Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

CD Mirandés v SD Eibar

Kickoff: 2026-05-10 16:30 UTC

Final: CD Mirandés 0–1 SD Eibar

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

CD Mirandés (Local)

Prediction 38.51%2.60fair odd
EV +3.98%
Edge +1.48%
Kelly +2.34%
Growth +0.093%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.65%38.46%38.56%38.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.462.422.7044.44%40.72%41.32%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

SD Eibar (Visit)

Prediction 33.24%3.01fair odd
EV -1.94%
Edge -0.657%
Kelly -0.993%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.57%33.27%33.25%35.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.712.702.9540.00%36.93%37.04%33.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.25%3.54fair odd
EV -2.55%
Edge -0.740%
Kelly -1.04%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.10%28.27%28.19%30.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.753.183.203.4536.36%31.49%31.25%28.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: CD Mirandés (Local): 38.51%; SD Eibar (Visit): 33.24%; Draw: 28.25%. For CD Mirandés (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.60. 13 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.98%.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.77%EV +3.98%E +1.48%K +2.34%G +0.093%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -11.91%E -4.49%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -11.03%E -3.50%K -5.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 15:59
Unibet (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.77%EV +3.98%E +1.48%K +2.34%G +0.093%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -11.91%E -4.49%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -11.03%E -3.50%K -5.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 15:59
Unibet (NL)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.77%EV +3.98%E +1.48%K +2.34%G +0.093%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -11.91%E -4.49%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -11.03%E -3.50%K -5.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 15:58
ATG (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.77%EV +3.98%E +1.48%K +2.34%G +0.093%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -11.91%E -4.49%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -11.03%E -3.50%K -5.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 15:59
Svenska Spel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.77%EV +3.98%E +1.48%K +2.34%G +0.093%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -11.91%E -4.49%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -11.03%E -3.50%K -5.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 15:59
TABtouch🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.97%EV +1.29%E +0.490%K +0.790%G +0.010%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.37%EV -13.57%E -5.22%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -12.44%E -4.01%K -5.92%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-10 15:59
Grosvenor🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.97%EV +1.29%E +0.490%K +0.790%G +0.010%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.37%EV -13.57%E -5.22%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -12.44%E -4.01%K -5.92%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-10 15:58
Casumo🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.97%EV +1.29%E +0.490%K +0.790%G +0.010%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.37%EV -13.57%E -5.22%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -12.44%E -4.01%K -5.92%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-10 15:59
betPARX🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.97%EV +1.29%E +0.490%K +0.790%G +0.010%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.37%EV -13.57%E -5.22%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -12.44%E -4.01%K -5.92%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-10 15:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.80%EV +1.29%E +0.490%K +0.790%G +0.010%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.20%EV -13.57%E -5.22%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.01%EV -13.85%E -4.54%K -6.76%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-10 16:00
LeoVegas🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV +0.133%E +0.051%K +0.083%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -13.57%E -5.22%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.89%EV -13.85%E -4.54%K -6.76%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-10 15:58
LiveScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.65%EV +0.133%E +0.051%K +0.083%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.33%EV -15.23%E -5.97%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.03%EV -15.26%E -5.09%K -7.63%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-10 16:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.65%EV +0.133%E +0.051%K +0.083%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.33%EV -15.23%E -5.97%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.03%EV -15.26%E -5.09%K -7.63%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-10 15:59
Pinnacle🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.72%EV -3.72%E -1.49%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.81%EV -1.94%E -0.657%K -0.993%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.47%EV -3.96%E -1.17%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-10 16:24
PMU (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.12%EV -3.72%E -1.49%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.12%EV -16.90%E -6.76%K -11.26%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.76%EV -16.68%E -5.65%K -8.55%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-10 15:59
BetOnline.ag🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.30%EV -5.26%E -2.14%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -4.26%E -1.48%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.99%EV -8.20%E -2.52%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-10 16:19
LowVig.ag🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.30%EV -5.26%E -2.14%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -4.26%E -1.48%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.99%EV -8.20%E -2.52%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-10 16:19
Coolbet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.76%EV -5.64%E -2.30%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.32%EV -5.26%E -1.85%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -3.96%E -1.17%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 16:18
Fanatics🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -5.64%E -2.30%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -5.26%E -1.85%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -6.79%E -2.06%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-10 16:19
DraftKings🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.37%EV -5.64%E -2.30%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.57%EV -6.92%E -2.47%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -5.38%E -1.61%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-10 16:19
Betr (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -5.64%E -2.30%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.92%E -2.47%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.79%E -2.06%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-10 16:19
FanDuel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -5.64%E -2.30%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -5.26%E -1.85%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -9.61%E -3.00%K -4.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-10 16:18
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.87%EV -5.64%E -2.30%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -6.92%E -2.47%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -9.61%E -3.00%K -4.37%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-10 16:24
Tipico (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.64%EV -5.64%E -2.30%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -8.59%E -3.12%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -9.61%E -3.00%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-10 16:19
1xBet🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 38.97%EV -6.03%E -2.47%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.48%EV -5.59%E -1.97%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.56%EV -2.55%E -0.740%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-10 16:24
NordicBet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.40%EV -6.80%E -2.81%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.43%EV -7.59%E -2.73%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -6.79%E -2.06%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-10 16:20
Betsson🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.40%EV -6.80%E -2.81%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.43%EV -7.59%E -2.73%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -6.79%E -2.06%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-10 16:19
Marathon Bet🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 38.73%EV -7.18%E -2.98%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.92%E -2.47%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.94%EV -5.66%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 16:20
theScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -7.57%E -3.15%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -6.92%E -2.47%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -6.79%E -2.06%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-10 16:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -7.57%E -3.15%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -6.92%E -2.47%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -8.20%E -2.52%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-10 16:19
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -7.57%E -3.15%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -6.92%E -2.47%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -8.20%E -2.52%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-10 16:20
betfred_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -7.57%E -3.15%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -8.59%E -3.12%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -8.20%E -2.52%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-10 16:19
SportsBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -7.57%E -3.15%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -6.92%E -2.47%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -12.44%E -4.01%K -5.92%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-10 16:19
BetMGM🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -7.57%E -3.15%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -10.25%E -3.80%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.42%EV -9.61%E -3.00%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-10 16:19
William Hill🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -7.57%E -3.15%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -8.59%E -3.12%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -12.44%E -4.01%K -5.92%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-10 16:19
Bovada🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 38.45%EV -7.96%E -3.33%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.82%EV -6.92%E -2.47%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.72%EV -9.61%E -3.00%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-10 16:18
BetAnything🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 38.45%EV -7.96%E -3.33%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.82%EV -6.92%E -2.47%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.72%EV -9.61%E -3.00%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-10 16:20
Bet Victor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.33%EV -8.34%E -3.50%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -8.59%E -3.12%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -9.61%E -3.00%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-10 16:19
Codere (IT)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -8.34%E -3.50%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.72%EV -10.25%E -3.80%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -8.20%E -2.52%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-10 16:20
Paddy Power🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.98%EV -8.34%E -3.50%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -8.59%E -3.12%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.16%EV -12.44%E -4.01%K -5.92%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-10 16:19
Neds🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.42%EV -8.34%E -3.50%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.86%EV -12.57%E -4.78%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -12.44%E -4.01%K -5.92%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-10 16:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.42%EV -8.34%E -3.50%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.86%EV -12.57%E -4.78%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -12.44%E -4.01%K -5.92%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-10 16:19
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.39%EV -8.34%E -3.50%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.95%EV -10.25%E -3.80%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -15.26%E -5.09%K -7.63%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-10 15:59
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 37.47%EV -8.73%E -3.68%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.89%EV -12.91%E -4.93%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -12.44%E -4.01%K -5.92%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-10 16:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 37.47%EV -8.73%E -3.68%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.89%EV -12.91%E -4.93%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -12.44%E -4.01%K -5.92%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-10 16:20
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%EV -9.50%E -4.04%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.26%EV -11.91%E -4.49%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -5.38%E -1.61%K -2.29%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-10 16:20
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -9.50%E -4.04%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -8.59%E -3.12%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -11.03%E -3.50%K -5.13%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-10 16:19
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.90%EV -11.42%E -4.97%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -10.25%E -3.80%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -9.61%E -3.00%K -4.37%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-10 16:19
Betclic (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.81%EV -11.42%E -4.97%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 33.30%EV -10.91%E -4.07%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -9.61%E -3.00%K -4.37%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-10 16:13
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 36.28%EV -11.42%E -4.97%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.38%EV -16.90%E -6.76%K -11.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.34%EV -22.32%E -8.12%K -12.76%G +0.000%19.8%2026-05-10 16:19
NetBet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.69%EV -13.35%E -5.93%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.23%EV -12.91%E -4.93%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.08%EV -12.44%E -4.01%K -5.92%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-10 16:25
Winamax (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.68%EV -13.35%E -5.93%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.13%EV -15.23%E -5.97%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.20%EV -9.61%E -3.00%K -4.37%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-10 16:19
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.59%EV -13.35%E -5.93%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.40%EV -13.57%E -5.22%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.01%EV -12.44%E -4.01%K -5.92%G +0.000%15.2%2026-05-10 16:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook2.62I 38.17%NM 37.98%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.17%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.85%0.5%2026-05-10 16:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.16%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.08%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.76%0.8%2026-05-10 16:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.16%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.08%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.76%0.8%2026-05-10 16:19
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.16%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.08%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.76%0.8%2026-05-10 16:20
Smarkets2.60I 38.46%NM 37.76%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.94%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.30%1.9%2026-05-10 16:24
Kalshi2.56I 39.06%NM 37.92%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.94%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.14%3.0%2026-05-10 16:25