La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Cultural Leonesa v Real Valladolid CF
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Cultural Leonesa (Local)
Predicción 33.47%2.99momio equitativo
EV -1.59%
Ventaja -0.542%
Kelly -0.821%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.94
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.73%33.50%33.47%34.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.552.722.702.9439.22%36.82%37.04%34.01%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Real Valladolid CF (Visitante)
Predicción 37.94%2.64momio equitativo
EV -1.37%
Ventaja -0.525%
Kelly -0.854%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.08%37.94%37.98%38.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.202.452.452.6045.45%40.90%40.82%38.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 28.59%3.50momio equitativo
EV -2.79%
Ventaja -0.820%
Kelly -1.16%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.96%28.57%28.55%30.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.753.173.153.4036.36%31.53%31.75%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.80%EV -1.59%E -0.542%K -0.821%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.97%EV -3.64%E -1.43%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.23%EV -5.65%E -1.71%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.75%EV -1.59%E -0.542%K -0.821%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.51%EV -5.16%E -2.06%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.74%EV -4.22%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-04 16:29 |
| Pinnacle | 2.91I 34.36%NM 33.24%EV -2.60%E -0.892%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.23%EV -4.02%E -1.59%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.53%EV -3.07%E -0.907%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-04 16:29 |
| Fanatics | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -4.61%E -1.62%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -7.06%E -2.88%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -5.65%E -1.71%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| FanDuel | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.49%EV -4.61%E -1.62%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.58%EV -8.95%E -3.73%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.93%EV -8.51%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.05%EV -5.61%E -1.99%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.36%EV -7.81%E -3.22%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 28.59%EV -6.79%E -2.08%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-04 16:29 |
| Coolbet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.97%EV -6.28%E -2.24%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.05%EV -5.16%E -2.06%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -2.79%E -0.820%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-04 16:28 |
| DraftKings | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -6.28%E -2.24%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -7.06%E -2.88%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -7.08%E -2.18%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| theScore Bet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -6.28%E -2.24%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.87%EV -7.06%E -2.88%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -8.51%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| BetAnything | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -6.28%E -2.24%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.89%EV -7.81%E -3.22%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.23%EV -9.94%E -3.15%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-04 16:29 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -6.28%E -2.24%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -8.95%E -3.73%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.51%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -6.28%E -2.24%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -7.06%E -2.88%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -11.36%E -3.67%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-04 16:29 |
| SportsBet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -6.28%E -2.24%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -8.95%E -3.73%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -11.36%E -3.67%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -7.95%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.16%E -2.06%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -5.65%E -1.71%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-04 16:29 |
| William Hill | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -7.95%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -8.95%E -3.73%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -11.36%E -3.67%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| Paddy Power | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -7.95%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -12.75%E -5.54%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.36%E -3.67%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| NordicBet | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.94%EV -8.96%E -3.29%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.22%EV -5.92%E -2.39%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.85%EV -8.51%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-04 16:29 |
| Betsson | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.94%EV -8.96%E -3.29%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.22%EV -5.92%E -2.39%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.85%EV -8.51%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-04 16:29 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -9.63%E -3.57%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -1.37%E -0.525%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -7.08%E -2.18%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -9.63%E -3.57%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -1.37%E -0.525%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -7.08%E -2.18%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -9.63%E -3.57%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -1.37%E -0.525%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -7.08%E -2.18%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -9.63%E -3.57%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -1.37%E -0.525%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -7.08%E -2.18%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| Unibet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.76%EV -9.63%E -3.57%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -3.26%E -1.28%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -5.65%E -1.71%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -9.63%E -3.57%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -7.06%E -2.88%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -5.65%E -1.71%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-04 16:29 |
| Betway | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -9.63%E -3.57%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -5.16%E -2.06%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.51%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| Bet Victor | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -9.63%E -3.57%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -7.06%E -2.88%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -8.51%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-04 16:28 |
| BetMGM | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.58%EV -9.63%E -3.57%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.09%EV -9.71%E -4.08%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -8.51%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| PlayUp | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -9.63%E -3.57%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.72%EV -8.95%E -3.73%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.74%EV -9.94%E -3.15%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -9.63%E -3.57%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -9.71%E -4.08%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -11.36%E -3.67%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-04 16:29 |
| Neds | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -9.63%E -3.57%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -9.71%E -4.08%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -11.36%E -3.67%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-04 16:29 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -9.63%E -3.57%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.22%EV -10.85%E -4.62%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.51%EV -9.94%E -3.15%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| Coral | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.22%EV -9.63%E -3.57%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.85%EV -10.09%E -4.26%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.93%EV -11.36%E -3.67%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.22%EV -9.63%E -3.57%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.85%EV -10.09%E -4.26%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.93%EV -11.36%E -3.67%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| BoyleSports | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -9.63%E -3.57%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.90%EV -12.75%E -5.54%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -8.51%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| Sky Bet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.53%EV -9.63%E -3.57%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.19%EV -12.75%E -5.54%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.28%EV -14.22%E -4.74%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| TABtouch | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -11.30%E -4.26%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -3.26%E -1.28%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -9.94%E -3.15%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| Casumo | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -11.30%E -4.26%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -3.26%E -1.28%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -9.94%E -3.15%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| Grosvenor | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -11.30%E -4.26%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -3.26%E -1.28%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -9.94%E -3.15%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| betPARX | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -11.30%E -4.26%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -3.26%E -1.28%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -9.94%E -3.15%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.47%EV -11.30%E -4.26%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.54%EV -5.16%E -2.06%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.00%EV -9.94%E -3.15%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -11.30%E -4.26%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.01%EV -7.06%E -2.88%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -9.94%E -3.15%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| LeoVegas | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.64%EV -11.97%E -4.55%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.44%EV -5.16%E -2.06%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.92%EV -9.94%E -3.15%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.90%EV -11.97%E -4.55%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.62%EV -10.09%E -4.26%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 28.48%EV -10.51%E -3.36%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-04 16:27 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.63I 38.02%NM 31.73%EV -11.97%E -4.55%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 37.93%EV -16.54%E -7.52%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 30.34%EV -21.37%E -7.77%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 19.8% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.64%EV -12.97%E -4.99%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.31%EV -5.92%E -2.39%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -11.36%E -3.67%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.64%EV -12.97%E -4.99%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.31%EV -5.92%E -2.39%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -11.36%E -3.67%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.95%EV -12.97%E -4.99%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.57%EV -10.85%E -4.62%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -11.36%E -3.67%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-04-04 16:29 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.52%EV -12.97%E -4.99%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.90%EV -12.75%E -5.54%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.58%EV -12.79%E -4.19%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.57I 38.91%NM 33.89%EV -13.98%E -5.44%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 37.55%EV -11.99%E -5.17%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.56%EV -12.79%E -4.19%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.66%EV -14.65%E -5.74%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.37%EV -7.81%E -3.22%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.98%EV -12.79%E -4.19%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.76% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.04% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.20% | 0.7% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| Matchbook | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.95% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.60% | 0.9% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.86% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52% | 1.1% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| Smarkets | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.96% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.20% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.84% | 1.6% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.43% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.23% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.34% | 1.7% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| Kalshi | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.99% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.89% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.13% | 3.1% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |