A Escola das Odds

Cultural Leonesa v Real Valladolid CF

Início: 2026-04-04 16:32 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

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50 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Cultural Leonesa (Local)

Previsão 33.47%2.99odd justa
EV -1.59%
Vantagem -0.542%
Kelly -0.821%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.94

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
31.73%33.50%33.47%34.85%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.552.722.702.9439.22%36.82%37.04%34.01%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Real Valladolid CF (Visitante)

Previsão 37.94%2.64odd justa
EV -1.37%
Vantagem -0.525%
Kelly -0.854%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
36.08%37.94%37.98%38.90%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.202.452.452.6045.45%40.90%40.82%38.46%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 28.59%3.50odd justa
EV -2.79%
Vantagem -0.820%
Kelly -1.16%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.96%28.57%28.55%30.34%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.753.173.153.4036.36%31.53%31.75%29.41%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (50 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
LowVig.ag2.94I 34.01%NM 32.80%EV -1.59%E -0.542%K -0.821%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.97%EV -3.64%E -1.43%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.23%EV -5.65%E -1.71%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-04 16:30
BetOnline.ag2.94I 34.01%NM 32.75%EV -1.59%E -0.542%K -0.821%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.51%EV -5.16%E -2.06%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.74%EV -4.22%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-04 16:29
Pinnacle2.91I 34.36%NM 33.24%EV -2.60%E -0.892%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.23%EV -4.02%E -1.59%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.53%EV -3.07%E -0.907%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-04 16:29
Fanatics2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -4.61%E -1.62%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -7.06%E -2.88%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -5.65%E -1.71%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 16:30
FanDuel2.85I 35.09%NM 32.49%EV -4.61%E -1.62%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.58%EV -8.95%E -3.73%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.93%EV -8.51%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-04 16:30
Marathon Bet2.82I 35.46%NM 33.05%EV -5.61%E -1.99%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.36%EV -7.81%E -3.22%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.59%EV -6.79%E -2.08%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 16:29
Coolbet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.97%EV -6.28%E -2.24%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.05%EV -5.16%E -2.06%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -2.79%E -0.820%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-04 16:28
DraftKings2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -6.28%E -2.24%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -7.06%E -2.88%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -7.08%E -2.18%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 16:30
theScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -6.28%E -2.24%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.87%EV -7.06%E -2.88%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -8.51%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-04 16:30
BetAnything2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -6.28%E -2.24%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.89%EV -7.81%E -3.22%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.23%EV -9.94%E -3.15%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 16:29
Tipico (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -6.28%E -2.24%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -8.95%E -3.73%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.51%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 16:30
Mr Green (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -6.28%E -2.24%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -7.06%E -2.88%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -11.36%E -3.67%K -5.41%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-04 16:29
SportsBet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -6.28%E -2.24%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -8.95%E -3.73%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -11.36%E -3.67%K -5.41%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 16:30
Betr (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -7.95%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.16%E -2.06%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -5.65%E -1.71%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-04 16:29
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -7.95%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -8.95%E -3.73%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -11.36%E -3.67%K -5.41%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-04 16:30
Paddy Power2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -7.95%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -12.75%E -5.54%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.36%E -3.67%K -5.41%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-04 16:30
NordicBet2.72I 36.76%NM 33.94%EV -8.96%E -3.29%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.22%EV -5.92%E -2.39%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.85%EV -8.51%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-04 16:29
Betsson2.72I 36.76%NM 33.94%EV -8.96%E -3.29%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.22%EV -5.92%E -2.39%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.85%EV -8.51%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-04 16:29
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -9.63%E -3.57%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -1.37%E -0.525%K -0.854%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -7.08%E -2.18%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 16:30
Unibet (NL)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -9.63%E -3.57%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -1.37%E -0.525%K -0.854%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -7.08%E -2.18%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 16:30
Svenska Spel2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -9.63%E -3.57%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -1.37%E -0.525%K -0.854%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -7.08%E -2.18%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 16:30
ATG (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -9.63%E -3.57%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -1.37%E -0.525%K -0.854%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -7.08%E -2.18%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 16:30
Unibet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.76%EV -9.63%E -3.57%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -3.26%E -1.28%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -5.65%E -1.71%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-04 16:30
PointsBet (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -9.63%E -3.57%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -7.06%E -2.88%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -5.65%E -1.71%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-04 16:29
Betway2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -9.63%E -3.57%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -5.16%E -2.06%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.51%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-04 16:30
Bet Victor2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -9.63%E -3.57%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -7.06%E -2.88%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -8.51%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-04 16:28
BetMGM2.70I 37.04%NM 33.58%EV -9.63%E -3.57%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.09%EV -9.71%E -4.08%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -8.51%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-04 16:30
PlayUp2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -9.63%E -3.57%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.72%EV -8.95%E -3.73%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.74%EV -9.94%E -3.15%K -4.62%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-04 16:30
Ladbrokes (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -9.63%E -3.57%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -9.71%E -4.08%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -11.36%E -3.67%K -5.41%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-04 16:29
Neds2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -9.63%E -3.57%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -9.71%E -4.08%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -11.36%E -3.67%K -5.41%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-04 16:29
Winamax (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -9.63%E -3.57%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.22%EV -10.85%E -4.62%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.51%EV -9.94%E -3.15%K -4.62%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-04 16:30
Coral2.70I 37.04%NM 33.22%EV -9.63%E -3.57%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.85%EV -10.09%E -4.26%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.93%EV -11.36%E -3.67%K -5.41%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-04 16:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.22%EV -9.63%E -3.57%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.85%EV -10.09%E -4.26%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.93%EV -11.36%E -3.67%K -5.41%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-04 16:30
BoyleSports2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -9.63%E -3.57%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.90%EV -12.75%E -5.54%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -8.51%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-04 16:30
Sky Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 32.53%EV -9.63%E -3.57%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.19%EV -12.75%E -5.54%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.28%EV -14.22%E -4.74%K -7.11%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-04 16:30
TABtouch2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -11.30%E -4.26%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -3.26%E -1.28%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -9.94%E -3.15%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-04 16:30
Casumo2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -11.30%E -4.26%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -3.26%E -1.28%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -9.94%E -3.15%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-04 16:30
Grosvenor2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -11.30%E -4.26%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -3.26%E -1.28%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -9.94%E -3.15%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-04 16:30
betPARX2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -11.30%E -4.26%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -3.26%E -1.28%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -9.94%E -3.15%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-04 16:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.47%EV -11.30%E -4.26%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.54%EV -5.16%E -2.06%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.00%EV -9.94%E -3.15%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-04 16:30
Codere (IT)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -11.30%E -4.26%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.01%EV -7.06%E -2.88%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -9.94%E -3.15%K -4.62%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-04 16:30
LeoVegas2.63I 38.02%NM 34.64%EV -11.97%E -4.55%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.44%EV -5.16%E -2.06%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.92%EV -9.94%E -3.15%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-04 16:30
Betclic (FR)2.63I 38.02%NM 33.90%EV -11.97%E -4.55%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.62%EV -10.09%E -4.26%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 28.48%EV -10.51%E -3.36%K -4.93%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-04 16:27
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.63I 38.02%NM 31.73%EV -11.97%E -4.55%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 37.93%EV -16.54%E -7.52%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.34%EV -21.37%E -7.77%K -12.21%G +0.000%19.8%2026-04-04 16:30
Virgin Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 34.64%EV -12.97%E -4.99%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.31%EV -5.92%E -2.39%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -11.36%E -3.67%K -5.41%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-04 16:30
LiveScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 34.64%EV -12.97%E -4.99%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.31%EV -5.92%E -2.39%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -11.36%E -3.67%K -5.41%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-04 16:30
Unibet (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 33.95%EV -12.97%E -4.99%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.57%EV -10.85%E -4.62%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -11.36%E -3.67%K -5.41%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-04 16:29
Winamax (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 33.52%EV -12.97%E -4.99%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.90%EV -12.75%E -5.54%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.58%EV -12.79%E -4.19%K -6.24%G +0.000%14.7%2026-04-04 16:30
NetBet (FR)2.57I 38.91%NM 33.89%EV -13.98%E -5.44%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 37.55%EV -11.99%E -5.17%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.56%EV -12.79%E -4.19%K -6.24%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-04 16:30
PMU (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 34.66%EV -14.65%E -5.74%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.37%EV -7.81%E -3.22%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.98%EV -12.79%E -4.19%K -6.24%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-04 16:30
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.94I 34.01%NM 33.76%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.04%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.20%0.7%2026-04-04 16:30
Matchbook2.92I 34.25%NM 33.95%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.60%0.9%2026-04-04 16:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.92I 34.25%NM 33.86%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%1.1%2026-04-04 16:30
Smarkets2.90I 34.48%NM 33.96%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.20%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.84%1.6%2026-04-04 16:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.94I 34.01%NM 33.43%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.23%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.34%1.7%2026-04-04 16:30
Kalshi2.94I 34.01%NM 32.99%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.89%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.13%3.1%2026-04-04 16:30