Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Girona FC v Las Palmas

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-29 19:30 UTC

Score final : Girona FC 5–2 Las Palmas

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Girona FC (Local)

Prévision 55.26%1.81cote équitable
EV -3.85%
Avantage -2.22%
Kelly -5.21%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.74

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.72%55.27%55.26%56.86%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.561.661.661.7464.10%60.29%60.24%57.47%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Las Palmas (Visiteur)

Prévision 20.02%4.99cote équitable
EV +1.51%
Avantage +0.297%
Kelly +0.370%
Croissance +0.006%

avec la cote maximale 5.07

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.77%20.02%20.06%21.36%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.104.544.505.0724.39%22.03%22.22%19.72%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 24.72%4.04cote équitable
EV -1.11%
Avantage -0.277%
Kelly -0.369%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.60%24.71%24.68%25.87%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.453.703.704.0028.99%27.00%27.03%25.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Girona FC (Local) : 55.26% ; Las Palmas (Visiteur) : 20.02% ; Match nul : 24.72%. Pour Las Palmas (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.99. 4 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.07, soit une espérance positive de +1.51%.

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.56%EV -3.85%E -2.22%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.07I 19.72%NM 19.07%EV +1.51%E +0.297%K +0.370%G +0.006%3.81I 26.25%NM 25.37%EV -5.81%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-29 19:15
1xBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.57%EV -5.51%E -3.22%K -7.76%G +0.000%5.03I 19.88%NM 18.89%EV +0.706%E +0.140%K +0.175%G +0.001%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.54%EV -8.03%E -2.16%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 19:25
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.80%EV -5.51%E -3.22%K -7.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV +0.105%E +0.021%K +0.026%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.11%EV -6.05%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 18:40
Unibet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.86%EV -8.83%E -5.35%K -13.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV +0.105%E +0.021%K +0.026%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -4.82%E -1.25%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 19:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.17%EV -8.28%E -4.98%K -12.54%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.42%EV -3.90%E -0.812%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.41%EV -5.56%E -1.46%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 19:25
Bovada🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.61%EV -8.28%E -4.98%K -12.54%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.44%EV -4.90%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.95%EV -8.53%E -2.30%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-29 19:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.08%EV -7.72%E -4.62%K -11.53%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -4.90%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.00%E -3.05%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-29 19:20
DraftKings🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.78%EV -6.62%E -3.92%K -9.59%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.06%EV -5.90%E -1.26%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.17%EV -3.58%E -0.918%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 19:20
FanDuel🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.06%EV -6.62%E -3.92%K -9.59%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -5.90%E -1.26%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.15%EV -8.53%E -2.30%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-29 19:24
Tipico (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.82%EV -10.49%E -6.47%K -16.91%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.58%EV -5.90%E -1.26%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.60%EV -3.58%E -0.918%K -1.23%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-29 19:25
TABtouch🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.25%EV -11.04%E -6.86%K -18.09%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.27%EV -5.90%E -1.26%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.48%EV -8.53%E -2.30%K -3.16%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-29 19:20
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.87%EV -8.83%E -5.35%K -13.58%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.26%EV -5.90%E -1.26%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -13.47%E -3.85%K -5.39%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-29 18:40
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.87%EV -8.83%E -5.35%K -13.58%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.26%EV -5.90%E -1.26%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -13.47%E -3.85%K -5.39%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-29 18:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.18%EV -9.93%E -6.09%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.34%EV -6.90%E -1.48%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 25.48%EV -12.73%E -3.61%K -5.03%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-29 19:08
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -6.06%E -3.57%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -7.90%E -1.72%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -3.58%E -0.918%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 19:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -6.06%E -3.57%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -7.90%E -1.72%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -3.58%E -0.918%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 19:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -6.06%E -3.57%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -7.90%E -1.72%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -3.58%E -0.918%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 19:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -6.06%E -3.57%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -7.90%E -1.72%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -3.58%E -0.918%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 19:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -6.06%E -3.57%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -7.90%E -1.72%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -3.58%E -0.918%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 19:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.68%EV -7.17%E -4.27%K -10.54%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -7.90%E -1.72%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -3.58%E -0.918%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 19:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.68%EV -7.17%E -4.27%K -10.54%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -7.90%E -1.72%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -3.58%E -0.918%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 19:20
BetAnything🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.68%EV -7.17%E -4.27%K -10.54%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -7.90%E -1.72%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -3.58%E -0.918%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 19:20
SportsBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.26%EV -8.28%E -4.98%K -12.54%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -7.90%E -1.72%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.79%EV -8.53%E -2.30%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-29 18:50
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.74%EV -7.72%E -4.62%K -11.53%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -7.90%E -1.72%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -11.00%E -3.05%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-29 19:20
Codere (IT)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.69%EV -8.28%E -4.98%K -12.54%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.74%EV -7.90%E -1.72%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -12.23%E -3.45%K -4.80%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-29 18:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 55.39%EV -12.70%E -8.04%K -21.89%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.24%EV -8.90%E -1.96%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.37%EV -14.71%E -4.26%K -6.00%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-29 19:04
Coolbet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.18%EV -4.96%E -2.88%K -6.89%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09%EV -9.91%E -2.20%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73%EV -1.11%E -0.277%K -0.369%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 19:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.94%EV -6.62%E -3.92%K -9.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -9.91%E -2.20%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.43%EV -6.05%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-29 19:25
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -7.72%E -4.62%K -11.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -9.91%E -2.20%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -6.05%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-29 19:20
theScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -7.72%E -4.62%K -11.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -9.91%E -2.20%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -6.05%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-29 19:25
betfred_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -7.72%E -4.62%K -11.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -9.91%E -2.20%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -7.29%E -1.94%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 19:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.02%EV -8.28%E -4.98%K -12.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.30%EV -9.91%E -2.20%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -8.53%E -2.30%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-29 18:40
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.60%EV -8.83%E -5.35%K -13.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.02%EV -9.91%E -2.20%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.38%EV -12.23%E -3.45%K -4.80%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-29 19:20
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -10.49%E -6.47%K -16.91%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -9.91%E -2.20%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.86%EV -11.00%E -3.05%K -4.23%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-29 18:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.86%EV -10.49%E -6.47%K -16.91%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.75%EV -9.91%E -2.20%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.39%EV -13.47%E -3.85%K -5.39%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-29 19:20
NetBet (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 55.43%EV -13.25%E -8.44%K -23.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.34%EV -9.91%E -2.20%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.23%EV -14.71%E -4.26%K -6.00%G +0.000%14.9%2026-08-29 19:20
betano_uk🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.27%EV -8.83%E -5.35%K -13.58%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -11.91%E -2.71%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -6.05%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-29 19:25
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.27%EV -8.83%E -5.35%K -13.58%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -11.91%E -2.71%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -6.05%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-29 19:20
Casumo🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.92%EV -8.83%E -5.35%K -13.58%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -11.91%E -2.71%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -8.53%E -2.30%K -3.16%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-29 19:25
Grosvenor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.92%EV -8.83%E -5.35%K -13.58%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -11.91%E -2.71%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -8.53%E -2.30%K -3.16%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-29 19:25
betPARX🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.92%EV -8.83%E -5.35%K -13.58%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -11.91%E -2.71%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -8.53%E -2.30%K -3.16%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-29 19:24
Winamax (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.70%EV -9.38%E -5.72%K -14.66%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.39%EV -11.91%E -2.71%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -11.00%E -3.05%K -4.23%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-29 18:40
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 53.77%EV -6.62%E -3.92%K -9.59%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.99%EV -13.31%E -3.07%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -11.00%E -3.05%K -4.23%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-29 19:20
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.82%EV -10.49%E -6.47%K -16.91%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.51%EV -13.31%E -3.07%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -11.00%E -3.05%K -4.23%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-29 18:40
Sky Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.44%EV -10.49%E -6.47%K -16.91%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.37%EV -13.31%E -3.07%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -13.47%E -3.85%K -5.39%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-29 18:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.93%EV -10.49%E -6.47%K -16.91%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.69%EV -13.91%E -3.23%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.38%EV -9.76%E -2.67%K -3.68%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-29 19:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.93%EV -10.49%E -6.47%K -16.91%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.69%EV -13.91%E -3.23%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.38%EV -9.76%E -2.67%K -3.68%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-29 19:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.93%EV -10.49%E -6.47%K -16.91%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.69%EV -13.91%E -3.23%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.38%EV -9.76%E -2.67%K -3.68%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-29 19:25
Neds🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -7.72%E -4.62%K -11.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -15.91%E -3.79%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -11.00%E -3.05%K -4.23%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-29 18:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -7.72%E -4.62%K -11.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -15.91%E -3.79%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -11.00%E -3.05%K -4.23%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-29 18:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -7.72%E -4.62%K -11.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -15.91%E -3.79%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -11.00%E -3.05%K -4.23%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-29 18:40
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -7.72%E -4.62%K -11.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -15.91%E -3.79%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -11.00%E -3.05%K -4.23%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-29 18:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 54.76%EV -13.80%E -8.85%K -24.64%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 20.83%EV -17.91%E -4.37%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.41%EV -13.47%E -3.85%K -5.39%G +0.000%17.1%2026-08-29 19:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.23%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.03%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.74%1.0%2026-08-29 19:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.77I 56.50%NM 55.88%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.39%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.73%1.1%2026-08-29 19:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.77I 56.50%NM 55.88%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.39%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.73%1.1%2026-08-29 19:25
Smarkets◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.05%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.97%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.98%1.4%2026-08-29 19:25
Matchbook◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.02%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.33%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.65%1.4%2026-08-29 19:25
Kalshi◎1.75I 57.14%NM 54.86%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.20%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.95%4.2%2026-08-29 19:25