Language:English
Girona FC v Las Palmas
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Girona FC (Local)
Prediction 55.26%1.81fair odd
EV -3.85%
Edge -2.22%
Kelly -5.21%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.74
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.72%55.27%55.26%56.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.561.661.661.7464.10%60.29%60.24%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Las Palmas (Visit)
Prediction 20.02%4.99fair odd
EV +1.51%
Edge +0.297%
Kelly +0.370%
Growth +0.006%
assuming max odds 5.07
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.77%20.02%20.06%21.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.104.544.505.0724.39%22.03%22.22%19.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.72%4.04fair odd
EV -1.11%
Edge -0.277%
Kelly -0.369%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.60%24.71%24.68%25.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.453.703.704.0028.99%27.00%27.03%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Girona FC (Local): 55.26%; Las Palmas (Visit): 20.02%; Draw: 24.72%. For Las Palmas (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.99. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.07, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.51%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.56%EV -3.85%E -2.22%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 5.07I 19.72%NM 19.07%EV +1.51%E +0.297%K +0.370%G +0.006% | 3.81I 26.25%NM 25.37%EV -5.81%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-29 19:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.57%EV -5.51%E -3.22%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 5.03I 19.88%NM 18.89%EV +0.706%E +0.140%K +0.175%G +0.001% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.54%EV -8.03%E -2.16%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 19:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.80%EV -5.51%E -3.22%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV +0.105%E +0.021%K +0.026%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.11%EV -6.05%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-29 18:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.86%EV -8.83%E -5.35%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV +0.105%E +0.021%K +0.026%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -4.82%E -1.25%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-29 19:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.17%EV -8.28%E -4.98%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.42%EV -3.90%E -0.812%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.41%EV -5.56%E -1.46%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-29 19:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.61%EV -8.28%E -4.98%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.44%EV -4.90%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.95%EV -8.53%E -2.30%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-29 19:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.08%EV -7.72%E -4.62%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -4.90%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.00%E -3.05%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-29 19:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.78%EV -6.62%E -3.92%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.06%EV -5.90%E -1.26%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.17%EV -3.58%E -0.918%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-29 19:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.06%EV -6.62%E -3.92%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -5.90%E -1.26%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.15%EV -8.53%E -2.30%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-29 19:24 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.82%EV -10.49%E -6.47%K -16.91%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.58%EV -5.90%E -1.26%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.60%EV -3.58%E -0.918%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-29 19:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.25%EV -11.04%E -6.86%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.27%EV -5.90%E -1.26%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.48%EV -8.53%E -2.30%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-29 19:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.87%EV -8.83%E -5.35%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.26%EV -5.90%E -1.26%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -13.47%E -3.85%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-29 18:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.87%EV -8.83%E -5.35%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.26%EV -5.90%E -1.26%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -13.47%E -3.85%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-29 18:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.18%EV -9.93%E -6.09%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.34%EV -6.90%E -1.48%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 25.48%EV -12.73%E -3.61%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-29 19:08 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -6.06%E -3.57%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -7.90%E -1.72%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -3.58%E -0.918%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-29 19:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -6.06%E -3.57%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -7.90%E -1.72%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -3.58%E -0.918%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-29 19:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -6.06%E -3.57%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -7.90%E -1.72%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -3.58%E -0.918%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-29 19:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -6.06%E -3.57%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -7.90%E -1.72%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -3.58%E -0.918%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-29 19:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -6.06%E -3.57%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -7.90%E -1.72%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -3.58%E -0.918%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-29 19:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.68%EV -7.17%E -4.27%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -7.90%E -1.72%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -3.58%E -0.918%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-29 19:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.68%EV -7.17%E -4.27%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -7.90%E -1.72%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -3.58%E -0.918%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-29 19:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.68%EV -7.17%E -4.27%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -7.90%E -1.72%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -3.58%E -0.918%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-29 19:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.26%EV -8.28%E -4.98%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -7.90%E -1.72%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.79%EV -8.53%E -2.30%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-29 18:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.74%EV -7.72%E -4.62%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -7.90%E -1.72%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -11.00%E -3.05%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-29 19:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.69%EV -8.28%E -4.98%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.74%EV -7.90%E -1.72%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -12.23%E -3.45%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-29 18:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 55.39%EV -12.70%E -8.04%K -21.89%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 19.24%EV -8.90%E -1.96%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.37%EV -14.71%E -4.26%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-08-29 19:04 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.18%EV -4.96%E -2.88%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09%EV -9.91%E -2.20%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73%EV -1.11%E -0.277%K -0.369%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-29 19:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.94%EV -6.62%E -3.92%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -9.91%E -2.20%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.43%EV -6.05%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-29 19:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -7.72%E -4.62%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -9.91%E -2.20%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -6.05%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-29 19:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -7.72%E -4.62%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -9.91%E -2.20%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -6.05%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-29 19:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -7.72%E -4.62%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -9.91%E -2.20%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -7.29%E -1.94%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-29 19:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.02%EV -8.28%E -4.98%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.30%EV -9.91%E -2.20%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -8.53%E -2.30%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-29 18:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.60%EV -8.83%E -5.35%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.02%EV -9.91%E -2.20%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.38%EV -12.23%E -3.45%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-29 19:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -10.49%E -6.47%K -16.91%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -9.91%E -2.20%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.86%EV -11.00%E -3.05%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-29 18:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.86%EV -10.49%E -6.47%K -16.91%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.75%EV -9.91%E -2.20%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.39%EV -13.47%E -3.85%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-29 19:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 55.43%EV -13.25%E -8.44%K -23.24%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.34%EV -9.91%E -2.20%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.23%EV -14.71%E -4.26%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-08-29 19:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.27%EV -8.83%E -5.35%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -11.91%E -2.71%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -6.05%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-29 19:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.27%EV -8.83%E -5.35%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -11.91%E -2.71%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -6.05%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-29 19:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.92%EV -8.83%E -5.35%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -11.91%E -2.71%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -8.53%E -2.30%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-29 19:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.92%EV -8.83%E -5.35%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -11.91%E -2.71%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -8.53%E -2.30%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-29 19:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.92%EV -8.83%E -5.35%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -11.91%E -2.71%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -8.53%E -2.30%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-29 19:24 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.70%EV -9.38%E -5.72%K -14.66%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.39%EV -11.91%E -2.71%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -11.00%E -3.05%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-29 18:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 53.77%EV -6.62%E -3.92%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.99%EV -13.31%E -3.07%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -11.00%E -3.05%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-29 19:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.82%EV -10.49%E -6.47%K -16.91%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.51%EV -13.31%E -3.07%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -11.00%E -3.05%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-29 18:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.44%EV -10.49%E -6.47%K -16.91%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.37%EV -13.31%E -3.07%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -13.47%E -3.85%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-29 18:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.93%EV -10.49%E -6.47%K -16.91%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.69%EV -13.91%E -3.23%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.38%EV -9.76%E -2.67%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-29 19:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.93%EV -10.49%E -6.47%K -16.91%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.69%EV -13.91%E -3.23%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.38%EV -9.76%E -2.67%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-29 19:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.93%EV -10.49%E -6.47%K -16.91%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.69%EV -13.91%E -3.23%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.38%EV -9.76%E -2.67%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-29 19:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -7.72%E -4.62%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -15.91%E -3.79%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -11.00%E -3.05%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-29 18:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -7.72%E -4.62%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -15.91%E -3.79%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -11.00%E -3.05%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-29 18:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -7.72%E -4.62%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -15.91%E -3.79%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -11.00%E -3.05%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-29 18:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -7.72%E -4.62%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -15.91%E -3.79%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -11.00%E -3.05%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-29 18:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 54.76%EV -13.80%E -8.85%K -24.64%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 20.83%EV -17.91%E -4.37%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.41%EV -13.47%E -3.85%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 17.1% | 2026-08-29 19:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.23% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.03% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.74% | 1.0% | 2026-08-29 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.88% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.39% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.73% | 1.1% | 2026-08-29 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.88% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.39% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.73% | 1.1% | 2026-08-29 19:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.05% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.97% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.98% | 1.4% | 2026-08-29 19:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.02% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.33% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.65% | 1.4% | 2026-08-29 19:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.86% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.20% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.95% | 4.2% | 2026-08-29 19:25 |