Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Córdoba v Granada CF

Início: 2026-08-30 19:30 UTC

Final: Córdoba 1–3 Granada CF

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

53 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Córdoba (Local)

Previsão 51.99%1.92odd justa
EV -4.35%
Vantagem -2.36%
Kelly -5.18%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.84

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.08%52.05%51.95%54.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.671.771.771.8459.88%56.44%56.50%54.35%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Granada CF (Visitante)

Previsão 21.27%4.70odd justa
EV +4.87%
Vantagem +0.989%
Kelly +1.24%
Crescimento +0.060%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.93

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
18.95%21.14%21.23%23.37%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.754.334.304.9326.67%23.08%23.26%20.28%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 26.74%3.74odd justa
EV -1.05%
Vantagem -0.285%
Kelly -0.390%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.41%26.81%26.82%29.40%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.053.373.353.7032.79%29.66%29.85%27.03%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Córdoba (Local): 51.99%; Granada CF (Visitante): 21.27%; Empate: 26.74%. Para Granada CF (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.70. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.93, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +4.87%.

Odds das casas de apostas (53 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.76%EV -4.87%E -2.66%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.93I 20.28%NM 19.58%EV +4.87%E +0.989%K +1.24%G +0.060%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.66%EV -6.67%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-30 19:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.70%EV -8.51%E -4.83%K -11.19%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV +2.11%E +0.439%K +0.555%G +0.012%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.35%EV -17.10%E -5.52%K -8.14%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-30 18:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.53%EV -9.55%E -5.49%K -12.90%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.08%EV -0.019%E -0.004%K -0.005%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.40%EV -18.44%E -6.04%K -8.99%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-30 18:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.77%EV -7.99%E -4.51%K -10.37%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.08%EV -1.08%E -0.233%K -0.297%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.15%EV -8.01%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 18:55
Unibet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.57%EV -5.39%E -2.96%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -2.15%E -0.467%K -0.596%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.02%EV -10.41%E -3.11%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 18:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.57%EV -5.39%E -2.96%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -2.15%E -0.467%K -0.596%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.02%EV -10.41%E -3.11%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 18:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.57%EV -5.39%E -2.96%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -2.15%E -0.467%K -0.596%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.02%EV -10.41%E -3.11%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 18:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.57%EV -5.39%E -2.96%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -2.15%E -0.467%K -0.596%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.02%EV -10.41%E -3.11%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 18:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.57%EV -5.39%E -2.96%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -2.15%E -0.467%K -0.596%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.02%EV -10.41%E -3.11%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 18:40
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.05%EV -7.99%E -4.51%K -10.37%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -2.15%E -0.467%K -0.596%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-30 19:04
1xBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.24%EV -5.39%E -2.96%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.90%EV -3.21%E -0.705%K -0.904%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.86%EV -5.33%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 19:15
DraftKings🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.83%EV -4.87%E -2.66%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.08%EV -4.27%E -0.950%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.10%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 19:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.07%EV -4.35%E -2.36%K -5.18%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.88%EV -4.27%E -0.950%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -10.41%E -3.11%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 19:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.07%EV -4.35%E -2.36%K -5.18%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.88%EV -4.27%E -0.950%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -10.41%E -3.11%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 19:20
BetAnything🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.07%EV -4.35%E -2.36%K -5.18%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.88%EV -4.27%E -0.950%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -10.41%E -3.11%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 19:20
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.83%EV -6.43%E -3.57%K -8.03%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -4.27%E -0.950%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.08%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-30 19:20
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.66%EV -7.99%E -4.51%K -10.37%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71%EV -4.27%E -0.950%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-30 18:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -11.63%E -6.84%K -16.61%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -4.27%E -0.950%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -3.73%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-30 18:40
Coolbet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -5.39%E -2.96%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.55%EV -6.40%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.34%EV -3.73%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-30 19:25
SportsBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.15%EV -8.51%E -4.83%K -11.19%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -6.40%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -9.08%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-30 18:53
Casumo🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.14%EV -7.99%E -4.51%K -10.37%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.57%EV -6.40%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -14.42%E -4.51%K -6.56%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-30 18:35
Grosvenor🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.14%EV -7.99%E -4.51%K -10.37%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.57%EV -6.40%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -14.42%E -4.51%K -6.56%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-30 18:40
TABtouch🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.14%EV -7.99%E -4.51%K -10.37%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.57%EV -6.40%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -14.42%E -4.51%K -6.56%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-30 18:40
betPARX🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.14%EV -7.99%E -4.51%K -10.37%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.57%EV -6.40%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -14.42%E -4.51%K -6.56%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-30 18:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.22%EV -9.55%E -5.49%K -12.90%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.49%EV -7.46%E -1.72%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.29%EV -15.76%E -5.00%K -7.33%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-30 18:40
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.98%EV -10.07%E -5.82%K -13.79%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -7.89%E -1.82%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-30 18:50
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.71%EV -4.87%E -2.66%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.01%EV -8.53%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -3.73%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 18:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.49%EV -6.43%E -3.57%K -8.03%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.97%EV -8.53%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -1.05%E -0.285%K -0.390%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 19:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.99%EV -7.99%E -4.51%K -10.37%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.99%EV -8.53%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.03%EV -13.89%E -4.31%K -6.26%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-30 19:03
LiveScore Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.24%EV -10.07%E -5.82%K -13.79%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.62%EV -8.53%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.14%EV -15.76%E -5.00%K -7.33%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-30 18:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.24%EV -10.07%E -5.82%K -13.79%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.62%EV -8.53%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.14%EV -15.76%E -5.00%K -7.33%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-30 18:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.41%EV -7.99%E -4.51%K -10.37%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -9.59%E -2.26%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -3.73%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-30 19:25
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.47%EV -6.43%E -3.57%K -8.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -10.66%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-30 19:25
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.70%EV -9.55%E -5.49%K -12.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.83%EV -10.66%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -3.73%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-30 19:25
Betsson🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.35%EV -7.47%E -4.19%K -9.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -10.66%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -9.08%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-30 19:15
NordicBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.35%EV -7.47%E -4.19%K -9.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -10.66%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -9.08%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-30 19:15
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.65%EV -10.07%E -5.82%K -13.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.27%EV -10.66%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-30 18:59
Sky Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.43%EV -10.07%E -5.82%K -13.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.19%EV -10.66%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.38%EV -13.09%E -4.03%K -5.82%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-30 18:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.09%EV -11.63%E -6.84%K -16.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.08%EV -10.66%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-30 19:15
NetBet (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 51.72%EV -12.66%E -7.54%K -18.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.69%EV -10.66%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.59%EV -15.76%E -5.00%K -7.33%G +0.000%15.1%2026-08-30 18:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 51.41%EV -13.18%E -7.90%K -19.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.44%EV -10.66%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.15%EV -18.44%E -6.04%K -8.99%G +0.000%16.5%2026-08-30 18:40
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.28%EV -9.03%E -5.16%K -12.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -12.78%E -3.12%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -3.73%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-30 19:25
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.28%EV -9.03%E -5.16%K -12.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -12.78%E -3.12%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -3.73%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-30 19:25
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.61%EV -7.99%E -4.51%K -10.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.28%EV -12.78%E -3.12%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-30 18:45
Codere (IT)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.56%EV -8.51%E -4.83%K -11.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -12.78%E -3.12%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -7.74%E -2.24%K -3.16%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-30 18:40
PlayUp🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.39%EV -6.43%E -3.57%K -8.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -12.78%E -3.12%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-30 19:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -6.43%E -3.57%K -8.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -14.91%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-30 18:45
William Hill🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -9.03%E -5.16%K -12.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -14.91%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-30 19:10
Neds🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.22%EV -9.03%E -5.16%K -12.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -14.91%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -9.08%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-30 18:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.22%EV -9.03%E -5.16%K -12.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -14.91%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -9.08%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-30 18:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.22%EV -9.03%E -5.16%K -12.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -14.91%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -9.08%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-30 18:45
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.22%EV -9.03%E -5.16%K -12.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -14.91%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -9.08%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-30 18:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.08%EV -9.03%E -5.16%K -12.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.37%EV -20.23%E -5.39%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.56%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-30 19:04
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.87I 53.48%NM 52.99%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.22%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.78%0.9%2026-08-30 18:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.87I 53.48%NM 52.99%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.22%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.78%0.9%2026-08-30 18:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.87I 53.48%NM 52.99%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.22%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.78%0.9%2026-08-30 18:55
Smarkets◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.26%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.11%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.63%1.5%2026-08-30 19:00
Matchbook◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.26%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.11%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.63%1.5%2026-08-30 19:25
Kalshi◎1.85I 54.05%NM 52.95%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.58%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.47%2.1%2026-08-30 19:25