Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Córdoba v Granada CF

Kickoff: 2026-08-30 19:30 UTC

Final: Córdoba 1–3 Granada CF

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Córdoba (Local)

Prediction 51.99%1.92fair odd
EV -4.35%
Edge -2.36%
Kelly -5.18%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.84

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.08%52.05%51.95%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.771.771.8459.88%56.44%56.50%54.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Granada CF (Visit)

Prediction 21.27%4.70fair odd
EV +4.87%
Edge +0.989%
Kelly +1.24%
Growth +0.060%

assuming max odds 4.93

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.95%21.14%21.23%23.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.334.304.9326.67%23.08%23.26%20.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.74%3.74fair odd
EV -1.05%
Edge -0.285%
Kelly -0.390%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.41%26.81%26.82%29.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.373.353.7032.79%29.66%29.85%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Córdoba (Local): 51.99%; Granada CF (Visit): 21.27%; Draw: 26.74%. For Granada CF (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.70. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.93, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.87%.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.76%EV -4.87%E -2.66%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.93I 20.28%NM 19.58%EV +4.87%E +0.989%K +1.24%G +0.060%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.66%EV -6.67%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-30 19:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.70%EV -8.51%E -4.83%K -11.19%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV +2.11%E +0.439%K +0.555%G +0.012%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.35%EV -17.10%E -5.52%K -8.14%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-30 18:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.53%EV -9.55%E -5.49%K -12.90%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.08%EV -0.019%E -0.004%K -0.005%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.40%EV -18.44%E -6.04%K -8.99%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-30 18:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.77%EV -7.99%E -4.51%K -10.37%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.08%EV -1.08%E -0.233%K -0.297%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.15%EV -8.01%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 18:55
Unibet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.57%EV -5.39%E -2.96%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -2.15%E -0.467%K -0.596%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.02%EV -10.41%E -3.11%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 18:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.57%EV -5.39%E -2.96%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -2.15%E -0.467%K -0.596%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.02%EV -10.41%E -3.11%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 18:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.57%EV -5.39%E -2.96%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -2.15%E -0.467%K -0.596%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.02%EV -10.41%E -3.11%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 18:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.57%EV -5.39%E -2.96%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -2.15%E -0.467%K -0.596%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.02%EV -10.41%E -3.11%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 18:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.57%EV -5.39%E -2.96%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -2.15%E -0.467%K -0.596%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.02%EV -10.41%E -3.11%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 18:40
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.05%EV -7.99%E -4.51%K -10.37%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -2.15%E -0.467%K -0.596%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-30 19:04
1xBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.24%EV -5.39%E -2.96%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.90%EV -3.21%E -0.705%K -0.904%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.86%EV -5.33%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 19:15
DraftKings🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.83%EV -4.87%E -2.66%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.08%EV -4.27%E -0.950%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.10%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 19:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.07%EV -4.35%E -2.36%K -5.18%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.88%EV -4.27%E -0.950%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -10.41%E -3.11%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 19:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.07%EV -4.35%E -2.36%K -5.18%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.88%EV -4.27%E -0.950%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -10.41%E -3.11%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 19:20
BetAnything🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.07%EV -4.35%E -2.36%K -5.18%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.88%EV -4.27%E -0.950%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -10.41%E -3.11%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 19:20
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.83%EV -6.43%E -3.57%K -8.03%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -4.27%E -0.950%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.08%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-30 19:20
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.66%EV -7.99%E -4.51%K -10.37%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71%EV -4.27%E -0.950%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-30 18:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -11.63%E -6.84%K -16.61%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -4.27%E -0.950%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -3.73%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-30 18:40
Coolbet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -5.39%E -2.96%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.55%EV -6.40%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.34%EV -3.73%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-30 19:25
SportsBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.15%EV -8.51%E -4.83%K -11.19%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -6.40%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -9.08%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-30 18:53
Casumo🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.14%EV -7.99%E -4.51%K -10.37%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.57%EV -6.40%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -14.42%E -4.51%K -6.56%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-30 18:35
Grosvenor🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.14%EV -7.99%E -4.51%K -10.37%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.57%EV -6.40%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -14.42%E -4.51%K -6.56%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-30 18:40
TABtouch🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.14%EV -7.99%E -4.51%K -10.37%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.57%EV -6.40%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -14.42%E -4.51%K -6.56%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-30 18:40
betPARX🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.14%EV -7.99%E -4.51%K -10.37%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.57%EV -6.40%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -14.42%E -4.51%K -6.56%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-30 18:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.22%EV -9.55%E -5.49%K -12.90%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.49%EV -7.46%E -1.72%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.29%EV -15.76%E -5.00%K -7.33%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-30 18:40
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.98%EV -10.07%E -5.82%K -13.79%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -7.89%E -1.82%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-30 18:50
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.71%EV -4.87%E -2.66%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.01%EV -8.53%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -3.73%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 18:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.49%EV -6.43%E -3.57%K -8.03%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.97%EV -8.53%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -1.05%E -0.285%K -0.390%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 19:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.99%EV -7.99%E -4.51%K -10.37%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.99%EV -8.53%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.03%EV -13.89%E -4.31%K -6.26%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-30 19:03
LiveScore Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.24%EV -10.07%E -5.82%K -13.79%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.62%EV -8.53%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.14%EV -15.76%E -5.00%K -7.33%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-30 18:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.24%EV -10.07%E -5.82%K -13.79%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.62%EV -8.53%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.14%EV -15.76%E -5.00%K -7.33%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-30 18:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.41%EV -7.99%E -4.51%K -10.37%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -9.59%E -2.26%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -3.73%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-30 19:25
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.47%EV -6.43%E -3.57%K -8.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -10.66%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-30 19:25
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.70%EV -9.55%E -5.49%K -12.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.83%EV -10.66%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -3.73%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-30 19:25
Betsson🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.35%EV -7.47%E -4.19%K -9.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -10.66%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -9.08%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-30 19:15
NordicBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.35%EV -7.47%E -4.19%K -9.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -10.66%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -9.08%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-30 19:15
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.65%EV -10.07%E -5.82%K -13.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.27%EV -10.66%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-30 18:59
Sky Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.43%EV -10.07%E -5.82%K -13.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.19%EV -10.66%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.38%EV -13.09%E -4.03%K -5.82%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-30 18:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.09%EV -11.63%E -6.84%K -16.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.08%EV -10.66%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-30 19:15
NetBet (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 51.72%EV -12.66%E -7.54%K -18.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.69%EV -10.66%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.59%EV -15.76%E -5.00%K -7.33%G +0.000%15.1%2026-08-30 18:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 51.41%EV -13.18%E -7.90%K -19.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.44%EV -10.66%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.15%EV -18.44%E -6.04%K -8.99%G +0.000%16.5%2026-08-30 18:40
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.28%EV -9.03%E -5.16%K -12.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -12.78%E -3.12%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -3.73%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-30 19:25
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.28%EV -9.03%E -5.16%K -12.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -12.78%E -3.12%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -3.73%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-30 19:25
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.61%EV -7.99%E -4.51%K -10.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.28%EV -12.78%E -3.12%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-30 18:45
Codere (IT)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.56%EV -8.51%E -4.83%K -11.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -12.78%E -3.12%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -7.74%E -2.24%K -3.16%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-30 18:40
PlayUp🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.39%EV -6.43%E -3.57%K -8.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -12.78%E -3.12%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-30 19:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -6.43%E -3.57%K -8.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -14.91%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-30 18:45
William Hill🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -9.03%E -5.16%K -12.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -14.91%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-30 19:10
Neds🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.22%EV -9.03%E -5.16%K -12.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -14.91%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -9.08%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-30 18:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.22%EV -9.03%E -5.16%K -12.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -14.91%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -9.08%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-30 18:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.22%EV -9.03%E -5.16%K -12.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -14.91%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -9.08%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-30 18:45
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.22%EV -9.03%E -5.16%K -12.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -14.91%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -9.08%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-30 18:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.08%EV -9.03%E -5.16%K -12.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.37%EV -20.23%E -5.39%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.56%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-30 19:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 52.99%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.22%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.78%0.9%2026-08-30 18:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.87I 53.48%NM 52.99%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.22%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.78%0.9%2026-08-30 18:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.87I 53.48%NM 52.99%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.22%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.78%0.9%2026-08-30 18:55
Smarkets1.85I 54.05%NM 53.26%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.11%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.63%1.5%2026-08-30 19:00
Matchbook1.85I 54.05%NM 53.26%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.11%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.63%1.5%2026-08-30 19:25
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 52.95%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.58%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.47%2.1%2026-08-30 19:25