Language:English
Girona FC v Leganés
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Girona FC (Local)
Prediction 60.19%1.66fair odd
EV -1.89%
Edge -1.16%
Kelly -3.00%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.63
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.68%60.24%60.10%61.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.471.551.541.6368.03%64.46%65.15%61.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Leganés (Visit)
Prediction 16.21%6.17fair odd
EV +6.31%
Edge +0.961%
Kelly +1.13%
Growth +0.072%
assuming max odds 6.56
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.46%16.12%16.30%17.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.595.506.5620.00%17.90%18.18%15.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 23.61%4.24fair odd
EV -0.859%
Edge -0.204%
Kelly -0.268%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.79%23.64%23.60%25.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.803.804.2028.57%26.34%26.32%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Girona FC (Local): 60.19%; Leganés (Visit): 16.21%; Draw: 23.61%. For Leganés (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.17. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.56, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.31%.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.79%EV -6.10%E -3.91%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 6.56I 15.24%NM 14.46%EV +6.31%E +0.961%K +1.13%G +0.072% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 24.76%EV -9.59%E -2.50%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 16:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.27%EV -6.10%E -3.91%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.42%EV +0.472%E +0.076%K +0.091%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.31%EV -3.22%E -0.785%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-16 16:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.20%EV -7.91%E -5.17%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.10%EV +0.472%E +0.076%K +0.091%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.70%EV -6.76%E -1.71%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-16 16:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.20%EV -7.91%E -5.17%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.10%EV +0.472%E +0.076%K +0.091%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.70%EV -6.76%E -1.71%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-16 16:49 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.20%EV -7.91%E -5.17%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.10%EV +0.472%E +0.076%K +0.091%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.70%EV -6.76%E -1.71%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-16 16:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -7.31%E -4.75%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -2.77%E -0.461%K -0.554%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -5.58%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-16 16:28 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -9.72%E -6.48%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -2.77%E -0.461%K -0.554%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -7.94%E -2.04%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-16 15:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.93%EV -7.91%E -5.17%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -2.77%E -0.461%K -0.554%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -12.66%E -3.42%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-16 16:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.92%EV -7.91%E -5.17%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 5.95I 16.81%NM 15.66%EV -3.58%E -0.602%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 23.42%EV -6.05%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-16 16:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.70%EV -8.51%E -5.60%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.64%EV -4.39%E -0.744%K -0.896%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -7.94%E -2.04%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-16 16:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.90%EV -6.71%E -4.33%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.74%EV -6.01%E -1.04%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -15.02%E -4.17%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-16 16:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.57%EV -4.90%E -3.10%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.64%EV -6.82%E -1.19%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -0.859%E -0.204%K -0.268%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-16 14:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.89%EV -4.90%E -3.10%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.46%EV -6.82%E -1.19%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -5.58%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 10:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.04%EV -5.50%E -3.50%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -6.82%E -1.19%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -5.58%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-16 16:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.04%EV -5.50%E -3.50%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -6.82%E -1.19%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -5.58%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-16 16:23 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.30%EV -5.50%E -3.50%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -6.82%E -1.19%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -10.30%E -2.71%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-16 16:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.42%EV -6.71%E -4.33%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.02%EV -6.82%E -1.19%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.56%EV -11.48%E -3.06%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-16 16:52 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.93%EV -7.91%E -5.17%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -6.82%E -1.19%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -10.30%E -2.71%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-16 16:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.93%EV -7.91%E -5.17%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -6.82%E -1.19%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -10.30%E -2.71%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-16 16:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.00%EV -8.51%E -5.60%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.00%EV -7.63%E -1.34%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.30%E -2.71%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-16 10:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.00%EV -8.51%E -5.60%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.00%EV -7.63%E -1.34%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.30%E -2.71%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-16 10:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.40%EV -6.10%E -3.91%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.85%EV -10.87%E -1.98%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -7.94%E -2.04%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-16 10:04 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -7.91%E -5.17%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -10.87%E -1.98%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -5.58%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-16 14:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -7.91%E -5.17%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -10.87%E -1.98%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -7.94%E -2.04%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-16 16:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -7.91%E -5.17%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -10.87%E -1.98%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -7.94%E -2.04%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-16 16:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.60%EV -6.71%E -4.33%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -10.87%E -1.98%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.89%EV -13.84%E -3.79%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-16 16:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.97%EV -9.72%E -6.48%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.36%EV -10.87%E -1.98%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -10.30%E -2.71%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-16 16:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.97%EV -9.72%E -6.48%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.36%EV -10.87%E -1.98%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -10.30%E -2.71%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-16 12:04 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.78%EV -9.72%E -6.48%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -10.87%E -1.98%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -11.48%E -3.06%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-16 16:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 60.27%EV -11.52%E -7.84%K -24.51%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.11%EV -10.87%E -1.98%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.62%EV -11.48%E -3.06%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-16 16:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.39%EV -1.89%E -1.16%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -12.49%E -2.31%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -12.66%E -3.42%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-16 16:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.39%EV -1.89%E -1.16%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -12.49%E -2.31%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -12.66%E -3.42%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-16 16:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.39%EV -1.89%E -1.16%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -12.49%E -2.31%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -12.66%E -3.42%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-16 16:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.39%EV -1.89%E -1.16%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -12.49%E -2.31%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -12.66%E -3.42%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-16 16:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.39%EV -1.89%E -1.16%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -12.49%E -2.31%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -12.66%E -3.42%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-16 16:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.31%EV -7.91%E -5.17%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.81%EV -12.49%E -2.31%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.88%EV -10.30%E -2.71%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-16 10:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.00%EV -8.51%E -5.60%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.21%EV -14.11%E -2.66%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.80%EV -5.58%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-16 10:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.84%EV -7.91%E -5.17%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.15%EV -14.92%E -2.84%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.01%EV -11.48%E -3.06%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-16 16:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.84%EV -7.91%E -5.17%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.15%EV -14.92%E -2.84%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.01%EV -11.48%E -3.06%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-16 16:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.84%EV -7.91%E -5.17%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.15%EV -14.92%E -2.84%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.01%EV -11.48%E -3.06%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-16 16:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.84%EV -7.91%E -5.17%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.15%EV -14.92%E -2.84%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.01%EV -11.48%E -3.06%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-16 16:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.68%EV -3.70%E -2.31%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.78%EV -17.35%E -3.40%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.54%EV -16.20%E -4.56%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-16 16:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.68%EV -3.70%E -2.31%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.78%EV -17.35%E -3.40%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.54%EV -16.20%E -4.56%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-16 16:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.68%EV -3.70%E -2.31%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.78%EV -17.35%E -3.40%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.54%EV -16.20%E -4.56%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-16 16:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.68%EV -3.70%E -2.31%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.78%EV -17.35%E -3.40%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.54%EV -16.20%E -4.56%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-16 16:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.09%EV -6.10%E -3.91%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.46%EV -17.35%E -3.40%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -17.38%E -4.97%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-16 16:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.89%EV -6.10%E -3.91%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.75%EV -18.97%E -3.79%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.36%EV -17.38%E -4.97%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-16 16:14 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.89%EV -6.10%E -3.91%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.75%EV -18.97%E -3.79%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.36%EV -17.38%E -4.97%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-16 16:14 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.81% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.02% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.17% | 0.9% | 2026-08-16 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.81% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.02% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.17% | 0.9% | 2026-08-16 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.81% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.02% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.17% | 0.9% | 2026-08-16 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.81% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.02% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.17% | 0.9% | 2026-08-16 16:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.81% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.02% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.17% | 0.9% | 2026-08-16 16:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.84% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.67% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.49% | 2.1% | 2026-08-16 16:50 |