L’École des cotesFrançais
Cultural Leonesa v Real Valladolid CF
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Cultural Leonesa (Local)
Prévision 33.47%2.99cote équitable
EV -1.59%
Avantage -0.542%
Kelly -0.821%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.94
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.73%33.50%33.47%34.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.552.722.702.9439.22%36.82%37.04%34.01%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Real Valladolid CF (Visiteur)
Prévision 37.94%2.64cote équitable
EV -1.37%
Avantage -0.525%
Kelly -0.854%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.60
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.08%37.94%37.98%38.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.202.452.452.6045.45%40.90%40.82%38.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 28.59%3.50cote équitable
EV -2.79%
Avantage -0.820%
Kelly -1.16%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.40
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.96%28.57%28.55%30.34%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.753.173.153.4036.36%31.53%31.75%29.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.80%EV -1.59%E -0.542%K -0.821%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.97%EV -3.64%E -1.43%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.23%EV -5.65%E -1.71%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.75%EV -1.59%E -0.542%K -0.821%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.51%EV -5.16%E -2.06%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.74%EV -4.22%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-04 16:29 |
| Pinnacle | 2.91I 34.36%NM 33.24%EV -2.60%E -0.892%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.23%EV -4.02%E -1.59%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.53%EV -3.07%E -0.907%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-04 16:29 |
| Fanatics | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -4.61%E -1.62%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -7.06%E -2.88%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -5.65%E -1.71%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| FanDuel | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.49%EV -4.61%E -1.62%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.58%EV -8.95%E -3.73%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.93%EV -8.51%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.05%EV -5.61%E -1.99%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.36%EV -7.81%E -3.22%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 28.59%EV -6.79%E -2.08%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-04 16:29 |
| Coolbet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.97%EV -6.28%E -2.24%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.05%EV -5.16%E -2.06%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -2.79%E -0.820%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-04 16:28 |
| DraftKings | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -6.28%E -2.24%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -7.06%E -2.88%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -7.08%E -2.18%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| theScore Bet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -6.28%E -2.24%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.87%EV -7.06%E -2.88%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -8.51%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| BetAnything | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -6.28%E -2.24%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.89%EV -7.81%E -3.22%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.23%EV -9.94%E -3.15%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-04 16:29 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -6.28%E -2.24%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -8.95%E -3.73%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.51%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -6.28%E -2.24%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -7.06%E -2.88%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -11.36%E -3.67%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-04 16:29 |
| SportsBet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -6.28%E -2.24%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -8.95%E -3.73%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -11.36%E -3.67%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -7.95%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.16%E -2.06%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -5.65%E -1.71%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-04 16:29 |
| William Hill | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -7.95%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -8.95%E -3.73%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -11.36%E -3.67%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| Paddy Power | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -7.95%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -12.75%E -5.54%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.36%E -3.67%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| NordicBet | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.94%EV -8.96%E -3.29%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.22%EV -5.92%E -2.39%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.85%EV -8.51%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-04 16:29 |
| Betsson | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.94%EV -8.96%E -3.29%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.22%EV -5.92%E -2.39%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.85%EV -8.51%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-04 16:29 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -9.63%E -3.57%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -1.37%E -0.525%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -7.08%E -2.18%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -9.63%E -3.57%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -1.37%E -0.525%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -7.08%E -2.18%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -9.63%E -3.57%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -1.37%E -0.525%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -7.08%E -2.18%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -9.63%E -3.57%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -1.37%E -0.525%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -7.08%E -2.18%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| Unibet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.76%EV -9.63%E -3.57%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -3.26%E -1.28%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -5.65%E -1.71%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -9.63%E -3.57%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -7.06%E -2.88%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -5.65%E -1.71%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-04 16:29 |
| Betway | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -9.63%E -3.57%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -5.16%E -2.06%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.51%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| Bet Victor | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -9.63%E -3.57%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -7.06%E -2.88%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -8.51%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-04 16:28 |
| BetMGM | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.58%EV -9.63%E -3.57%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.09%EV -9.71%E -4.08%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -8.51%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| PlayUp | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -9.63%E -3.57%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.72%EV -8.95%E -3.73%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.74%EV -9.94%E -3.15%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -9.63%E -3.57%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -9.71%E -4.08%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -11.36%E -3.67%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-04 16:29 |
| Neds | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -9.63%E -3.57%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -9.71%E -4.08%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -11.36%E -3.67%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-04 16:29 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -9.63%E -3.57%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.22%EV -10.85%E -4.62%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.51%EV -9.94%E -3.15%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| Coral | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.22%EV -9.63%E -3.57%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.85%EV -10.09%E -4.26%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.93%EV -11.36%E -3.67%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.22%EV -9.63%E -3.57%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.85%EV -10.09%E -4.26%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.93%EV -11.36%E -3.67%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| BoyleSports | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -9.63%E -3.57%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.90%EV -12.75%E -5.54%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -8.51%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| Sky Bet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.53%EV -9.63%E -3.57%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.19%EV -12.75%E -5.54%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.28%EV -14.22%E -4.74%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| TABtouch | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -11.30%E -4.26%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -3.26%E -1.28%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -9.94%E -3.15%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| Casumo | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -11.30%E -4.26%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -3.26%E -1.28%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -9.94%E -3.15%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| Grosvenor | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -11.30%E -4.26%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -3.26%E -1.28%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -9.94%E -3.15%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| betPARX | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -11.30%E -4.26%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -3.26%E -1.28%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -9.94%E -3.15%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.47%EV -11.30%E -4.26%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.54%EV -5.16%E -2.06%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.00%EV -9.94%E -3.15%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -11.30%E -4.26%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.01%EV -7.06%E -2.88%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -9.94%E -3.15%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| LeoVegas | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.64%EV -11.97%E -4.55%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.44%EV -5.16%E -2.06%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.92%EV -9.94%E -3.15%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.90%EV -11.97%E -4.55%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.62%EV -10.09%E -4.26%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 28.48%EV -10.51%E -3.36%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-04 16:27 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.63I 38.02%NM 31.73%EV -11.97%E -4.55%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 37.93%EV -16.54%E -7.52%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 30.34%EV -21.37%E -7.77%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 19.8% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.64%EV -12.97%E -4.99%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.31%EV -5.92%E -2.39%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -11.36%E -3.67%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.64%EV -12.97%E -4.99%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.31%EV -5.92%E -2.39%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -11.36%E -3.67%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.95%EV -12.97%E -4.99%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.57%EV -10.85%E -4.62%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -11.36%E -3.67%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-04-04 16:29 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.52%EV -12.97%E -4.99%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.90%EV -12.75%E -5.54%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.58%EV -12.79%E -4.19%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.57I 38.91%NM 33.89%EV -13.98%E -5.44%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 37.55%EV -11.99%E -5.17%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.56%EV -12.79%E -4.19%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.66%EV -14.65%E -5.74%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.37%EV -7.81%E -3.22%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.98%EV -12.79%E -4.19%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.76% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.04% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.20% | 0.7% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| Matchbook | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.95% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.60% | 0.9% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.86% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52% | 1.1% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| Smarkets | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.96% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.20% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.84% | 1.6% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.43% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.23% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.34% | 1.7% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| Kalshi | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.99% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.89% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.13% | 3.1% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |