La escuela de los momios

Cultural Leonesa v Córdoba

Inicio: 2026-04-18 16:32 UTC

Final: Cultural Leonesa 1–2 Córdoba

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

50 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Cultural Leonesa (Local)

Predicción 38.71%2.58momio equitativo
EV -3.24%
Ventaja -1.29%
Kelly -2.16%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.44%38.72%38.67%39.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.252.402.402.5044.44%41.75%41.67%40.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Córdoba (Visitante)

Predicción 34.17%2.93momio equitativo
EV -3.97%
Ventaja -1.41%
Kelly -2.20%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.81

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.13%34.19%34.19%35.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.672.692.8140.00%37.49%37.17%35.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.12%3.69momio equitativo
EV -2.36%
Ventaja -0.656%
Kelly -0.908%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.83%27.09%27.14%27.80%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.363.403.6031.25%29.76%29.41%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle2.50I 40.00%NM 38.70%EV -3.24%E -1.29%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.43%EV -3.97%E -1.41%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.87%EV -2.36%E -0.656%K -0.908%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-18 16:29
Unibet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -3.24%E -1.29%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -7.73%E -2.86%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.79%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 16:30
Unibet (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -3.24%E -1.29%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -7.73%E -2.86%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.79%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 16:30
Unibet (NL)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -3.24%E -1.29%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -7.73%E -2.86%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.79%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 16:30
ATG (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -3.24%E -1.29%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -7.73%E -2.86%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.79%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 16:30
Svenska Spel2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -3.24%E -1.29%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -7.73%E -2.86%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.79%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 16:30
BetOnline.ag2.46I 40.65%NM 38.21%EV -4.79%E -1.95%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.55%EV -7.05%E -2.59%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.24%EV -6.43%E -1.86%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 16:30
LowVig.ag2.46I 40.65%NM 38.21%EV -4.79%E -1.95%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.55%EV -7.05%E -2.59%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.24%EV -6.43%E -1.86%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 16:30
Coolbet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.83%EV -5.17%E -2.11%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.98%EV -4.32%E -1.54%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -5.07%E -1.45%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 16:29
Grosvenor2.45I 40.82%NM 37.65%EV -5.17%E -2.11%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.81%EV -9.44%E -3.56%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -9.14%E -2.73%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 16:30
Casumo2.45I 40.82%NM 37.65%EV -5.17%E -2.11%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.81%EV -9.44%E -3.56%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -9.14%E -2.73%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 16:30
TABtouch2.45I 40.82%NM 37.65%EV -5.17%E -2.11%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.81%EV -9.44%E -3.56%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -9.14%E -2.73%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 16:30
betPARX2.45I 40.82%NM 37.65%EV -5.17%E -2.11%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.81%EV -9.44%E -3.56%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -9.14%E -2.73%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 16:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 37.59%EV -5.95%E -2.45%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.73%EV -10.13%E -3.85%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -10.50%E -3.18%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-18 16:30
LeoVegas2.43I 41.15%NM 37.44%EV -5.95%E -2.45%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -11.15%E -4.29%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -10.50%E -3.18%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 16:30
Marathon Bet2.41I 41.49%NM 38.69%EV -6.72%E -2.79%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 34.67%EV -8.07%E -3.00%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -5.07%E -1.45%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 16:29
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -7.11%E -2.96%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.02%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -5.07%E -1.45%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-18 16:30
DraftKings2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -7.11%E -2.96%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -4.32%E -1.54%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -7.79%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 16:30
Betr (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -7.11%E -2.96%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -7.73%E -2.86%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -5.07%E -1.45%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 16:29
theScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -7.11%E -2.96%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -7.73%E -2.86%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -5.07%E -1.45%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 16:31
FanDuel2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -7.11%E -2.96%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -6.02%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -7.79%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 16:29
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -7.11%E -2.96%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -7.73%E -2.86%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -7.79%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-18 16:30
PointsBet (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -7.11%E -2.96%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -7.73%E -2.86%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -7.79%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-18 16:29
Tipico (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%EV -7.11%E -2.96%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -9.44%E -3.56%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.79%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 16:30
Mr Green (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -7.11%E -2.96%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -7.73%E -2.86%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -10.50%E -3.18%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 16:29
William Hill2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -7.11%E -2.96%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -10.47%E -4.00%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.50%E -3.18%K -4.56%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-18 16:30
Virgin Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.57%EV -7.11%E -2.96%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.68%EV -11.15%E -4.29%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.75%EV -11.85%E -3.65%K -5.27%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-18 16:30
LiveScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.57%EV -7.11%E -2.96%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.68%EV -11.15%E -4.29%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.75%EV -11.85%E -3.65%K -5.27%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-18 16:30
BetAnything2.39I 41.84%NM 38.59%EV -7.49%E -3.14%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 34.29%EV -8.07%E -3.00%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -7.79%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 16:29
Betsson2.38I 42.02%NM 38.83%EV -7.88%E -3.31%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.98%EV -7.05%E -2.59%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -7.79%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 16:29
NordicBet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.83%EV -7.88%E -3.31%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.98%EV -7.05%E -2.59%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -7.79%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 16:30
Bovada2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -7.88%E -3.31%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.73%E -2.86%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -7.79%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 16:29
Bet Victor2.38I 42.02%NM 38.42%EV -7.88%E -3.31%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.87%EV -7.73%E -2.86%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.50%E -3.18%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-18 16:29
betfred_uk2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -7.88%E -3.31%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -10.47%E -4.00%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -7.79%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 16:29
BetMGM2.38I 42.02%NM 38.18%EV -7.88%E -3.31%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.29%EV -9.44%E -3.56%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -10.50%E -3.18%K -4.56%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-18 16:30
Neds2.38I 42.02%NM 37.77%EV -7.88%E -3.31%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -11.15%E -4.29%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.66%EV -11.85%E -3.65%K -5.27%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-18 16:29
Ladbrokes (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 37.77%EV -7.88%E -3.31%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -11.15%E -4.29%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.66%EV -11.85%E -3.65%K -5.27%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-18 16:29
SportsBet2.37I 42.19%NM 38.52%EV -8.27%E -3.49%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.81%EV -7.73%E -2.86%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -10.50%E -3.18%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-18 16:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 37.87%EV -8.27%E -3.49%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -11.15%E -4.29%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.61%EV -11.85%E -3.65%K -5.27%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-18 16:31
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 37.87%EV -8.27%E -3.49%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -11.15%E -4.29%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.61%EV -11.85%E -3.65%K -5.27%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-18 16:31
Codere (IT)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.72%EV -9.04%E -3.85%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -7.73%E -2.86%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -10.50%E -3.18%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 16:30
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 38.54%EV -9.04%E -3.85%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -11.15%E -4.29%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -7.79%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-18 16:30
PMU (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.65%EV -9.04%E -3.85%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.70%EV -12.86%E -5.04%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -13.21%E -4.13%K -6.00%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-18 16:30
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -10.98%E -4.77%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -11.15%E -4.29%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -7.79%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-18 16:30
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 38.84%EV -10.98%E -4.77%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -10.47%E -4.00%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -10.50%E -3.18%K -4.56%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-18 16:30
Sky Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 38.56%EV -10.98%E -4.77%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.72%EV -10.13%E -3.85%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -13.21%E -4.13%K -6.00%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-18 16:31
Betclic (FR)2.27I 44.05%NM 39.34%EV -12.14%E -5.35%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 33.44%EV -8.76%E -3.28%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 27.22%EV -11.04%E -3.37%K -4.84%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-18 16:30
Unibet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -12.91%E -5.74%K -10.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -7.73%E -2.86%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -10.50%E -3.18%K -4.56%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-18 16:29
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 39.04%EV -12.91%E -5.74%K -10.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.13%EV -14.57%E -5.83%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -7.79%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-18 16:30
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.84%EV -12.91%E -5.74%K -10.33%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.27%EV -12.86%E -5.04%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.89%EV -11.85%E -3.65%K -5.27%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-18 16:31
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.79%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.01%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.21%0.7%2026-04-18 16:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.79%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.01%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.21%0.7%2026-04-18 16:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.79%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.01%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.21%0.7%2026-04-18 16:30
Matchbook2.56I 39.06%NM 38.79%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.01%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.21%0.7%2026-04-18 16:30
Smarkets2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.98%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.18%2.2%2026-04-18 16:31
Kalshi2.50I 40.00%NM 38.48%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.88%4.0%2026-04-18 16:30