Language:English
Cultural Leonesa v SD Eibar
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cultural Leonesa (Local)
Prediction 30.34%3.30fair odd
EV -1.08%
Edge -0.330%
Kelly -0.476%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.26
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.25%30.31%30.35%31.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.802.982.963.2635.71%33.54%33.78%30.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
SD Eibar (Visit)
Prediction 40.87%2.45fair odd
EV -1.91%
Edge -0.798%
Kelly -1.37%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.12%40.92%40.85%41.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.272.292.4050.00%44.08%43.67%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.79%3.47fair odd
EV -4.14%
Edge -1.24%
Kelly -1.78%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.33
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.94%28.77%28.80%29.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.753.163.153.3336.36%31.64%31.75%30.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cultural Leonesa (Local): 30.34%; SD Eibar (Visit): 40.87%; Draw: 28.79%. For Cultural Leonesa (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.30. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.26, with an expected value of -1.08%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.71%EV -1.08%E -0.330%K -0.476%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.21%EV -3.96%E -1.68%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.08%EV -4.14%E -1.24%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-16 14:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -4.41%E -1.40%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.83%EV -6.00%E -2.61%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-16 14:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -4.41%E -1.40%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.83%EV -6.00%E -2.61%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-16 14:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -4.41%E -1.40%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.83%EV -6.00%E -2.61%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-16 14:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -4.41%E -1.40%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.50%EV -9.27%E -4.18%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -9.32%E -2.96%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-16 14:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.90%EV -5.32%E -1.71%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.83%EV -8.86%E -3.97%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.27%EV -5.01%E -1.52%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 14:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.69%EV -5.93%E -1.91%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.48%EV -3.96%E -1.68%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.83%EV -5.01%E -1.52%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-16 13:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -5.93%E -1.91%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -6.00%E -2.61%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -5.01%E -1.52%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-16 13:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -5.93%E -1.91%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -6.00%E -2.61%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -6.45%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-16 13:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -5.93%E -1.91%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -6.00%E -2.61%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-16 14:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -5.93%E -1.91%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -8.04%E -3.58%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-16 14:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -5.93%E -1.91%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -10.09%E -4.59%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-16 14:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.39%EV -5.93%E -1.91%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.41%EV -10.09%E -4.59%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.20%EV -10.19%E -3.27%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-16 14:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -7.45%E -2.44%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.65%EV -6.82%E -2.99%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-16 14:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -7.45%E -2.44%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.65%EV -6.82%E -2.99%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-16 13:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -8.97%E -2.99%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -3.96%E -1.68%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -6.45%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-16 13:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -8.97%E -2.99%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -6.00%E -2.61%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.01%E -1.52%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-16 13:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -8.97%E -2.99%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -6.00%E -2.61%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -6.45%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-16 13:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -8.97%E -2.99%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -6.00%E -2.61%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-16 13:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -8.97%E -2.99%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.80%EV -8.86%E -3.97%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -9.32%E -2.96%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-16 13:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -8.97%E -2.99%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -8.04%E -3.58%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.76%E -3.47%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-16 14:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -8.97%E -2.99%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -8.04%E -3.58%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.76%E -3.47%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-16 13:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -8.97%E -2.99%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -8.04%E -3.58%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.76%E -3.47%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-16 14:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -8.97%E -2.99%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -12.13%E -5.64%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -10.76%E -3.47%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-16 13:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -8.97%E -2.99%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.09%E -4.59%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -13.64%E -4.55%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-16 14:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.97I 33.67%NM 30.12%EV -9.88%E -3.33%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.22%EV -11.31%E -5.21%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.67%EV -10.19%E -3.27%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-16 13:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.88%EV -10.48%E -3.55%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.18%EV -1.91%E -0.798%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -6.45%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-16 13:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.88%EV -10.48%E -3.55%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.18%EV -1.91%E -0.798%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -6.45%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-16 13:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.88%EV -10.48%E -3.55%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.18%EV -1.91%E -0.798%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -6.45%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-16 13:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.88%EV -10.48%E -3.55%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.18%EV -1.91%E -0.798%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -6.45%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-16 13:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.88%EV -10.48%E -3.55%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.18%EV -1.91%E -0.798%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -6.45%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-16 13:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.93%EV -10.48%E -3.55%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.55%EV -8.04%E -3.58%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.51%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-16 13:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.78%EV -10.48%E -3.55%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.28%EV -10.09%E -4.59%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -6.45%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-16 13:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -12.00%E -4.14%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -3.96%E -1.68%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -9.32%E -2.96%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-16 13:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -12.00%E -4.14%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -3.96%E -1.68%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -9.32%E -2.96%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-16 13:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -12.00%E -4.14%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -3.96%E -1.68%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -9.32%E -2.96%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-16 13:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -12.00%E -4.14%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -3.96%E -1.68%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -9.32%E -2.96%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-16 13:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -12.00%E -4.14%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -10.09%E -4.59%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -10.76%E -3.47%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-16 13:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -12.00%E -4.14%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -10.09%E -4.59%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -10.76%E -3.47%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-16 13:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -12.00%E -4.14%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -10.09%E -4.59%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -10.76%E -3.47%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-16 13:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -12.00%E -4.14%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -10.09%E -4.59%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -10.76%E -3.47%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-16 13:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.44%EV -12.00%E -4.14%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -10.09%E -4.59%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV -13.64%E -4.55%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-16 14:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.01%EV -12.00%E -4.14%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.45%EV -14.17%E -6.75%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.54%EV -12.20%E -4.00%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-05-16 13:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.74%EV -12.61%E -4.38%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.24%EV -4.78%E -2.05%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.02%EV -9.32%E -2.96%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-16 13:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -12.61%E -4.38%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -6.00%E -2.61%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-16 11:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.69%EV -12.61%E -4.38%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.34%EV -5.18%E -2.23%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.97%EV -9.32%E -2.96%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-16 13:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.66%EV -13.52%E -4.74%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -6.00%E -2.61%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -10.76%E -3.47%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-16 13:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.66%EV -13.52%E -4.74%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -6.00%E -2.61%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -10.76%E -3.47%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-16 13:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.82%EV -13.52%E -4.74%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.85%EV -12.13%E -5.64%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.33%EV -10.76%E -3.47%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-16 13:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.67%EV -13.52%E -4.74%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.66%EV -12.13%E -5.64%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.66%EV -12.20%E -4.00%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-05-16 13:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -15.03%E -5.37%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.16%EV -8.04%E -3.58%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.37%EV -13.64%E -4.55%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-16 13:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 29.26%EV -15.03%E -5.37%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 40.96%EV -18.26%E -9.13%K -18.26%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 29.79%EV -20.84%E -7.58%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 22.1% | 2026-05-16 14:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 3.33I 30.03%NM 30.01% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.99% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.99% | 0.1% | 2026-05-16 14:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.29% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.84% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87% | 0.4% | 2026-05-16 14:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.29% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.84% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87% | 0.4% | 2026-05-16 14:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.19% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.05% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.76% | 0.8% | 2026-05-16 14:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.04% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.35% | 0.8% | 2026-05-16 14:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.49% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64% | 1.2% | 2026-05-16 14:10 |