La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Cultural Leonesa v SD Eibar
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Cultural Leonesa (Local)
Predicción 30.34%3.30momio equitativo
EV -1.08%
Ventaja -0.330%
Kelly -0.476%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.26
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.25%30.31%30.35%31.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.802.982.963.2635.71%33.54%33.78%30.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
SD Eibar (Visitante)
Predicción 40.87%2.45momio equitativo
EV -1.91%
Ventaja -0.798%
Kelly -1.37%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.12%40.92%40.85%41.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.272.292.4050.00%44.08%43.67%41.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 28.79%3.47momio equitativo
EV -4.14%
Ventaja -1.24%
Kelly -1.78%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.33
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.94%28.77%28.80%29.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.753.163.153.3336.36%31.64%31.75%30.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.71%EV -1.08%E -0.330%K -0.476%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.21%EV -3.96%E -1.68%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.08%EV -4.14%E -1.24%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-16 14:05 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -4.41%E -1.40%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.83%EV -6.00%E -2.61%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-16 14:10 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -4.41%E -1.40%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.83%EV -6.00%E -2.61%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-16 14:10 |
| BetAnything | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -4.41%E -1.40%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.83%EV -6.00%E -2.61%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-16 14:10 |
| Bovada | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -4.41%E -1.40%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.50%EV -9.27%E -4.18%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -9.32%E -2.96%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-16 14:10 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.90%EV -5.32%E -1.71%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.83%EV -8.86%E -3.97%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.27%EV -5.01%E -1.52%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 14:10 |
| Coolbet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.69%EV -5.93%E -1.91%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.48%EV -3.96%E -1.68%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.83%EV -5.01%E -1.52%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-16 13:30 |
| Fanatics | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -5.93%E -1.91%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -6.00%E -2.61%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -5.01%E -1.52%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-16 13:55 |
| DraftKings | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -5.93%E -1.91%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -6.00%E -2.61%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -6.45%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-16 13:50 |
| FanDuel | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -5.93%E -1.91%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -6.00%E -2.61%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-16 14:04 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -5.93%E -1.91%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -8.04%E -3.58%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-16 14:10 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -5.93%E -1.91%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -10.09%E -4.59%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-16 14:10 |
| Bet Victor | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.39%EV -5.93%E -1.91%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.41%EV -10.09%E -4.59%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.20%EV -10.19%E -3.27%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-16 14:09 |
| Betsson | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -7.45%E -2.44%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.65%EV -6.82%E -2.99%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-16 14:10 |
| NordicBet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -7.45%E -2.44%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.65%EV -6.82%E -2.99%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-16 13:55 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -8.97%E -2.99%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -3.96%E -1.68%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -6.45%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-16 13:30 |
| Betway | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -8.97%E -2.99%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -6.00%E -2.61%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.01%E -1.52%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-16 13:50 |
| theScore Bet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -8.97%E -2.99%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -6.00%E -2.61%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -6.45%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-16 13:25 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -8.97%E -2.99%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -6.00%E -2.61%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-16 13:25 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -8.97%E -2.99%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.80%EV -8.86%E -3.97%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -9.32%E -2.96%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-16 13:55 |
| SportsBet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -8.97%E -2.99%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -8.04%E -3.58%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.76%E -3.47%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-16 14:05 |
| William Hill | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -8.97%E -2.99%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -8.04%E -3.58%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.76%E -3.47%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-16 13:50 |
| PlayUp | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -8.97%E -2.99%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -8.04%E -3.58%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.76%E -3.47%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-16 14:05 |
| BoyleSports | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -8.97%E -2.99%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -12.13%E -5.64%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -10.76%E -3.47%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-16 13:55 |
| Paddy Power | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -8.97%E -2.99%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.09%E -4.59%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -13.64%E -4.55%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-16 14:05 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.97I 33.67%NM 30.12%EV -9.88%E -3.33%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.22%EV -11.31%E -5.21%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.67%EV -10.19%E -3.27%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-16 13:55 |
| Unibet | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.88%EV -10.48%E -3.55%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.18%EV -1.91%E -0.798%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -6.45%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-16 13:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.88%EV -10.48%E -3.55%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.18%EV -1.91%E -0.798%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -6.45%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-16 13:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.88%EV -10.48%E -3.55%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.18%EV -1.91%E -0.798%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -6.45%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-16 13:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.88%EV -10.48%E -3.55%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.18%EV -1.91%E -0.798%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -6.45%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-16 13:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.88%EV -10.48%E -3.55%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.18%EV -1.91%E -0.798%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -6.45%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-16 13:20 |
| BetMGM | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.93%EV -10.48%E -3.55%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.55%EV -8.04%E -3.58%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.51%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-16 13:30 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.78%EV -10.48%E -3.55%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.28%EV -10.09%E -4.59%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -6.45%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-16 13:55 |
| Grosvenor | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -12.00%E -4.14%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -3.96%E -1.68%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -9.32%E -2.96%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-16 13:20 |
| TABtouch | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -12.00%E -4.14%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -3.96%E -1.68%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -9.32%E -2.96%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-16 13:20 |
| Casumo | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -12.00%E -4.14%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -3.96%E -1.68%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -9.32%E -2.96%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-16 13:20 |
| betPARX | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -12.00%E -4.14%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -3.96%E -1.68%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -9.32%E -2.96%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-16 13:20 |
| Coral | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -12.00%E -4.14%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -10.09%E -4.59%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -10.76%E -3.47%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-16 13:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -12.00%E -4.14%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -10.09%E -4.59%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -10.76%E -3.47%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-16 13:30 |
| Neds | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -12.00%E -4.14%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -10.09%E -4.59%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -10.76%E -3.47%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-16 13:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -12.00%E -4.14%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -10.09%E -4.59%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -10.76%E -3.47%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-16 13:30 |
| Sky Bet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.44%EV -12.00%E -4.14%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -10.09%E -4.59%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV -13.64%E -4.55%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-16 14:05 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.01%EV -12.00%E -4.14%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.45%EV -14.17%E -6.75%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.54%EV -12.20%E -4.00%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-05-16 13:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.74%EV -12.61%E -4.38%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.24%EV -4.78%E -2.05%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.02%EV -9.32%E -2.96%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-16 13:20 |
| betfred_uk | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -12.61%E -4.38%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -6.00%E -2.61%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-16 11:35 |
| LeoVegas | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.69%EV -12.61%E -4.38%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.34%EV -5.18%E -2.23%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.97%EV -9.32%E -2.96%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-16 13:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.66%EV -13.52%E -4.74%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -6.00%E -2.61%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -10.76%E -3.47%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-16 13:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.66%EV -13.52%E -4.74%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -6.00%E -2.61%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -10.76%E -3.47%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-16 13:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.82%EV -13.52%E -4.74%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.85%EV -12.13%E -5.64%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.33%EV -10.76%E -3.47%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-16 13:55 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.67%EV -13.52%E -4.74%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.66%EV -12.13%E -5.64%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.66%EV -12.20%E -4.00%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-05-16 13:59 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -15.03%E -5.37%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.16%EV -8.04%E -3.58%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.37%EV -13.64%E -4.55%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-16 13:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 29.26%EV -15.03%E -5.37%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 40.96%EV -18.26%E -9.13%K -18.26%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 29.79%EV -20.84%E -7.58%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 22.1% | 2026-05-16 14:05 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 3.33I 30.03%NM 30.01% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.99% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.99% | 0.1% | 2026-05-16 14:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.29% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.84% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87% | 0.4% | 2026-05-16 14:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.29% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.84% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87% | 0.4% | 2026-05-16 14:10 |
| Matchbook | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.19% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.05% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.76% | 0.8% | 2026-05-16 14:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.04% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.35% | 0.8% | 2026-05-16 14:10 |
| Smarkets | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.49% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64% | 1.2% | 2026-05-16 14:10 |