默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Girona FC v Leganés

开赛时间: 2026-08-16 17:00 UTC

最终结果: Girona FC 1–1 Leganés

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

48 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Girona FC (主队)

预测 60.19%1.66公平赔率
EV -1.89%
优势 -1.16%
Kelly -3.00%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.63

博彩公司预测分布
56.68%60.24%60.10%61.27%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.471.551.541.6368.03%64.46%65.15%61.35%最小值均值中位数最大值

Leganés (客队)

预测 16.21%6.17公平赔率
EV +6.31%
优势 +0.961%
Kelly +1.13%
增长率 +0.072%

假设最高赔率为 6.56

博彩公司预测分布
14.46%16.12%16.30%17.78%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.005.595.506.5620.00%17.90%18.18%15.24%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 23.61%4.24公平赔率
EV -0.859%
优势 -0.204%
Kelly -0.268%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.20

博彩公司预测分布
22.79%23.64%23.60%25.54%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.503.803.804.2028.57%26.34%26.32%23.81%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Girona FC (主队):60.19%;Leganés (客队):16.21%;平局:23.61%。 对于“Leganés (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为6.17。 当时有5家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为6.56,对应+6.31%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (48 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.79%EV -6.10%E -3.91%K -10.90%G +0.000%6.56I 15.24%NM 14.46%EV +6.31%E +0.961%K +1.13%G +0.072%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.76%EV -9.59%E -2.50%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 16:54
Pinnacle🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.27%EV -6.10%E -3.91%K -10.90%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.42%EV +0.472%E +0.076%K +0.091%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.31%EV -3.22%E -0.785%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-16 16:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.20%EV -7.91%E -5.17%K -14.92%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.10%EV +0.472%E +0.076%K +0.091%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.70%EV -6.76%E -1.71%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-16 16:49
LowVig.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.20%EV -7.91%E -5.17%K -14.92%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.10%EV +0.472%E +0.076%K +0.091%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.70%EV -6.76%E -1.71%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-16 16:49
BetAnything🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.20%EV -7.91%E -5.17%K -14.92%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.10%EV +0.472%E +0.076%K +0.091%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.70%EV -6.76%E -1.71%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-16 16:49
FanDuel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -7.31%E -4.75%K -13.53%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -2.77%E -0.461%K -0.554%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -5.58%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-16 16:28
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -9.72%E -6.48%K -19.43%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -2.77%E -0.461%K -0.554%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -7.94%E -2.04%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-16 15:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.93%EV -7.91%E -5.17%K -14.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -2.77%E -0.461%K -0.554%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -12.66%E -3.42%K -4.69%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-16 16:54
Marathon Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.92%EV -7.91%E -5.17%K -14.92%G +0.000%5.95I 16.81%NM 15.66%EV -3.58%E -0.602%K -0.723%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.42%EV -6.05%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-16 16:49
SportsBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.70%EV -8.51%E -5.60%K -16.37%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.64%EV -4.39%E -0.744%K -0.896%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -7.94%E -2.04%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-16 16:29
William Hill🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.90%EV -6.71%E -4.33%K -12.19%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.74%EV -6.01%E -1.04%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -15.02%E -4.17%K -5.78%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-16 16:55
Coolbet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.57%EV -4.90%E -3.10%K -8.45%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.64%EV -6.82%E -1.19%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -0.859%E -0.204%K -0.268%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-16 14:44
Betr (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.89%EV -4.90%E -3.10%K -8.45%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.46%EV -6.82%E -1.19%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -5.58%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-16 10:04
Fanatics🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.04%EV -5.50%E -3.50%K -9.65%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -6.82%E -1.19%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -5.58%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-16 16:55
DraftKings🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.04%EV -5.50%E -3.50%K -9.65%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -6.82%E -1.19%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -5.58%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-16 16:23
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.30%EV -5.50%E -3.50%K -9.65%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -6.82%E -1.19%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -10.30%E -2.71%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-16 16:54
Bovada🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.42%EV -6.71%E -4.33%K -12.19%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.02%EV -6.82%E -1.19%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.56%EV -11.48%E -3.06%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-16 16:52
betano_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.93%EV -7.91%E -5.17%K -14.92%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -6.82%E -1.19%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -10.30%E -2.71%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-16 16:54
Bet Victor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.93%EV -7.91%E -5.17%K -14.92%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -6.82%E -1.19%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -10.30%E -2.71%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-16 16:54
Betsson🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.00%EV -8.51%E -5.60%K -16.37%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.00%EV -7.63%E -1.34%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.30%E -2.71%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-16 10:05
NordicBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.00%EV -8.51%E -5.60%K -16.37%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.00%EV -7.63%E -1.34%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.30%E -2.71%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-16 10:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.40%EV -6.10%E -3.91%K -10.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.85%EV -10.87%E -1.98%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -7.94%E -2.04%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-16 10:04
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -7.91%E -5.17%K -14.92%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -10.87%E -1.98%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -5.58%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-16 14:19
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -7.91%E -5.17%K -14.92%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -10.87%E -1.98%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -7.94%E -2.04%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-16 16:54
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -7.91%E -5.17%K -14.92%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -10.87%E -1.98%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -7.94%E -2.04%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-16 16:49
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.60%EV -6.71%E -4.33%K -12.19%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -10.87%E -1.98%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.89%EV -13.84%E -3.79%K -5.22%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-16 16:49
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.97%EV -9.72%E -6.48%K -19.43%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.36%EV -10.87%E -1.98%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -10.30%E -2.71%K -3.68%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-16 16:29
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.97%EV -9.72%E -6.48%K -19.43%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.36%EV -10.87%E -1.98%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -10.30%E -2.71%K -3.68%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-16 12:04
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.78%EV -9.72%E -6.48%K -19.43%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -10.87%E -1.98%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -11.48%E -3.06%K -4.17%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-16 16:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 60.27%EV -11.52%E -7.84%K -24.51%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.11%EV -10.87%E -1.98%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.62%EV -11.48%E -3.06%K -4.17%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-16 16:45
Unibet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.39%EV -1.89%E -1.16%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -12.49%E -2.31%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -12.66%E -3.42%K -4.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-16 16:19
Unibet (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.39%EV -1.89%E -1.16%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -12.49%E -2.31%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -12.66%E -3.42%K -4.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-16 16:19
Unibet (NL)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.39%EV -1.89%E -1.16%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -12.49%E -2.31%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -12.66%E -3.42%K -4.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-16 16:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.39%EV -1.89%E -1.16%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -12.49%E -2.31%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -12.66%E -3.42%K -4.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-16 16:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.39%EV -1.89%E -1.16%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -12.49%E -2.31%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -12.66%E -3.42%K -4.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-16 16:20
Codere (IT)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.31%EV -7.91%E -5.17%K -14.92%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.81%EV -12.49%E -2.31%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.88%EV -10.30%E -2.71%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-16 10:04
Winamax (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.00%EV -8.51%E -5.60%K -16.37%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.21%EV -14.11%E -2.66%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.80%EV -5.58%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-16 10:04
Neds🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.84%EV -7.91%E -5.17%K -14.92%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.15%EV -14.92%E -2.84%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.01%EV -11.48%E -3.06%K -4.17%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-16 16:49
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.84%EV -7.91%E -5.17%K -14.92%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.15%EV -14.92%E -2.84%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.01%EV -11.48%E -3.06%K -4.17%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-16 16:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.84%EV -7.91%E -5.17%K -14.92%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.15%EV -14.92%E -2.84%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.01%EV -11.48%E -3.06%K -4.17%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-16 16:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.84%EV -7.91%E -5.17%K -14.92%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.15%EV -14.92%E -2.84%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.01%EV -11.48%E -3.06%K -4.17%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-16 16:49
Casumo🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.68%EV -3.70%E -2.31%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.78%EV -17.35%E -3.40%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.54%EV -16.20%E -4.56%K -6.35%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-16 16:20
Grosvenor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.68%EV -3.70%E -2.31%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.78%EV -17.35%E -3.40%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.54%EV -16.20%E -4.56%K -6.35%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-16 16:19
TABtouch🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.68%EV -3.70%E -2.31%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.78%EV -17.35%E -3.40%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.54%EV -16.20%E -4.56%K -6.35%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-16 16:19
betPARX🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.68%EV -3.70%E -2.31%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.78%EV -17.35%E -3.40%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.54%EV -16.20%E -4.56%K -6.35%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-16 16:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.09%EV -6.10%E -3.91%K -10.90%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.46%EV -17.35%E -3.40%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -17.38%E -4.97%K -6.95%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-16 16:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 56.89%EV -6.10%E -3.91%K -10.90%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.75%EV -18.97%E -3.79%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.36%EV -17.38%E -4.97%K -6.95%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-16 16:14
LiveScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 56.89%EV -6.10%E -3.91%K -10.90%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.75%EV -18.97%E -3.79%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.36%EV -17.38%E -4.97%K -6.95%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-16 16:14
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Smarkets◎1.63I 61.35%NM 60.81%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.02%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.17%0.9%2026-08-16 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.63I 61.35%NM 60.81%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.02%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.17%0.9%2026-08-16 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.63I 61.35%NM 60.81%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.02%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.17%0.9%2026-08-16 16:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.63I 61.35%NM 60.81%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.02%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.17%0.9%2026-08-16 16:55
Matchbook◎1.63I 61.35%NM 60.81%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.02%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.17%0.9%2026-08-16 16:55
Kalshi◎1.61I 62.11%NM 60.84%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.67%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.49%2.1%2026-08-16 16:50