%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-12 12:00
NetBet (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 50.80%EV -12.83%E -7.50%K -18.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.19%EV -12.37%E -3.02%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.02%EV -14.28%E -4.61%K -6.80%G +0.000%15.1%2026-04-12 12:00
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 49.90%EV -8.24%E -4.58%K -10.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -14.51%E -3.63%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -10.14%E -3.12%K -4.51%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-12 11:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.90%EV -8.24%E -4.58%K -10.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -14.51%E -3.63%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -10.14%E -3.12%K -4.51%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-12 11:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.90%EV -8.24%E -4.58%K -10.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -14.51%E -3.63%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -10.14%E -3.12%K -4.51%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-12 12:00
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 49.69%EV -8.24%E -4.58%K -10.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -14.51%E -3.63%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -11.52%E -3.60%K -5.24%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-12 12:00
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 50.54%EV -11.30%E -6.49%K -15.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.98%EV -14.51%E -3.63%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.48%EV -11.52%E -3.60%K -5.24%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-12 12:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 48.50%EV -11.81%E -6.83%K -16.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.37%EV -19.85%E -5.29%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.13%EV -20.37%E -7.07%K -10.83%G +0.000%19.2%2026-04-12 12:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 52.08%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.90%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.02%0.5%2026-04-12 12:01
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.21%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.84%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.95%0.8%2026-04-12 12:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.21%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.84%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.95%0.8%2026-04-12 12:00
Matchbook1.93I 51.81%NM 51.19%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.58%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.23%1.2%2026-04-12 12:01
Smarkets1.87I 53.48%NM 51.98%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.25%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.77%2.9%2026-04-12 12:00
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 45.79%2.78I 35.97%NM 30.47%3.57I 28.01%NM 23.73%18.0%2026-04-12 12:01