Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cultural Leonesa v Córdoba

Kickoff: 2026-04-18 16:32 UTC

Final: Cultural Leonesa 1–2 Córdoba

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

50 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cultural Leonesa (Local)

Prediction 38.71%2.58fair odd
EV -3.24%
Edge -1.29%
Kelly -2.16%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.44%38.72%38.67%39.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.402.402.5044.44%41.75%41.67%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Córdoba (Visit)

Prediction 34.17%2.93fair odd
EV -3.97%
Edge -1.41%
Kelly -2.20%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.81

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.13%34.19%34.19%35.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.672.692.8140.00%37.49%37.17%35.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.12%3.69fair odd
EV -2.36%
Edge -0.656%
Kelly -0.908%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.83%27.09%27.14%27.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.363.403.6031.25%29.76%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cultural Leonesa (Local): 38.71%; Córdoba (Visit): 34.17%; Draw: 27.12%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.69. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.60, with an expected value of -2.36%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.70%EV -3.24%E -1.29%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.43%EV -3.97%E -1.41%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.87%EV -2.36%E -0.656%K -0.908%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-18 16:29
Unibet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -3.24%E -1.29%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -7.73%E -2.86%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.79%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 16:30
Unibet (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -3.24%E -1.29%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -7.73%E -2.86%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.79%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 16:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -3.24%E -1.29%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -7.73%E -2.86%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.79%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 16:30
ATG (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -3.24%E -1.29%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -7.73%E -2.86%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.79%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 16:30
Svenska Spel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -3.24%E -1.29%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -7.73%E -2.86%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.79%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 16:30
BetOnline.ag🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.21%EV -4.79%E -1.95%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.55%EV -7.05%E -2.59%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.24%EV -6.43%E -1.86%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 16:30
LowVig.ag🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.21%EV -4.79%E -1.95%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.55%EV -7.05%E -2.59%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.24%EV -6.43%E -1.86%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 16:30
Coolbet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.83%EV -5.17%E -2.11%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.98%EV -4.32%E -1.54%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -5.07%E -1.45%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 16:29
Grosvenor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.65%EV -5.17%E -2.11%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.81%EV -9.44%E -3.56%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -9.14%E -2.73%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 16:30
Casumo🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.65%EV -5.17%E -2.11%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.81%EV -9.44%E -3.56%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -9.14%E -2.73%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 16:30
TABtouch🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.65%EV -5.17%E -2.11%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.81%EV -9.44%E -3.56%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -9.14%E -2.73%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 16:30
betPARX🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.65%EV -5.17%E -2.11%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.81%EV -9.44%E -3.56%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -9.14%E -2.73%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 16:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.59%EV -5.95%E -2.45%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.73%EV -10.13%E -3.85%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -10.50%E -3.18%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-18 16:30
LeoVegas🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.44%EV -5.95%E -2.45%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -11.15%E -4.29%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -10.50%E -3.18%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 16:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 38.69%EV -6.72%E -2.79%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 34.67%EV -8.07%E -3.00%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -5.07%E -1.45%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 16:29
Fanatics🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -7.11%E -2.96%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.02%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -5.07%E -1.45%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-18 16:30
DraftKings🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -7.11%E -2.96%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -4.32%E -1.54%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -7.79%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 16:30
Betr (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -7.11%E -2.96%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -7.73%E -2.86%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -5.07%E -1.45%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 16:29
theScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -7.11%E -2.96%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -7.73%E -2.86%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -5.07%E -1.45%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 16:31
FanDuel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -7.11%E -2.96%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -6.02%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -7.79%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 16:29
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -7.11%E -2.96%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -7.73%E -2.86%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -7.79%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-18 16:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -7.11%E -2.96%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -7.73%E -2.86%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -7.79%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-18 16:29
Tipico (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%EV -7.11%E -2.96%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -9.44%E -3.56%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.79%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 16:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -7.11%E -2.96%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -7.73%E -2.86%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -10.50%E -3.18%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 16:29
William Hill🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -7.11%E -2.96%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -10.47%E -4.00%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.50%E -3.18%K -4.56%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-18 16:30
Virgin Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.57%EV -7.11%E -2.96%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.68%EV -11.15%E -4.29%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.75%EV -11.85%E -3.65%K -5.27%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-18 16:30
LiveScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.57%EV -7.11%E -2.96%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.68%EV -11.15%E -4.29%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.75%EV -11.85%E -3.65%K -5.27%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-18 16:30
BetAnything🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 38.59%EV -7.49%E -3.14%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 34.29%EV -8.07%E -3.00%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -7.79%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 16:29
Betsson🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.83%EV -7.88%E -3.31%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.98%EV -7.05%E -2.59%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -7.79%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 16:29
NordicBet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.83%EV -7.88%E -3.31%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.98%EV -7.05%E -2.59%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -7.79%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 16:30
Bovada🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -7.88%E -3.31%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.73%E -2.86%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -7.79%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 16:29
Bet Victor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.42%EV -7.88%E -3.31%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.87%EV -7.73%E -2.86%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.50%E -3.18%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-18 16:29
betfred_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -7.88%E -3.31%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -10.47%E -4.00%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -7.79%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 16:29
BetMGM🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.18%EV -7.88%E -3.31%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.29%EV -9.44%E -3.56%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -10.50%E -3.18%K -4.56%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-18 16:30
Neds🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.77%EV -7.88%E -3.31%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -11.15%E -4.29%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.66%EV -11.85%E -3.65%K -5.27%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-18 16:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.77%EV -7.88%E -3.31%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -11.15%E -4.29%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.66%EV -11.85%E -3.65%K -5.27%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-18 16:29
SportsBet🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 38.52%EV -8.27%E -3.49%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.81%EV -7.73%E -2.86%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -10.50%E -3.18%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-18 16:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 37.87%EV -8.27%E -3.49%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -11.15%E -4.29%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.61%EV -11.85%E -3.65%K -5.27%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-18 16:31
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 37.87%EV -8.27%E -3.49%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -11.15%E -4.29%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.61%EV -11.85%E -3.65%K -5.27%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-18 16:31
Codere (IT)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.72%EV -9.04%E -3.85%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -7.73%E -2.86%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -10.50%E -3.18%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 16:30
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.54%EV -9.04%E -3.85%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -11.15%E -4.29%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -7.79%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-18 16:30
PMU (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.65%EV -9.04%E -3.85%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.70%EV -12.86%E -5.04%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -13.21%E -4.13%K -6.00%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-18 16:30
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -10.98%E -4.77%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -11.15%E -4.29%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -7.79%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-18 16:30
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.84%EV -10.98%E -4.77%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -10.47%E -4.00%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -10.50%E -3.18%K -4.56%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-18 16:30
Sky Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.56%EV -10.98%E -4.77%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.72%EV -10.13%E -3.85%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -13.21%E -4.13%K -6.00%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-18 16:31
Betclic (FR)🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 39.34%EV -12.14%E -5.35%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 33.44%EV -8.76%E -3.28%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 27.22%EV -11.04%E -3.37%K -4.84%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-18 16:30
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -12.91%E -5.74%K -10.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -7.73%E -2.86%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -10.50%E -3.18%K -4.56%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-18 16:29
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.04%EV -12.91%E -5.74%K -10.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.13%EV -14.57%E -5.83%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -7.79%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-18 16:30
Winamax (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.84%EV -12.91%E -5.74%K -10.33%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.27%EV -12.86%E -5.04%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.89%EV -11.85%E -3.65%K -5.27%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-18 16:31
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.79%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.01%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.21%0.7%2026-04-18 16:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.79%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.01%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.21%0.7%2026-04-18 16:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.79%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.01%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.21%0.7%2026-04-18 16:30
Matchbook2.56I 39.06%NM 38.79%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.01%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.21%0.7%2026-04-18 16:30
Smarkets2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.98%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.18%2.2%2026-04-18 16:31
Kalshi2.50I 40.00%NM 38.48%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.88%4.0%2026-04-18 16:30